Tuesday, October 18, 2016

Shan Herald Agency for News

Shan Herald Agency for News


Investment protection treaties endanger democratic reform and peace initiatives in Myanmar

Posted: 18 Oct 2016 08:01 AM PDT

In the volatile and fragile context of Myanmar's nascent democratic reform, investment protection treaties must not be allowed to negatively affect processes that would make Myanmar more peaceful and democratic.

People handing out flyers on the street to protest investment protection agreements
Following a reform process initiated by the previous military-backed government of President Thein Sein, there has been great interest among international governments and the business sector to promote foreign investment and trade with Myanmar. This momentum has been furthered by the subsequent endorsement by the country's democracy leader Aung San Suu Kyi for the West to drop most of its economic sanctions. In order to facilitate this relationship, Western and Asian governments have pushed Myanmar to sign so-called "investment protection treaties". While the Myanmar military government had signed investment protection treaties with China and India, since 2013 new treaties were signed with Japan and South Korea. Currently, now led by Aung San Suu Kyi's National League for Democracy, the Myanmar government is negotiating an investment protection agreement (IPA) with the European Union (EU). There is also an investment protection clause in the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP). This is a proposed Free Trade Agreement (FTA) between the ASEAN member states and Australia, China, India, Japan, South Korea and New Zealand.
While the benefits of signing investment protection agreements are highly overstated, the risks are seriously underestimated, and they could have major negative impacts on democratic development and sustainable peace in Myanmar. When signing these treaties, governments give away their sovereign right to regulate in the interest of the people and the environment, and they expose themselves to expensive lawsuits. The incentives offered to foreign investors come at a high price, depriving countries like Myanmar of the necessary policy space to harness investment to serve sustainable development and peace. Under the provisions of the investment protection agreements, foreign investors can challenge almost any government intervention if they consider that it will affect its current or future profits.
These interventions by foreign interests could, for example, include challenging new policies or laws introduced by the Myanmar government around more sustainable health or environmental approaches and priorities. They could also undermine agreements that come out of the country's peace process: for instance, around natural resource management and sharing – or better regulations to make natural resource extraction more sustainable. If it signs up to these investment protection treaties, the Myanmar government may have to pay a heavy price to foreign companies or abandon policies and principles that it would like to promote in these vital situations of such importance to the country.
The investor-to-state dispute settlement (ISDS) clauses, which form a standard part of investment agreements, enable foreign investors to circumvent national courts and take a complaint straight to an ad hoc international tribunal consisting of three commercial investment lawyers, who will decide on whether government measures are legitimate or proportionate to their objective. These for-profitlawyers can, and do, award compensation that may run into many hundreds of millions, in some cases even billions, of dollars. These awards are enforceable and must be paid out of public budgets, reducing the funds that are available for public policies. Equally detrimental, the independence of lawyers is not guaranteed as they are paid commercial fees on a case-by-case basis in a one-sided system where only foreign investors can bring legal challenges and where there is thus an incentive to rule in their favour.
For these reasons, this week Myanmar civil society organisations (CSOs) are rallying all over the country against the RCEP and the proposed European Union-Myanmar IPA. The campaign by Myanmar CSOs is part of a campaign in most of the 16 RCEP countries. Neither details of the EU-Myanmar IPA negotiation dates, nor the negotiation text, are made public. As a result, Myanmar civil society groups have consistently raised serious concerns about the EU-Myanmar IPA and many of them refused to participate in the external EU Sustainability Impact Assessment on the basis that they can not say anything sensible as long as the negotiation texts have not been made public.

In a joint statement, the Myanmar CSOs point out:
"Myanmar is still in its very early stages of a democratization and peace building process, which will involve negotiations over ownership and revenue sharing of natural resources in the different ethnic areas. Many laws and policies still need to be revised. Signing an investment treaty like the one proposed by the EU would lock-in future policy space in Myanmar and severely endanger the prospects for democracy and sustainable peace. For Myanmar to take this course at this stage in its development appears not only inadvisable, it is also unnecessary.''
There is a long history in such international investment law that Myanmar now has to face up to. Signing international investment treaties (IIAs), in the hope of attracting foreign investment, has been a central strategy for governments looking to improve economic development. IIAs have been around since 1959, when the first Bilateral Investment Treaty (BIT) between Germany and Pakistan was signed. By the end of 2015, there were 3,286 investment agreements (2,928 BITs and 358 "other IIAs") globally. "Other IIAs" refer to economic agreements other than BITs that include investment-related provisions, such as investment chapters in EU Free Trade Agreements. The bulk of these investment protection treaties were signed during the 1990s and early 2000s when most governments believed that economic liberalism would bring development. The idea was that signing investment agreements would help countries attract foreign investment. At the time, there was no awareness of the risks involved and what governments were giving up in terms of sovereignty.
Today, more than 20 years later, the evidence that international investment agreements actually deliver on their stated purpose is at best inconclusive. Most research studies carried out by the academic community have failed to find a direct correlation between IIAs and attraction for Foreign Direct Investment (FDI). The experience of countries like South Africa, Ecuador, Hungary and Brazil show that increased foreign investment is not based on having IIAs. Even the European Trade Commissioner Cecilia Malmström recently admitted that most studies show no "direct and exclusive causal relationship" between international investment agreements and foreign direct investment.
Foreign investors, however, have already used the investment dispute settlement system to challenge environmental protections, energy policies, financial regulation, public health, land use and taxation measures.
The threat of claims can cause governments to reconsider or shelve public interest regulation. International Investment Agreements also have the effect of severely limiting a host government's ability to design a national investment strategy that involves a tighter and dynamic regulatory framework for foreign investors. In particular, many IIAs prohibit or restrict the introduction of performance requirements for companies. The government cannot impose obligations for technology transfer or demand a percentage of domestic content. This means that the host government is unable to ensure that the supply of goods or services is provided by nationals or that the company employs a certain percentage of local employees in order to promote job creation. The government is also inhibited from introducing tax measures or demanding a minimum investment in research and development (R&D) activities. Such rules combine to severely limit government sovereignty to direct investment flows towards sectors that support national or state level development objectives.
The consequences of such IIAs could be especially damaging for Myanmar. At present, the country relies heavily on the exploitation and export of natural resources as a driver of economic development. Investors in the mining and extractives industry are among the most frequent users of the investor-state-dispute settlement (ISDS) system. Any future endeavours by Myanmar to reregulate its natural resources more effectively and equitably for its peoples could be challenged by foreign investors through the ISDS system. Such challenges could halt initiatives to ensure that the management of its extraction contributes to a sustainable peace or that Myanmar's mineral commodities are not exported in raw form but that value is added domestically.
There is much international precedent in such warnings. Several mining companies, for example, lodged ISDS claims against Indonesia when it adopted a new mining law which required among other things mining companies to put in place downstream production: in other words, to refine and process minerals (for example by establishing a smelter) in the country prior to export in order to generate jobs and profits for Indonesia. The mining company Newmont used the Netherlands–Indonesia Investment Treaty to file a claim against the Indonesian government. Newmont only withdrew its case against Indonesia after it had reached an agreement with the Indonesian government, giving the mining company special exemptions from the new mining law.
This is a clear case of a regulatory chill, which is more and more used by investors to challenge proposed regulations. The impact can be immediate because of the risks to public budgets that may come under enormous financial pressures. The mere threat of a multi-million dollar international arbitration lawsuit can make governments reluctant to implement social or environmental protection measures that could affect the interests of foreign investors. For example, the government of New Zealand decided to postpone their plans to introduce stricter rules on cigarette packaging until they know the results of the investment arbitration lawsuit initiated by Philip Morris against the governments of Uruguay and Australia for their decision to change regulation on warnings in cigarette packaging.
The potential risks to governments do not end here. Often investors claim compensation not only for the actual investment made but for loss of future profits as well. In Myanmar's case, this means that a definite cancellation of the Myitsone Dam could potentially cost the Myanmar government hundreds of millions to billions of dollars, which would have to be paid from the public budget. For the moment, the Chinese investor has not threatened to bring a case and has tried to solve the issue through diplomatic means, but this could well change in the case of a final cancellation. Germany, for example, faces a 4.6 billion Euros ISDS claim from the Swedish energy company Vattenfall after the parliament decided to phase out nuclear energy in response to the Fukoshima disaster. This by far extends the actual investments made by Vattenfall.
As concerns have risen over such practices, the argument that unregulated foreign direct investment will improve a country's economic development has been widely discredited in recent years. Rather, it is recognised among communities in many countries dependent on natural resource production that the regulation of foreign investment in general, and the extractive industry in particular, is crucial in order to restrict the industry's negative social and environmental impacts and to guarantee some positive contribution to economic development. Greater government influence in the extractive industries is the current trend among resource-rich countries. For example, African countries have developed a regulatory framework for mining, the "Africa Mining Vision" aimed at enhancing development by supporting the industrialisation of natural resources.
A growing number of countries are beginning to understand the financial, social and environmental costs of the system of investors' protection — with countries as diverse as Australia, Bolivia, India, Indonesia and South Africa revising their investment treaty policies. They are dissatisfied with transnational investors challenging the legitimacy of their policy decisions and the threat to public budgets. Thus, since Myanmar is only opening up its economy recently, it can learn from experiences elsewhere in the world.
As Myanmar is opening up for business, the country is currently developing a very liberal investment law protecting the rights and property of foreign investors in the country, as well as giving very generous tax incentives. On top of this come the RCEP and the EU–Myanmar Investment Agreement, with EU actors interested in such diverse fields as Energy, Logistics, Infrastructure, Construction, Health and Agri-Food Sector. These will extend investors' rights with even more countries, and they are a dangerous step that will prevent effective regulation of foreign investments in the interests of a durable peace. Worse still, unlike the existing Bilateral Investment Treaties that Myanmar has with for example China, India and Japan, it will be much harder for Myanmar to revise its investment policies in the future since regional trade agreements such as the RCEP have no expiry date.
Myanmar is a country in transition. For the first time in decades, a democratically elected government is in place. However, the national armed forces still play a significant role in the country's political arena, and democratic reform has only just begun. The country has many outdated laws and policies that need to be reformed. At the same time, a peace process has started to finally seek a solution at the negotiating table to solve ethnic conflict in the country and end the 65-year old civil war. In this context, many new policies and laws need to be introduced. But in such a volatile and fragile landscape, it is essential that investment protection treaties do not have negative impacts on processes to make Myanmar more peaceful and democratic.


These commentaries are part of a TNI project funded by Sweden.






