Tuesday, November 7, 2017

The Irrawaddy Magazine

The Irrawaddy Magazine


Lost Warriors: Seagrim and Pagani of Burma, The Last Great Untold Story of WWII

Posted: 07 Nov 2017 04:14 AM PST

It's often said that World War II never ended in the Karen Hills of Myanmar. Almost as soon as the country gained its independence from Britain in 1948, Karen hilltribe guerrillas, who had fought against the Japanese during the occupation, turned their guns against the government in Yangon (then Rangoon) to fight for self-determination for their own homeland. That war lasted until a ceasefire agreement was reached between the Karen National Union and Myanmar's central authorities in January 2012. It remains to be seen if that accord is going to lead to a lasting peace in what's now Karen State as it is only a ceasefire agreement and does not include any provision for a comprehensive political solution to a nearly seven decades long civil war.

A book about World War II would, therefore, be relevant even to today's situation in Myanmar's eastern border areas. In fact, Gen. Tamla Baw, one of the main leaders of the Karen movement until his death at the age of 94 in June 2014, was in his youth one of many young Karen guerrillas fighting alongside Maj. Hugh Seagrim, a British army officer, against the Japan's Imperial Army. Tamla Baw was captured by the Japanese in 1944 and was imprisoned for four months, but managed to escape and joined Force 136, another British-organized unit in occupied Burma.

Many Karens had been loyal to the British long before the war, and many of them had been recruited into the colonial police and army. Now, they had to face the revenge of the Burma Independence Army (BIA) and its Japanese backers, which exacerbated already existing animosity between the majority Burmans and an ethnic minority like the Karens. The Burmans took revenge, and many Karens were killed, among them a group of elders at Papun where Seagrim's guerrilla force was active. The Japanese were even more heavy-handed and reprisals against the Karen civilian population were so brutal that Seagrim surrendered rather than seeing the atrocities continue. At the same time, some of his Karen fighters had been captured and, during his trial in Rangoon, Seagrim told the Japanese "do not punish these Karens. It is only because of me that all these Karens have got into trouble. This war is between the Japanese and the British, not between the Japanese and the Karens. I beg you to release all these Karens here."

In a remarkable tribute to his enemy, Col. Sunyoshi, the Rangoon commander of the kempetai, or dreaded Japanese security police, reportedly said that, "I have never come across a finer gentleman." That did not help, however. Not only Seagrim was sentenced to death but seven of his men as well. Seagrim stood alongside some of his beloved Karens when he was executed by firing squad in an open space off Rangoon's Pyay (then Prome) Road on September 22, 1944. Blindfolded, they sang the hymn "The Solid Rock" as they were shot.

Seagrim's self-sacrifice on the Karens behalf became a legend and his life and struggle was first immortalized by Ian Morrison, a British journalist and author, in his classic Grandfather Longlegs: The Life and Gallant Death of Major H.P. Seagrim. Although he was only in his thirties when he was in hills of eastern Myanmar, the Karens addressed him respectfully as "grandfather" and his long legs gave him his popular nickname, Hpu Taw Kaw, or, literally "Grandfather Longlegs" in Karen.

Published in 1947, Morrison's book remained the only biography of Seagrim until the historian Philip Davies wrote Lost Warriors: Seagrim and Pagani of Burma, The last great untold story of WWII. Davies helped Thant Myint-U set up the Yangon Heritage Trust in 2012, so he is no newcomer to the Myanmar scene and his previous books include works on the architectural heritage of India.

Seagrim buried his own diaries and other papers before he ended up in Japanese custody, and efforts to retrieve them have proven unsuccessful, and, as Davies writes, "Seagrim's box remains undiscovered, hidden somewhere deep beneath the blood-red loam of the Karen hills." He has therefore, quite understandably, had to borrow a lot from Morrison's earlier book and also interviewed Seagrim's relatives and Karen survivors of the war. Davies more than Morrison also brings the remarkable exploits of Roy, or Ras, Pagani, an even younger British soldier who crossed paths with Seagrim and sometimes fought alongside him. While Seagrim was a Christian mystic and an intensely spiritual man, Pagani was more of an adventurer and, as Davies calls him "a serial escapee". He was at Dunkirk in 1940 and managed to escape, ended up in Southeast Asia and escaped from Singapore. Captured by the Japanese, Pagani was the only European to escape successfully from the Death Railway that Allied prisoners of war were forced to build to connect Thailand and Burma. In the jungle after that escape Pagani met some friendly Karens who took him to Seagrim's hiding place and the two began to fight together.

Davies used Pagani's own typescript of his life and wartime adventures, I Did It My Way, as the main source for his story. But unlike Seagrim, Pagani never became a legend. After the war, he returned home, as he had promised, to his young wife Pip in England and never received more than a Military Medal for his heroic exploits. After running a taxi service in southern England, Pagani retired and died in 2003 at the age of 87.

The outcome of Davies' research is a highly readable account of World War II in Myanmar, and it is free from the kind of colonial superiority that can be found in Morrison's book. To Morrison, the Karens are immensely loyal to the British, which he believes is good, but, as he writes in Grandfather Longlegs, they "are not an intelligent people. They are nothing like as quick-witted as the Burmese or the Chinese. They are often extremely stupid [but] to a man they know and trust and love they will remain faithful till they die." In other words, perfect colonial subjects. Seagrim himself would have abhorred such racist stereotypes and Davies also treats the Karen personalities as equals in his account of the war.

Davies concludes his narrative by mentioning Aung San Suu Kyi's 2015 election victory and stating that, "beautiful, blessed, benighted Burma; sublime, serene and supremely sad; an enchanted land of lost dreams and forgotten promises, but perhaps, just perhaps, one now changed with hope for the future." That might be an overly optimistic assessment of the situation today. There may be no more war in Karen State, but the ceasefire now prevailing between the KNU and the Myanmar Army is far from solid. Some, among them the daughter of Seagrim's comrade-in-arms Tamla Baw, are even openly critical of the agreement which has not brought the country closer to what the Karens have been fighting for for decades: a federal union of equal states. Seen in that perspective, World War II has yet to end in the borderlands of Myanmar.

The post Lost Warriors: Seagrim and Pagani of Burma, The Last Great Untold Story of WWII appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

Policeman and Miner Killed in Kachin Mine Clash

Posted: 07 Nov 2017 02:20 AM PST

MANDALAY — A prospector and a policeman were killed in the Hpakant jade mining area of Kachin State during a clash between authorities and prospective miners on Monday.

The two men were killed when an argument broke out as police tried to stop prospectors from searching for jade scraps before a permitted time at Yadanar San Shwin mining company near Hseit Mu village, said witnesses.

"A prospector tried to grab the policeman's gun. There was a shooting and the prospector died there," said a witness who did not want to be named out of fear for their safety.

The group of prospectors then attacked the policeman, who died on the spot, according to first-hand accounts.

"Later, more police arrived and shot at the prospectors, who then left. We heard another prospector was shot but we could not confirm it," added the witness.

Hpakant Police Station confirmed an officer had died but declined to comment further on the incident.

