Monday, August 24, 2015

The Irrawaddy Magazine

The Irrawaddy Magazine


Civil Society Groups to Cooperate on Flood Rehabilitation Efforts

Posted: 24 Aug 2015 05:50 AM PDT

Flood victims wait at their home in Zalun Township, Irrawaddy Division on Aug. 6 (Photo: Soe Zeya Tun / Reuters)

Flood victims wait at their home in Zalun Township, Irrawaddy Division on Aug. 6 (Photo: Soe Zeya Tun / Reuters)

RANGOON—Around 50 organizations involved in relief efforts in flood-stricken parts of Burma have agreed to coordinate their efforts toward flood rehabilitation programs in the coming months, according to attendees of a conference held in Sittwe over the weekend.

Dr. Kyaw Thu, director of the Paung Ku consortium of civil society groups, told The Irrawaddy that conference attendees wanted to build on emergency response and information sharing networks developed during the crisis to help villagers in future recovery efforts.

Wunlark Foundation director Khaing Kaung San said that organizations involved in flood relief saw a need for civil society to assist in rehabilitation plans, as the Burmese government did not have the resources to prepare a long-term flood response on its own.

"We don't want to depend on the government's resettlement plan, and the rehabilitation period will be more difficult than emergency response, this is why we're trying to organize," he told The Irrawaddy.

He added that plans to merge and coordinate civil society rehabilitation efforts were likely to be finalized by the end of August.

According to government statistics, by Monday the floods had affected more than 1.6 million people across 12 states and divisions. The United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs reported on Friday that nearly 1 million acres of farmland had been damaged since the floods began, with nearly 400,000 households displaced by the deluge.

PanDeikTun, who attended the Sittwe conference as a member of the 88 Generation Peace and Open Society, said that the local organizations represented would work to coordinate their rehabilitation efforts with international non-government organizations.

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Arrest Warrants Issued for Alleged NLD Billboard Vandals

Posted: 24 Aug 2015 05:37 AM PDT

A defaced National League for Democracy (NLD) party billboardis picturedin Nansang Township, Shan State. (Photo: Facebook / U Nay Zaw)

A defaced National League for Democracy (NLD) party billboardis picturedin Nansang Township, Shan State. (Photo: Facebook / U Nay Zaw)

RANGOON — A court in Shan State has issued arrest warrantsfor members of a local militia who allegedly destroyed party signboards and flags of the opposition National League for Democracy (NLD).

Five members, including a liaison officer, of the government-aligned Matkyanmilitant group were issued arrest warrants late last week, according to a senior legal officer from the NansangTownship court who spoke to The Irrawaddy on condition of anonymity,citingthe sensitivity of the case.

"The court issued the arrest warrant on Friday for five members," he said.

Nay ZawNaing, a central committee member of the local NLD branch, told The Irrawaddy that partybillboards and banners were destroyed last month at 28 NLD offices in Nansang and MongNai townships.

He said the party had learned that the warrantswere forwarded to the Burma Army's Eastern Central Command, seekingmilitary assistance in apprehending the men,given their ties to the local armed group.

"The local police station informed us that we will learn the progress [whether the suspects have been arrested] of the case on Sept. 2, as the police will have to report back to the court on the case," he added.

Authorities at the Nangsang police station could not be reached for comment on Monday.

Four suspects from the militia group were briefly detained on July 21, the same night of the vandalism, after police said they caught the men destroying the NLDmaterials. The men subsequently admitted their affiliation with the Matkyanmilitia during an interrogation by police, township elders and NLD members.

"They were brought to court the next day. The court transferred the case to the police but they released them as it was not a police case," said Nay ZawNaing, explaining that police were reluctant to pursue prosecution because of the men's links toMatkyan.

"They didn't appearatthe next court hearing on July 29 and are still at large," he added."That's why they have had warrants issued."

The Matkyan militia is an offshoot of the Mong Tai Army—the former forces of the infamous warlord KhunSa, who was dubbed an "opium king" by the Western press for his involvement in the global narcotics trade. After splitting from the Shan State Army-South, the 100-strong militia now operates under the control of the military's divisional command and Shan State Border Affairs Minister Col. Aung Thu, according to Taunggyi District NLD chairman Tin Maung Toe.

"We think there is political motivation behind [the destruction of party paraphernalia]. They want to scare off the NLD supporters here," Nay ZawNaing said.

With NLD chairwoman Aung San Suu Kyi planning to visit Shan State early next month, he said local party branchleaders would seek her advice onnext courses of action if there is no progress in the case after the Sept. 2 court hearing.

News of the warrants comes as political parties nationwide gear up for the official start of the general election's campaigning period on Sept. 8. The nationwide vote is slated for Nov. 8 and could be Burma's first free and fair election in 25 years, though intimidation tactics and violence are concerns in the high-stakes election year environment.

 

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Rohingya MP and Mandalay Doctor Barred From Contesting November Election

Posted: 24 Aug 2015 05:16 AM PDT

Shwe Maung, the former Union Solidarity and Development Party MP who will run in Burma's November general election as an independent candidate. (Photo: Shwe Maung / Facebook)

Shwe Maung, the former Union Solidarity and Development Party MP who will run in Burma's November general election as an independent candidate. (Photo: Shwe Maung / Facebook)

MANDALAY — Two prospective lawmakers—including a Rohingya Muslim man who has served in Burma's Parliament for the past five years—have been barred from competing in an upcoming election on the grounds that their parents are not citizens.

Shwe Maung, who represents Arakan State's Buthidaung Township for the Lower House, and Dr. Win Myint, who planned to run for the National League for Democracy (NLD) in Mandalay's Chan Aye Thar San Township, both plan to appeal the district-level rejections to the Union Election Commission.

Elected in 2010 as a member of the ruling Union Solidarity and Development Party (USDP), Shwe Maung recently left the party and announced his candidacy as an independent. He is one of the few voices in Burma's Parliament to speak on behalf of the Rohingya, a stateless Muslim minority residing in western Burma's Arakan State.

Rejection of his bid to contest in the majority-Rohingya township was just the latest blow for the beleaguered group, which recently saw many of its members stripped of their right to vote in the midst of a protracted and oft-criticized citizenship verification process.

Despite Shwe Maung's current position as a lawmaker, the commission reportedly turned him down on the grounds that his parents were not Burmese citizens, a claim that he maintained was untrue.

Physician Win Myint, a candidate for the NLD, was similarly rejected on the grounds that his father was a Chinese national living in Burma with a foreign registration card. The nominee's lawyer told reporters, however, that his father had attained naturalized citizenship in 1976.

"His father received the nationality [card] in accordance with the law. Dr. Win Myint himself is a Burmese national and has carried out his civic duty as a doctor; rejecting Dr. Win Myint is unfair and we will submit an appeal to the Union Election Commission," the lawyer said at a press briefing in Mandalay on Monday.

Win Myint was present at the briefing but was unwilling to field questions from the media due to a recent request by NLD leadership that candidates abstain from talking to the press. The order was instated to prevent prospective candidates from making any disqualifying errors while the election board scrutinized candidate lists, according to a party spokesperson.

Burma's upcoming general election, which will be widely viewed as a barometer of reforms initiated in 2011, are set to be held on Aug. 8. The pre-election period has already been tarnished by concerns of mass disenfranchisement and flawed voter lists, while recent flooding—believed to be the nation's worst in decades—has compromised voter outreach and capacity of local election commissions.

 

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Rangoon Property Market Goes Cold Ahead of November Poll

Posted: 24 Aug 2015 05:03 AM PDT

A worker is seen at a construction site for Shangri-La Residences in Rangoon, September 20, 2013. (Photo: Reuters)

A worker is seen at a construction site for Shangri-La Residences in Rangoon, September 20, 2013. (Photo: Reuters)

RANGOON — The property market in Burma's commercial capital has seen little in the way of recent sales or investment as developers await the results of the country's general election later this year, real estate agents told The Irrawaddy.

Skyrocketing property prices in Rangoon peaked in 2013 with speculation rife and increasing demand for rental and commercial space far outstripping supply.

Previous government initiatives rejigging property and land taxes failed to arrest the upward trend which saw average prices for properties on Rangoon's main roads reach highs of between 700,000 and one million kyat per square foot in 2013.

However, in 2015, market demand has fallen—although prices remain high—with little new investment.

"There is no one playing the real estate market and purchasing power is decreasing this year," said Moe Moe Aung, general secretary of the Myanmar Real Estate Association.

Demand for high-end property in prime locations in Burma's biggest city, such as Bahan, Kamayut, Mayangone and Sanchaung townships, has seen a significant decline and landowners are adopting a wait-and-see approach as a crucial nationwide election nears in November, Moe Moe Aung said.

"[Demand] for properties priced above one or two billion kyat is significantly down this year," she said. "Although the government reduced some sales taxes, demand is still going down."

In April, the government lowered the property sales tax to: three percent on deals up to 100 million kyat; five percent on deals from 100 to 500 million kyat; 10 percent on deals from 500 to 1 billion kyat; 20 percent on deals from 1 billion to 1.5 billion kyat; and 30 percent on deals above 1.5 billion kyat.

All taxes are payable to the buyer, according to the vice chairman of the Myanmar Real Estate Services Association, Than Oo, who quoted the above figures to The Irrawaddy.

Sales are also subject to a stamp duty, set at 5 percent of price value in Rangoon, while sellers are subject to a flat 10 percent tax rate, he said.

Zaw Zaw, senior manager of Unity Real Estate, noted that land prices had not fallen despite dropping demand and that investors were more interested in the gold market.

"In the past, investors came into the real estate market when they heard rumors of political change in the country. But this time, they're just eyeing gold and the US dollar rather than the real estate market," he said.

"As prices are still high, people are only interested in investing in small scale land in areas like North Dagon and South Dagon. Demand for high-end properties is quite cool," he added.

Sai Khun Naung, managing director of Sai Khun Naung real estate agency, told The Irrawaddy earlier this year that if the government wanted to reduce land prices, they would have to expand Rangoon as more people flock to the commercial hub to do business.

"People rely on [Rangoon] for their businesses, which is why people prefer to stay here. But there is a lack of new housing projects in [Rangoon]. This is a major reason why property prices are still going up," he said.

Despite the current stagnant state of affairs, Moe Moe predicted the market would see an upturn following the November election.

"I'm optimistic about that," she said.

 

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Election Commission Postpones Voter List Review

Posted: 24 Aug 2015 04:48 AM PDT

A prospective voter searches for his name on voter lists prepared for the Yangon City Development Committee elections in December. (Photo: Steve Tickner / The Irrawaddy)

A prospective voter searches for his name on voter lists prepared for the Yangon City Development Committee elections in December. (Photo: Steve Tickner / The Irrawaddy)

RANGOON— The Union Election Commission (UEC) has postponed a planned public review of voter lists that was due to commence on Sunday, claiming logistical difficulties posed by the country's recent flooding disaster.

With 11 weeks left before November's landmark general election, UEC director Thein Oo told The Irrawaddy on Monday that the fortnight-long nationwide voter list display, originally scheduled between Aug. 23 and Sept. 6, will instead be held at some point later in September.

"We postponed it because of recent flood crisis. Voters in flood-affected areas wouldn't be interested in checking their names on the list at the moment, and now is the time to focus on rehabilitation there," he said.

Thein Oo said on Monday that an exact time for the voter list display had yet to be confirmed by the commission, but added that there would be avenues of appeal for eligible voters still omitted from the UEC's records, and that Burmese nationals living outside their township electorates would be given until Oct. 10 to register.