Oxford-Myanmar Policy Brief Series

Posted: 18 Oct 2016 06:08 AM PDT

Myanmar's new government faces a variety of challenges on its path to securing democracy, federalism, security, and equality for all of its people. The Oxford-Myanmar Policy Brief Series was created as an effort to contribute to domestic policy-makers' work addressing these many challenges.
This initiative began with a workshop on 15 February, 2016, entitled "Towards Democracy and Reconciliation: Challenges Facing Myanmar's Incoming Government." Co-organised by Dr Ma Khin Mar Mar Kyi and Dr Matthew J Walton, and co-sponsored by the Programme on Modern Burmese Studies at St Antony's College and the International Gender Studies Centre at Lady Margaret Hall, the workshop brought together over a dozen UK experts on Myanmar, drawn from academic, advocacy, and activist communities. Presenters focused on the challenges facing the new NLD-led government, identifying key stakeholders, persistent and emerging impediments, and potential policy responses. Subjects considered included military legacies, governance concerns, social issues, land and resource management, and conflict and displacement.
With the success of the event, the co-organisers saw an opportunity to effectively channel the insights of the participants into policy-making conversations in Myanmar's government, civil society, and other political institutions. They also sought to contribute to the developing public discourse on political reform in the country. Participants were asked to transform their presentations into short policy briefs that could be of use to ministries, parliament, and other decision-making bodies in Myanmar, and others who could not attend the workshop were invited to contribute briefs. The collected briefs were edited by the co-organisers and translated into Burmese. They are available to download free here and will be distributed in hard copy to lawmakers, policy-makers, and others in Myanmar's government.
With the additional support of the Irrawaddy Policy Exchange, the co-organisers plan to hold events at Oxford focused on different policy areas approximately every 6-8 months, with policy briefs to follow, along with other follow-up events in Myanmar. The second iteration was held at Oxford on 13 October, 2016 and focused on environmental issues. In addition to including several presenters from Myanmar, the workshop organisers were pleased to be able to welcome several representatives from Myanmar's Ministry of Natural Resources and Environmental Conservation as well as representatives from Myanmar's Parliament. Reports on the discussions at the event will appear in the next week on Tea Circle, the Programme on Modern Burmese Studies' Myanmar blog.

Mentality of the “Tatmadaw” Through the Living History

Posted: 18 Oct 2016 05:59 AM PDT

Kanbawza Win is a survivor of the 7th July Incident when the Junta took power.
(1) Bias Interpretation of the Union of Burma History

The ancient history of Burma is a history of war between the rival petty kingdoms. Sometimes the Myanmar monarch won and sometimes the other ethnic nationalities like Shan, Mon and Arakanese won. The warrior kings either Myanmar or non-Myanmar often endeavour to subdue their neighbouring kingdoms, but the peoples of Burma always lived in the same country and no ethnic group Myanmar or non-Myanmar, can solely claim that the country has been under their rule throughout all the time. But Chauvinistic (Mahar) Myanmar who are myopically nationalist and hegemonic claiming that they have ruled the country except in the colonial period believe in the linear progression of Myanmar, and imagine themselves to be a historically cohesive nation, whose organizational integration with the ethnic nationalities in the peripheries only need to be completed either democratically or by force. General Than Shwe's Armed Forces Day speech in Naypyidaw in 2009 said, "Our Tatmadaw should be a worthy heir to the traditions of the capable Tatmadaw established by noble kings Anawratha, Bayinnaung and Alaungpaya," that is why the Tatmadaw set up the three mammoth statues of the warrior kings under whose shadow they marched past every annual Resistance Day (there is no such thing as Army Day in Burma). The name "Naypyidaw" in Burmese means royal capital city of kings.

Hence, the history of post-colonial Burma centers on a pathological process of neo-colonization of the non-dominant members of the Union by the dominant Myanmar elite, where the urban elites and males, and soldiers, are more equal than the other ethnic communities, classes and females. They Tatmadaw have resumed this old expansionist mission in the name of post-colonial nation-state building.

(2)  Tatmadaw is an occupational Army

The current Myanmar Tatmadaw have originated from BIA, hence it is only the Myanmar ethnic group and not a Union army. As said the Union army was originated in 1937 when the country was separated from India composed of the ethnic nationalities, known as the Burma Rifles, a sort of a federal army, under the British command. When the Allies retook Burma from Japan, the British Burma Rifles played an important and crucial part, acting as scouts and gathering intelligence and harassing the enemy from behind the line, while the BIA was still aligned to with the Imperial Japanese army.  Only when the BIA saw that the allies and the British Burmese army were winning and that Mandalay had fallen to the allies did the BIA decide to join the winning side. When the two groups were amalgamated the two Karen commanders became chief of the armed forces (General Smith Dun) and chief of the air force (Saw Shi Sho); the chief of operations was the Sandhurst-trained Karen, Brigadier Saw Kya Doe. The Quartermaster General, who controlled three-quarters of the military budget, was a Karen, Saw Donny. Brigadier Bo Let Ya, army chief of staff.

The Myanmar had considered the ethnic nationalities especially the Karen and Anglo Burman as mercenaries. Within a twelve weeks after Britain give independence on Jan 4th 1948, the Burma Communist Party revolted. This was the first Myanmar ethnic insurrection against the Union of Burma, the Myanmar Communists Parties were the only group among the insurrectionists that did not recognize the Union of Burma, while the ethnic nationalities insurrectionists recognized the Union of Burma and wanted only autonomy within the union, a sort of a Federal Republic. The second rebellion was by the PVO (part of Tatmadaw) and the third was the Red flags communist (Thakin Soe) Hence among the insurrections only the Myanmar ethnics that did not recognize the Union of Burma.

The Karen National Defense Organization (KNDO) was forced to rebel in 1949, after the Karen quarters in Rangoon city (Kenmendine) and Insein town came under attack by Myanmar troops. So, unlike in Pakistan, where a professional military force became politicized, in Burma the military was politicized from the outset because of its role in the independence struggle. It may or may not accept civilian control up to this day, but at times out of conviction as well as expediency it may accept.

But up to this date the people still look at the Tatmadaw as the people's army. However Ne Win and his lieutenants were more ambitious, as they had tasted power in the form of caretaker regime and launched a military coup on March 2nd 1962 and their ugly visage on 7th July by massacring hundreds of, Rangoon University students. Since then Tatmadaw despised both nationally and internationally and came to be much feared by the people and could not rely on the popular vote to stay in power.

(3)  Attitudes towards non-Myanmar ethnic nationalities

Tatmadaw believes that the ethnic nationalities are inherently inferior (culturally/socially) and would split from the country if given a chance.  They also believe that the ethnic nationalities are distrustful and have the fear of Myanmar domination, however, they provide lip-service respect for ethnic nationalities' culture through ritualized holidays and propaganda efforts. They believe that if the Myanmar do not oppress other ethnic nationalities then they would find themselves oppressed. For them, national reconciliation means assimilation and preventing disintegration. All the ethnic nationalities and their languages, traditions, culture and values are to be assimilated into those of the Myanmar race hence, if the Tatmadaw falls everything falls. They believe that their mission is to protect the country and that the country would fall apart without them. Essentially, their power is rooted in the deep racism that has permeated Myanmar society since the beginning, the racial supremacy over the non-Myanmar, and the Divide and Rule Policy. Hence, the 3 As method of Annihilation, Absorption and Assimilation were adopted on the ethnic nationalities.

The Tatmadaw believes that the country is surrounded by enemies – real and imagined.  These    threats no longer take the form of territorial aggrandizement, but economic domination and the possibility of encouraging ethnic nationalities for separatism.  This fear is based on a reality once extant, but now completely outmoded.  These past instances of such foreign support are the American assistance to KMT forces in Burma, Pakistani-Bangladeshis' support for Muslim insurgents, the Thai's tolerance to a variety of insurgent groups (both ethnic and Myanmar), Indian backing of anti-Junta groups, some British humanitarian support for the Karen, Chinese aid to the Burma Communist Party and a general perception that Christian minorities have closer support and contact with foreigners than do the Myanmar Buddhists.

(4) Tatmadaw's Philosophy

The Tatmadaw, has no real ideology and no constituency within the society under its rule, but for a time it was successful by entrenching fear and hopelessness in the minds of the people. Even its junior and mid-level officers work mainly only for purposes of their own power or wealth. Employment in Tatmadaw is one of the few viable careers in today's Burma. As for the rank and file soldiers, many are conscripted by forced, while others are coerced or misled into believing that the Tatmadaw provides an escape from personal trouble or protection for their families.  The current generals of the Tatmadaw lack experience of independence struggle and Cold War politics, and are unable to stand on a nationalistic platform and non-alliance ideology. They are not skilful in playing political theory games. The only lessons they have learnt are some effective ways to hold on to their power.  The training and lectures given eventually instill in all soldiers a Tatmadaw mindset, which is comprised of the following features:

- We work harder than others for the sake of the country.

- We sacrifice our lives to work for the sake of the country.

- Our comrades are injured or killed by our enemies.

- The enemies, who injure or kill us are supported by a part of the population.

-We must follow orders, live under the discipline of the army at all the time.

-We are soldiers serving the country 24-hours a day.

Hence from the soldier's view, ordinary people and civil servants live more easy-going lives, indiscipline and have many leisure hours and do business just to enrich themselves. The end result is that soldiers believe they have the sole right to hold state power due to their hard work and sacrifices. These basic opinions hinder the relationship between the people and the Tatmadaw.

When the Tatmadaw cracks down on peaceful demonstrators, they viewed them as lazy opportunists, who are asking for rights without working hard and sacrificing like they do. The Tatmadaw, in a way, blames the people for failing to develop the country. They appeared to believe that the Tatmadaw as a whole works hard, the people and civil servants do not work hard. Foreigners work and think smarter than do the lazy people of Burma, and these are the reasons why developed countries are ahead of Burma is their rationale. However, when ordinary people go abroad to seek job opportunity, they see them as betraying the country by opting for a foreign one. The soldiers work industriously, because they receive advantages from their work. They are disciplined, because they are simply reaping the advantages from performing well. Clearly, the Generals followed the dictum of Mao Ze Dong: "Crack down on the extreme minority, leave the educated to live in illusion, and label the majority of ordinary people as supporters."

(5)Tatmadaw's Perspectives on Economics

The Tatmadaw view economic progress, reform, or liberalization as secondary to maintenance of political control. They believe that the primary function of an improved economy is greater military power, general political acquiescence of the population to Tatmadaw control through military delivery of greater economic rewards for loyalty, which improves their political legitimacy, but not the betterment of the human condition.  To this end, the Tatmadaw leaders believe they must control the economy and thus they have set up direct and many indirect mechanisms for control e.g. such as UMEHL (Union of Myanmar Economic Holdings) and MEC (Myanmar Economic Corporation), in short they deliberately set up a crony capitalism. The Tatmadaw view any form of pluralism, within the administration at any level, in the dissemination of information and within non-governmental organizations as a threat to the state and their control.