Local lawmakers told The Irrawaddy they are planning to raise the issue of violence in the mining areas in the next state parliament session.

"Incidents like this happen every year, especially during the start and end of the mining season [from mid-October-June]," said state lawmaker U Lashi Daseng of Hpakant constituency. "We will submit this issue in parliament as an important matter."

In Lone Kin and Hpakant jade mining areas, clashes between freelance miners, jade mining firms and security forces are common, as the firms do not want the prospectors to work in their areas.

In October, five prospectors were shot dead and at least 20 injured when security forces opened fire on them for scavenging for jade scraps in the Lone Kin mining area of Kachin State.

Although local administration offices have mediated negotiations between the prospectors and mining companies in order to allow prospectors restricted access to the areas, clashes still persist.

"Even though we are doing our best to help negotiations between them, we need concrete rules and regulation, and, of course, rule of law. That can only be achieved with the central government's orders and power," added U Lashi Daseng.

The post Policeman and Miner Killed in Kachin Mine Clash appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

Should Trump Speak on Rakhine?

Posted: 07 Nov 2017 02:16 AM PST

International campaign groups have urged US President Trump to speak on Myanmar and the plight of the Rohingya during his ongoing trip to Asia.

However, Trump and the White House will need to find a balanced approach to address the complex situation.

The fear is that an offhand remark or tweet from the president could be like throwing gasoline on a fire, further dividing communities.

The US under Trump has been seen as unreliable, distasteful and divisive. This division should not be brought to Myanmar in its fragile state, where enough extremists and hardliners thrive already.

US Secretary of State Rex Tillerson will visit Myanmar soon. He will hold talks with top ranking officials including Daw Aung San Suu Kyi and Snr-Gen Min Aung Hlaing on the situation in Rakhine State and the democratic transition.

The United States, while condemning the violence, has been careful to say it holds the military responsible, not Daw Aung San Suu Kyi’s civilian government.

The US still sees Daw Aung San Suu Kyi as the best hope to solve the conflict in Northern Rakhine State but it also wants to punish the military for its offensive in the wake of retaliation against Muslim militants and the Rohingya population.

The US Embassy in Yangon condemned militant attacks but the return of targeted sanctions on Myanmar is likely a result of armed forces' subsequent brutal campaign against the Rohingya population.

Daw Aung San Suu Kyi has been criticized for her moral failure in not addressing the crisis in northern Rakhine State – but do we want the scandal-plagued US president to speak on human rights and democratic values in Myanmar?

When Obama made his historic visit in 2012, US engagement was welcomed throughout Myanmar despite some activists and skeptics remaining cautious. The US's engagement now will likely face a mixed reception at home.

The US Congress is paying attention to the situation in Rakhine and in Myanmar and the State Department is under pressure to address the issue in Rakhine State.

Meanwhile, the United Nations Security Council (UNSC) asked the government to "ensure no further excessive use of military force in Rakhine State."

"The Security Council calls upon the Government of Myanmar to ensure no further excessive use of military force in Rakhine State, to restore civilian administration and apply the rule of law, and to take immediate steps in accordance with their obligations and commitments to respect human rights," it said. The pressure on the military and the government will not simply go away. But China, powerful neighbor with close ties to the Myanmar government and several armed ethnic groups, still holds the key at the UN to swaying the outcome of the UNSC.

In any case, pressure is mounting to impose sanctions.

A group of US senators introduced a bill that would not allow certain types of military cooperation with the armed forces in Myanmar, and would place sanctions and travel restrictions on top members of the Myanmar military linked to the Rakhine State violence. These restrictions would continue as long as the violence continued.

The Rakhine issue will no doubt dominate the dialogue between Myanmar officials and Tillerson.

With military leaders, Tillerson will have a difficult time engaging as the top leaders these days take a tough stance toward ethnic groups and marginalized populations and have learned to resist foreign influence and pressure by establishing other regional allies. The military feels it is no longer isolated and that it has some degree of support. The military today is more assertive than before. But it also realizes that western pressure and sanctions will soon target it.

The irony is that the military and associates are now placing blame on Daw Aung San Suu Kyi as though she wanted the US to impose sanctions. It is unclear whether she wanted to see sanctions imposed as a punishment against the military, but she is now stuck between a rock and a hard place.

The media has suggested that efforts to bring sanctions and accountability through the Senate ultimately rest on majority leader Mitch McConnell, a longtime supporter of Daw Aung San Suu Kyi who has thus far sided with those wary of anything that could undermine her position, destabilize the country and diminish the newly installed democratic government. Human rights groups said McConnell’s friendship with the state counselor was a major obstacle to the Senate imposing repercussions on Myanmar.

As always, Daw Aung San Suu Kyi's position on sanctions is vague. In the past, she wanted to pressure the generals to enter into political dialogue, thus western sanctions were her political bargaining chips. Those days are gone. Her spokesman, U Zaw Htay, a former army officer, warned of "bad consequences" if sanctions were imposed. But the question is bad consequences for whom?

If imposed, how will sanctions affect internal politics and the dynamic between Snr-Gen Min Aung Hlaing and Daw Aung San Suu Kyi? Will there be more open confrontation between top army leaders and Daw Aung San Suu Kyi? Moreover, how will ethnic groups react to looming US sanctions and how have radical nationalist groups instigated public opinion of the Buddhist population toward expressing fury over US sanctions?

If Snr-Gen Min Aung Hlaing and top leaders are on the sanction list, his future political ambition will be stained. But will that give more political advantage to Daw Aung San Suu Kyi, democratic forces and those ethnic groups struggling to achieve a federal union?

We will soon find out.

But with Tillerson's high-level visit in the next week, the US's principle-based engagement should also be under review. Why did the UN and the West's engagement so far produce a complete failure in Myanmar? There is no happy ending to Myanmar's story.

It is time to take a deeper look into the complex situation inside the country in order to assist the people and the country. Aside from the Rakhine issue, the US should also pay attention to the ongoing conflict in ethnic regions in the north, the stalled peace process, the rise of extreme nationalism in the country and the 2008 Constitution – the main obstacles keeping the country from moving forward.

The post Should Trump Speak on Rakhine? appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

Myanmar Gets First Health R&D Funds Since Independence

Posted: 06 Nov 2017 10:41 PM PST

YANGON — The Myanmar government has granted one billion kyats (US$740,000) for research and development in the health sector, according to the minister for health and sports Dr. Myint Htwe.

Addressing a meeting of the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) at the ministry in Naypyitaw on Monday, the minister said: "All our work, without research, is like fumbling with our eyes closed."

This is the first time in the country's modern history since independence in 1948 that the Health Ministry has received a research and development budget, with the National League for Democracy government planning to double the amount next year.

The funds will be used for research in all of the departments under the ministry for teaching, food safety and pharmaceutical production, said director-general of the FDA Dr. Than Htut.

"Nothing will develop without research. Not only manufacturing but services also need research. According to international practices, organizations use up to 40 percent of their budget on research and development," said Dr. Than Htut.

The research budget is a separate fund from the medical research budget, an annual allocation for the Medical Research Department under the Health Ministry.