"The voter lists which will be displayed this time have been revised with corrections submitted during preliminary voter list display periods. The voters can check again whether their information is correct or not. If not, they can apply to enroll again."

The preliminary lists, released in four phases from March,were criticized by political parties and civil society groups, who said that the voter rosters were riddled with errors and risked potentially disenfranchising millions of people if left uncorrected. The opposition National League for Democracy claimed in June that 30-80 percent of voter list data in various Rangoon and Naypyidaw townships was inaccurate, prompting UEC chairman Tin Aye to admit that the preliminary lists contained "many errors".

Sai Ye Kyaw Swar Myint, executive director of the People’s Alliance for Credible Elections (PACE) monitoring group, said his organization would observe the public display of voter lists in 110 townships across Burma.

"We will monitor the process of the nationwide voter lists display and keep track of other important incidents, such as the closing of the sub-commission offices, threats, and insufficient complaint forms at the sub-commission offices through two weeks," he said, referring to a raft of complaints directed at the UEC during the publication of preliminary voter lists.

Earlier in August, the UEC pushed back the deadline for the submission of candidate applications in response to floods that ravaged large swathes of northern and western Burma and forced hundreds of thousands of people to flee their homes. Nearly 1.6 million people have been affected by landslides and the inundation of villages, and at least 110 people have died, according to the Ministry of Social Welfare, Relief and Resettlement.

The UEC's candidate scrutiny process has also been extended, with the commission's vetting of applications to contest the poll now expected to conclude on Aug. 31.

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Fishing Curbs Pledged for Mandalay Lake

Posted: 24 Aug 2015 03:37 AM PDT

Fishermen cast their nets on Taungthaman Lake in Mandalay Division's Amarapura Township. (Photo: Hein Htet/The Irrawaddy)

Fishermen cast their nets on Taungthaman Lake in Mandalay Division's Amarapura Township. (Photo: Hein Htet/The Irrawaddy)

RANGOON — The Mandalay regional government will cease issuances of new commercial fishing licenses for Taungthaman Lake in a bid to conservethe body of water, which hosts Burma's iconic U Bein Bridge.

Aung Maung, development affairs minister for Mandalay Division, announced the plan during the 13th regular session of the Mandalay divisionalparliament on Friday.

"According to experts, Taungthaman Lake should be conserved as a freshwater lake for its beauty. So, we won't auction licenses to fish in the lake as of the coming fiscal year. We have also taken measures to prevent wastewater from flowing into the lake," said the minister.

Amarapura Township'sTaungthaman Lake, which is spanned by the famed1,200-meter U Bein Bridge, has been used for commercial fishing since 1989.The Mandalay Division Fisheries Department and Mandalay City Development Committee are responsible for the auctioningof fishing licenses.

Annually, an average of about 130,000 kilograms of fish is caught from Taungthaman Lake. Currently, tycoon Chit Khaing holds the sole commercial fishing license,a three-yearconcession that he secured with a bid of 500 million kyats (US$390,000) per year. The company hasset up fish breeding farmson the lake.

"I am not complaining about it," Chit Khaing said. "Our fishing license has one year left. As fish are being bred in the lake, the ending of the auction will affect the market. I think they [the government]are trying to find a short-term solution for the problems of Taungthaman Lake."

The decision comesless than four months after the Mandalay City Development Committee cracked down on factories in Mandalay's industrial zones that were dumping untreated wastewater into the lake.

Meanwhile, plans to restore the aging U Bein Bridge were slated for this month, but high water levels on Taungthaman Lake have delayed the project, said Myint Kyu, the Mandalay Division finance minister, who is also responsible for heritage conservation in the region.

At more than 150 years old, the teak bridge is a major tourist draw and is also heavily trafficked by locals.

 

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Rights Activist Andy Hall Indicted for Defamation in Bangkok

Posted: 24 Aug 2015 03:27 AM PDT

British rights activist Andy Hall speaks to the media at the Prakanong Provincial Court in Bangkok last September. (Photo: Athit Perawongmetha / Reuters)

British rights activist Andy Hall speaks to the media at the Prakanong Provincial Court in Bangkok last September. (Photo: Athit Perawongmetha / Reuters)

RANGOON — Migrant rights activist Andy Hall has been formally indicted on charges of criminal defamation and computer crimes in Thailand, the latest chapter in a long-running legal saga that the 35-year-old British national has characterized as "judicial harassment".

Bangkok South Criminal Court ruled on Monday that the charges could proceed against Hall, who faces a maximum seven-year sentence if convicted.

"I'm disappointed but I will respect the court's decision," Hall told The Irrawaddy. "I'm going to fight the case, and the case will expose many wrongdoings by many different people…I'm confident that in the end I'll be served justice and be acquitted of all charges."

Natural Fruit, a pineapple processing company based in the Bangkok municipality of Thonburi and exporting to European markets, filed civil and criminal defamation complaints against Hall in February 2013. Hall had been contracted to conduct research for a report by European corporate watchdog Finnwatch that documented low wages, the employment of underage workers and other labor abuses against the company's largely Burmese migrant workforce.

Finnwatch executive director Sonja Vartiala, said in a press statement on Monday that the prospects of a fair trial for Hall were "looking grim", and noted that no-one had yet been held accountable for the unlawful labor practices at the Natural Fruit plant.

"The Bangkok South Criminal Court had an opportunity to put an end to a saga of intimidation, already lasting 30-months, aimed at nothing but gagging a human rights defender," she said. "Regrettably the court chose instead to press on with a trial of these unfounded charges."

Hall is facing three other charges relating to the Natural Fruit report, including a criminal defamation charge for a June 2013 interview with Al Jazeera in Rangoon, and corresponding civil defamation cases seeking a total of US$14 million in damages.

The Prakanong Provincial Court dismissed the criminal defamation charge arising from the Al Jazeera interview in October 2014. An appeal against the ruling, lodged by the Thai Attorney General and Natural Fruit, is expected by the beginning of 2016.

Hall confirmed on Monday that he would remain in Thailand to contest the allegations.

"I fight on against judicial harassment to give voice to systematic migrant rights violations [and the] dire situation of rights activists in Thailand," he wrote on Twitter after the indictment was handed down.

Phil Robertson, deputy director of Human Rights Watch's Asia Division, told The Irrawaddy that companies sourcing products from Thailand should ask the nation's leaders why a human rights activist was being prosecuted for drawing attention to labor abuses.

"By prosecuting Andy Hall for his reporting on the exploitation of migrant workers, the Thai government has thrown its support behind a rights abusing company and revealed how little Bangkok cares about ending human trafficking or addressing cruel treatments meted out against migrants from Burma," said Robertson.

"What's really in the dock today is Thailand's faltering commitment to tackle human rights violations in the supply chains of companies that export their products to Europe and North America."

On Wednesday, representatives of 44 international labor and human rights organizations called on Thai Prime Minister Prayuth Chan-ocha to ensure Hall's release from all charges and an end to the use of defamation and computer crimes prosecutions to punish rights activists.

For the last year, Hall has worked to organize and raise funds for the defense of Burmese migrant workers Zaw Lin and Win Zaw Htun, the pair accused of murdering two British tourists on the southern island of Koh Tao in September 2014.

It is expected that Hall will either be taken into pre-trial detention or given the opportunity to post bail when he next appears before the Bangkok South Criminal Court on Oct. 19.

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As Election Nears, Survey Offers Insight Into Voters’ Views

Posted: 24 Aug 2015 02:43 AM PDT

A woman casts her ballot at a polling station in Sittwe, Arakan State, during Burma's Nov. 7, 2010, general election. (Photo: Reuters)

A woman casts her ballot at a polling station in Sittwe, Arakan State, during Burma's Nov. 7, 2010, general election. (Photo: Reuters)

RANGOON — Preliminary data released on Monday by an Asian research institution offer a window into the mindset of Burma's little-understood electorate just over two weeks ahead of the start of the Nov. 8 election's official campaign season.

Much of the data confirm opinions that were long-assumed to be held among Burma's population of more than 51 million: A majority support democracy, greater autonomy for ethnic minorities and strengthening federalism, while distrust in the nation's judiciary and police force runs high; most people see land-grabbing as a serious issue, while "the economy" was viewed by 45 percent of respondents as the most serious problem facing the country; and a significant majority identify deeply with religion.

Researchers deployed by the Taiwan-based Asian Barometer Survey polled 1,620 respondents across all 14 of Burma's states and divisions, taking a representative sample of the country at large and asking more than 200 questions on political, economic and social views.

The survey results are not without surprises. Respondents were almost evenly split on whether the military should retain a role in politics, with 39 percent in favor and 40 percent against.

A majority of respondents (57 percent) declined to respond when asked whether they supported constitutional amendments to two of the charter's most contentious provisions, articles 59(f) and 436. Article 59(f) bars popular opposition leader Aung San Suu Kyi from presidential eligibility, while Article 436 requires a vote of more than 75 percent to change the Constitution, granting the military an effective veto power.

The survey recorded notable differences on some questions between ethnic minority respondents and those from the country's majority-Bamar population, including in opinions on empowering regional legislatures to select their state or divisional chief minister.

A total of 64 percent of respondents supported the change from the current system of presidential appointment, but with 77 percent of ethnic minority respondents indicating that they favored the amendment, versus 60 percent of the country's ethnic Bamar majority.

An effort to change the constitutional provision on chief ministers, backed vocally by ethnic minority lawmakers, failed to clear the 75 percent hurdle when it was put to a vote in Parliament in June.

As expected, Suu Kyi's National League for Democracy (NLD) was viewed as the party most likely to win respondents' future vote, though the numbers would appear to indicate a less dominant standing than the results of Burma's 2012 by-election would suggest. While noting that half of all respondents declined to express a party preference, 24 percent nationwide said they would vote NLD, compared with 16 percent who said they would choose the ruling Union Solidarity and Development Party (USDP).

The NLD secured a landslide victory in Burma's April 2012 by-election, winning 43 of the 44 seats it contested.

The survey gives reason for hope among the country's ethnic minority political parties, documenting notable differences in party preference in ethnic minority regions, where only 17 percent said they would vote NLD, compared with 25 percent who chose "other party."

Interestingly, the findings indicate that 62 percent of the electorate nationwide feels no party affiliation at all, upping the stakes for a fast-approaching campaign season starting Sept. 8, when parliamentary aspirants from more than 90 political parties will vie for voters' favor.

The survey offered a degree of statistical verification for a long-presumed desire to see opposition leader Suu Kyi as president: Asked to state their preferred president, 26 percent nationwide said Suu Kyi, compared with 16 percent who supported incumbent Thein Sein, though again those declining to answer (54 percent) leave plenty of room for interpretation.

Asked the related question on removing Article 59(f), 36 percent spoke in favor, with 7 percent against and 57 percent declining to answer.

Despite their preference for Suu Kyi, 80 percent of respondents said they were "very" or "somewhat" satisfied with Thein Sein's performance.

Looking ahead to the Nov. 8 vote, one-third of respondents felt the 2015 poll would be "completely free and fair," while only 4 percent thought the opposite, with one-third declining to answer the question.

While the survey broadly found reason for the NLD and other opposition parties to be optimistic about their electoral prospects, the ruling USDP may take comfort in some of its findings.

The military and the president, both of which are closely affiliated with the USDP, were viewed as two of the country's most trusted institutions. Parliament, also stacked with USDP members, earned "a great deal" or "quite a lot" of trust from 43 percent of respondents in total.