(6) Is Myanmar Tatmadaw, the Guardian of the country?

" If the hypothesis that the Tatmadaw should take temporary control, when a civilian government strays from its 'national ideal' or obligation, is correct," then it should have already solved the country's problem long ago as any genuine guardian might do. For example, when there was a dilemma in civilian rule in the years from 1950 to 1958 when the ruling party AFPFL split, the pro-West faction wanted to take aid from the West and Japan, but the neutral faction wanted to remain non-aligned, Tatmadaw, joined the winning side of the pro-West faction to wipe out the ethnics and the communist. This is the first proof that Tatmadaw is not a genuine guardian and has no basic loyalty to the country as it claims.

The second proof is when Ne Win and Sein Lwin were forced to resign in 1988 the Tatmadaw move against their own civilian government of Dr. Maung Maung.  The third is when Tatmadaw's pet party NUP won only 10 seats compared to the pro-democracy party of the NLD 392 the Tatmadaw broke its own promise to hand over power to the winner and changed the rules of the game. The fourth is current 2008 Nargis Constitution of occupying 25 % of seats in all the elected bodies, is the authentic proof that the military was determined to hold on to power, at any cost through its sham democratic-trappings.

The fifth was as lately as August 2015 Shwe Mann was ousted from the pro-Tatmadaw party, the USDP, by force, not only because he was too close to the NLD party of Daw Aung San Suu Kyi, but also he had angered the military by supporting an attempt to amend the 2008 Nargis Constitution.

Tatmadaw's continuing presence provides one of the greatest obstacles to the aspirations of those committed to democratization and federalism in Burma.

(7) Targeting Education

After the 2nd World War, during the Cold War period, democracy, in the newly emerging nations of Afro-Asian and Latin American countries were not strong and naturally there were military coups e.g. Field Marshal Plaek Phibunsongkhram, came to power in Thailand, General Ayub Khan in Pakistan, General Suharto in Indonesia and in Burma, General Ne Win. But looking back at these military coups in these neighbouring countries, we find that they always bounced back to democracy within a decade or two, except in Burma. Why? One of the answers is because the Tatmadaw targeted the higher education system, where the young brains are hatched to think, as number one enemy. Starting from 7th July 1962 waves after waves of students were killed and persecuted. The Tatmadaw believes that students and educated class went into politics because of their misconceptions and that universities were, and are the birth place of dissent against autocratic rule, hence the Burmese generals have sought to subvert education  for their own purpose, - to keep them in power in perpetuity. The Tatmadaw has kept bonded the rights to education hostage, to be kept in permanent captivity. If the university were not closed, they were isolated and separated from one another and so that they would not be able contact one another. Iron fences were built around universities campuses. The universities were sent to remote places and were closed down at the slightest sign of any trouble. This prolonged closure of schools and universities has affected the future of almost all the young people of Burma and except for those with political influence, such as the children of the generals and those rich enough to send their children abroad, continue to enjoy uninterrupted and quality education. The Tatmadaw controlled education system has resulted in sub-standard education and critical lack of teaching facilities, stymied by unskilled teachers, and lack of job opportunities after graduation, corruption and bribery.

(8) Tatmadaw's New Weapon (The Rapist Army)

Sexual violence as a weapon of war in ethnic cleansing was implemented, as girls and women have been singled out for rape because women are viewed as repositories of a community's cultural and spiritual values. Due to the well-known impunity for rape, survivors and families are extremely reluctant to complain about rape. In the rare cases where victims do complain, the military often responds with violence. The UNHCR found that refugee families frequently cite rape as a key factor in their decisions to seek refuge. Tatmadaw is overtly targeting civilians; says Benjamin Zawacki, Southeast Asia, researcher for Amnesty International "The violations are widespread and systematic.'' A well-documented phenomenon for at least a decade, "License to Rape" report inspired a level of interest and outrage on the part of the international community.  A well-documented rape and murder of the two Kachin missionaries Tangbau Hkawn Nan Zing (21) and Maran Lu Ra, (20), in the Church compound, of Kwang Hka village, Nam Tao Township, by the soldiers of the 503rd Light Infantry Regiment, under Northeast Regional Command, was never admitted nor its DNA results made known. Commander-in-Chief Senior General Min Aung Hlaing has said he also wants the truth to be known, but the case was shut up to this day. This explicitly means that the Generals themselves were involved in this ethnic cleansing policies, which the Tatmadaw has been doing all these years since 1962.

Several NGOs and independent organizations have examined the structures, policies, and practices of the Tatmadaw, and concluded that it was designed to target the non-Myanmar ethnic nationalities.

Before 1988, a secret order was issued that any Myanmar soldier, who is able to marry an ethnic woman would be rewarded a handsome amount of monetary prize, but this happened to be difficult and slow. Therefore, when the Tatmadaw took over the administration, it encouraged raping the women of the ethnic nationalities. This message was received by the lieutenants, and captains, and hence it was these ranks, who committed most of the rape cases. It was hoped that in the long run if there were only one race 'Myanmar', one religion 'Theravada Buddhism' and one country, 'Burma', they would be able to govern and stand tall in the international community. This was basic idea of Tatmadaw's rape.


 (9) Child Soldiers

Even animals do not kill their young or bully them instead they shield them up and help them to grow but Tatmadaw, not only torture and kill but also send the children to the front lines. The worst thing is that it has forced the children to become child soldiers. In March 2007 the UN General Assembly adopted a resolution on Burma, for "the continuing recruitment and use of child soldiers". The report: "My Gun Was as tall as me", estimated that 70,000 or more of the Burma army's estimated 350,000 soldiers are children."  Human Rights Watch research has shown that boys, as young as 10, continue to be forcibly enlisted into Tatmadaw by a network of predatory recruiters, often soldiers themselves, who lurk at train stations and outside cinemas and tea shops looking for vulnerable young males to coerce into the Tatmadaw. Once forced into the Tatmadaw they were not permitted to contact their families, their ages were fabricated on enlistment material, and receive harsh training before being deployed to bleak and dangerous outposts throughout Burma's hinterland. Boys are used to fight ethnic insurgents, mete out punishment to civilians, and as porters to support frontline troops.  It is hard to imagine the psychological trauma and damage these experiences are inflicting on children. The problem of child soldiers is hidden from the eyes of many international observers and Burmese citizens in towns and cities. Once impressed into the army, child soldiers often eke out a desperate existence fishing and hunting for food and stealing from villagers, surrounded by malarial forests, landmines and ethnic insurgents.  Their plight is so desperate that many of their victims of crimes committed by these boys have pity for them. The victims know that these young boys are being brain washed by their commanders.

Despite official regulations within the Tatmadaw prohibiting the use of child soldiers and frequent promises to the UN to erase the practice, it did not appear to be at all serious about curbing the practice. It is almost impossible to place a figure on how many children under 18 were in the Tatmadaw, but there are certainly thousands. As the Tatmadaw expanded rapidly; desertions increased and volunteers decrease. A system of incentives and punishments was in place to encourage recruiters to fill their quotas. Some local authorities were reportedly pressured by the Tatmadaw to produce a certain number of recruits per village, some of them children. Nowhere is there a more disturbing, if not horrifying example of the relationship between a culture of cruelty and the politics of irresponsibility than in the resounding silence that surrounds the torture of children under Myanmar Tatmadaw. There is an undeniable pathological outcome when the issue of Tatmadaw becomes more important than the survival of morality itself, resulting in the deaths of thousands of children  A 29-page report, "Under the Radar" on ongoing recruitment and use of children by the Tatmadaw, by the UK-based NGO Child Soldiers International, shows that military officers and civilian 'brokers' continue to use deliberate misrepresentation to entice new recruits, including children. Poor and uneducated boys continue to be frequently intimidated and coerced and lured them to the nearest recruitment centre or battalion.   Until safeguards within recruitment procedures are implemented in practice across the country at all levels and until effective age verification mechanisms are put in place and properly enforced, the situation will not significantly improve.

Epilogue

In short, there is no Union of Burma Army (Federal Army) in Burma the current Tatmadaw is held together not by patriotism but by a mixture of patron-client ties, personal power, economic privileges, fear of  severe punishment complete and total obedience" of the subordinates in the chain of command. It is a cruel occupationaly army with the highest records of human rights violations, which has never fought an external enemy but used all its resources to surpress the pro democratic and ethnic nationalities. It is the roots of all evil in Burma and need to be replaced by a Federal Army.

Democracy is seen as a threat to the existing order because it would deprive the ruling elite of power. The Tatmadaw and their families are "second state" of approximately two million out of a total population of 50 million plus.  It will be a great mistake for any country to have military to military relations with Myanmar Tatmadaw because Burma will never be peaceful, democratic or federal if there is an occupational Myanmar Tatmadaw.

This paper was read at the 12th International Burma Studies Conference at Northern University of Illinois Dekalb on Oct.8, 2016 attended by several experts (both Burmese and international). Meticulously answering every question and criticism proves its authenticity beyond doubt.

By Kanbawza Win

Anybody is free to republish this paper    prof.unclewin80@gmail,com   sd. Dr. Ba Thann Win

IS PEACEFUL CO-EXISTENCE POSSIBLE? : Mounting offensives against ethnic armies and new violent outburst in Arakan State

Posted: 18 Oct 2016 05:38 AM PDT

Quite a lot of happening have been unfolding during the last few days. But the most outstanding one is the new conflict in Arakan State, between the militant "Rohingya", that the Burmese government and the Arakan nationalist prefer to dub as "Bengali", and the government's security forces. And thus, the previous headline hitting news of the Tatmadaw's (military) offensives in Kachin, Shan and Karen States, followed by the anti-war demonstrations in Myitkyina and elsewhere were somewhat pushed back to become a back burner.

The 14 October meeting of National Defense and Security Council (NDSC), the first of its kind since Aung San Suu Kyi's National League for Democracy (NLD) regime comes into power, followed by the 15 October, first anniversary of Nationwide Ceasefire Agreement (NCA) signing occasion has brought back the back burner issues to light, portraying the woes that the country is facing, into a package as a whole, which needs to be resolved earnestly and speedily.