The ministry comprises the Department of Public Health, Department of Medical Services, Department of Medical Research, Department of Human Resources for Health, Department of Traditional Medicine, Department of Sports and Physical Education, and FDA.

The national health plan of Myanmar (2017-2021) aims to extend access to a basic essential package of health services to the entire population by 2020. According to the health ministry, the country's life expectancy is 64.7 years, the lowest among ASEAN countries.

Translated from Burmese by Thet Ko Ko.

The post Myanmar Gets First Health R&D Funds Since Independence appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

Trump Lands in South Korea, Frontlines of North Korean Nuclear Standoff

Posted: 06 Nov 2017 09:15 PM PST

OSAN, South Korea — US President Donald Trump arrived in South Korea on Tuesday, the closest he has come to the frontlines of the nuclear standoff with North Korea, on a visit that could further aggravate tensions with Pyongyang.

Landing at Osan Air Base outside the capital Seoul, Trump stepped down from Air Force One onto a red carpet as he began his 24-hour state visit with a ceremonial military honor guard arrayed on the airport tarmac.

The White House says Trump's trip is intended to demonstrate US resolve over his hardline approach to North Korean nuclear and missile threats, but many in the region fear that further bellicose presidential rhetoric could increase the risk of a devastating military conflict on the Korean peninsula.

Three US aircraft carrier strike groups will conduct exercises together in the Western Pacific in the coming days in a show of force rarely seen in the region, US officials said, as Trump continues his 12-day Asia tour aimed at forging a united front against North Korea and developing trade.

Pyongyang's recent nuclear and missile tests in defiance of UN resolutions and an exchange of bellicose insults between Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un have raised the stakes in the most critical international challenge of Trump's presidency.

On the second leg of his five-nation trip, Trump on Tuesday was due to tour the main garrison for US troops stationed in South Korea, the sprawling Camp Humphreys, which lies about 100 kilometers (60 miles) from the border with reclusive North Korea. He will later hold talks with South Korean President Moon Jae-in.

Trump is seeking to further ratchet up pressure on Pyongyang following his visit to Tokyo, where he declared that Japan would shoot North Korean missiles "out of the sky" if it bought the US weaponry needed to do so, suggesting that the Japanese government take a stance it has avoided until now.

The South Korea leg of Trump's trip is an effort to present a united front despite differences with Moon over how to confront North Korea, as well as Trump's complaints over the two countries' trade agreement and South Korean defense spending.

Trump has rattled some US allies with his vow to "totally destroy" North Korea if it threatens the United States, for deriding Kim as a "Rocket Man on a suicide mission" and for dismissing as pointless any diplomatic engagement with Pyongyang.

Kim, who has also made clear he has little interest in negotiations, at least until North Korea develops a nuclear-tipped missile capable of hitting the United States, has called Trump a "mentally deranged US dotard."

The post Trump Lands in South Korea, Frontlines of North Korean Nuclear Standoff appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

Japan’s ANA Ditches Myanmar’s Asian Blue Airline Project

Posted: 06 Nov 2017 09:06 PM PST

YANGON — Japan's ANA Holdings Inc has dropped a plan to form a joint venture in Myanmar, the airline said on Monday, after its application for an air operator's certificate (AOC) was rejected by the authorities in the Southeast Asian country.

ANA established the Asian Blue joint venture last year with local investor Golden Sky World, owned by property-to-banking conglomerate Shwe Than Lwin.

ANA had agreed to take a 49 percent stake in the airline, which would have focused on international routes, in anticipation of growing demand as Myanmar opens up following decades of military rule.

Asian Blue was ANA's second attempt at investing in Myanmar. In 2014 it scrapped a plan to buy a 49 percent stake in Asian Wings Airways after growing competition made the investment too risky.

"We can’t find a reason," said ANA's Myanmar representative H. Sammy Aramaki, referring to the government’s refusal to issue the operating license.

"The management can’t wait any longer," he said, whose company filed the application in May last year. He said ANA's operation in Myanmar would continue as usual.

A spokesman for Myanmar's Department of Civil Aviation said ANA's AOC application was rejected. He did not elaborate.

The decision comes amid growing frustration over the Myanmar government's management of the economy. The country's much-needed new foreign investment approvals have slowed since Daw Aung San Suu Kyi's National League for Democracy won a election victory in late 2015 in one of the region's poorest countries.

"We regret the fact that we decided to wind up the company, but we would like to keep on exploring the possibility to contribute to the development of the airline industry in Myanmar," an ANA spokesman told Reuters.

ANA, which operates daily flights between Myanmar's commercial capital Yangon and Tokyo, holds an 8.8 percent stake in Vietnam Airlines.

The post Japan's ANA Ditches Myanmar's Asian Blue Airline Project appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

UN Security Council Urges Myanmar to Stop Excessive Military Force

Posted: 06 Nov 2017 08:44 PM PST

UNITED NATIONS — The United Nations Security Council urged the Myanmar government on Monday to "ensure no further excessive use of military force in Rakhine State," where violence has forced more than 600,000 Rohingya Muslims to flee the Buddhist-majority Asian country.

The United Nations has denounced the violence during the past 10 weeks as a classic example of ethnic cleansing. The Myanmar government has denied allegations of ethnic cleansing.

To appease council veto powers Russia and China, Britain and France dropped a push for the Security Council to adopt a resolution on the situation and the 15-member body instead unanimously agreed on a formal statement.

The council expressed "grave concern over reports of human rights violations and abuses in Rakhine State, including by the Myanmar security forces, in particular against persons belonging to the Rohingya community."

"The Security Council calls upon the Government of Myanmar to ensure no further excessive use of military force in Rakhine State, to restore civilian administration and apply the rule of law, and to take immediate steps in accordance with their obligations and commitments to respect human rights," it said.

Myanmar has been stung by international criticism for the way its security forces responded to attacks by Rohingya militants on 30 security posts. More than 600,000 Rohingya have fled to Bangladesh since Aug. 25.

"The Security Council stresses the primary responsibility of the Government of Myanmar to protect its population including through respect for the rule of law and the respect, promotion and protection of human rights," the statement said.

It stressed the importance of transparent investigations into allegations of human rights abuses and "in this regard, the Security Council calls upon the Government of Myanmar to cooperate with all relevant United Nations bodies, mechanisms and instruments."

Myanmar has refused entry to a UN panel that was tasked with investigating allegations of abuses after a smaller military counteroffensive launched in October 2016.

Myanmar's de facto leader, Daw Aung San Suu Kyi, has pledged accountability for rights abuses and says Myanmar will accept back refugees who can prove they were residents of Myanmar.

The Security Council said it was alarmed by the rapidly deteriorating humanitarian situation in Rakhine State and warned that the increasing number of refugees "has a destabilizing impact in the region."

The council demanded that the Myanmar government allow immediate, safe and unhindered humanitarian aid and media access. It asked UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres to report back in 30 days on the situation.