Asked whether economic development or democracy was more important, 53 percent said the former, compared with 30 percent who preferred the latter. Unlike the NLD, the ruling USDP can take credit for economic growth and a surge in foreign investment since the lifting of Western sanctions during its term of office.

Unsurprisingly, only 5 percent of respondents said Burma had achieved "full democracy," with fully 73 percent saying democracy in Burma had minor or major problems, or was not a democracy at all.

The wide-ranging survey will offer analytic fodder for Burma researchers across socioeconomic fields of study, but with less than three months until the historic general election, it is the politically weighty data that are likely to attract the most attention in the near term.

The survey adds to a small but growing body of research into public attitudes in a country where reliable statistics are in short supply. Indicative of the dearth of information, it was not until the release of 2014 census data that Burma's long-cited population figure of 60 million was debunked, when it was revealed that just over 51.5 million people were residing in the country.

Asian Barometer Survey worked with the Yangon School of Political Science to conduct the survey from January to March 2015. Its full results are due to be released later this year.

 

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Taung Pyone Readies for Annual Nat Festival

Posted: 24 Aug 2015 02:26 AM PDT

Click to view slideshow.

Despite flooding in some areas of Mandalay after heavy monsoonal rains in recent months, Taung Pyone village, located around 14 km north of the city, is gearing up to celebrate its annual nat (spirit) festival, the largest in the country.

Dozens of glittering shrines dedicated to two slain brothers, known locally as Min Gyi and Min Lay, have been decked out to welcome worshippers for the week-long event which begins on Tuesday.

Shops, restaurants and street stalls selling local delicacies and various trinkets line the village's main road which leads to the shrines dedicated to the brothers' and other spirits.

"Most of the shops are now ready to welcome visitors, since they usually come some days ahead of the festival. Our village will receive thousands of visitors from across the country," said local tea-shop proprietor Mya Mya Aye.

During the nat festival, widely known as Taung Pyone Pwe, the usually quiet village is filled with the sound of drums and music and the hum of chattering crowds. Dancers and devotees flock to the shrines and the scent of flowers, candles and incense fills the air.

Taung Pyone Pwe is held in honor of the two brothers, who, as legend has it, would eventually achieve nat status after their execution at the hands of King Anawrahta. The main shrine to Min Gyi and Min Lay is in the center of the village.

As the story goes, the doomed pair failed to fulfill their duty of each contributing a brick and a handful of sand to a wish-fulfilling pagoda and lost favor with the king.

They are the most popular of the 37 nats deified by the Burmese.

Children who live along the road to Taung Pyone are also planning to join in the revelry, with some help from generous festivalgoers.

"We received about 30,000 kyat during the festival last year," said Aung San Hlaing, a 12-year-old boy from Taung Pyone. "We bought some snacks and candies. We hope we will have fun this year too. Sometimes we go near the nat shrine to dance with our friends. It is so much fun."

Colorful makeshift bamboo huts and small shops have been set up around the normally deserted local train station, in the center of Taung Pyone, ready to greet worshippers traveling by train from Mandalay.

The train leaves from Mandalay's Thaye Zay station, a popular tourist attraction about 1 km north of the city's ancient moat and the site of a buzzing bazaar.

Usually crowded in the early morning until about 10 am, local vendors at the unique bazaar sell local produce on and along the railway track. As the whistle of an incoming train sounds, the vendors draw back their wares to make way.

The cost of a ticket from Thaye Zay station to Taung Pyone is only 100 kyat, with trains leaving every 15 minutes to cover increased demand on the 30-45 minute route.

"We always go to the festival to perform annual rituals and to receive blessings from Min Gyi and Min Lay. If we [didn't go], we would face bad omens," San Htay, a vegetable vendor at Thaye Zay station bazaar, told The Irrawaddy.

Just a few kilometers north of the station, another interesting local tradition is on view during the festival—an earthenware toys fun fair.

Locally produced and colorful, the clay toys draw particular interest from children. The fair is known locally as "Oh Bote Khoe Pwe," which refers to a curious tradition of stealing the earthenware goods on a day regarded as auspicious.

The tradition started decades ago when children would steal the toys from vendors on one particular day during the Burmese month of Wakhaung.

"Stealing is not good, however, it is a tradition to tease the vendors, just for fun" said Htay Htay Win of Mandalay, who accompanied her children to the annual fair. "The children should steal only one or two. The vendors happily shoo them away, sometimes running after the children to make fun."

Although the earthenware items, which vary from kitchen utensils to animal figurines, piggy banks and Pyit Tine Htaung (a bottom-heavy, egg-shaped toy with a painted face that always stays upright), have been eclipsed in popularity by more modern toys in recent years, parents still bring their children to the fair to keep in touch with tradition.

For their part, local vendors are unfazed at seeing their wares disappear if it brings happiness to the young, playacting thieves.

"The stealing does not affect our business as the children, and even some adults, steal just a few toys for fun. We are happy with the tradition as we can share happiness with the children," said toy vendor Nyunt Wai.

"We receive a lot of profit as many children nowadays ask their parents to buy these colorful toys for them. Some adults from other cities also buy the toys as souvenirs. They are not durable but children love to play with them and we are happy to see that," she added.

 

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Turmoil at the Top Prompts Business Uncertainty

Posted: 23 Aug 2015 11:22 PM PDT

06-09-12 Currency - PHOTO - Jpaing Burmese currency

06-09-12 Currency – PHOTO – Jpaing
Burmese currency

RANGOON — In Burma's business environment, where many prominent firms have close ties to officialdom, political developments at the top can have major ramifications for the economy.

It remains to be seen how significantly the political turmoil that recently engulfed Burma's ruling party will play out in Burma's business sector.

When Union Parliament Speaker Shwe Mann was ousted from the leadership of the Union Solidarity and Development Party, local businesses feared the potential economic fallout as the former chairman's two sons are part of a wide business network.

Speculation was rife that the government might probe the Shwe Mann family's business empire, following junta-era strategies of the past in an attempt to discredit the embattled former general.

Almost immediately, the rumors began to spread.

There was speculation that the Ta Za-established Asia Green Development Bank would take a serious hit since Shwe Mann's eldest son Aung Thet Mann was a majority shareholder.

Other companies, including Kanbawza (KBZ) Bank and Air Bagan, were also said to be heading for financial trouble because of their links to Shwe Mann.

Such speculation gained traction after the government forced the closure of Cherry FM, a radio station run by Shwe Mann's daughter-in-law, shortly after the former chairman's removal, prompting theories of a government-led gag order on his family and allies.

Shwe Mann's two sons are well-known businessmen in Burma. Aung Thet Mann is still on the US Treasury Department's blacklist from which Shwe Mann himself was only removed in September, 2012.

Aung Thet Mann is the CEO of Ayer Shwe Wah which received lucrative government contracts to supply fertilizers to farmers throughout the delta. His brother Toe Naing Mann owns Red Link Communications.

There are always economic implications after political turmoil, said Dr Soe Tun, the chairman of the Automobile Importers Association.

"We've experienced this in the past, after reshuffles or a change in politics, businesses related to affected officials usually fall down," he said.

A pertinent past example is the case of Burma's former prime minister and spy chief Khin Nyunt. Following his arrest in 2004, authorities moved in on his family's business operations, including Bagan Cybertech of which his son, Ye Naing Win, was chief executive officer.

Khin Nyunt was subsequently accused of corruption. The general most vocally pressing that charge was the junta's then third most powerful figure, Shwe Mann.

Khin Nyunt's actions "could have led to the disintegration of the Tatmadaw [Burma's armed forces] and posed extreme danger for the country," Shwe Mann was quoted as saying at the time.

Dr Soe Tun said times have now changed and businesses involved in legal dealings should not be unfairly targeted due to their links to power.

"Now the political situation has changed, it should be like it was in the past. If a company is in a good line of business, even if it is related to such [high-ranking] people, the government should not mete out the same treatment as before," he said.

Provided firms pay regular taxes, create jobs and have a modicum of transparency, they should not be punished, Dr Soe Tun said.

"Who knows who is behind some businesses? [Shwe Man's family] might be linked with many other businessmen. Our country's businesses are actually dependent on them in a way that is not [evident] in other countries," he added.

Myat Thin Aung, chairman of Hlaing Tharyar Industrial Zone, said economic ramifications had always followed high-level political shifts in Burma, hitting not only the business sector but also the population at large.

"People who are close to government or are relatives of officials have good opportunities in business. They have many business links to each other," he said.

Sean Turnell, an Associate Professor in Economics at Sydney's Macquarie University, said firms with links to Shwe Mann would be anxious in the current climate.

"Financial markets hate instability of any form, and of late [Burma's] has been at the serious end of concerns," he said.

"I think it is not in as good shape as the government would have wanted. The wheels have fallen off rather and the reform narrative is looking decidedly ragged. Time for a reboot."

Current economic anxieties in Burma come on the back of a weak kyat that has been in steady decline against the US dollar since May. Consequently, demand for the dollar has increased and the Myanmar Central Bank has been forced to lessen reliance on black market currency trading by selling US dollars to private exchange counters.

Senior researcher Tin Maung Than of the Myanmar Development Resource Institute said Burma's economy was particularly vulnerable when shifts in the political landscape occurred. Good business conduct had yet to be established, he said.

"There is no rule of law if there are no established [modes of] conduct and institutions. If there is no institutional governance… the economy will be impacted whenever political turmoil arises," he added.

The post Turmoil at the Top Prompts Business Uncertainty appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

Thai Police Fear Bangkok Bombing Suspect May Have Fled

Posted: 23 Aug 2015 10:06 PM PDT

A digital billboard showing a sketch of the main suspect in last Monday's attack on Erawan shrine in Bangkok. (Photo: Chaiwat Subprasom / Reuters)

A digital billboard showing a sketch of the main suspect in last Monday’s attack on Erawan shrine in Bangkok. (Photo: Chaiwat Subprasom / Reuters)

BANGKOK — Despite new surveillance video that may offer a possible clue to the bombing in central Bangkok that killed 20 people, Thai police said Sunday that the perpetrators may have already fled the country, and that they will “need some luck” to catch them.

Surveillance video leaked to Thai media shows a man in a blue shirt placing a bag on a riverside walkway, then kicking it into the water on Monday night shortly after the explosion several kilometers away at the downtown Erawan shrine. About 18 hours later, at 1 pm Tuesday, an explosion took place at the same spot near a busy pier, causing no casualties.

Col. Winthai Suvaree, a spokesman for Thailand’s ruling junta, also said that closed circuit television showing the main bombing suspect was used to trace the route he took to and from the site of Monday evening’s rush-hour attack. He said that a police sketch of the suspect had been distributed to border posts.

Police spokesman Prawut Thawornsiri said he believes the perpetrator would have timed an escape carefully and “wouldn’t have much time to stay around.”

“I suspect that he may have left, but we will keep searching, in case we can find others who may be in the country or find clues, evidence and witnesses who may have seen him,” he told Channel 3 TV network.

Police have offered a reward that on Friday was raised to 3 million baht (US$85,000). On a police arrest warrant, the suspect is described as a “foreign man,” although a military spokesman said a connection to international terrorism seemed unlikely.

Thailand’s police chief Somyot Poompanmoung said investigators would need some luck to catch those behind the attack.

“I have to say we need some luck. If the police have good fortune, we might be able to make an arrest, but…if the perpetrator has good fortune maybe they can get away,” he told reporters Sunday after a ceremonial show of security strength meant in part to reassure the public over safety.