The national defense and security affairs meeting of 14 October that was attended by the President of the Republic of the Union of Myanmar, U Htin Kyaw, the State Counselor, Daw Aung San Suu Kyi, the Commander in Chief of Defense Services, Senior General Min Aung Hlaing, Deputy Commander in Chief Vice Senior General Soe Win, Union Minister for Ministry of Home Affairs Lt-Gen Kyaw Swe, Union Minister for Ministry of Defense Lt-Gen Sein Win, Union Minister for Office of the State Counselor U Kyaw Tint Swe, touched on the following issues, according to the Presidential website.

·         The situations of the battle occurred in Kachin State and the Northern Shan State
·         The situations which occurred in "Wa" Special Region (1) and "Mailar"(Mong La) Special Region (4)
·         The management procedures in order to enhance the capacity and ability of the Myanmar Police Force.
Remarkably, the said meeting didn't mention the issue of recent Arakan conflict that has already taken place on 9 October.
It is not clear, whether concrete directives or solutions have been made, but seen from the speeches delivered the following 15 October, on the occasion of the first anniversary NCA, the NLD regime and the Tatmadaw don't seem to have a clear understanding of cooperation, on how to go about with the country's woes, in a coordinated manner.
Thus, it is necessary to study the speeches delivered at the occasion, as a clue on how each stakeholder is gearing up to go about with overcoming the obstacles.
Aung San Suu Kyi
In her speech, Suu Kyi reiterated her former position of all-inclusiveness and advocate, or one could even say plead, for the culture of altruism in peace-building.
"All inclusiveness is very important to our country. Peace is a treasure which cannot be exchanged for whatsoever thing. Reflecting in the wording NCA, the notion of fire struck my mind," she emphasized explicitly.
In trying to instill the culture of altruism, she said: "Should we want peace and ceasefire, we had better start with extinguishing of anger and prejudice which are likened to fire burning inside our heart and soul. So, only when all the individuals and organizations involved can subdue their fire-like anger and prejudice, will we be able to achieve the genuine peace."
Her ultimate message was outlined when she stressed: "We have our own opinion, we can't deny. But I'm confident we are all able to overcome these bitter experiences. What we ought to compete is who the most forgiving individuals and / or organizations are. We are not to compete in our firing power. We need to vie with one another for our fire-extinguishing power. The whole country is watching us with great expectation."
Buttressing her plea, laced with urging she said. "Instead of competing with one another in firing power, we'd better vie in fire-fighting power."
In addition Suu Kyi talked about the seven-point road map to amend the military-drafted constitution, which includes the following:
1.       To review the political dialogue framework
2.       To amend the political dialogue framework
3.       To convene the Union Peace Conference—the 21st century Panglong in accordance with the amended and approved political dialogue framework
4.       To sign union agreement— the 21st century Panglong Conference Agreement based on the results of the 21st Century Panglong Conference
5.       To amend the constitution in accordance with the union agreement and approve the amended constitution
6.       To hold the multi-party democracy general elections in accordance with the amended and approved constitution
7.       To build a democratic federal union in accordance with the results of the multi-party democracy general elections (Source: Global New Light of Myanmar – 16 October 2016)
Min Aung Hlaing
The Commander-in-Chief Min Aung Hlaing's speech on the NCA first anniversary occasion centered on the concept of the present union being the continuous legacy of immemorial time; urging the EAOs to sign the NCA, give up the armed struggle and make use of the multi-party democracy platform to address their grievances; and acceptance of the military's six guiding principles to achieve peace.
He said: "Our country is a Union which has been formed since yore (immemorial). Any regions and states in the Union are home to all ethnics, not for a single ethnic specifically."
To make his point that armed struggle is out of place, he said: "I would like to say the attempts to grasp the opportunities through armed struggle line by turning a blind eye to the actual rights and opportunities is opposition to the people's desire."
"Therefore, if we accept democracy, we need to abandon the obsession to the armed struggle line which is the opposition of democracy," he stressed.
"Ethnic‐minority areas where armed groups are based are peaceful and have no more fighting since the groups signed the ceasefire. Mutual trust proves that. So I am urging other armed groups to learn from the 
example," Min Aung Hlaing also said, luring the non-signatories to sign the NCA.
The most important message that he put across is the often reiterated military's controversial six guiding principles to achieve peace, which is the actual stumbling block in the peace process, as far as the EAOs are concerned. They are:
1.       To have a keen desire to reach eternal peace, 
2.       To keep promises agreed to in peace deals,
3.       To avoid capitalizing on the peace agreement,
4.       To avoid placing a heavy burden on local people, 
5.       To strictly abide by the existing laws, and  
6.       To march towards a democratic country in accord with the 2008 Constitution.

Mutu Say Poe

The Karen National Union (KNU) leader Mutu Say Poe is a close confidant of Min Aung Hlaing and is even jokingly depicted by many as a sample pupil of the Tatmadaw's peace process structure. Now even he was forced to protest the Tatmadaw's heavy-handedness on the Ethnic Armed Organizations (EAOs), as it begins to directly attack the NCA signatory the RCSS and the KNU indirectly.  The Karen Border Guard Force (KBGF), which is jointly commanded by the Tatmadaw conducted offensives against the splinter group of Democratic Karen Buddhist Army (DKBA), intruding into the KNU controlled area of Hat Gyi, where a dam is scheduled to be built by the government.

The KNU and RCSS are two core EAOs, from a total of eight EAO signatories of the NCA, that have thousands of troops, while the others only have token armed forces with only few soldiers, except for the DKBA.

Mutu outlined his plea in his recent speech during the NCA anniversary as below.

·         It is necessary to avoid the use of force in our attempts to adopt and exercise the new political culture of the NCA and in finding political solutions through political means.
·         For instance, it is necessary to stop the ongoing armed conflicts in northern Myanmar.
·         Although incidents are understandable, intentional attacks are not acceptable. Leaders from both sides are responsible to reach an agreement on interpretation of the NCA.
·         Therefore, on behalf of NCA signatories, I would like to call for the government and the Tatmadaw with all seriousness to ease policies and suspend the use of force in order to pave way for non-signatories to sign the NCA.
United Nationalities Federal Council (UNFC)

The UNFC, an alliance of seven ethnic armies, that is the non-signatory of the NCA didn't attend the occasion even though it was invited. But immediately after the NCA anniversary occasion, the government's Peace Council (PC), headed by Dr Tin Myo Win, and the UNFC's Delegation for Peace Negotiation (DPN), led by Khu Oo Reh met in the afternoon.

After a few hours of meeting the DPN's joint-secretary Tun Zaw was interviewed by the BBC, in which he said that the talks were about accommodation of the UNFC's eight point proposal that was already handed in to the government a few weeks ago. Accordingly, if the said points could be negotiated satisfactorily, another point of signing the NCA would be included, making the eight point proposal to become a nine point agreement.

The UNFC proposal centers around all-inclusiveness, unilateral or bilateral ceasefire and a tripartite dialogue proposal to make each level of the peace negotiation to be fair and equitable.

However, Tun Zaw said that the important point discussed was said to be on how Ceasefire Joint Monitoring Committee (JMC) should be empowered to make it workable.

The DPN was said to proposed that the role of international participation in the mechanism of JMC implementation and enforcement, so that positive achievement could be evaluated, as the recent self-employed peace keeping structure, given the inability to end the  some seven decades old ethnic conflict  and not producing satisfactory result and achievement.

The idea was said to be met with cold shoulder from the part of the military and meeting ended without any resolution, with an understanding to meet again to resolve the remaining issues between the two parties in the coming November.

Reportedly, four out of eight point proposal was said to be resolved, although both sides did not spell them out.

The Rohingya conflict

Another issue that has thrust forcefully into the political scene is the Rohingya conflict, equally alarming if not more than the ongoing EAOs and Tatmadaw (Burma Army) conflict.
On October 9, around 400 militants in a coordinated action targeted three Burma border posts along the border with Bangladesh and killed around nine soldiers.
The President's office has also released an official statement detailing information obtained through interrogation of apprehended suspects, as well as apparent intelligence sources.

However, the Burma Human Rights Network (BHRN), based in London, on 17 October, refuted the statement of Burma President's office described a well organized armed group called Aqa Mul Mujahadeen, whom they said were funded by middle eastern sources and connected to proscribed terrorist groups.
The BHRN questioned the validity of this uprising being a well-planned military operation, as its statement said: " If the men in the video are assumed to be responsible it should also be noted that they depict only a few dozen adult men with assault rifles and that the vast majority seen in the videos are children armed with swords, sticks and farming tools. This again draws questions into any accounts describing the group as well organized, well funded or well trained."

Whatever the regime likes to portray the situation, the recent violence outburst of the Rohingya is the product of the successive military governments side-lining and oppressing of said ethnic group. There might be some elements that have received training somewhere abroad. But according to available data, it seems to be more of a home-grown rebellion due to the injustice and oppression, rather than a well-planned military operation, involving only rebel combatants.
According to the New Delhi based The Wire, "After this major border incident, Bangladesh had moved swiftly and arrested two of the attackers and handed them over to Myanmar."
Accordingly on 16 October, Dhaka "unequivocally" condemned the attack and promised to help track down the perpetrators. "Bangladesh follows a 'zero tolerance' policy towards violent extremism and terrorism of any form and manifestation," said a statement issued by Bangladesh foreign ministry.

Outlook

Taking cues from the events that have been unfolding, assessment on stakeholders' political stance; the government and military policy in dealing with the EAOs; and the government's handling of the Arakan conflict involving the Rohingya's spontaneous rebellion or armed outburst would be in order.

First let us look at the issue of the stakeholders political positions in relation to the contemporary political happenings.

Suu Kyi could be said to have reiterated her previous commitment of all-inclusiveness and genuine ceasefire achievement, although she is powerless to rein in the military to stop its offensives in Kachin, Shan and Karen States, excluding Arakan State, where the government seems to be working in tandem with the military on the recent Rohingya uprising.

While the military is trying to project its image that the offensives in the Kachin, Shan and Karen States are with the blessing of the government, Suu Kyi's recent speech indicated that it might not be the case. Because her clear urging that the conflict and warring parties should compete more in extinguishing the flames of war and not firing power or escalating the conflict showed that she couldn't have agreed to the heightening of armed conflict that the military has decided to implement. And clearly, especially the offensives in Kachin and Shan States are the handiwork of the military and not an accidental armed engagement, while patrolling. Apart from that, the conflict in Karen State between the KBFG and the splinter group of DKBA unfolded as an intentional encroachment of the KNU territory, which is against the NCA.

It should also be noted that the RCSS and the KNU are signatories of the NCA.

The Commander-in-Chief has clearly indicated that it is not going to abdicate from the military's self-employed national savior role and protector of the multi-party democracy, sovereignty and national unity, even though this image projection of the military is highly debatable and controversial.