The post UN Security Council Urges Myanmar to Stop Excessive Military Force appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

Ten Things to Do in Yangon This Week

Posted: 06 Nov 2017 06:44 PM PST

Waterzonic Myanmar | Nov. 11

Famous DJs will perform at this event.

Nov. 11, 4 pm. The One Entertainment Park, Paw Hsan Hmwe Street, Thuwunna.  Tickets 25,000 kyats to 120,000 kyats at www.waterzonicmyanmar.com.

Myanmar Scout Music Concert | Nov. 12

Dozens of famous singers will be at this concert.

Nov. 12, 6 pm. Thuwunna Stadium. Tickets between 5,000 and 50,000 kyats at 1876, and 09-451010789.

 

Kant Kaw Wut Yee Book House Anniversary | Nov. 10-12

Discounts up to 30 percent will be offered at the first anniversary of Kant Kaw Wut Yee Book House.

Nov. 10-12. No. 51, Ye Kyaw Street, Pazundaung Tsp.

 

Tuborg Fun Night | Nov. 11

Singers AR-T, Sophia Everest, Raymond and John will be at this event plus outdoor games and activities.

Nov. 11, 5 pm to late night. The Penthouse, Bagayar Street, Sanchaung Tsp. Free Admission.

Pre-Christmas Opera Musical Concert | Nov. 13-15

A concert to welcome Christmas will be held for three consecutive days.

Nov. 13-15, 6:30 pm. Myanmar Convention Center, Min Dhamma Road, Mayangone Tsp. Tickets between 2,000 kyats and 8,000 kyats at 09-450302075.  

Yangon Book Street | Every Sat & Sun

Yangon Book Street is back on Thienbyu Road on weekends for bookworms.

Every Sat and Sun. Theinbyu Road.

Open Mic Night | Nov. 9

There will be an open mic event at YangonYangon Bar.

Nov. 9, 7:30 pm. YangonYangon Rooftop Bar. Happy hour: 5-7 pm.

Caricature Exhibition | Nov. 7-12

An exhibition of nine artists will showcase caricatures of local and international personalities.

Nov. 7-12. Myanmar Traditional Artists and Artisans Association, Bogyoke Market.

Moe Nyo: 9th Solo | Nov. 11-13

This solo art exhibition will feature trademark watercolor landscapes of artist Moe Nyo.

Nov. 11-13. Yangon Gallery, People's Park.

Different Leaves One Tree | Nov. 7-11

This is a group art exhibition of four artists.

Nov. 7-11. OK Gallery, Aung San Stadium (North Wing)

The post Ten Things to Do in Yangon This Week appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

Party Lines: Between Hope and Realism

Posted: 06 Nov 2017 05:58 PM PST

On the second anniversary of Myanmar's 2015 democratic election, The Irrawaddy revisits this article from the run-up to that landmark election.

In this article from The Irrawaddy's August 2015 issue, contesting parties shared their expectations, challenges and views on the military allotment of 25 percent in Parliament. 

NATIONAL LEAGUE FOR DEMOCRACY (NLD)

DAW NAN KHIN HTWE MYINT, Central Executive Committee member

Founded in 1988, Myanmar's largest opposition party led by Daw Aung San Suu Kyi won more than 80 percent of seats in the 1990 general election—the results of which were annulled by the ruling junta. The NLD boycotted the country's last general election in 2010 but participated in 2012 by-elections, winning 43 of the 44 seats it contested.

Daw Aung San Suu Kyi walks in Warheinkha village during door-to-door visits for a voter education campaign on July 4, 2015. / Reuters

EXPECTATIONS

"Everyone wants real change from the 2015 election. To achieve that, I think we all need to support one large democratic force. I hope pro-democracy forces will win in the coming election."

CHALLENGES

"We have found many errors in the voter lists. Even my name didn't appear in the voter list in my constituency. And in some places, the collaboration between the sub-election commissions is weak. As with widespread cheating with advance votes in past elections, it is a risk for us if half of the voter lists include the wrong data."

STRATEGY

"We have been carrying out our voter list verification process including door-to-door visits to voters. We will also pressure the Union Election Commission on gaining access for party representatives to polling stations."

ON THE MILITARY

"If they regard the public as their parents, as they say, they should only fulfill a defense role for the country. There is no way they will reduce their allotment of 25 percent of seats in Parliament [in the near future]."

 UNION SOLIDARITY AND DEVELOPMENT PARTY (USDP)

U TIN MAUNG OO, Central committee member

Formed in 2010 as the political arm of the former military regime, the USDP won a parliamentary majority in that year's widely discredited general election. The USDP will contest constituencies nationwide in the coming election, with Union Parliament Speaker U Shwe Mann heading the party's Elections Winning Committee.

Members of the USDP campaign for election in 2010. / Reuters

EXPECTATIONS

"The Union Election Commission has released preliminary eligible voter lists and is fixing the flaws. Each party is trying to win and some may merge or form alliances. New parties have also been founded. So this year's election will be the [most] significant election in the country's history.

"People's experiences from 2010 and 2012 are different. In 2010, the public had less interest in political parties. Now the quality of party members, lawmakers and politicians' has increased to some extent. As a consequence, no party will win a landslide victory. It is also more likely that ethnic parties will win in their ethnic states."

CHALLENGES

"Some parties are speaking about constitutional amendments. The main thing in a democracy is to follow the existing rules. The most important thing is the country's stability. Politicians generally use either students, workers or farmers [for political ends]. If some parties or groups use them for their benefit, it won't be good for the country.

"There are many people who don't have a national registration card. There is no specific plan [to address their eligibility to vote]. In my constituency alone, there are thousands [without national registration cards] who aren't eligible. This is the biggest challenge for the election. The UEC is trying their best and I believe the election will be free and fair. But the government needs to make sure all eligible citizens are able to vote."

STRATEGY

"After the winning party forms government, some party policies should form the policies of the executive body. At present, unfortunately, the USDP's policies aren't working in tandem with the government's operations."

ON THE MILITARY

"Let's say representatives of the 14 states and regions and the military are on the same boat heading toward democracy; they can encounter strong waves and other difficulties together on the way to their destination. If we work together, the military will know the difficulties in achieving democracy and they can help us too. But if we leave them out, they won't know the challenges and will not be with us. The more doubts and difficulties that build up, the more potential there is for a coup like in Thailand. So for now, the 25 percent of military lawmakers should continue."

NATIONAL DEMOCRATIC FORCE (NDF)

U KHIN MAUNG SWE, Chairman

The NDF is comprised of former leading members of the NLD who disagreed with the party's decision to boycott Myanmar's last general election in 2010. The NDF contested 161 seats in that poll, winning 12 seats in the Union Parliament and four seats in state and regional legislatures. The party plans to field nearly 300 candidates to contest the upcoming national election.

U Khin Maung Swe, left, of the NDF. / The Irrawaddy

EXPECTATIONS

"More pro-democracy forces should win seats in Parliament. If so, changes in the country could happen faster. But it depends on the public's votes. I think it is more likely there will be a coalition government. There is no way for a landslide victory by a major party."