Meanwhile, authorities have arrested two people for allegedly spreading “false information,” apparently in connection with the shrine bombing.

A student who posted a bomb threat on Facebook was arrested in Ayutthaya on Saturday and was charged with a computer crime that is punishable by up to five years in jail and a fine of 100,000 baht ($2,800), Winthai said. He did not give details of the second arrest except to say it happened in Bangkok. Ayutthaya is about 80 kilometers (50 miles) north of Bangkok.

Winthai said the two people were arrested for spreading “false information causing confusion in society,” but did not say whether their posts were directly linked to the bombing.

So far the operation to find who carried out the attack appears to have made little headway, with apparently contradictory statements coming from the military-backed government and the police.

Theories abound as to who was responsible for the attack.

They include ethnic Uighurs angry that Thailand repatriated to China more than 100 of their countrymen who had fled from there; Islamic separatists who have been carrying out an insurgency in southern Thailand for a decade; frustrated supporters of former Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra angry at the military government that opposes his return to politics; and rival factions within the army contending for power.

 

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As North, South Korea Hold Marathon Crisis Talks, Seoul Talks Tough

Posted: 23 Aug 2015 09:55 PM PDT

North Korean soldier films as British Foreign Secretary Philip Hammond (obscured) visits the truce village of Panmunjom in the demilitarized zone (DMZ) separating the two Koreas, South Korea, August 11, 2015. (Photo: Reuters)

North Korean soldier films as British Foreign Secretary Philip Hammond (obscured) visits the truce village of Panmunjom in the demilitarized zone (DMZ) separating the two Koreas, South Korea, August 11, 2015. (Photo: Reuters)

SEOUL — South Korean President Park Geun-hye talked tough on Monday, demanding that North Korea apologize over a recent landmine incident, even as the bitter rivals held marathon negotiations in a bid to defuse tensions that have brought the peninsula to the brink of armed conflict.

Park said anti-North propaganda broadcasts would continue unless Pyongyang took responsibility for landmine explosions early this month that wounded two South Korean soldiers in the Demilitarized Zone (DMZ) separating the two countries.

North Korea denies it laid the mines.

The incident has escalated into a crisis that saw both sides exchange artillery fire on Thursday and ramp up their military readiness. The United Nations, the United States and the North's lone major ally, China, have all called for calm.

"We need a clear apology and measures to prevent a recurrence of these provocations and tense situations," Park told a meeting with her top aides, according to a statement released by her office. "Otherwise, this government will take appropriate steps and continue loudspeaker broadcasts."

Seoul and Washington were reviewing the possibility of bringing in "strategic" US military assets, South Korean Defense Ministry spokesman Kim Min-seok said, without elaborating.

During a standoff two years ago when the North threatened military action in response to joint exercises by US and South Korean forces, the United States flew stealth bombers over the peninsula and sent an aircraft carrier to the area.

"Our position at this point is to deter the North's provocation," Kim told a news briefing. "But if they wage provocation, our response will be merciless and they will truly feel sorry."

North Korea had deployed twice the usual artillery strength at the border and had around 50 submarines away from base, the South's defense ministry said.

Marathon Talks

North Korea's state media has also kept up its anti-South rhetoric as the inter-Korean talks continued at the Panmunjom truce village inside the DMZ.

The negotiations began on Saturday evening, shortly after North Korea's deadline passed for Seoul to halt the anti-Pyongyang propaganda broadcasts or face military action. They broke up before dawn on Sunday and restarted that afternoon.

The delegates were "continuing talks for long hours in the midst of the critical situation" on the peninsula, Min Kyung-wook, a spokesman for South Korea's presidential Blue House, told reporters, without giving details.

Yoo Ho-yeol, a professor of North Korean studies at Korea University in Seoul, said the unusually long session was a good sign.

"They are not talking for the sake of a breakdown but for the sake of agreement. There must be a lot of fine-tuning and convincing between the two parties," Yoo said.

Park's national security adviser, Kim Kwan-jin, and Unification Minister Hong Yong-pyo are representing the South in the talks. Hwang Pyong So, the top military aide to the North's leader, Kim Jong Un, and Kim Yang Gon, a veteran North Korean official in inter-Korean affairs, are representing Pyongyang.

Ties have been virtually frozen since the 2010 sinking of a South Korean warship, which Seoul has blamed on a North Korean submarine. Pyongyang denies responsibility.

Days after the landmine incident, Seoul began its propaganda broadcasts in random three-hour bursts from 11 banks of loudspeakers, including news reports and K-pop music from the South, resuming a tactic both sides halted in 2004.

The crisis escalated on Thursday when the North fired four shells into the South, according to Seoul, which responded with a barrage of 29 artillery rounds. North Korea declared a "quasi-state of war" in front-line areas and set an ultimatum for Seoul to halt its broadcasts.

That deadline passed on Saturday without any reported incident.

The United States, which has 28,500 soldiers based in South Korea, is conducting annual joint military exercises with the South. North Korea regularly condemns the maneuvers as a preparation for war.

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Malaysia Finds 24 More Bodies of Human Trafficking Victims

Posted: 23 Aug 2015 09:31 PM PDT

 Malaysian police carry a coffin with unidentified remains of Rohingya people found at a traffickers camp in May, on June 22, 2015. (Photo: Reuters)

Malaysian police carry a coffin with unidentified remains of Rohingya people found at a traffickers camp in May, on June 22, 2015. (Photo: Reuters)

KUALA LUMPUR — Malaysian police said on Sunday that they have found 24 more bodies of suspected human trafficking victims in jungles bordering Thailand.

Authorities said in May that they had discovered 139 suspected graves in abandoned jungle camps in the northern Malaysian state of Perlis, a remote area bordering Thailand that trafficking syndicates were using as a transit point.

Most of the victims were believed to be from Burma's persecuted Rohingya minority or impoverished migrants from Bangladesh.

Police said in a brief statement on Sunday that 24 bodies were discovered this past week, in addition to 106 bodies found earlier. The bodies have been sent for autopsy, the statement said. No further details were available.

The discoveries in northern Malaysia followed similar revelations earlier in May in Thailand, where police unearthed 36 bodies from shallow graves in seven abandoned camps on the Thai side of the border.

The discoveries have exposed hidden networks of jungle camps run by human smugglers, who have for years held countless desperate people captive while extorting ransoms from their families. Most of the victims were part of a wave of people who fled their homelands to reach countries like Malaysia, where they hoped to find work or live freely.

Human rights groups and activists say the area along the Thai-Malaysia border has been used for years to smuggle migrants and refugees, including Rohingya Muslims.

In many cases, they pay human smugglers thousands of dollars for passage, but are instead held for weeks or months while traffickers extort more money from their families. Rights groups say some have been beaten to death, and The Associated Press has documented other cases in which people have been enslaved on fishing boats.

 

 

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Displaced Families Face Hardship in Kachin ‘Model Village’

Posted: 23 Aug 2015 07:26 PM PDT

 

A schoolgirl and friend ride on a bicycle in the Kachin State village of NgwePyawon Aug. 7. (Photo: HkunLat/Myanmar Now)

A schoolgirl and friend ride on a bicycle in the Kachin State village of Ngwe Pyawon Aug. 7. (Photo: Hkun Lat / Myanmar Now)

MYITKYINA — Situated along a muddy dirt road that winds through southern Kachin State's lush green hills, Ngwe Pyaw Model Village can only be reached after a bumpy, 90-minute car ride from the state capital Myitkyina.

Ngwe Pyaw, which means 'wealthy village' in Burmese, was founded by the government in May 2014 as a pilot resettlement site, but it is wealthy only in name as the 283 displaced families here struggle to get by due to its isolation, a lack of fertile farmland and livelihood opportunities.

"We can get day labor jobs only three or four days per month and the wages are paid a few days later," Lei Wai Khaing, a 27-year-old ethnic Kachin, told Myanmar Now. She explained that villagers eke out a living by working irregular jobs such as motorbike taxi drivers, rubber plantation laborers and crafting jewelry from locally mined amber.

Many of the family members are separated as some are forced to seek jobs in Myitkyina, or even further away in major cities like Mandalay and Rangooon, the commercial capital in lower Burma.

"My daughter sometimes goes to Rangoon to sell pieces of amber, leaving my granddaughter with me at the village," said Khin Cho Kyi, 54, who earns some money from doing laundry in the village and from collecting firewood in the surrounding hills. She uses it to support a family of three.

"My younger sister became disabled after a car accident so I cannot leave her to work in the town," said Lei Wai Khaing, whose family includes a sister suffering from a stroke.

At the site—built in a clearing of shrub forest on red, laterite soil where few crops can grow—the families live in simple houses made of bamboo and corrugated-iron roofs on 12-by-18 meter plots. There are three ponds to supply them with water, while one dispensary provides medicine to the community.

"Although villagers do not need to worry about shelter, they are still concerned about food and income," said village head Aung Swe, who added that the homes were rickety and vulnerable to heavy rains and gusts of wind.

Pilot Project

The government funded the model village as a pilot project that offers a temporary resettlement alternative to the camps for civilians who have been displaced by the Kachin conflict in northern Burma.

Now in its fourth year, the war has caused some 120,000 people to flee their homes in hundreds of villages in Kachin State and northern Shan State. About half of them live in camps in government-controlled areas, while the remainder live in camps in Kachin Independence Army-controlled parts, according to the UN Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (UN OCHA).

UN agencies and international aid groups have been supporting the displaced in government-controlled areas, but aid to those in rebel areas has been limited due to government restrictions on access.

At Ngwe Pyaw, families receive around $11 per month in household income support from international aid organizations, according to UNOCHA in Burma.

The residents—a mix of ethnic Kachin, Shan and some Burmese—used to live in camps, and before that they fled their villages in Waingmaw, Thargaya, Myitkyina, Nant Saram and Mai Na townships in 2011.

Khin Cho Kyi recalled how she barely escaped Saram Village in Waingmaw Township, where she owned a teashop, when mortar shells landed close by in June 2011. "I ran from my village under life-threatening conditions and I could not bring any belongings," she told Myanmar Now.

Government officials could not be reached for comment on the model village project and Kachin aid workers said it remains unclear whether more were being planned.

Khon Jha, an activist with the Kachin Peace Network, said the model village established at Ngwe Pyaw offered some improvement in living conditions  for the displaced civilians, but she stressed it was only a temporary solution for the long-suffering families.

"The establishment of this village is good for the displaced people. But it is more crucial to ensure that they can go back to their native villages, which can happen only if the fighting between ethnic armed groups and the government stops," she told Myanmar Now.

This article originally appeared on Myanmar Now.

 

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Fukuyama’s Flawed Take on Burma

Posted: 23 Aug 2015 07:14 PM PDT

 

Francis Fukuyama, academic and author of The End of History and the Last Man, at the Phandeeyar offices in Rangoon on Wednesday. (Photo: Tin Htet Paing / The Irrawaddy)

Francis Fukuyama, academic and author of The End of History and the Last Man, at the Phandeeyar offices in Rangoon on Wednesday. (Photo: Tin Htet Paing / The Irrawaddy)

Over the past year I have worked alongside indigenous ethnic communities from Burma who fled mass atrocities committed by the central government and military. Despite violence and repression, these communities have built up incredible civil society organizations, and are tirelessly advocating for peace, justice, and human rights. But the international community is not listening. When foreign experts come to Burma, they usually focus on only one thing: foreign investment. Political theorist Francis Fukuyama is only the most recent in a long line of academics, development professionals, and ambassadors to ignore the calls of ethnic activists in order to promote neoliberal economic policies as the cure for Burma's failing transition to democracy.