Its mentioning, as if it is part of the multi-party democratic system is deplorable, as the military occupied twenty-five percent of the MP seats in all parliaments without election; having a bigger say in NDSC that is existing parallel with the government, where no such structure is allowed in a real democratic system of governance; and also the parallel military court together with the country's judicial system. As such, the Commander-in-Chief taking cover and leaning on the elected civilian government to blast at the EAOs has no bearings and moral weight, so to speak.

Finally, justifying the military's offensives in the name of protecting the ethnic population is an undue credit accumulation, as all know that how much human rights violations have the military committed on the population during these years of war in ethnic states. One only needs to go through tons of documentation compiled by the UN and reputable rights organizations. Besides, even a child knows that opening war front on the EAOs is not conducive to the peace process and trust-building and could even be seen as sabotaging the deliberation that otherwise might lead to peace.

As for KNU leader Mutu Say Poe, it has made a plea that the military allowed all-inclusive participation of all EAOs and to stop the military offensives nationwide. But whether his plea would be heard and implemented is totally another question.

The UNFC has not budged from its demand for either unilateral or bilateral ceasefire to be in place first, coupled with an eight point proposal to amend the NCA, if it were to sign it, according to the government and military wishes. But it has made clear that military pressure on the Kachin Independence Army (KIA), with the extension of all the UNFC members, would be counter-productive as a means of pressure to sign the NCA and would be met with only stiff resistance.

In sum, the government and the military positions in Kachin, Shan and Karen States seem to differ, as the military is bent on "negotiated surrender" stance, while the NLD is for all-inclusiveness and negotiated settlement. And this seemingly uncoordinated strategy is not leading the country to peaceful settlement and successful political outcome.

Still no one is quite sure whether the NLD government and the military are doing things in cooperation or the government just being dragged into a mum or tight-lipped situation and has to act as if it is agreeing to what the military has been doing in ethnic states, with the exception of the Arakan State on Rohingya issue.

Regarding the Rohingya rebellion situation, the military and the government seems to be on the same page so far.

The violent protest, with no doubt,  stems from the building up of the tension all through theses years that has finally exploded.  The 1982 citizenship law of General Ne Win era, that have stripped all the Rohingya of their citizenship and eventually lumped all the Muslims with origin from Bangladesh into an illegal immigrant category, might be the main culprit.

While Islamophobia and xenophobia definitely might be playing important roles in this racial and ethnic conflict, it is simply not correct not to differentiate those who are entitled to be citizens and those who enter the country illegally, after the independence from the British in 1948.

The angst of over foreignization or xenophobia is understandable, especially for the Arakanese. But lumping the whole ethnic group, legal and illegal, into inhumane treatment of illegality might not also be correct and could even become an act of racial discrimination, leading to racism.

As such a new set of conceptual thinking which could accommodate the liberal democratic principles and preserving the ethnic identity of the indigenous Arakanese must be found. All know that assuming the policy line of Ne Win's side-lining and oppression would only breed animosity and rebellion, as is evident by the recent violent outburst. It might even be considered as an  act of despair and disappointment.

In a concrete term, filtering out the illegal immigrants with the cooperation of the neighboring country and reinstating the citizenship rights of those who are entitled is the only way to go. As to how this could be achieve would be entirely up to the government and stakeholders concerned, including those at the receiving end, depending on their creativity, degree of harmony aspirations of peaceful co-existence and innovation.

To conclude, the unless the military could make an about turn from its "negotiated surrender" stance and top-dog, preconceived posture, the war with the EAOs won't end and the peace process would remain a pipe-dream. The same goes for the resolution of Rohingya issue, so long as only side-lining and oppression is used and not humane accommodation.



Thousands of Red Shans demand self-rule

Posted: 18 Oct 2016 03:37 AM PDT

Thousands of ethnic Red Shan people have marched to demand the creation of a new autonomous state.


According to Naing Naing Kyaw, the leader of the demonstration, marchers came to the town of Moenyin last Thursday from as far afield as northern Sagaing Division to join Kachin-based Red Shans in calling for their own self-administered state.

"Throughout history, this area was ruled by the Shan," he said. "Therefore, we want to govern our own territory.

"In Kachin, the KIA [Kachin Independence Army] controls the region; in upper Sagaing, the Naga and Kuki ethnic groups control large areas. But the Shan people have been oppressed, particularly in Kachin State. We are gradually dying out," Naing Naing Kyaw said. "That's why we staged this rally."

The protest leader added that this was the second time that Red Shan people had taken to the streets demanding self-rule. A previous demonstration took place last month in Homakling Township in Sagaing Division.

The Red Shan, also known as the Shan-ni in Burmese and Tai-leng in Shan language, was among a handful of ethnic groups that demanded their own self-administered region during the 21st Century Panglong Conference in Naypyidaw from August 31 to September 4.

The other militias that stood up to demand an ethnic state for their nationality are: the United Wa State Army (UWSA), arguably Burma's strongest ethnic armed group; the Ta'ang [Palaung] National Liberation Army (TNLA); and the Pa-Oh. Meanwhile, the National Democratic Alliance Army (NDAA) based in Mong La demanded a self-administered zone for ethnic Akha people.

Currently, Burma recognizes self-administered zones within Shan State for the Danu, Kokang, Pa-Oh and Palaung ethnic groups; the Wa group has its self-administered division and a self-administered zone for the Naga in Sagaing Division.

In January, Shan Herald reported that the Red Shan had formed their own army to protect the minority's interests and stand up for its claims of autonomy.

With a population estimated at 300,000, the Red Shan people have sizeable communities in upper Sagaing Division and Kachin State, particularly in Moenyin (known as Mong Yang in Shan), Moegaung, Myitkyina, Puta-O and Bhamaw.

By Shan Herald Agency for News (SHAN)

Monday, October 17, 2016

The Irrawaddy Magazine

The Irrawaddy Magazine


News Analysis: The NCA, One Year On

Posted: 17 Oct 2016 09:25 AM PDT

Attendees at the one-year commemoration of the signing of the nationwide ceasefire agreement in Naypyidaw. (Photo: Htet Naing Zaw / The Irrawaddy)

Attendees at the one-year commemoration of the signing of the nationwide ceasefire agreement in Naypyidaw. (Photo: Htet Naing Zaw / The Irrawaddy)

Saturday marked the first anniversary of the signing of the controversial nationwide ceasefire agreement (NCA) by the previous government and eight non-state armed groups, including those belonging to the Karen, Shan, Chin and Pa-O, among others. The occasion was commemorated in Naypyidaw by State Counselor Daw Aung San Suu Kyi and the current National League for Democracy government.

Leaders highlighted the need to work toward building peace and national reconciliation. Yet, one year on, fighting is ongoing in the northern parts of the country, and clashes have renewed between NCA signatories like the Restoration Council of Shan State (RCSS) and the Burma Army.

Armed Organizations as 'Fire Extinguishers'

In the past, Daw Aung San Suu Kyi has highlighted her own role in the peace process as that of a mediator or negotiator. On the NCA anniversary, she called on the cooperation of others in moving forward.

"Organizations should not compete in their fire power, but rather, vie to extinguish the fire," said the State Counselor in her address, which not did name specific armed groups, but pointed out that stakeholders which should be included are being left out.

There is also a continued Burma Army offensive against the Kachin Independence Army—which opted out of signing the NCA—in Kachin and northern Shan states.

Saw Mutu Say Poe, chair of the Karen National Union, spoke at the anniversary event on behalf of the NCA signatories.

"I would like to call for the government and Tatmadaw in all seriousness to ease their policies and suspend the use of force in order to pave way for non-signatories to sign the NCA," he said.

Forty days before the anniversary, the NLD government concluded the Union Peace Conference, known as the 21st Century Panglong, in Naypyidaw, with both signatories and non-signatories of the NCA participating.

The framework on future political dialogue is being reviewed in order for it to include all armed group stakeholders. From there, political talks are to be held at the state and regional level. But those who have not signed the NCA would not have the opportunity to hold such talks; the Tatmadaw pointed out that it would be beyond the reach of the NCA.

In his speech, army chief Snr-Gen Min Aung Hlaing reiterated that "without signing the NCA pact, any initiatives toward a national level meeting should not be attempted."

Indeed, Burma's biggest armed force, the Tatmadaw, has lacked any demonstration of magnanimity toward the country's ethnic armed groups.

Could the UNFC Members Become NCA Signatories?

Despite setbacks over the past year, the seven-member non-signatory coalition of the United Nationalities Federal Council (UNFC) expressed optimism toward the peace process after meeting government peace negotiators on Saturday afternoon in Naypyidaw.

"Signing NCA could become possible as now the government has agreed to some of [the points in] our proposal," head of the UNFC's delegation for political negotiations (DPN) Khu Oo Reh told the press after the meeting, and added that further discussion on military affairs is still needed.

The UNFC stakeholders will meet with the government again in early November, according to Hla Maung Shwe, the adviser to the government's peace commission. The team is optimistic that the UNFC's DPN will join a review meeting on the framework for political dialogue this week in Rangoon.

New Roadmap

The State Counselor, who is also the head of the National Reconciliation and Peace Center, laid out an updated seven-step road map toward achieving national reconciliation and peace at the Union level. It includes the review and amendment of the political dialogue framework, the convening of a peace conference [every six months] through the approved framework, and the signing of an agreement based on the results of the conferences.

The roadmap further describes a plan to amend the 2008 Constitution based on the future peace agreement, with the ultimate goal outlined as building a democratic federal union through the holding of multi-party general elections.

Currently the stakeholders are engaged in the first step, a review of the dialogue framework, which has been ongoing since before the commencement of the Union peace conference in late August.

Citizens of Burma are familiar with such roadmaps, which were introduced under the junta in 2003, as well as under the previous quasi-civilian government in 2015, based on the original text of the NCA.

Article 20 described the seven steps as: signing the NCA, drafting a framework for political dialogue, holding national talks based on the framework and working on the process of "security reintegration," holding the Union Peace Conference, signing a Union-level accord, getting the accord ratified by the Parliament, and implementing the agreement and security reintegration process.

One year later, around half of the steps have been implemented.

"The current government should continue implementing the rest of the steps," said a former staff member of the Myanmar Peace Center—which operated under ex-President Thein Sein—speaking under the condition of anonymity. The new roadmap, he said, is the same as the NCA's, with the exception of the State Counselor's suggestion that the Constitution be amended after the signing of a Union-level peace accord.