CHALLENGES

"Errors in the voter lists. Also we need to achieve peace in the country before the election to increase the chance of a fair poll. People may cast votes freely but there could still be manipulation by the ruling party—we need to prevent this. Officers at polling stations could also come under pressure… International watchdogs need to be present to monitor the process in as many areas as possible, even if they can't monitor nationwide."

STRATEGY

"The NLD and other CSOs are checking the voter lists. We will urge the government and the electoral body to fix the errors in time. That's all we can do. We don't have the manpower or financial resources to do it ourselves."

ON THE MILITARY

"The role of the military in the Parliament will be the same now, with 25 percent of seats. They may consider voluntarily reducing the number of seats themselves if there was a guarantee of peace before the election. If not, there is no way they would [take this step]."

ARAKAN NATIONAL PARTY (ANP)

U AYE THAR AUNG, Party patron

ANP formed in January 2014 following a merger between the Rakhine National Development Party (RNDP) and the Arakan League for Democracy (ALD). The former party won 35 of 44 seats it contested in the 2010 election, which the ALD boycotted. The party plans to contest 63 seats in the coming election, mainly in the regional Rakhine State legislature.

Members of the RNDP and the ALD at a press conference in June 2013. / The Irrawaddy

EXPECTATIONS

"I place more emphasis on amending the 2008 Constitution than on the 2015 election. Without major changes to the Constitution, I don't believe there will be changes in the country and internal peace beyond the election. But if candidates from the NLD and ethnic parties win most of the seats in Parliament, we could have more power to make legislation. And the same in regions, if ethnic candidates win in their constituencies and become lawmakers and ministers, I hope they will work for the development of their regions. But we can't expect a real transition since major articles in the Constitution are still not amended."

CHALLENGES

"There were voting irregularities in the 2010 election. I am concerned there will be the same in the 2015 election. It is hard to believe that from 30 to 80 percent of the current voter lists are [inaccurate]. I am also concerned that if the NLD and ethnic parties win a landslide victory, the ruling party won't transfer power and [acknowledge] the new Parliament."

STRATEGY

"Our party only represents one state. So I think to monitor the [broader] challenges, the government and big parties will be vital."

ON THE MILITARY

"After the election, 25 percent of seats will still be reserved for military appointees' in the Lower House, Upper House and the regional parliaments. This is the main barrier to changes in the country and I don't see that they will easily quit by themselves."

SHAN NATIONALITIES LEAGUE FOR DEVELOPMENT (SNLD)

U SAI LEIK, Joint-secretary

The SNLD won 23 seats in the annulled 1990 election. It was forcibly disbanded after boycotting the 2010 poll but re-registered in 2012 and plans to contest more than 160 seats in the coming national election.

Opposition leader Daw Aung San Suu Kyi with Khun Htun Oo of the SNLD and activist Aung Din in Washington, 2012. / Reuters

EXPECTATIONS

"If democratic forces win most seats in the election, we will have hope for constitutional amendments. To have the federal union that ethnics demand and the democracy that the public wants, the main challenge is to change the Constitution.

"I think this year's election is more important than the 2010 election because at that time some parties were excluded and there were many parties, especially ethnic parties, that didn't run for various reasons. But in the 2015 election, I hope almost all ethnic parties will run.

"If the military keeps its seats in Parliament, it won't be a good look internationally. It is important that the democratic forces win a landslide. Only with that can we achieve political dialogue and change the Constitution."

CHALLENGES

"I'm not sure that the election will be free and fair. Even in the preliminary voter lists, there are lots of errors. Although the electoral body is saying they will fix all the errors in time, we can't predict what will happen.

"And the government needs to guarantee they will recognize and implement the results of the election. The ruling party needs to contest the election fairly. I am concerned about that; the attention of the international community, media and public is much needed."

STRATEGY

"We are doing voter education, verifying voter lists to correct errors and are raising awareness among all eligible voters to come to the polling stations and cast votes.

"And we will watch the ruling USDP in accordance with the code of conduct. If they violate it, we will publicly expose them in collaboration with NGOs and the media."

ON THE MILITARY

"Until now, they haven't looked likely to reduce their current 25 percent of seats in Parliament. But I think if the democratic forces and ethnic parties could pledge not to pursue action over past incidents, they may eventually reduce [their representation]."

This article was originally published as the cover story of the August 2015 issue of The Irrawaddy magazine.

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Monday, November 6, 2017

The Irrawaddy Magazine

The Irrawaddy Magazine


Youth Volunteers to Deliver Aid in Rakhine 

Posted: 06 Nov 2017 05:17 AM PST

YANGON — About 60 youth volunteers will go to Buthidaung and Maungdaw townships this week to deliver humanitarian assistance to people affected by the latest conflict in northern Rakhine State.

Young people from philanthropic groups and individuals across Myanmar will join the Union Enterprise for Humanitarian Assistance, Resettlement and Development (UEHRD) in the region after State Counselor Daw Aung San Suu Kyi called for public participation to alleviate the crisis.

The group will head from Yangon to Sittwe on Thursday and continue traveling to the two townships.

The volunteers and staff from the Ministry of Social Welfare, Relief and Resettlement will receive humanitarian assistance training in Yangon for the first three days of the 20-day program, said Dr. Aung Thu Rein, deputy director from the ministry's Relief and Resettlement Department. The training began on Monday.

The volunteers will also collect data of households and counsel the affected families as well as deliver aid, he said, adding the team would distribute food, clothes, medicine, and nutrients for babies.

The ministry has invited youths between aged from 18-35 years old to participate in second and third visits after the first group completes the program. Dr. Aung Thu Rein said they received 25 applicants within a day.

Ko Htet Paing Soe from the Humanitarian Coordination Youth Team who is included in the first group met the State Counselor during her one-day visit to the state last Thursday. He will participate in the training in Yangon before returning to Rakhine with his fellow volunteers.

He told The Irrawaddy that the State Counselor advised them to provide aid effectively and systematically.

"The State Counselor has also guided us to consider how to prevent conflict in the region, bring peace and also to heal the trauma of the victims when delivering aid," he said.

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Myanmar Academics Urge Continued University Collaboration

Posted: 06 Nov 2017 03:56 AM PST

Myanmar academics urged international universities to continue collaborating with local universities in order to strengthen educational development.

Since 2013, universities in the UK, United States, Australia and elsewhere have established partnerships with once prominent universities in Yangon and Mandalay to help improve Myanmar's education system.

Last week, the London-based Times Higher Education reported that international universities were being pressured to cut ties with Myanmar universities due to the recent crisis in Rakhine State in which a militant attack and subsequent military clearance operations led to the displacement of some 600,000 Rohingya Muslims to neighboring Bangladesh.

U Thein Naing, an ethnic language curriculum consultant and curriculum expert, said: "No sanctions on educational institutions should be imposed. We need assistance for the development of education in this young democracy."

He said that he had seen talks of sanctioning the universities online but that Myanmar scholars and university communities were opposed.

Yangon University was closed for 26 years and reopened four years ago when then US President Barack Obama requested delivering a talk there in November 2012.