In an interview published earlier this month by The Irrawaddy, Professor Fukuyama remarked that economic reforms should be prioritized over seeking justice for past abuses. While this approach may jive with zoomed-out political science models of democratic transition, it is utterly inconsistent with the needs of Burma's war-torn ethnic communities. Fukuyama seems to be forgetting that violent conflict in Burma is far from over. Just before Fukuyama's visit, the Myanmar Peace Monitor reported 31 armed clashes and more than 2,000 new internally displaced persons in the month of July alone, despite the government's purported commitment to pursue a Nationwide Ceasefire Accord (NCA). These ethnic communities—who have endured torched villages, rape, forced labor, and arbitrary killings at the hands of Burma's military—deserve genuine peace and for perpetrators to be held accountable for war crimes.

That is why ethnic civil society activists are so urgently calling for peace and justice in Burma—to end the suffering and begin the healing process for millions of refugees and conflict-affected people. Fukuyama seems to be telling these activists to cool it and wait quietly while economic reforms take hold. Meanwhile, Burma's military continues to undermine the peace process and launch massive military offensives, often targeting civilians, in Kachin, Shan, and Karen states.

Even worse, the economic reforms Fukuyama so eagerly recommends would only serve to further enrich the generals and cronies responsible for mass atrocities and human rights violations, and entrench the centralized control of a deeply undemocratic government. But he does present a convenient way to root out the cronies: investment from a company like General Motors. According to his analysis, foreign investment, specifically competition from American companies, will magically force the cronies to fold, leading to economic growth which will then lead to democracy. However, Fukuyama has grossly misinterpreted Burma's crony-capitalist system. It's not that military cronies operate specific sectors (i.e. the auto industry)—it's that they control the entire economy. And as Coca Cola recently found out when its links to the notorious jade business were revealed, no matter how much "due diligence" is done for business in Burma, enriching a crony is inevitable.

Let's imagine an American company comes to open a factory in Burma. Their executives might fly there on Air Bagan, originally owned by blacklisted crony Tay Za. They'll arrive at the new international terminal and purchase an office block at Hledan Center, both constructed and operated by Asia World, a crony company founded by one of Burma’s most notorious drug kingpins Lo Hsing Han. They might buy land that was confiscated from villagers by KMA Group, and use Max Myanmar cement to build their factory, profiting regime favorites Khin Maung Aye and Zaw Zaw. They might have no choice but to purchase electricity produced by a dam that flooded the homes of thousands of villagers without their consent, built by crony company IGE (a firm run by the sons of the late industry minister and alleged Depayin massacre mastermind Aung Thaung). Burma's cronies aren't afraid of foreign investment; they've been planning for it, knowing it will line their pockets with American cash.

Perhaps most troubling is Fukuyama's recommendation that Burma needs a technocratic brains trust to design its economic reforms, inspired by the Berkeley Mafia in Indonesia and the Chicago Boys in Chile. The privatization, deregulation, and liberalization policies of the Chicago Boys and Berkeley Mafia may have spurred "economic growth", but they also propped up the brutal Pinochet and Suharto regimes. Their failed neoliberal policies led to ongoing rampant, unsustainable natural resource extraction in both Chile and Indonesia, causing devastating environmental damage and dispossessing indigenous peoples from their land and livelihoods.

Is Fukuyama really suggesting that Burma should emulate this model? If so, the country stands poised to make the same mistakes, welcoming a flood of foreign investment and resource extraction, without adequate safeguards for the environment or human rights. Burma's indigenous peoples are already being forcefully displaced from their land by foreign investment in palm oil, rubber, dams, roads, mines, and industrial zones—all in the name of economic growth. And without political agreements between the government and ethnic groups for how decision-making power and the benefits of development will be shared under a decentralized, federal system, increased foreign investment is likely to derail the fragile peace process and lead to more violent conflict.

Fukuyama's recommendations for Burma—holding off on justice, increasing foreign investment, and recruiting a neoliberal brains trust—are packaged as a prescription for achieving a liberal democracy, but are actually only the key ingredients for a liberal economy. Economic growth might bring some benefits for the people of Burma, but not before a full peace agreement is reached, ethnic grievances resolved through political dialogue, human rights and environmental safeguards implemented in policy and practice, and justice achieved for conflict-affected communities. If foreign investment continues without these crucial steps, it will only exacerbate poverty, displacement, environmental destruction, and conflict, further stalling Burma's tenuous path to democracy.

Fukuyama himself admits he is not very knowledgeable about Burma, and he is just one of many influential figures touting foreign investment as the key to the country's transition. Those who wish to see meaningful change in Burma would do well to cut through this brand of obsolete neoliberal rhetoric, and instead listen to the voices of local people who have suffered for so long. After all, true democracy in Burma will only come from the people, not from the military-controlled government. And the people of Burma are urgently calling for peace and justice—only then can they begin to build a sustainable and inclusive economy.

Jared Naimark is an International Public Service Fellow from Stanford University working for human rights and environmental justice in Burma.

 

The post Fukuyama's Flawed Take on Burma appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

National News

National News


Fresh opposition for relaunched ‘new city’

Posted: 23 Aug 2015 08:48 PM PDT

A controversial Yangon expansion plan is again being picked apart in parliament for a lack of transparency over who will build it.

Sitting MP blocked from running again

Posted: 23 Aug 2015 08:33 PM PDT

The Union Election Commission has blocked a serving MP – a self-described Rohingya from Rakhine State – from standing as a candidate in the November 8 election.

Campaign season arrives early on the outskirts of Yangon

Posted: 23 Aug 2015 08:29 PM PDT

Has the campaign period begun? While the Union Election Commission is yet to announce the formal start of campaigning, the National League for Democracy certainly thinks so.

NLD bans candidates from speaking to media

Posted: 23 Aug 2015 08:27 PM PDT

The National League for Democracy has barred its candidates from speaking to the media or participating in public debates, the second such gag order the party has issued since gearing up for the elections.

Police charge junior engineer over fire at MEC gas factory

Posted: 23 Aug 2015 08:21 PM PDT

Senior officials from a military-owned gas factory have escaped police charges over an explosion and fire on August 21.

Graffiti students launch hunger strike

Posted: 23 Aug 2015 08:19 PM PDT

Four students facing charges for allegedly spraying criticism of the National Education Law on the front of Mandalay's Yadanarpon University.

EU signs deal to observe election

Posted: 23 Aug 2015 08:18 PM PDT

The European Union said on August 21 that it has agreed to send observers to historic upcoming Myanmar elections in an effort to "strengthen democracy".

Displaced families face fresh hardships

Posted: 23 Aug 2015 08:13 PM PDT

A 'model village' built by the government offers little improvement in living standards for several hundred families displaced by conflict in Kachin State.

Speaker bids tearful farewell to Zeyathiri

Posted: 23 Aug 2015 07:39 PM PDT

After weeks of high-stakes political battles, Thura U Shwe Mann makes symbolic visit to military-dominated constituency to highlight his grassroots support.

Shan Herald Agency for News

Shan Herald Agency for News


RCSS vows not to support any parties

Posted: 24 Aug 2015 05:10 AM PDT

The Restoration Council of Shan State/Shan State Army (RCSS/SSA) representatives meeting the people in more than half of the townships in Shan State told them it is not taking sides in the upcoming November polls, according to a 353 page report, a copy of which was read by to SHAN.



The 19 strong delegation, made up of 6 males and 13 females, had made a month long tour of 39 towns in 35 townships (2 of them in Mandalay Region), 21 June-22 July.

"We are not siding with any parties," said Lt-Col Sai Harn, leader of the delegation. "We will not persuade anyone to cast votes for any candidates. And we will not consider setting up any political parties until the 2008 constitution is amended."

Not a few had thought since its sister organization, the Shan State Progress Party/Shan State Army (SSPP/SSA), is allied to the Shan Nationalities League for Democracy (SNLD), it was natural RCSS/SSA would be supporting either it or its rival Shan Nationalities Democratic Party (SNDP).

Many had also complained why the two parties were making it hard for them to decide. Thousands last year had signed a petition urging them to merge, only to be turned down by both.

 "We want them to be a single party," one of the participants was quoted as saying, "Now we don't know which party to vote."

Others were critical of the inability of each party to bend. The main contentious point is the SNLD's 8 states stand (1 Burman and 7 non Burman) and the SNDP's 14 states (7 Burman and 7 non Burman) stand.

"Aung San had promised Burmese 1 Kyat and Shan 1 Kyat," the standard argument from the SNLD says."So if we accept the 14 state configuration, it'll be Burmese 7 Kyat and Shan 1 Kyat. Yielding to it is a traitorous act."

The RCSS/SSA, after trying to reconcile the two warring parties last October, gave up. "It is a matter of priorities," Sao Yawdserk, leader of the RCSS/SSA explained. "We want them to be one party, but they can't. On the other hand, both are willing to negotiate with Naypyitaw on a state-based platform by co-founding the Committee for Shan State Unity (CSSU). In my opinion, that should come first."

One RCSS/SSA leader, who requests anonymity, said, "If outsiders are worried about the RCSS/SSA taking sides, they should be when there was only one Shan party. But now that there are 3 Shan parties, and we can't support any party without hurting the CSSU cause, they can very well count us out."

According to the said report, the people are mostly concerned with issues that directly affect their day-to-day life: drug abuse, land confiscation, children's education, coal mining, deforestation, taxation, recruitment of new fighters, extrajudicial killings, and continued fighting despite ceasefire being signed.

Other issues discussed at the public consultations include constitutional amendment, dam projects on the Salween and the Wa demand for a separate statehood, among others.

Sunday, August 23, 2015

The Irrawaddy Magazine

The Irrawaddy Magazine


After Failed Attempts to Remove Rival, Thein Sein Used Force

Posted: 22 Aug 2015 10:28 PM PDT

Shwe Mann, center, speaker of Union Parliament and Lower House, greets locals in the constituency in which he will be contesting in the general election in Pyu Township, Pegu Division, on Aug. 22, 2015. (Photo: Reuters)

Shwe Mann, center, speaker of Union Parliament and Lower House, greets locals in the constituency in which he will be contesting in the general election in Pyu Township, Pegu Division, on Aug. 22, 2015. (Photo: Reuters)

NAYPYIDAW / RANGOON — Burma's President Thein Sein had tried and failed at least twice before to topple his arch-rival Shwe Mann, but when armed police burst into the headquarters of the country's ruling party late on Aug. 12 he finally succeeded.

Police piled the mobile phones and computers from those inside on a desk and then stood by as the president's supporters met to enact an order from the president to replace Shwe Mann as chairman of the Union Solidarity and Development Party (USDP).

By reasserting his grip on the party, Thein Sein boosted his own prospects of retaining the presidency, while dampening optimism among those inside and outside Burma who hope for a quickening of reforms after an election in November.

"I heard people coming in and when I looked up from the computer I was surrounded by half a dozen armed guards," said one person who was inside the building when the police entered, declining to be identified due to concern for personal safety.

"They did not draw their weapons. It's obvious they didn't want anybody to communicate to the outside world."

Shwe Mann was not there, and the lockdown ensured neither he nor his allies could make any countermoves during the crucial hours in which the president's supporters were taking control of the party.

The maneuver, which had echoes of the purges of Burma's junta-ruled recent past, effectively took Shwe Mann out of the running for the presidency less than three months before the country's first free general election in decades.