The post News Analysis: The NCA, One Year On appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

Villagers Flee Maungdaw Security Operations

Posted: 17 Oct 2016 08:56 AM PDT

Dozens of Maungdaw residents flee their homes in rural Maungdaw Township to Arakan State capital Sittwe on Friday afternoon. (Photo: Hein Htet / The Irrawaddy)

Dozens of Maungdaw residents flee their homes in rural Maungdaw Township to Arakan State capital Sittwe on Friday afternoon. (Photo: Hein Htet / The Irrawaddy)

The Arakan State Chief Minister conducted a meeting with civil society organizations on Monday morning on how to shelter hundreds of internally displaced persons (IDPs) in state capital Sittwe, according to city resident U Thar Pwint, who attended the meeting.

U Thar Pwint said that as of Monday morning about 800 IDPs who have fled homes in Maungdaw Township in northern Arakan State are depending on several Buddhist monasteries in Sittwe for support.

After alleged militants attacked border police checkpoints on Oct. 9, killing nine police officers and looting firearms and ammunitions, military security operations have resulted in several dozen deaths among the army, the police and alleged Islamic militants in Maungdaw Township and have caused villagers to flee.

Arakan State Chief Minister U Nyi Pu agreed to open a temporary camp at Danyawaddy sports grounds in Sittwe where IDPs—mainly women, children, and the elderly—are provided with food, clothes, and mosquito nets.

The Irrawaddy contacted Arakan State spokesperson U Min Aung to learn more about the relocation plan but he was unavailable for comment.

Social activist and Sittwe resident Ko Wai Hun Aung was surprised to hear the number of IDPs in Sittwe had risen to 800 from merely 200 a few days ago.

The number of IDPs is also climbing in Maungdaw where Buddhist Arakanese residents—who are estimated to make up less than 10 percent of Maungdaw and neighboring Buthidaung townships—continue fleeing from countryside villages to Maungdaw town.

Ko Wai Hun Aung was distributing food to IDPs in Maungdaw and said that about 1,500 people are relying on aid in Buthidaung and 450 in Maungdaw downtown monasteries.

"Most of the displaced persons are now in Buthidaung town because they believe the security force is better than in downtown Maungdaw," he said.

Ko Wai Hun Aung said that although they have not been attacked, IDPs are concerned about safety in Maungdaw Township's rural areas because the small Buddhist Arakanese villages are surrounded by Muslim villages.

Buddhist and Muslim communities in Arakan State, also known as Rakhine State, remain largely segregated since anti-Muslim violence in 2012 and 2013, which displaced around 140,000 people, the majority of them self-identifying Muslim Rohingya. The government does not recognize the Rohingya among Burma's official ethnic groups, and instead labels them as "Bengali."

Irrawaddy reporters on the ground have reported during the recent skirmishes in northern Arakan State, many Rohingya have also fled their villages. The Burma Army has been blocking media access to rural areas of Maungdaw Township where security operations are taking place, on the grounds that it is unsafe, and many local Rohingya have been fearful of talking to media.

Some Maungdaw Township villagers have remained in rural areas to watch over property and land. When speaking to The Irrawaddy they said that everything was calm.

On Monday afternoon, Union ministers who visited Arakan State last week held a press conference in Naypyidaw. According to the government press release, five soldiers have been killed since operations begun. A total of 29 suspected militants have been killed and another 29 suspects are currently detained for interrogation.

According to local sources, the bodies of three Arakanese villagers who had been missing since Oct. 10 were reportedly found near the Pyint Phyu village on Monday afternoon. It was unclear how or when they died and calls to Maungdaw police officials went unanswered.

The post Villagers Flee Maungdaw Security Operations appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

Aid Delegation Meets Displaced Arakan State Communities

Posted: 17 Oct 2016 07:23 AM PDT

Members of an aid delegation tour IDP camps surrounding Sittwe on Friday. (Photo: Hein Htet / The Irrawaddy)

Members of an aid delegation tour IDP camps surrounding Sittwe on Friday. (Photo: Hein Htet / The Irrawaddy)

SITTWE, Arakan State — A delegation from the United Nations (UN), led by the under-secretary general of the UN's Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (UN OCHA), visited displaced communities outside of the Arakan State capital of Sittwe on Friday.

Reporters from The Irrawaddy accompanied Stephen O'Brien, who also serves as UN OCHA's emergency relief coordinator, on the trip to one of the region's internally displaced people's (IDP) camps which have housed disproportionate numbers of the Rohingya Muslim minority since riots forced an estimated 140,000 people from their homes in 2012.

The delegation first visited Thet Kae Pyin IDP camp—isolated behind police checkpoints—and met Rohingya community leaders who asked O'Brien when they might be able to return to their homes and attain greater freedom of movement.

"I worry a lot about what will happen to my children's generation, as they do not have education," one leader said.

Khin Sein, a Rohingya midwife, spoke at the meeting of the difficulty faced by those in the camp regarding access to health care. If someone is sick and needs to go to a hospital in Sittwe, she said, they must rent a car and be accompanied by security forces. The cost of this trip alone can be 20,000-30,000 kyats (US$15-$23).

Upon arriving at the hospital, "we have to ask the police to buy food for us," Khin Sein added. "If they do not, then we will have no food to eat."

Income is difficult to come by in the camps, as jobs are scarce, limited to trishaw operation, the cultivation of small vegetable plots, and occasional fishing. Many Rohingya once owned tea shops, restaurants, and markets in Sittwe prior to the 2012 riots.

Kyaw Hla, an elderly Rohingya community leader, was once a politician.

He expressed frustration with the lack of recognition provided to the Muslim minority, who are labeled as "Bengali" by the government and have largely seen their citizenship revoked.

Even ex-dictator Ne Win recognized us as Rohingya, he said, unlike Burma's last president, Thein Sein, who "treated us as outsiders," a policy which he pointed out has continued.

"We have our house registration and our businesses there [in Sittwe]. But they took it," he said, referring to the Arakanese Buddhist residents in the capital. Some Arakanese were also displaced in the riots, and were resettled; the WFP delegation also visited one such resettlement site.

At a meeting with the Arakanese community, UN OCHA's O'Brien asked if there had been any recent communication with local Muslims. A group of women present in the meeting collectively said no.

"Why do we have to keep in touch with them?" she said. "We wish and pray to never stay with them again."

O'Brien reminded the people present that the delegation was a humanitarian group and could not take sides, but rather, listen to people's needs in order to improve their situation.

On the way back to Sittwe, a representative from the delegation said that after hearing from both sides, no solution was yet in sight to the crisis.

The post Aid Delegation Meets Displaced Arakan State Communities appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

Sagaing Ferry Accident Kills at Least 29

Posted: 17 Oct 2016 07:03 AM PDT

Location of the rescue operation near Michaung Dwin village in Kani Township. (Photo: The Irrawaddy)

Location of the rescue operation near Michaung Dwin village in Kani Township. (Photo: The Irrawaddy)

RANGOON—Rescuers have recovered at least 29 bodies after a ferry carrying some 300 passengers capsized on the Chindwin River in Sagaing Division's Kani Township on Saturday, the township General Administration Department (GAD) said on Monday.

The privately owned Aung Soe Moe Kyaw-2 ferry, transporting passengers from Homalin to Monywa, reportedly sank in the river near Michaung Dwin village early on Saturday morning, according to the local emergency rescue team.

A total of 159 survivors have been found and were provided temporary shelter at hospitals and monasteries near the village, a GAD official at the location of the rescue operation told The Irrawaddy on Monday.

Of those killed, 23 were women and six were men; the death toll of the accident is expected to climb, the official said.

Lower House lawmaker U Tun Tun Naing of Kani Township said that the accident was allegedly "the result of negligence" of the helmsman. He added that the helmsman and the owner of the overcrowded ferry both went missing after the incident.

S Willy Frient, Director of the Sagaing Division's Relief and Resettlement Department said that the ferry was found on Monday and that the rescue team was trying to salvage it.

The ferry was carrying close to 300 passengers and 18 motorcycles while the maximum capacity of the ferry is between 120 and 150 passengers, according to the director. "It was filled way beyond its capacity," he told The Irrawaddy.

"It is believed that the ferry had life jackets but these were only sufficient to cover one-tenth of the total passengers it was carrying," he added.

He also noted that ferry owners usually travel with their boats and that they fill ferries beyond capacity to earn more money.

The Irrawaddy tried reaching officials from Sagaing Division's Inland Water Transport Department who were at the location of the rescue operation on Monday, but they were not available to comment.

The post Sagaing Ferry Accident Kills at Least 29 appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

Daw Aung San Suu Kyi Goes to India

Posted: 17 Oct 2016 06:23 AM PDT

India's Prime Minister Narendra Modi meets State Counselor Aung San Suu Kyi at the Bimstec summit in Goa, India. (Photo: Ministry of Information / Facebook)

India's Prime Minister Narendra Modi meets State Counselor Aung San Suu Kyi at the Bimstec summit in Goa, India. (Photo: Ministry of Information / Facebook)

Historically, Burma has enjoyed strong relations with India, not with China.

During the country's independence movement many Burmese politicians had great associations with India. Gen Aung San, Burma's independence hero, was closely connected to India’s first Prime Minister Jawaharlal Nehru and his family. Gen Ne Win, Burma's strong-man dictator, had close relations with the Indian Prime Minister Indira Gandhi and her family.

Buddhism travelled from India to Burma and today, an increasing number of Burmese pilgrims travel to Bodh Gaya in northern India, one of Buddhism’s holiest sites.

The wily British—as many senior Burmese like to call them—administered Burma as a province of India when they colonized the country in the 19th Century. Burma's last monarch King Thibaw spent his final days as a prisoner of the British colonialists in India's Ratnagiri, a port city on the Arabian Sea.

The king, his family, and many patriotic Burmese will never forgive the British. But when young students began to think of liberating their country from British rule, they looked to India and forged connections with politicians and activists there. Burma and India shared a common dream to be liberated from colonialism. During the colonial period, many wealthy Burmese parents sent their children to India to study.

This week, State Counselor Aung San Suu Kyi lands in Goa to attend the Bay of Bengal Initiative for Multi-Sectoral Technical and Economic Cooperation (or Bimstec) summit. We will see if and how India's Burma policy will bring more meaningful engagement between the two countries. Likewise, Burma will re-engage India under a new government that is obviously struggling to rebalance its strategic relations with powerful China.