"We have many challenges facing Myanmar's educational development; in terms of both quality and quantity, as it has to redevelop from the beginning," U Thein Naing said, adding, "These educational challenges are the same for the development of peace and human resources."

The sanctions, if imposed, would impact public education [at the university level], which is under the control of the Ministry of Education, said U Kyaw Moe Tun, the founder of the Parami Institute of Liberal Arts and Sciences.

"If universities from around the world pull out for their reputations due to the political pressures, our public universities will face difficulties," he said, "but bigotry and prejudice will not go away with sanctions."

Six decades of military rule has had a negative impact and awareness through education could help combat issues the country faces currently, advocates say.

Myanmar academics question why those who advocate cutting ties want to deny a quality education to young people, just as they were denied under military rule.

"We have no right to deny young people the opportunity to liberate themselves from the mentality and the mindset of the oppressed," said Dr. Khin Mar Mar Kyi, the inaugural Daw Aung San Suu Kyi gender research fellow at the University of Oxford and the first senior Burmese female academic at the institution.

"Denying education for our youth, you join the military," she wrote on her Facebook page, criticizing those who advocated for cutting ties.

She said the "expert" academics who recommend denying the right to a quality education are like the military who denied young people education for decades.

"The recent history of Burma has already proven that sanctions against the military did not work. Now they think collective sanctions for education institutions will work. How so?" she asked.

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Collaboration is Key to Solving Rakhine Crisis

Posted: 06 Nov 2017 01:42 AM PST

Conflict in Rakhine State escalated dramatically in late August and has since mushroomed into an enormous crisis comprising countless tragedies. It has forced more than 600,000 Rohingya to flee their homes, cost at least hundreds of civilians their lives, and destroyed nearly 300 villages.

More than two months since militant attacks sparked this severe period of violence, the urgent question is how to end the rooted conflict so that some form of normalcy can be reestablished in the region. The answer depends on all the key players—the government, Tatmadaw (the military), Arakanese and Rohingya people, and the international community—to form a common understanding.

Muslim militant group the Arakan Rohingya Salvation Army (ARSA) clearly planned its violently orchestrated attacks before Kofi Annan, chairman of the Advisory Commission on Rakhine State, released recommendations on improving the situation in Rakhine, which the government vowed to implement. ARSA launched the attacks on Aug, 25, hours after the recommendations were published.

The military then executed its notorious "clearance operations," which caused a mass exodus of people to flee to Bangladesh where they languish in squalid camps. The military should have been restrained, but little else was expected, considering the some 500,000 ethnic refugees and internally displaced people driven from their homes in Myanmar's north and northeast because of clashes between the Tatmadaw and ethnic armed groups. ARSA knew the nature of Myanmar's military and should not have provoked it.

In dealing with the latest round of violence in Rakhine, the military should have fully collaborated with the incumbent administration led by Daw Aung San Suu Kyi, who said in her diplomatic briefing on Rakhine on Sept. 19: "The security forces have been instructed to adhere strictly to the Code of Conduct in carrying out security operations, to exercise all due restraint, and to take full measures to avoid collateral damage and the harming of innocent civilians. Human rights violations and all other acts that impair stability and harmony and undermine the rule of law will be addressed in accordance with strict norms of justice."

But the magnitude of the exodus has not indicated the presence of such restraint.

Albeit with limited control on security matters, the civilian government failed to facilitate access to the crisis area for media and international organizations. It failed to provide enough information on the crisis, and now must keep both its people and international community regularly updated on the situation.

In this sense, Daw Aung San Suu Kyi must make regular public speeches and appoint capable and articulate spokespeople who are immediately available for local and international press. Whenever needed, press conferences must also be held.

The government's duty is to accelerate the repatriation process, as it has promised. It must ensure the safety of all returnees and their households. Equally important is the need for the government to rightly grant citizenship for the Rohingya under the under the National Verification Card process, which was resumed in October in conflict-torn parts of Rakhine.

Arakanese people cannot deny co-existence with Rohingya people who have lived and were born here. Meanwhile, Rohingya should not have a separatist agenda—as many Arakanese perceive—beyond citizenship and their basic rights.

Western countries, the United Nations, and international organizations must understand the Rakhine issue is much more complicated and sensitive than most of them know. They must be aware that such instability poses a potential threat to the fragile state of Myanmar's democratic transition.

They cannot rule out a possibility of a return to military rule if the military leadership feels the Rakhine conflict is endangering the country's "stability." Moreover, there are political opportunist and ultranationalist groups quick to undermine the country's first elected government since 1960.

Grasping that the government is still in the early stages of dealing with issues spawned under the decades-long military rule is also crucial. The government can not rid itself of many ex-military senior officials in its ministries and main mechanisms such as the General Administration Department. Analysts see these officials as capable of hindering the government's efforts.

Last but not least, the international community must know that relations between the government and the military—the most powerful and established institution in Myanmar—are not stable. When asked in an interview with Radio Free Asia, Daw Aung San Suu Kyi described relations as "normal." But other signs suggest relations are not good, meaning this transition is still at stake.

As it would be in other countries facing a similar crisis, the government and military are the most important actors and must work together. The crisis calls for international help, so the international community, particularly the West, needs clever diplomacy, a deep understanding of the country's history and a vision of the bigger picture in order to approach these two key actors and allow all stakeholders to collaborate.

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Shooting on Myanmar-Bangladesh Border Prompts Police Complaint

Posted: 06 Nov 2017 01:09 AM PST

SITTWE, Rakhine State — Myanmar Border Guard Police have filed a complaint with Border Guard Bangladesh after a shooting between milepost No. 45 and No. 46 on the Myanmar-Bangladesh border.

Four Myanmar border police were shot by a group of armed men from the Bangladesh side around 5:45 p.m. on Sunday, said director-general of Myanmar's State Counselor Office U Zaw Htay.

"The shooting came from inside Bangladesh. So, we've complained to the Bangladeshi border guards. They must investigate it," said U Zaw Htay, adding that Myanmar border police provided their Bangladeshi counterparts with the exact location of the attack.

Nobody was injured and no ammunition was stolen in the shooting, said U Zaw Htay.

"So were Bangladeshi border police there at that time or if not who were the shooters? Who does [the Bangladeshi government] allow to operate at the border? Bangladesh must investigate this and give us an explanation," he added.

The four Myanmar policemen based at milepost No. 45 in northern Maungdaw Township, Rakhine State, were returning from Aung Thabyay Police Station where they had received their salaries when they came under attack near Sali Taung village at milepost No. 46, according to U Zaw Htay.

A group of armed men fired over 30 shots at them from a hill in Bangladesh some 100 yards from the border fence, said U Zaw Htay.

It was followed by an exchange of fire, and then one of the four policemen rode a motorbike to Aung Thabyay Police Station and requested reinforcements. More than 20 police including the station's chief went to the scene and rescued the other three policemen.

U Thein Shwe Oo, the administrator of Aung Thabyay village, reported hearing gunshots. "It is a worrying sign. So, I've told the villagers not to go outside the village alone, and not to go too far even when they are short on food and have to go fishing," he told The Irrawaddy.

