Tuesday, August 11, 2015

Shan Herald Agency for News

Shan Herald Agency for News


Questions for peacemakers

Posted: 11 Aug 2015 04:12 AM PDT

Thanks to you on both sides of the fence, the final Nationwide Ceasefire Agreement (NCA) draft is now agreed by all on 7 August. The only question remains is whether there'll be a signing of it.
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The Ethnic Armed Organizations (EAOs) plan is as follows, according to insider sources:
  • Each EAO will hold meetings to consider the question
  • They will then hold another summit to jointly reconsider it
  • The top leaders of what are known collectively as the Big Five (Kachin Independence Organization, Karen National Union , Karenni National Progressive Party, New Mon State Party and Shan State Progress Party) are expected to meet the President and the Commander-in-Chief afterward
What will happen after the Big Seven meeting is of course still open to further questions— and arguments.
Some of which are:
Government
·       Signing before the end of August (C-in-C will be traveling abroad, Election campaigns begin in September)
·       Signing before elections
·       Three of the EAOs, (Arakan National Council, Wa National Organization, Lahu Democratic Union) haven't exchanged fire with the Burma Army. No fire, so no ceasefire necessary
·       As for the other 3 (Arakan Army, Myanmar National Democratic Alliance Army and Ta-ang National Liberation Army): AA is part of KIO, MNDAA guilty of "violation of sovereignty", and TNLA needs to sign bilateral ceasefire first
EAOs 
·       We need time to hold a summit; it is not easy to organize one
·       Signing during the current government's tenure.
·       They are our people
·       If the 3 are left behind the NCA will be meaningless. Government needs to show more magnanimity
Then there are questions and arguments from the government's side too.
EAOs
·       President Thein Sein doesn't deserve credit for the peace process
·       We don't trust C-in-C Min Aung Hlaing
·       (Wa, Mong La) we don't need to sign the NCA. We will only join the peace process after the NCA is signed.
·       We want to hold another summit before sending the Big Five to Naypyitaw
·       The Big Five want to meet the President and C-in-C
Government
Who else is?
Who then do you trust?
·       If you don't, others will also use it as an excuse to skip the NCA
·       Since each EAO will have already met and decided whether to sign or not by that time, is another summit necessary?
·       Is there going to be the signing of NCA afterward?
Of course, there are more questions. But these should be enough for the present.

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