There is no doubt that we share a common ground. New Delhi is hoping to strengthen warm relations with Burma and Daw Aung San Suu Kyi is no stranger to India. Her mother Daw Khin Kyi served as ambassador to India in 1960, she became the first woman to serve as a head of the Burma mission abroad. A young Daw Aung San Suu Kyi went along. India's then Prime Minister Jawaharlal Nehru, who knew Aung San, made a special arrangement for the Aung San family to live on New Delhi's 24 Akbar Road in a colonial-era complex designed by Edwin Lutyens.

In late August this year, India's External Affairs Minister Sushma Swaraj visited Burma and met with the State Counselor. New Delhi wanted Daw Aung San Suu Kyi to pay an official visit to India, but the new leader made a pragmatic decision to visit China instead. Instead, Burma's President U Htin Kyaw made a four-day visit to India in August. It was obvious, however, that New Delhi was looking to have a substantive dialogue with Daw Aung San Suu Kyi, not with U Htin Kyaw.

Burma shares a 1,600 km land boundary with India's northeastern states and India is anxious about a separatist movement on the India-Burma border. Ethnic rebels such as the Assamese, the Manipuri and the Naga have been known to take refuge in Burma and launch raids back across the border. During her visit, Swaraj received assurance that the Burmese government would not allow any insurgent groups to use its territory in attacks against India.

Likewise, India offered to assist the new government in its uphill battle to transform an old system of government. New Delhi has been monitoring closely the recent attacks on the Burma-Bangladesh border by militants with alleged links to terrorist organizations. Daw Aung San Suu Kyi will listen to the advice of her Indian counterparts.

Aside from limiting China's influence over Burma, New Delhi wants to engage on the economic front—particularly the energy sector. India is said to be very interested in importing gas and oil from Burma.

India's Look East policy—in which the country sought deeper relations with Southeast Asia—was well publicized, but many Burmese feel New Delhi's engagement lags behind that of Beijing's. In the geopolitical game, China is ahead of India in Burma. However, to put it frankly, China is not popular among the Burmese people.

Since taking office, India's Prime Minister Narendra Modi developed Look East into Act East. How India and Burma engage during Daw Aung San Suu Kyi's visit will be vital to his Southeast Asian policy.

The post Daw Aung San Suu Kyi Goes to India appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

Giant Jade Stone Uncovered in Kachin State

Posted: 17 Oct 2016 05:52 AM PDT

A 210-ton jade stone has been unearthed in Hpakant, Kachin State (Photo: Shan Kyi / Facebook)

A 210-ton jade stone has been unearthed in Hpakant, Kachin State (Photo: Shan Kyi / Facebook)

RANGOON — A giant jade stone estimated to weigh 210 tons was uncovered in the jade mining hub of Hpakant in Kachin State last week and is now being guarded by police.

"We can say it is the largest piece of jade ever unearthed in Burma," confirmed U Win Htein, director general from the Ministry of Natural Resources and Environmental Conservation.

The jade stone, measuring 19-feet long by 14-feet high by 15-feet wide, has not yet been valued and how to transport the stone is still under negotiation, according to U Win Htein.

He told The Irrawaddy that the valuable stone was discovered at Yadanar Taung Tann Gems Co.'s mine, which is operating in a 60:40 joint venture with the ministry, in Sate Mu village, Hpakant Township last Monday.

"A 3,000-ton piece was found in the state in [the year] 2000 but was not uncovered," U Win Htein said, making this the largest piece of jade unearthed in Burma. The previous slab of jade was more than 70-feet long by 20-feet high by 16-feet wide and donated to the ruling junta.

A report released by the London-based NGO Global Witness in October last year revealed that vast revenues generated by Burma's jade trade continue to flow into the pockets of senior military officials and well-connected crony firms.

The report titled "Jade: Myanmar's 'Big State Secret'" estimated that Burma's jade production was valued as high as US$31 billion for the year 2014.

The government has announced that all remaining jade mining licenses will expire in 2018, and licenses will only be considered for renewal after the completion of an environmental management plan for jade mining areas of Kachin State.

The post Giant Jade Stone Uncovered in Kachin State appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

Food Price Hikes, Livelihood Restrictions in Maungdaw as Manhunt Continues

Posted: 17 Oct 2016 03:35 AM PDT

maungdaw-day-1-2

Security forces conduct a manhunt through rural areas of Maungdaw Township, northern Arakan State, in pursuit of those behind recent attacks on border guard posts. (Photo: Hein Htet / The Irrawaddy)

MAUNGDAW, Arakan State — As police and the Burma Army continue their manhunt across rural areas of Maungdaw Township in northern Arakan State for perpetrators of Oct. 9 attacks on border guard posts, Maungdaw locals face rising food prices and livelihood restrictions.

While most of the estimated 250 attackers remain on the run—their precise identity unknown—police and locals have claimed that the Oct. 9 attacks were conducted with the crucial involvement of local Muslims, who mostly identify as Rohingya (but whom the government calls "Bengali"), with police casting suspicion on Rohingya caretakers at the border guard posts.

In the hub town of Maungdaw, close to the Bangladesh border, roadblocks have been imposed at every entrance, and police and army personnel question each Muslim who passes. Last week, an existing curfew from 11p.m. – 4 a.m. was extended to 7 p.m. – 6 a.m. throughout Maungdaw District, and is rigorously enforced, making the town eerily quiet during curfew hours.

Security forces conduct a manhunt through rural areas of Maungdaw Township, northern Arakan State, in pursuit of those behind recent attacks on border guard posts. (Photo: Hein Htet / The Irrawaddy)

Security forces conduct a manhunt through rural areas of Maungdaw Township, northern Arakan State, in pursuit of those behind recent attacks on border guard posts. (Photo: Hein Htet / The Irrawaddy)

Deliveries of food and commodities to Maungdaw town have been restricted, causing a sudden rise in prices. Since the attacks and the ensuing security clampdown, a bag of rice has gone from 24,000 to 28,000 kyats, one viss (a local measurement equaling 1.63 kilograms) has gone from 1,500 to 2,000 kyats, and one viss of cooking oil has leapt from 2,500 to 3,500 kyats. Even mobile phone users have been hit, with 5,000 kyat MPT top-up cards selling for 5,900 kyats.

Authorities have banned local residents from going out to sea for fishing, which many Rohingya rely on for their livelihoods. Seafood has been scarce in local markets as a result.

The Burma Army and the police have reportedly yet to secure the countryside, where operations have resulted in several dozen deaths among the army, the police and alleged Islamic militants. This has caused Buddhist Arakanese residents—who are estimated to make up less than 10 percent of Maungdaw and neighboring Buthidaung townships—to continue fleeing from villages to Maungdaw town, where they are staying at relatives' houses or at Buddhist monasteries.

During the manhunt by police and the army, many Rohingya have also fled their villages—it is unclear to where. There have been conflicting, unverified reports of village houses being burned by either Burmese security forces or the militants behind the border guard post attacks.

However, the Burma Army has been blocking media access to rural areas of the township where security operations are taking place, on the grounds that it is unsafe, and many local Rohingya have been fearful of talking to media.

Irrawaddy reporters were stopped on Sunday by soldiers at Kyikanpin village in Maungdaw Township, the site of the border guard police headquarters attacked on Oct. 9, and prevented from traveling to Aung Mingalar village, four miles further north, in accordance with a high-level army order received that day.

Security forces conduct a manhunt through rural areas of Maungdaw Township, northern Arakan State, in pursuit of those behind recent attacks on border guard posts. (Photo: Hein Htet / The Irrawaddy)

Security forces conduct a manhunt through rural areas of Maungdaw Township, northern Arakan State, in pursuit of those behind recent attacks on border guard posts. (Photo: Hein Htet / The Irrawaddy)

Police Col. Myo Lin Aung told reporters that the militants had been stashing weaponry in the vicinity of Aung Mingalar, as well as food provisions to last three months.

Among police circles in Maungdaw Township, suspicion has fallen on Rohingya caretakers employed at the border guard headquarters and outposts that came under attack on Oct. 9, with some maintaining that their involvement was essential in the raids—for instance in seizing the 51 firearms, many of which were stored in hidden locations known to caretakers on the grounds and few others.

Rohingya in are regularly employed as menial labor in government offices, police stations, and businesses owned by Buddhist Arakanese in northern Arakan State. The whereabouts of the caretakers at the border guard posts attacked on Oct. 9 does not appear to be known.

Zaw Htoo, the Buddhist Arakanese administrator for Muslim-majority Ah Lel Than Kyaw village tract, in the southern coastal reaches of Maungdaw Township, said that, "Without local [Rohingya] people, they [the militants] could not have raided those police bases."

He said that he personally recognized a man featured in a purported militant propaganda video that has circulated widely on social media—in which armed men call for Muslims to join a jihad in Arakan State to defend the Rohingya—and said he understood the dialect used in the video, which is the same as that spoken by local Muslims in the township.

"No one from Bangladesh is involved in this [militant] group. They all are from the north of Maungdaw Township," he said.

Ba Cho, a Rohingya from Ah Lie Than Kyaw who has worked as a medical officer for the government, shared Zaw Htoo's belief that the militants were local to northern Maungdaw Township.

"We were surprised to hear of it. How could they do it? We have never heard of such a thing in all our lives," he said. "We do not support violence."

Village tract administrator Zaw Htoo said they were "very worried for their security," since they could see the unregulated movement of people and goods on a daily basis across the river that separates the village cluster from Bangladesh.

"They could transport guns by river," he said, and "go in and out of Bangladesh at any time." He said that Burmese authorities had seized a cache of illegal firearms near his village in 2012.

All schools in the area have been closed since the beginning of last week—as they have been across Maungdaw District—and local government staff have fled along with more than 100 Buddhist Arakanese residents, although Ah Lel Than Kyaw village tract has remained peaceful.

Zaw Htoo said that the manhunt conducted by police and the army across the township would continue to prove challenging, due to the militants' purported ability to blend in with the local Muslim community, and the reluctance of local Muslims to work with Burmese authorities.

"It is hard to know what is going on in their community," he said.

On Friday, the President's Office announced that four suspects connected to the Oct. 9 attacks had confessed to belonging to an Islamic militant group called Aqa Mul Mujahidin, linked to the Rohingya Solidarity Organization (a group considered defunct since the 1990s), and to having received funds from outside terrorist organizations and wealthy individuals in the Middle East with the goal of radicalizing local Muslims and occupying parts of northern Arakan State.

The post Food Price Hikes, Livelihood Restrictions in Maungdaw as Manhunt Continues appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

Maungdaw Police Chief Replaced

Posted: 17 Oct 2016 02:53 AM PDT

Minister of Home Affairs Lt-Gen Kyaw Swe in Maungdaw District on Monday. (Photo: Hein Htet / The Irrawaddy)

Minister of Home Affairs Lt-Gen Kyaw Swe in Maungdaw District on Monday. (Photo: Hein Htet / The Irrawaddy)

MAUNGDAW, Arakan State—Burma's Minister of Home Affairs has replaced the Border Guard Force police chief of Maungdaw District over the recent fatal attacks on three border guard outposts in the area.