On Oct. 22, four Daingnet villagers of Aung Thabyay villages were attacked allegedly by Muslim militants while they were hunting boar between border mileposts post No. 46 and 47. Two were killed and two injured in the attack.

Translated from Burmese by Thet Ko Ko.

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2015 Election: The Countdown Begins

Posted: 06 Nov 2017 01:00 AM PST

Two years ago, the country's much-anticipated general election was held on Nov. 8. The Irrawaddy revisits this cover story from August 2015 about Myanmar people's hopes during the election and post-election periods.

YANGON — In recent times, general elections in Myanmar have been cursed. The results of the 1990 election were annulled by the previous military regime after the main opposition party, the National League for Democracy (NLD), won in a landslide.

The following national election held in 2010 was rigged to favor the military-backed Union Solidarity and Development Party (USDP), with reports of widespread voting irregularities.

Both elections failed to usher in the much-needed democratic reforms yearned for by the vast majority of Myanmar citizens.

Whether or not the upcoming national election on November 8 will be similarly blighted is still a burning question among Myanmar voters amid their collective electoral trauma.

But major impediments to holding a free, fair and credible vote remain, not least of which is the country's military-drafted 2008 Constitution.

Article 59(f) of the Constitution bars popular opposition leader Daw Aung San Suu Kyi from becoming president, regardless of the electoral outcome in November. The charter also reserves 25 percent of parliamentary seats for military appointees, effectively providing them with a veto over major amendments to the Constitution—which require a 75 percent majority of parliamentary votes.

The military's political role is further cemented by a constitutional provision mandating that the ministers of Defense, Home Affairs and Border Affairs, be army appointees.

Furthermore, the Union Election Commission (UEC), tasked with organizing and overseeing the nationwide poll, is chaired by a former military general who is also a former lawmaker with the ruling USDP.

But despite these undemocratic restrictions, the expectation of a transparent electoral process lingers on for Myanmar people.

One positive of recent times was the handling of the 2012 by-election, broadly considered to be a credible poll, in which the NLD won 43 of the 44 constituencies it contested. The ruling USDP claimed a solitary seat of the 45 constituencies on offer.

However critics contended that President U Thein Sein's government had needed to hold a fair poll, which saw Daw Aung San Suu Kyi win a seat in the legislature, in order to convince skeptics, at home and abroad, that the reform process was genuine.

Nevertheless, the by-election was one small but encouraging step in the country's slow-burning transition to democracy and likely encouraged many political parties to contest the 2015 national election.

The 2012 result was also clear proof of the wide support for Daw Aung San Suu Kyi and the NLD—a serious concern for the ruling party. If this year's election is similarly credible, the NLD and other pro-democracy parties are likely to perform strongly.

With greater numbers in Parliament, the NLD and other ethnic political parties will be able to push for legislative changes that benefit Myanmar's citizens.

It remains difficult, however, to foresee radical changes, particularly to the Constitution, considering the ongoing presence of a military bloc in Parliament. The main, self-ascribed duty of these unelected MPs is to defend the 2008 charter recently described by The Economist as an "army-drafted monstrosity."

With a more diverse Union Parliament expected following the election, the military is perhaps even more unlikely to relinquish its political foothold. Any return to the barracks would take time.

Thus, the post-election period will be as delicate as it will be crucial. If the democratic opposition and ethnic parties win a parliamentary majority, all eyes will turn to the USDP and the military as to whether they accept the result.

Myanmar people don't want to relive the bitter experience of the 1990 election.

Even with a new government formed in 2016, a genuine dialogue between key political and military leaders will be necessary to address the country's myriad challenges.

Until now, the incumbent president U Thein Sein has shown little interest in such a dialogue. Talks held in recent months between the president, the army chief, parliamentary speakers, an ethnic representative and Daw Aung San Suu Kyi, were merely superficial.

Like it or not, the result of the upcoming election will have a direct impact on every individual in Myanmar and on the country's foreign relations.

The result will shape Myanmar's future, though it may not herald the radical political shift that many have fought—and died—for.

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Documentary About Forgotten Myanmar Royalty Premieres in Mandalay

Posted: 05 Nov 2017 11:54 PM PST

MANDALAY — The national premiere of "We Were Kings" – a documentary about the forgotten royal descendants of King Thibaw, the last king of Burma – kicked off a nostalgic atmosphere at the Irrawaddy Literary Festival in Mandalay over the weekend.

The 58-minute film features interviews with the grandchildren and great grandchildren of King Thibaw. Author of "The King in Exile," Sudha Shah, was joined by the only two living grandchildren of King Thibaw, their descendants and royal descendants of the penultimate King Mindon.

"We Were Kings," directed and produced by Alex Bescoby and Max Jones of Grammar Productions, has won the Whicker's World Foundation Award 2016.

The film brings the lost descendants of King Thibaw into the spotlight by focusing on the struggle of U Soe Win, the great grandson of King Thibaw, as he tried to bring the remains of the exiled king back to Myanmar. King Thibaw was sent to India by the British in 1885 and died in exile in 1916. Some of the last king's descendants had hoped and planned for years to return the remains.

"There are many different views, even in our family, about bringing back the remains, as were featured in the film," U Soe Win told The Irrawaddy, after the premiere.

"My uncle Taw Phaya said let it be and my cousin Devi said it was not yet time. But I still wanted to keep trying simply because I do not want him to rest in exile, not because I want to reestablish the monarchy."

U Soe Win led his family to restore the abandoned tomb of King Thibaw and the first princess in Ratnagiri, India. Since King Thibaw did not receive a proper royal ceremony or religious rituals at his funeral, U Soe Win struggled to perform these rituals by seeking support from the governments of Myanmar and India.

"But bringing back the remains was another story. It was not only up to the royal descendants. It became the affair of the entire country and the decision rests in the hands of the people," said U Soe Win. "We also need to think about the descendants of the first princess, who are living in India. Maybe, the time hasn't come yet for that [to move her remains]."

Prince Taw Phaya – the third son of the fourth daughter of King Thibaw, Princess Hteik Su Myat Phaya Galae – said the remains should be left where they are as the country and the world have changed greatly.

"May he rest in peace. Let's not dig this up again," he added.

On the other hand, for the royal descendants of King Thibaw and King Mindon, "We Were Kings" revisits their lives in Mandalay, the last royal capital where King Thibaw spent his final days as monarch.

"I do not want to recall the bitter past. When I watched this film with my brother, family and other royal family members, I was sad remembering that my mother had to struggle a lot," said Princess Hteik Su Phaya Gyi, the only living granddaughter of King Thibaw, who presented at the premiere.

Princess Hteik Su Phaya Gyi, 95, widely called Phwar May or Aunty Su among the royal descendants, is the second daughter of the fourth daughter of King Thibaw, Princess Hteik Su Myat Phaya Galae.

"Since stories of us have been wiped from the pages of history for a long time, youth today have no idea what is happening with King Thibaw's descendants. I thank Alex, Max and Sudha Shah," she said.

"However, I no longer want to live as royals after all the time and troubles. Things have changed. I am now at peace living as an ordinary person. Do not call me princess or a royal, for I am not anymore. It was history and let it stay history," she said.