Advisers told Reuters that it also derailed a plan the deposed party chairman was poised to announce that may have included a speedier transition to full democracy.

Thein Sein, meanwhile, has cleared the way to either remain president himself or to impose a candidate of his choosing, if his party can form a majority coalition after the vote.

A former top-ranking general in a party dominated by retired military men, Shwe Mann was no radical reformist. But he had become a stronger voice for reform in the party and was working on a wide-ranging policy document that may have broadened the scope and pace of reforms, advisors said.

He drew the suspicion of the president's faction by building ties with their nemesis, Nobel laureate Aung San Suu Kyi.

"There was an internal crisis in the party," Information Minister and spokesman for the president Ye Htut told Reuters. "This kind of leadership change is not a good thing for the USDP or any other political party. They did it as a last resort."

Shwe Mann's office has declined requests from Reuters for an interview since his ousting.

Era of Reform

Thein Sein ushered in the reforms since 2011 that have made resource-rich Burma a partial democracy after almost half a century of isolation and military rule, but many feel the reform process has stalled.

The sacking of Shwe Mann, who has made no secret of his ambition to become president, was another blow to international and domestic confidence in that process.

In interviews with members of the ruling party, advisers to the USDP and diplomats, Reuters has learned that the president had failed at least twice to unseat Shwe Mann from the position of party chairman through backstage machinations.

Shwe Mann and his allies blocked two previous attempts to oust him at leadership meetings—one in December and another in May—a party adviser and a Western diplomat told Reuters.

Both meetings ended in stalemate after the two factions jousted over who should be the presidential candidate and chairman, and the party's list of election candidates, the sources said.

"These attempts have been going on since last year," said Win Oo, a rank-and-file USDP lawmaker supportive of the ousted chairman, although he said he was unaware of the details.

Emboldened, Shwe Mann used his position as speaker of the Lower House of Parliament in an increasingly assertive push to become the country's leading presidential candidate.

He antagonized the military by backing Suu Kyi's campaign to change the Constitution, which grants unelected members of the armed forces a quarter of the seats in Parliament.

That was a red flag for hardliners, already facing the prospect of Suu Kyi's National League for Democracy (NLD) winning the lion's share of contested seats in November's poll.

"The hardliners from the military and the president strongly disliked his effort to amend the Constitution," said one USDP lawmaker, who was at party headquarters when the security forces locked it down, speaking on condition of anonymity.

"Shwe Mann had been trying to reform the USDP and the military ordered him to stop."

Divisions worsened after the death in July of ex-colonel and USDP disciplinarian Aung Thaung, who was seen as a restraining influence on the ambitious Shwe Mann.

Aung Thaung was an ally of Shwe Mann but retained a strong relationship with both the president and the military. With him gone, the knives came out.

Some members of the USDP executive committee sent Thein Sein a letter a few weeks ago voicing concerns about Shwe Mann's policies and the party's decision-making process, Ye Htut said.

Tensions rose further the day before Shwe Mann was sacked, when the USDP's parliamentary candidates list omitted the majority of a group of around 150 officers who retired from military service to run for Parliament.

It is unclear what role the country's powerful military played in the downfall of Shwe Mann, but they must have acquiesced to the use of force, political observers say.

An order to deploy police would need approval by Home Affairs Minister Maj-Gen Ko Ko. The ministry is one of the three allotted to the armed forces under the military-drafted Constitution.

"What they did was a demonstration of power," said USDP lawmaker Win Oo. "Showing to others, 'watch out, we can do this.'"

The post After Failed Attempts to Remove Rival, Thein Sein Used Force appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

Saturday, August 22, 2015

The Irrawaddy Magazine

The Irrawaddy Magazine


USDP Sends Message of Unity After Vote Exposes Rift

Posted: 22 Aug 2015 01:31 AM PDT

Left to right: Than Tun, Pike Htwe and Maung Maung Htay, spokepersons for the Union Solidarity and Development Party (USDP), speak to the media during a news conference attheir party headquarters in Naypyidaw on Aug. 13, 2015. (Photo: Reuters)

Left to right: Than Tun, Pike Htwe and Maung Maung Htay, spokepersons for the Union Solidarity and Development Party (USDP), speak to the media during a news conference attheir party headquarters in Naypyidaw on Aug. 13, 2015. (Photo: Reuters)

RANGOON — Burma's ruling party on Saturday appealed for unity, saying its ousted party chief would stay "faithful," after a parliamentary vote exposed a rift in the ruling bloc, amid the biggest political shake-up since the end of military rule.

President Thein Sein last week sacked his ambitious rival Shwe Mann before party headquarters were sealed off with police trucks in the middle of the night, sparking worries about Burma's first free elections in 25 years set for Nov. 8.

The November election, seen as a crucial test of the country's reforms, is expected to be won by opposition leader Aung Suu Kyi's National League for Democracy (NLD), but she is banned from becoming president under the military-drafted Constitution.

Shwe Mann, who has stayed on as the speaker of the Lower House, fought back on Thursday, when his supporters across the political spectrum rejected a controversial bill that could have led to his impeachment.

The vote underscored the former general's sway among rank-and-file lawmakers and exposed divisions in the ruling Union Solidarity and Development Party (USDP), whose regular MPs were angered by the way in which Shwe Mann was removed from the leadership.

"I understand there are some people in our party who prefer Shwe Mann and are disappointed about the way this happened," Tin Naing Thein, the USDP's new secretary general, told reporters at party headquarters in the capital Naypyidaw.

"All of us are colleagues who have worked together for many years," he added. "So even if the leadership changes, I believe we are still united."

Under the recall bill opposed by Shwe Mann and Suu Kyi, lawmakers would lose their seats if 1 percent of constituents signed a petition to recall them and the election commission found the complaint against them justified.

In a rare close vote on Thursday, lawmakers postponed the discussion on the bill until the next session of Parliament, which will come after the November election.

Shwe Mann has openly voiced his presidential ambitions and has forged a close relationship with the charismatic Nobel laureate Suu Kyi. The two last met after Shwe Mann's ouster, right before the reopening of Parliament this week.

Asked whether he was worried about Shwe Mann's next steps, Tin Naing Thein said, "We are not worried about his response at all. We believe that he's a trustworthy person."

"This man will be faithful to his country and his party."

The post USDP Sends Message of Unity After Vote Exposes Rift appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

2015 Election: The Countdown Begins

Posted: 21 Aug 2015 08:21 PM PDT

A young man peers through voter lists at a Yangon polling station. (Photo: Reuters)

A young man peers through voter lists at a Yangon polling station. (Photo: Reuters)

RANGOON — In recent times, general elections in Myanmar have been cursed. The results of the 1990 election were annulled by the previous military regime after the main opposition party, the National League for Democracy (NLD), won in a landslide.

The following national election held in 2010 was rigged to favor the military-backed Union Solidarity and Development Party (USDP), with reports of widespread voting irregularities.

Both elections failed to usher in the much-needed democratic reforms yearned for by the vast majority of Myanmar citizens.

Whether or not the upcoming national election on November 8 will be similarly blighted is still a burning question among Myanmar voters amid their collective electoral trauma.

But major impediments to holding a free, fair and credible vote remain, not least of which is the country's military-drafted 2008 Constitution.

Article 59(f) of the Constitution bars popular opposition leader Daw Aung San Suu Kyi from becoming president, regardless of the electoral outcome in November. The charter also reserves 25 percent of parliamentary seats for military appointees, effectively providing them with a veto over major amendments to the Constitution—which require a 75 percent majority of parliamentary votes.

The military's political role is further cemented by a constitutional provision mandating that the ministers of Defense, Home Affairs and Border Affairs, be army appointees.

Furthermore, the Union Election Commission (UEC), tasked with organizing and overseeing the nationwide poll, is chaired by a former military general who is also a former lawmaker with the ruling USDP.

But despite these undemocratic restrictions, the expectation of a transparent electoral process lingers on for Myanmar people.

One positive of recent times was the handling of the 2012 by-election, broadly considered to be a credible poll, in which the NLD won 43 of the 44 constituencies it contested. The ruling USDP claimed a solitary seat of the 45 constituencies on offer.

However critics contended that President U Thein Sein's government had needed to hold a fair poll, which saw Daw Aung San Suu Kyi win a seat in the legislature, in order to convince skeptics, at home and abroad, that the reform process was genuine.

Nevertheless, the by-election was one small but encouraging step in the country's slow-burning transition to democracy and likely encouraged many political parties to contest the 2015 national election.

The 2012 result was also clear proof of the wide support for Daw Aung San Suu Kyi and the NLD—a serious concern for the ruling party. If this year's election is similarly credible, the NLD and other pro-democracy parties are likely to perform strongly.

With greater numbers in Parliament, the NLD and other ethnic political parties will be able to push for legislative changes that benefit Myanmar's citizens.

It remains difficult, however, to foresee radical changes, particularly to the Constitution, considering the ongoing presence of a military bloc in Parliament. The main, self-ascribed duty of these unelected MPs is to defend the 2008 charter recently described by The Economist as an "army-drafted monstrosity."

With a more diverse Union Parliament expected following the election, the military is perhaps even more unlikely to relinquish its political foothold. Any return to the barracks would take time.

Thus, the post-election period will be as delicate as it will be crucial. If the democratic opposition and ethnic parties win a parliamentary majority, all eyes will turn to the USDP and the military as to whether they accept the result.

Myanmar people don't want to relive the bitter experience of the 1990 election.

Even with a new government formed in 2016, a genuine dialogue between key political and military leaders will be necessary to address the country's myriad challenges.

Until now, the incumbent president U Thein Sein has shown little interest in such a dialogue. Talks held in recent months between the president, the army chief, parliamentary speakers, an ethnic representative and Daw Aung San Suu Kyi, were merely superficial.

Like it or not, the result of the upcoming election will have a direct impact on every individual in Myanmar and on the country's foreign relations.

The result will shape Myanmar's future, though it may not herald the radical political shift that many have fought—and died—for.

Party Lines: Between Hope and Realism

The Irrawaddy's San Yamin Aung speaks with representatives of five political parties about their hopes and plans for the polls.

 

NATIONAL LEAGUE FOR DEMOCRACY (NLD)

DAW NAN KHIN HTWE MYINT, Central Executive Committee member

Founded in 1988, Myanmar's largest opposition party led by Daw Aung San Suu Kyi won more than 80 percent of seats in the 1990 general election—the results of which were annulled by the ruling junta. The NLD boycotted the country's last general election in 2010 but participated in 2012 by-elections, winning 43 of the 44 seats it contested.

Daw Aung San Suu Kyi walks in Warheinkha village during door-to-door visits for a voter education campaign on July 4, 2015. (Photo: Reuters)

Daw Aung San Suu Kyi walks in Warheinkha village during door-to-door visits for a voter education campaign on July 4, 2015. (Photo: Reuters)

EXPECTATIONS

"Everyone wants real change from the 2015 election. To achieve that, I think we all need to support one large democratic force. I hope pro-democracy forces will win in the coming election."

CHALLENGES

"We have found many errors in the voter lists. Even my name didn't appear in the voter list in my constituency. And in some places, the collaboration between the sub-election commissions is weak. As with widespread cheating with advance votes in past elections, it is a risk for us if half of the voter lists include the wrong data."

STRATEGY

"We have been carrying out our voter list verification process including door-to-door visits to voters. We will also pressure the Union Election Commission on gaining access for party representatives to polling stations."