The Minister, Lt-Gen Kyaw Swe, told the media that he had appointed Thura San Lwin as a successor to Maung Maung Khaing during a tour to the township in northern Arakan State on Monday.

"I am really not pleased with what happened, so I replaced the leadership at once," he said.

"I have appointed a person who I can trust," said the minister. "He [Thura San Lwin] has experience from fighting Communist armed groups and he will be in charge of operations."

Lt-Gen Kyaw Swe, a serving army officer who was appointed to head the military-controlled Ministry of Home of Affairs by Commander-in-Chief Snr-Gen Min Aung Hlaing, made a series of hardline statements seemingly intended to rally nationalist sentiment.

He blamed the Muslim community of northern Arakan State, who mostly identify as Rohingya and form the overwhelming majority in Maungdaw District, for encroaching on the Buddhist Arakanese community by having too many children, with the men taking up to “four wives” each.

"We will protect our ethnic people,” he said, under a definition that excludes Muslim Rohingya, who are not considered “ethnic” by the Burmese government.

“We want our ethnic people to have freedom. I want to ask them [Buddhist Arakanese] not to leave their villages. If they leave, other people will come to take their place," he said, referring to perceived Muslim encroachment.

He also called for the many Buddhist Arakanese who have migrated to work in other parts of Burma, such as the jade-rich area of Hpakant in Kachin State, to return to Arakan State and “protect their land.”

Fatal attacks on border guard police posts on Oct. 9, followed by a manhunt focused on Maungdaw District, has led to several dozen deaths among police, Burma Army soldiers and militants suspected of looting 51 guns and thousands of ammunitions from the three outposts.

On Friday, Burma President's Office announced that the attacks were reportedly masterminded by a Taliban-trained militant with an affiliation to the long-defunct Rohingya Solidarity Organization.

Lt-Gen Kyaw Swe said on Monday that 16 suspects have been detained and are being interrogated. Based on intelligence from interrogations, the army and police will launch more military operations in northern parts of Maungdaw, where other suspects are believed to be hiding.

"The government has an obligation to bring all the looted weapons back," he said. "Therefore there will be more operations in northern Maungdaw,"

This article has been updated to include the home minister’s more hardline nationalist comments.

The post Maungdaw Police Chief Replaced appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

Late Thai King’s Confidant Confirmed as Temporary Regent 

Posted: 16 Oct 2016 09:54 PM PDT

Mourners enter the Grand Palace to pay their respects to the late King Bhumibol Adulyadej in Bangkok, Oct. 17. (Photo: Chaiwat Subprasom / Reuters)

Mourners enter the Grand Palace to pay their respects to the late King Bhumibol Adulyadej in Bangkok, Oct. 17. (Photo: Chaiwat Subprasom / Reuters)

BANGKOK, Thailand — A 96-year-old confidant of late King Bhumibol Adulyadej has been formally confirmed as the regent to manage the throne in the place of the crown prince and heir apparent, but it wasn’t clear how long the caretaker arrangement would last.

In a speech late Saturday, Prime Minister Prayuth Chan-ocha said that Crown Prince Maha Vajiralongkorn invited him and regent Prem Tinsulanonda for an audience to discuss the situation "as his royal highness was deeply concerned for the Thai people during this time of national bereavement."

Prem heads the Privy Council, a body of advisers to the monarchy, and was the closest adviser of Bhumibol. He is also known to be close to Bhumibol's highly popular daughter Maha Chakri Sirindhorn. Vajiralongkorn, who should have ascended the throne, has asked for more time to grieve along with the nation before taking over the monarchy. The constitution dictates that the Privy Council head be the regent in such a situation.

"His Highness’s only wish is to not let the people experience confusion or worry about the service of the land or even the ascension to the throne because this issue has the constitution, the royal laws and royal traditions to dictate it," Prayuth said in his message broadcast on television.

The 64-year-old crown prince implores everyone to help each other get through the grief first before thinking of his ascension to the throne, Prayuth said.

"Once merit-making and the cremation has passed …then it should be the right time to proceed. This procedure should not impact the work plan or any steps," he said.

No date has been set for the cremation, which in royal families is usually months if not years later. Officials have suggested it would be at least a year. Buddhist funeral ceremonies have already begun at the Grand Palace complex in Bangkok’s historic center where Bhumibol's body is kept in an ornate hall for the royal family members to pay respects. The hall will be opened to the public on Oct. 28.

Analysts say the question of succession is important because the late king had been the unifying glue that had held Thailand's often fractious politics together, and diffused tensions during crises when the dominant military was pitted against the civil society. While the institution of monarchy is generally revered and respected in Thailand, it is more so because of Bhumibol’s popularity that no other royal member commands.

"His death means that the Thai political system must find an alternative focal point around which to unite the country's factionalized population," said Tom Pepinsky, a Southeast Asia expert at Cornell University.

For ordinary Thais, succession was not particularly top on their minds for now as they were consumed by grief at the loss of a man many saw as their father and a demigod.

Tens of thousands of people are thronging at the palace complex to pay their last respects to a beloved monarch who dominated the memories of generations of Thais. Authorities have allowed people to enter the complex for a limited time, and only to sign condolence books in another hall.

The king of Bhutan is also expected to visit later Sunday.

Bhumibol's death after 70 years on the throne was a momentous event in Thailand, where the monarch has been glorified as an anchor for a fractious society that for decades has been turned on its head by frequent coups. Over the past 10 years, Thailand has suffered particularly intense political turmoil pitting arch-royalists against those seeking a redistribution of economic and political power, allied with Thaksin Shinawatra, a populist prime minister ousted in a 2006 coup.

But in recent years, Bhumibol had suffered from a variety of illnesses and seemed far removed from the upheavals of Thai politics, including the 2014 coup that brought current prime minister, an army general, to power.

A one-year mourning period for the government has been declared together with a 30-day moratorium on state and official events. But no substantial demands have been made of the private sector.

The government has only urged people to refrain from organizing entertainment events for a month, apparently mindful of the need to ensure that the sputtering economy, which relies heavily on tourism, does not suffer too much.

The post Late Thai King's Confidant Confirmed as Temporary Regent  appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

National News

National News


Death toll rises, more arrests made in troubled northern Rakhine State

Posted: 17 Oct 2016 12:18 AM PDT

The weekend was marked by more violence and arrests in northern Rakhine State as a young teacher was shot and an attack on security personnel ended in the deaths of three assailants. The latest bloodshed comes in the aftermath of what the government is calling a coordinated, deadly assault by Islamist insurgents on three Myanmar Border Police posts in Maungdaw and Rathedaung townships on October 9.

Five dead as Sagaing ferry capsizes

Posted: 17 Oct 2016 12:12 AM PDT

Divers and local volunteers are continuing to search for survivors following the sinking of a ferry in the Chindwin River in Sagaing Region on October 15. At least five people are known to be dead, but fears are growing that the death toll will be much higher.

Ceasefire anniversary prompts calls for more signatories

Posted: 17 Oct 2016 12:11 AM PDT

On the one-year anniversary of the nationwide ceasefire agreement, both State Counsellor Daw Aung San Suu Kyi and Commander-in-Chief Senior General Min Aung Hlaing called for more ethnic armed groups to sign the truce.

Bootleggers protest for right to sell DVDs

Posted: 17 Oct 2016 12:10 AM PDT

About 50 foreign DVD bootleggers gathered in Bahan township's Bo Sein Hman field yesterday for a protest against a crackdown on their illegal business.

Non-signatories, govt make strides toward joining NCA

Posted: 17 Oct 2016 12:10 AM PDT

The Delegation for Political Negotiation (DPN), which speaks for several non-signatories to the nationwide ceasefire, reached agreement with the government on four of eight points discussed with the latter's peace preparatory committee, led by U Tin Myo Win, in Nay Pyi Taw yesterday.

Draft law seeks to update YCDC with elected officials

Posted: 17 Oct 2016 12:04 AM PDT

A draft update to the 2013 Yangon City Development Affairs Law could see nearly all members of the municipal authority elected, according to a draft submitted to the region parliament last week. But critics say other legislative updates are needed to ensure all residents over the age of 18 are given the right to vote in the future municipal elections.

UNA adds members, calls for end to Tatmadaw offensives in ethnic areas

Posted: 16 Oct 2016 11:57 PM PDT

The United Nationalities Alliance demanded an end to military offensives in Kachin, Shan and Kayin states' ethnic areas at a summit held on October 15.

Mandalay journalist threatened after reporting on illegal logging

Posted: 16 Oct 2016 11:54 PM PDT

A journalist who says he was forced to flee his home for fear of reprisals from timber smugglers has accused local authorities in Mandalay Region of not coming to his aid. And another reporter, a freelancer, staged a one-man protest denouncing "corrupt officials".

People with disabilities gather for White Cane Day

Posted: 16 Oct 2016 11:51 PM PDT

More than a hundred people with disabilities from Magwe township gathered on October 15, White Cane Day, to celebrate their resilience and to change the prevailing views about disability.

Freedom of expression lost in fish essay case: PEN

Posted: 16 Oct 2016 11:48 PM PDT

Pen Myanmar, a national association of writers, claimed that the judicial system, in ruling against an author who wrote an essay from the perspective of a poisoned fish, misunderstands literature, the organisation said in a statement.

Shan Herald Agency for News

Shan Herald Agency for News


Strength in Diversity: Towards Universal Education in Myanmar’s Ethnic Areas

Posted: 17 Oct 2016 01:04 AM PDT

This study details the role and operations of non-state education providers in ethnic areas, specifically Mon, Shan and Karen States, and the interface with state education. This paper terms education providers connected to ethnic armed groups, and other community-based providers, as ethnic basic education providers (EBEPs), which have been providing vital pre-tertiary education services to conflict-affected communities. Given the political grievances arising out of the Burmanization of government education in the past, as well as the inaccessibility of state services in some of these areas, EBEPs have filled a significant gap and have been educating youths that live daily with conflicts and are at risk of hindered educational development. Valuing a diverse education sector and recognizing existing providers as important partners, will not only contribute to universal education goals and ensure access for all, but is a durable component of a successful peace process. We hope that this report will contribute to ongoing discussions of critical governance and reform issues that are cornerstone to Myanmar's transition and peace process.

By Kim Jolliffe and Emily Speers Mears