The film will be screened in Yangon in the coming weeks.

Treasure Hunt

Together with the film's Myanmar premiere, one mystery has entered the spotlight again—the disappearance of an enormous ruby of the royal family.

According to an article by Bescoby that appeared in BBC last week, U Soe Win travelled to London for the first time and visited the Victoria & Albert Museum to see valuable artifacts that once belonged to his family.

Accompanied by Bescoby, U Soe Win's visit had another purpose—a treasure hunt for an enormous ruby, also known as "The Nga Mauk" of the then-royal family that was said to be "worth a kingdom," the piece said.

Hundreds of gold and gem-studded items were seized from King Thibaw by the British and the then British colonel Edward Sladen, who was the chief political officer of the invasion force and has been the main suspect in the disappearance of the ruby, Bescoby's piece stated.

There are rumors within the royal descendant's family that the ruby was given to Queen Victoria as a gift by the colonel and might have been kept as part of the Royal Collection since then.

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IMF Visits Myanmar for Annual Economic Checkup

Posted: 05 Nov 2017 08:37 PM PST

WASHINGTON — An International Monetary Fund delegation visits Myanmar this week for an annual economic checkup of a country whose treatment of its Rohingya Muslim minority has put it in the international spotlight.

The Article 4 mission, a yearly assessment that the Fund conducts of each of its member states' economies, begins on Monday, an IMF spokeswoman said.

This will be the IMF's first visit since more than half a million Rohingya fled into Bangladesh after a military crackdown that the United Nations has said is tantamount to ethnic cleansing.

While IMF missions do not look into politics, they do consider ramifications of political developments on an economy.

So far, there are no signs that the crisis has had a direct bearing on Myanmar's economy because it is located in a remote northern part of Rakhine State. The international community has criticized the army's actions and called on the civilian government of Nobel laureate Daw Aung San Suu Kyi to speak up against the atrocities.

Last month, the World Bank froze US$200 million in budget funding for Myanmar over the Rohingya crisis despite objections from some member countries, such as China and Japan. US President Donald Trump's administration supported the decision but urged the Bank not to disengage altogether from Myanmar, according to sources with knowledge of discussions.

In an Oct. 12 statement, the Bank called on Myanmar's government to "take urgent steps to de-escalate the situation and support a broad and inclusive humanitarian response."

Last year's IMF economic review praised Myanmar's progress in economic reforms after an initial surge in growth as the country emerged from decades of isolation. At the time, the Fund projected gross domestic product growth at around 6.5 percent for 2017, from about 7.3 percent the year before.

Growth this year is now expected to come in at 6.3 percent, according to the latest IMF data, based on an unfinished political transformation, overall manufacturing slowdown and delays in construction permitting.

Another likely focus for the IMF mission is Myanmar's banks, which are struggling to meet stringent new capital safeguards. Banks have appealed to the government for flexibility in implementing the rules.

US lawmakers last week proposed travel sanctions on Myanmar's military officials, the day before Trump left on his first trip to Asia. The legislation would restore some sanctions lifted last year as Myanmar returned to democracy. The European Union is also considering sanctions against top generals.

US Secretary of State Rex Tillerson will visit Myanmar on Nov. 15 for talks on the Rohingya crisis.

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Trump Says to Push Japan for More ‘Reciprocal’ Trade, in a Friendly Way

Posted: 05 Nov 2017 08:31 PM PST

TOKYO — US President Donald Trump, charging "Japan has been winning" on trade in recent decades, said he would push for more reciprocal trade with Washington's close US ally – but in a friendly way.

Trump was speaking in Tokyo on the second day of a 12-day Asian trip expected to be dominated by North Korea and trade.

"The United States has suffered massive trade deficits at the hands of Japan for many, many years," Trump said at the start of a meeting with Japanese and US business leaders.

Trump praised Japan for buying US military hardware, which he said was the "best military equipment in the world," but added that "many millions of cars are sold by Japan into the United States, whereas virtually no cars go from the United States into Japan."

"We want free and reciprocal trade but right now our trade with Japan is not free and it's not reciprocal and I know it will be and we’ve started the process," Trump said. "I have no doubt that it will be done in a quick and very friendly manner."

Trump also said Washington wants to make the United States the most attractive place to hire, invest and grow.

Japan had a US$69-billion trade surplus with the United States last year, according to the US Treasury Department. The United States was Japan's second biggest trade partner after China, while Japan was the United States' fourth largest goods export market in 2016.

Japanese officials have countered US trade complaints by noting Tokyo accounts for a much smaller slice of the US deficit than in the past, while China's imbalance is bigger.

Trump met Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe on Sunday for golf, lunch and dinner, and will hold a more formal summit with Abe later on Monday.

In a second round of economic talks in Washington last month, US Vice President Mike Pence and Japanese Finance Minister Taro Aso, who doubles as deputy premier, failed to bridge differences on thorny trade issues.

The two sides remain at odds over how to frame future trade talks, with Tokyo pushing back against US calls to discuss a bilateral free trade agreement (FTA).

Trump also said that an Indo-Pacific trade framework would produce more in trade that the Trans-Pacific Partnership pact pushed by his predecessor but which he announced Washington would abandon soon after he took office.

"TPP was not the right answer," he said, adding he knew not everyone in his audience agreed. "We will have much bigger trade with the way we are doing it right now and it will be a much less complex situation."

The 11 remaining nations in the TPP, to which Japan's Abe is firmly committed, are edging closer to sealing a comprehensive free trade pact without the United States.

The United States has also complained about Japan's safeguard mechanism on US frozen beef imports, which imposes higher tariffs if quarterly imports rise more than 17 percent from the previous year. Sources have told Reuters that Tokyo will propose changes to the system to reduce US pressure.

Royal Audience, North Korean Kidnappings

Trump met Emperor Akihito before his lunch and talks with Abe. He will also meet relatives of Japanese citizens kidnapped decades ago by North Korean agents to help train spies.

Abe has made the abductions a keystone of his career. The families hope their talks with Trump – the third US president whom they have met – will somehow contribute to a breakthrough in the emotive issue, although experts say progress is unlikely.

North Korea's recent actions, including several missiles that flew over Japan and Pyongyang's sixth and largest nuclear test, have raised the stakes in the most critical international challenge of Trump's presidency.

The US leader has rattled some allies with his vow to "totally destroy" North Korea if it threatens the United States and with his dismissal of North Korean leader Kim Jong Un as a "rocket man" on a suicide mission.

Abe, however, has staunchly backed Trump's stance that "all options are on the table" including military action, and repeatedly said that now was the time for added pressure, not dialogue "for the sake of dialogue."

Trump will also visit South Korea and China, where he is expected to urge Beijing to do more to pressure Pyongyang to rein in Pyongyang’s nuclear ambitions.

A centerpiece of the trip will be a visit to the Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation summit in Danang, Vietnam, where Trump will deliver a speech in support of a free and open Indo-Pacific region, which is seen as offering a bulwark in response to expansionist Chinese policies.

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