ON THE MILITARY

"If they regard the public as their parents, as they say, they should only fulfill a defense role for the country. There is no way they will reduce their allotment of 25 percent of seats in Parliament [in the near future]."

 

UNION SOLIDARITY AND DEVELOPMENT PARTY (USDP)

U TIN MAUNG OO, Central committee member

Formed in 2010 as the political arm of the former military regime, the USDP won a parliamentary majority in that year's widely discredited general election. The USDP will contest constituencies nationwide in the coming election, with Union Parliament Speaker U Shwe Mann heading the party's Elections Winning Committee.

Members of the USDP campaign for election in 2010. (Photo: Reuters)

Members of the USDP campaign for election in 2010. (Photo: Reuters)

EXPECTATIONS

"The Union Election Commission has released preliminary eligible voter lists and is fixing the flaws. Each party is trying to win and some may merge or form alliances. New parties have also been founded. So this year's election will be the [most] significant election in the country's history.

"People's experiences from 2010 and 2012 are different. In 2010, the public had less interest in political parties. Now the quality of party members, lawmakers and politicians' has increased to some extent. As a consequence, no party will win a landslide victory. It is also more likely that ethnic parties will win in their ethnic states."

CHALLENGES

"Some parties are speaking about constitutional amendments. The main thing in a democracy is to follow the existing rules. The most important thing is the country's stability. Politicians generally use either students, workers or farmers [for political ends]. If some parties or groups use them for their benefit, it won't be good for the country.

"There are many people who don't have a national registration card. There is no specific plan [to address their eligibility to vote]. In my constituency alone, there are thousands [without national registration cards] who aren't eligible. This is the biggest challenge for the election. The UEC is trying their best and I believe the election will be free and fair. But the government needs to make sure all eligible citizens are able to vote."

STRATEGY

"After the winning party forms government, some party policies should form the policies of the executive body. At present, unfortunately, the USDP's policies aren't working in tandem with the government's operations."

ON THE MILITARY

"Let's say representatives of the 14 states and regions and the military are on the same boat heading toward democracy; they can encounter strong waves and other difficulties together on the way to their destination. If we work together, the military will know the difficulties in achieving democracy and they can help us too. But if we leave them out, they won't know the challenges and will not be with us. The more doubts and difficulties that build up, the more potential there is for a coup like in Thailand. So for now, the 25 percent of military lawmakers should continue."

 

NATIONAL DEMOCRATIC FORCE (NDF)

U KHIN MAUNG SWE, Chairman

The NDF is comprised of former leading members of the NLD who disagreed with the party's decision to boycott Myanmar's last general election in 2010. The NDF contested 161 seats in that poll, winning 12 seats in the Union Parliament and four seats in state and regional legislatures. The party plans to field nearly 300 candidates to contest the upcoming national election.

U Khin Maung Swe, left, of the NDF. (Photo: The Irrawaddy)

U Khin Maung Swe, left, of the NDF. (Photo: The Irrawaddy)

EXPECTATIONS

"More pro-democracy forces should win seats in Parliament. If so, changes in the country could happen faster. But it depends on the public's votes. I think it is more likely there will be a coalition government. There is no way for a landslide victory by a major party."

CHALLENGES

"Errors in the voter lists. Also we need to achieve peace in the country before the election to increase the chance of a fair poll. People may cast votes freely but there could still be manipulation by the ruling party—we need to prevent this. Officers at polling stations could also come under pressure… International watchdogs need to be present to monitor the process in as many areas as possible, even if they can't monitor nationwide."

STRATEGY

"The NLD and other CSOs are checking the voter lists. We will urge the government and the electoral body to fix the errors in time. That's all we can do. We don't have the manpower or financial resources to do it ourselves."

ON THE MILITARY

"The role of the military in the Parliament will be the same now, with 25 percent of seats. They may consider voluntarily reducing the number of seats themselves if there was a guarantee of peace before the election. If not, there is no way they would [take this step]."

 

ARAKAN NATIONAL PARTY (ANP)

U AYE THAR AUNG, Party patron

ANP formed in January 2014 following a merger between the Rakhine National Development Party (RNDP) and the Arakan League for Democracy (ALD). The former party won 35 of 44 seats it contested in the 2010 election, which the ALD boycotted. The party plans to contest 63 seats in the coming election, mainly in the regional Rakhine State legislature.

Members of the RNDP and the ALD at a press conference in June 2013. (Photo: The Irrawaddy)

Members of the RNDP and the ALD at a press conference in June 2013. (Photo: The Irrawaddy)

EXPECTATIONS

"I place more emphasis on amending the 2008 Constitution than on the 2015 election. Without major changes to the Constitution, I don't believe there will be changes in the country and internal peace beyond the election. But if candidates from the NLD and ethnic parties win most of the seats in Parliament, we could have more power to make legislation. And the same in regions, if ethnic candidates win in their constituencies and become lawmakers and ministers, I hope they will work for the development of their regions. But we can't expect a real transition since major articles in the Constitution are still not amended."

CHALLENGES

"There were voting irregularities in the 2010 election. I am concerned there will be the same in the 2015 election. It is hard to believe that from 30 to 80 percent of the current voter lists are [inaccurate]. I am also concerned that if the NLD and ethnic parties win a landslide victory, the ruling party won't transfer power and [acknowledge] the new Parliament."

STRATEGY

"Our party only represents one state. So I think to monitor the [broader] challenges, the government and big parties will be vital."

ON THE MILITARY

"After the election, 25 percent of seats will still be reserved for military appointees' in the Lower House, Upper House and the regional parliaments. This is the main barrier to changes in the country and I don't see that they will easily quit by themselves."

 

SHAN NATIONALITIES LEAGUE FOR DEVELOPMENT (SNLD)

U SAI LEIK, Joint-secretary

The SNLD won 23 seats in the annulled 1990 election. It was forcibly disbanded after boycotting the 2010 poll but re-registered in 2012 and plans to contest more than 160 seats in the coming national election.

)        Opposition leader Aung San Suu Kyi with Khun Htun Oo of the SNLD and activist AUgn Din in Washington, 2012. (Photo: Reuters)

) Opposition leader Aung San Suu Kyi with Khun Htun Oo of the SNLD and activist AUgn Din in Washington, 2012. (Photo: Reuters)

EXPECTATIONS

"If democratic forces win most seats in the election, we will have hope for constitutional amendments. To have the federal union that ethnics demand and the democracy that the public wants, the main challenge is to change the Constitution.

"I think this year's election is more important than the 2010 election because at that time some parties were excluded and there were many parties, especially ethnic parties, that didn't run for various reasons. But in the 2015 election, I hope almost all ethnic parties will run.

"If the military keeps its seats in Parliament, it won't be a good look internationally. It is important that the democratic forces win a landslide. Only with that can we achieve political dialogue and change the Constitution."

CHALLENGES

"I'm not sure that the election will be free and fair. Even in the preliminary voter lists, there are lots of errors. Although the electoral body is saying they will fix all the errors in time, we can't predict what will happen.

"And the government needs to guarantee they will recognize and implement the results of the election. The ruling party needs to contest the election fairly. I am concerned about that; the attention of the international community, media and public is much needed."

STRATEGY

"We are doing voter education, verifying voter lists to correct errors and are raising awareness among all eligible voters to come to the polling stations and cast votes.

"And we will watch the ruling USDP in accordance with the code of conduct. If they violate it, we will publicly expose them in collaboration with NGOs and the media."

ON THE MILITARY

"Until now, they haven't looked likely to reduce their current 25 percent of seats in Parliament. But I think if the democratic forces and ethnic parties could pledge not to pursue action over past incidents, they may eventually reduce [their representation]."

This article was originally published as the cover story of the August 2015 issue of The Irrawaddy magazine.

 

The post 2015 Election: The Countdown Begins appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

Dateline Irrawaddy: “The NLD Needs to Reform Itself”

Posted: 21 Aug 2015 07:38 PM PDT

On this week's edition of Dateline, Kyaw Zwa Moe is joined by Dr Khin Zaw Win, director of the Tanpadipa Institute, and Dr Thaung Tun, director of the Institute for Peace and Social Justice. (Photo: The Irrawaddy)

On this week's edition of Dateline, Kyaw Zwa Moe is joined by Dr Khin Zaw Win, director of the Tanpadipa Institute, and Dr Thaung Tun, director of the Institute for Peace and Social Justice. (Photo: The Irrawaddy)

On this week's edition of Dateline, Irrawaddy editor Kyaw Zwa Moe, Tanpadipa Institute director Dr Khin Zaw Win, and Institute for Peace and Social Justice director Dr Thaung Tun discuss the downfall of Shwe Mann and internal discontent within the National League for Democracy ahead of the November general election.

Kyaw Zwa Moe: Welcome to Dateline Irrawaddy. Thura U Shwe Mann, formerly the chairman of the ruling Union Solidarity and Development Party (USDP), was recently ousted from his post. This week, we'll be discussing how the internal ructions in the ruling USDP will impact upon the political landscape of the country. Dr Khin Zaw Win, director of the Tanpadipa Institute, and Dr Thaung Tun, director of the Institute for Peace and Social Justice, will join me for the discussion. I am Kyaw Zwa Moe, editor of the English edition of The Irrawaddy.

Firstly, Dr Thaung Tun. U Shwe Mann held the most senior post in the ruling party and was ranked third in the previous military regime. He was removed by a faction opposed to him. What immediate political impact it will have as a result, given the election is drawing near and U Shwe Mann is deemed to have close ties with National League for Democracy (NLD) leader Daw Aung San Suu Kyi? What do you think will happen?

Thaung Tun: With regard to the recent happenings within the USDP, usually political parties experience internal rivalries when the election is near. Political parties may either use democratic practice or force to resolve internal rivalry. According to the majority of observers, some force was used [in this case]. From 2012 to 2015, there were lively debates on reforms in Burma within the parliament—at least there were lively debates on charter amendment, though they failed. The parliament did not become a rubber stamp parliament as we had expected before 2010 election. Today, as we see the changes within the USDP, and signs that some of its members have have stalled and some are reversing the reform process, there has risen a question about how the reform process will continue after 2015. So now, the result of the 2015 election, which will determine the representation of political parties in the next parliament, has become very important.

KZM: What about you, Dr Khin Zaw Win? As we have said, U Shwe Mann had close ties with Daw Aung San Suu Kyi. They have held joint press conferences. We also heard that Daw Aung San Suu Kyi has expressed her concern about the things done by U Thein Sein. How much will the purge of Shwe Mann impact upon political parties, especially the NLD?

Khin Zaw Win: These events raised this question and are a cause for concern. Over the past couple of years, it seemed that the two parties could even forge an alliance. To put it into the US's words, Shwe Mann and Daw Aung San Suu Kyi were considered a dream ticket, which would please everyone. But now, this has fallen apart. As far as everyone knows, the USDP and the military do not like U Shwe Mann because he is too close to Daw Aung San Suu Kyi. This would have a role. U Shwe Mann was removed by force. So, this raises the question if the USDP would make a similar move against other parties and leaders. We need great caution here. If [NLD] were to forge an alliance [with U Shwe Mann], it would be good if it turned out to be successful, but they need to consider what to do if such an alliance turns out to be a failure. What will U Shwe Mann do in the immediate future? Although he had to step down from the chairmanship, he still has strength. Will the NLD and other parties use his influence? We have to wait and see.

KZM: What will U Shwe Mann do? In the past, U Shwe Mann was a military leader and was the third highest member of the military regime; he therefore knows how similar cases have been handled. The regime took decisive action in the case of U Khin Nyunt in 2004. Will similar action be taken against him or perhaps worse?

KZW: People have speculated that [the military and USDP] would knock him out. If truth were told, there has been a tradition [of eliminating the potential rivals] in the military. But then, given this political era and that U Shwe Mann is the parliamentary speaker, he will be able to continue engaging in politics if they give him mercy. He is still allowed to contest in Pyu Constituency from USDP. He is now in a transitional period. We will have to wait and see if his case will end in the way of military tradition, or if he will be allowed to continue in politics.

KZM: It seems that the military and the executive arm of the government are very close and have acted hand in glove in this case. In the past, executive power was the responsibility of the military regime and now it is the civilian government. How much difference do you see in their nature? Is it just a semantic change? Is it nominal? What do you think are the similarities in behavior?

TT: We found that the military and the government speak almost with the same voice, with regard to their positions. As a result, there were frictions with the parliament. The USDP's senior lawmakers, including the former USDP chairman, who paved the way for debate on constitutional amendments, were accused of disloyalty. At the sight of these things, I feel seriously concerned for my country. After U Thein Sein government came into power in 2010, I talked with Daw Aung San Suu Kyi and discussed the political parties registration law. Mainly we discussed changing the phrase 'we will uphold the constitution' to 'we will respect the constitution' in the law. The political parties registration law was changed based on the principle that it is not that the Constitution can never be changed, but it can be changed when needed.

Then, the NLD joined parliamentary politics. The proposal to change the Constitution was put forward by the USDP. Taking at look at those proposals, they are very modest. From the point of view of democratic forces, those proposals are unsatisfactory. Those proposals are too modest. But then, the proposals were totally shut down. So, there is a cause for concern. Constitutional amendments are the key to internal peace, national unity, political stability, and political, social and economic development of our country. I am not calling for changing 100 percent of the constitution, but there must be a process, the door must be opened. Only then will people and the country's ethnic minorities have trust in the government.

KZM: Speaking of opening of the door, there are many problems in Burma—ethnic issues, peace, constitutional shortcomings and many social problems. So, ethnic leaders, political leaders, military leaders and government leaders need to hold a dialogue. There was no such dialogue in the past five years. So, is the door still closed by the other side? There were certain ties between Daw Aung San Suu Kyi and U Shwe Mann. Do you see any potential of a similar meeting between [Suu Kyi], President U Thein Sein and Snr-Gen Min Aung Hlaing?

TT: I haven't seen any potential so far. For example, we heard some criticism that Daw Aung San Suu Kyi sought the wrong ally in U Shwe Mann. In fact, what we care about are dialogue partners. The challenges facing Burma must be addressed through dialogue. Here, U Shwe Mann is not the only potential dialogue partner [for Suu Kyi]. Dialogue can also be held with either U Thein Sein or Commander-in-Chief Min Aung Hlaing.

There were proposals for four-party and six-party talks. But, time elapsed and those talks did not happen. Even if Daw Aung San Suu Kyi became president and the NLD won a landslide in post-election period as people had wished, the NLD alone and Daw Aung San Suu Kyi alone won't be able to address the challenges facing Burma. It is imperative that key stakeholders engage in dialogue on the subject of national reconciliation. Given that the door to dialogue was shut in the past one or two years, there will be a cause for serious concern after 2015. If the doors continue to stay shut and economic sanctions still exist—we are facing economic crisis today, the value of the dollar has increased and the value of the kyat has declined and imports have declined, economic reforms and efforts to eradicate poverty are failing and it will be difficult to overcome the consequences and damage from the recent floods. I am particularly concerned that tensions will surface, not only because of political reasons, but also because of economic and social reasons.

KZM: Dr Khin Zaw Win, as Dr Thaung Tun has said, there are several potential dialogue partners, such as U Thein Sein. And there has been criticism that she got too close with U Shwe Mann and he was the wrong ally to pursue. Now, it is merely months away from the election and I think to what extent the election will be fair has now become a much more pressing question. Which policy should Daw Aung San Suu Kyi's party adopt? Recently, there was a controversy over its selection of candidates. The NLD was criticized for leaving out figures such as Dr Nyo Nyo Thin and U Ko Ko Gyi from the 88 Generation. Which policy and approach should the NLD take for the coming election?

KZW: Before I answer that, I want to agree with what Dr Thaung Tun has said. Speaking of the NLD, both local and international supporters have given NLD good advice in all respects and in good faith for a long time. It seems that all this advice has been in vain. Now, the election is months away. There have been lots of complications. The NLD needs to create an environment in which all can participate with inclusiveness. Even if they don't want to participate, the NLD has to invite them. The 88 Generation has proposed to join the NLD, but sadly, the merger did not happen. The NLD needs to reform itself. And it must be urged to reform. Not only the personalities within the NLD, but also outsiders need to urge for reform. Another question is how much the NLD will achieve after the election. If it wins the election, it would be the part of the government and has to prepare to create policies and govern. As it will need to form alliances and coalitions with other parties, it will need to change its outlook and perspectives. The NLD needs to do it urgently. And all need to urge the NLD to do so.

KZM: You mean the NLD and other parties need to be united. Dr Thaung Tun, Dr Khin Zaw Win, thank you for your contributions.

 

The post Dateline Irrawaddy: "The NLD Needs to Reform Itself" appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

The Irrawaddy Business Roundup (Aug. 22, 2015)

Posted: 21 Aug 2015 07:24 PM PDT

Myanmar National Airlines inaugurated a new route between Rangoon and Singapore this week.

Myanmar National Airlines inaugurated a new route between Rangoon and Singapore this week.

Businesses at Risk From Financial, Cyber Crime in Burma

The conditions in Burma are "ideal for various forms of criminal activity to flourish," London-based analysts BMI Research say in a new report that warns that legitimate businesses face risks from the poorly monitored financial sector and the lack of preparedness for cyber attacks.

The firm's "business crime analysis" made available this week ranked Burma third to last out of 38 countries in Asia in terms of the risk of business crime, with only North Korea and Afghanistan ranked lower.

The report said that violent crime was not common in the country, meaning that the costs of physical security should not be excessive for investors, except for those venturing into conflict-affected regions.

However, the report said, criminal gangs have been allowed to grow rich from smuggling, and few measures are in place to prevent the proceeds being laundered through ostensibly legitimate businesses. The country is also underprepared in terms of cyber security, it said, noting that the number of secure servers available in Burma is among the lowest in the world.

"The absence of government regulation and protection against financial and cyber crime leaves companies highly exposed to theft of data and financial assets as well as processing transactions which involve funds generated through illegal activity," the analysis said.

"Consequently, businesses which are highly exposed to the financial industry or make regular use of the internet for communication or online transactions must provide extensive security measures, including cyber security software, offshore data backup and disaster management systems, and dedicated financial crime teams to investigate and report and suspicious transactions."

State Airline Begins International Expansion

Myanmar National Airlines (MNA) this week inaugurated a new route between Rangoon and Singapore, and plans to add more international flights in coming months.

The return to international service follows a corporatization drive within the company and the purchase of new aircraft, but many have doubts about whether the airline can compete with established international carriers.

According to travel website TTG Asia, the MNA's Rangoon-Singapore service will be running daily by the end of October. Also in that month, the site said, the airline also plans to connect Rangoon with both Hong Kong and Taipei, as it attempts to rebuild a name as a Burma's international flag carrier.

Other Burmese airlines attempting to take advantage of the recent expansion in visitor numbers to the country have found themselves outshone by larger rivals. Airlines based in countries whose airports act as international hubs have the advantage of being able to offer passengers connections with other regional or intercontinental flights.

A Financial Times report on the expansion this week pointed out that Myanmar Airways International, a spin-off from the national airline that is mostly owned by Kanbawza Bank, had to withdraw its Singapore-Rangoon flight as it was unable to fill its aircraft.

However, the Financial Times said, "Some analysts see MNA's strategy less as a commercial proposition than a reflection of government ambitions to create a flagship to promote the country abroad."

The report quote MNA saying that its expansion was "not a question of beating competition."

"Instead, we will deliver a unique Myanmar experience on our flights that no other airline can offer," the airline told the Financial Times. "This will give choice to customers flying to and from Myanmar and, we believe, will drive business to our airline."

IFC Backs Local Private Bank for SME Loans

The World Bank's International Finance Corporation (IFC) has pledged a $7 million loan to Myanmar Oriental Bank Ltd., with the cash to be disbursed to small- and medium-sized enterprises in Burma.

A joint statement from the two institutions on Wednesday said that the convertible loan would help the private lender expand financing for smaller local firms "in urgent need of capital to grow their businesses and create jobs." Half of those companies at present do not have bank accounts, the statement said.

The IFC is a branch of the World Bank Group that lends to the private sector in developing countries with the long-term aim of expanding the capacity of local businesses.

"The loan complements IFC's ongoing advisory support to Myanmar Oriental Bank on strengthening its corporate governance and improving its trade-finance operations," the statement said.

Myanmar Oriental Bank has already received $5 million from the IFC through its Global Trade Finance Program. The bank aims to provide more than $200 million in loans to SMEs by 2019, the statement said.

"IFC will also advise Myanmar Oriental Bank on establishing policies and procedures to identify and manage environmental and social risks associated with the business activities it finances," it said.

Last year the IFC said it expected its investments in Burma to rise to $1 billion within three years, according to Reuters. Investments so far include about $170 million invested in hotel and real estate projects, another SME-lending program carried out through Serge Pun's Yoma Bank and a loan to Cambodian micro finance institution Acleda.

Railway Ministry Requests Extra Funding to Repair Flood Damage

Burma's already dilapidated railway network has suffered almost $3 million of damage from flooding in recent weeks, according to state media.

The Global New Light of Myanmar reported figures from the Ministry of Rail Transportation saying that some rail lines in the north and northwest of the country had already been reopened. Operations were suspended on Mandalay-Myitkyina line for two months, and the line through Hsipaw in northern Shan State has reopened.

The flooding—affecting 12 of the 14 states and regions, but most severely in Arakan State, Chin State, Sagaing Division and Magwe Division—has killed more than 100 people, displaced hundreds of thousands and also damaged roads and bridges.

The ministry reported that repairing the damage to the nation's railways could cost more than 3.8 billion kyat, about $2.95 million at the current exchange rate. "The damage bill stands at more than K1.3 billion in Rakhine State and Sagaing, Magway, Ayeyarwady and Bago regions," the report said. "Temporary train services have cost more than K900 million, according to the ministry."

The report quoted Tin Soe, general manager of Myanmar Railways, saying that the repair works could only be carried out with extra funding from the government. "Depending on the special fund of the government, we will repair the damaged railroad sections," he was quoted saying.

Thai Debt Collector to Enter Burma

A Thai firm that specialized in debt collection has announced plans to enter Burma's microfinance sector, according to the website Deal Street Asia.

The report said that JMT Network Services (JMT), which is listed on Bangkok's Stock Exchange of Thailand, has agreed to form a joint venture in Burma named JP Finance Co Ltd.

"This was approved by the company's board of directors recently," the report said, citing information from online news source Infoquest. It said the company would begin life with capital worth just under $600,000, with the Thai company owning a 70 percent stake.

A number of microfinance institutions built have entered Burma in the past few years, with the intention of using foreign capital to extend small loans to farmers and other low-income Burmese.

The post The Irrawaddy Business Roundup (Aug. 22, 2015) appeared first on The Irrawaddy.