Wednesday, December 19, 2018

The Irrawaddy Magazine

The Irrawaddy Magazine


Analysis: Deft Diplomacy Required as China, Japan Court Myanmar

Posted: 19 Dec 2018 04:39 AM PST

YANGON—While the West abandons Myanmar over the human rights crisis in Rakhine, China and Japan, understanding the value of the country's strategic location in Southeast Asia, have done the opposite, accelerating their collaboration in a bid to get the upper hand and further their own grand plans.

Beijing and Tokyo's strategies to connect continents and oceans with sea lanes and inland highways that will improve Myanmar's infrastructure have the potential to revive the country's slowing economy and position the country as a regional trade and supply hub.

Key Chinese figures have been traveling back and forth between the two countries this year to pursue Beijing's dream of implementing the China-Myanmar Economic Corridor (CMEC), part of its region-wide Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). A week after signing the Kyaukphyu SEZ, the vice chairman of China's top economic planning agency pushed Myanmar's State Counselor—who also serves as chair of Myanmar's BRI steering committee, to move forward with projects on the ground.

Myanmar's BRI steering committee comprises 25 members including 18 Union ministers (from ministries ranging from Home Affairs to Hotels and Tourism); five chief ministers (from Kachin, Mandalay, Rakhine, Yangon and Shan); the foreign affairs permanent secretary; and the chairman of the Naypyitaw Council.

Last month, Beijing secured a long-awaited agreement to build the Kyaukphyu deep-water port in northern Rakhine State, which already serves as the terminus for twin cross-border oil and gas pipelines between the two countries. Kyaukphyu is a crucial phase in the CMEC.

According to U Set Aung, deputy minister for planning and finance, the Kyaukphyu project will contribute to the sustainable development of both countries and will also be crucial to enhancing Myanmar's regional connectivity.

State Counselor Daw Aung San Suu Kyi and Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe attend a bilateral meeting at the State Guest House in Tokyo on Oct. 9, 2018. / Myanmar Foreign Ministry / Facebook

Japan has accelerated its plans for Myanmar's first special economic zone (SEZ) in Thilawa, which received more than $1.3 million in investment from 2014-18. It is also planning to upgrade roads and bridges through two states via the East-West Economic Corridor, one of the cross-border transport infrastructure projects that form part of Tokyo's Greater Mekong Region economic integration scheme.

After nearly six decades of isolation under military dictatorship, the government led by State Counselor Daw Aung San Suu Kyi has been implementing economic reforms to complete Myanmar's democratic transition. The government has drawn up the Myanmar Sustainable Development Plan (MSDP), the aim of which is to align the country's numerous policies and institutions to achieve genuine, inclusive and transformational economic growth. The MSDP also aims to improve the country's connectivity with neighboring countries and prioritizes economic corridors under both the GMS and BRI.

Under the BRI, Kyaukphyu is seen as a potential hub for China, giving it direct access to the Indian Ocean and allowing its oil imports to bypass the Strait of Malacca. It also serves Beijing's goal of developing China's land-locked Yunnan province.

At a recent Union-ministerial-level planning and finance meeting, it was disclosed that the CMEC will pass through Yangon, Mandalay, Shan, Irrawaddy and Rakhine (to the Kyaukphyu SEZ). China has proposed a total of 40 projects, but the two sides have only agreed to implement nine so far. However, the meeting didn't issue details of the projects, other than construction plans for three economic cooperation zones along the Myanmar-China border in Shan and Kachin states.

In Yangon, the multi-billion-dollar New Yangon City project is a part of the CMEC plan. A framework agreement was recently signed for the project, which is envisioned as a complex of new towns, industrial parks and urban development projects.

Myanmar has also signed a memorandum of understanding (MoU) with China to begin studying a proposed railway line from Muse, in northern Shan State, to Mandalay. The Muse-Mandalay line is part of Beijing's plan to build a parallel expressway and railway line from Ruili (across the border from Muse in China's Yunnan province) to Kyaukphyu, with a separate road running through northern Myanmar, the northeast states of India, and Bangladesh under the Bangladesh-China-India-Myanmar Economic Corridor (BCIM-EC).

Within the competition between China and Japan in the Mekong Region, "vertical" integration has been driven by China, while "horizontal" integration has been driven by Japan, as Myanmar exists in the heart of Asia with China to the north and east, India to the west and ASEAN to the east and south.

While Myanmar has come under severe pressure from the international community, Japan has shown its full support, helping to solve the Rakhine crisis and also showing strong disagreement with the EU's consideration to withdraw trade preferences, which would hurt ordinary people in the country. In recent months, Japan announced its Tokyo Strategy 2018, aimed at promoting quality infrastructure development in countries along the Mekong River to counterbalance China's growing influence in the region via the BRI.

A map showing the route of China's planned Bangladesh-China-India-Myanmar Economic Corridor. / 'China's Asian Dream' by Tom Miller

However, Japan's quality infrastructure projects in the Mekong Region date back to the early 2000s, initiated by the Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA). JICA has spent trillions of yen to improve economic integration in the Greater Mekong Region with a network of land and sea infrastructure routes between the countries. It emphasizes regional connectivity, which is focused on both industrial and physical infrastructure such as roads, telecommunications and power transmission lines.

"The rapid rise of China is one major factor in JICA's decision to increase infrastructure development assistance in the Mekong Region," said Tetsuji Iida, an adviser to the Planning and ASEAN Partnership Division of JICA's Southeast Asia and Pacific Department.

Since the 2010s, Myanmar has opened up to the world and also joined in the full scope of GMS cooperation that has opened a new front in China and Japan's rivalry in economic diplomacy.

Within Japan's grand plan, Myanmar sits on two major economic corridors: the East-West Economic Corridor connecting Vietnam's Dong Ha City with Yangon's Thilawa Special Economic Zone (SEZ) via Cambodia and Thailand, and the Southern Economic Corridor connecting central Vietnam, Cambodia and Thailand to the Dawei SEZ in southeastern Myanmar.

State Counselor Daw Aung San Suu Kyi has claimed that Myanmar will benefit from over 16 bilateral projects and 100 multilateral projects as part of the Mekong-Japan cooperation.

Japan's grand plan aims to improve connectivity between Bangkok and Yangon along the East West Corridor. The corridor will help businesses based in Bangkok extend their supply chains to Yangon (at the Thilawa SEZ).

A map detailing Japan's plans to establish economic corridors in the Mekong Region / Government of Japan

JICA is looking to build an inland highway as a transport shortcut from Thilawa to Bangkok. Transportation routes from Singapore currently runt to a combined length of 4,000 km and take 21 days to negotiate. On the East-West Corridor, the Myanmar section does not function as an international highway due to bottlenecks such as one-way traffic, a lack of paved roads, traffic difficulties in the rainy season and weight limitations.

JICA plans to shorten transport time by constructing three bridges in Karen and Mon states—the Gyaing-Kawkareik Bridge, the Gyaing-Zathabyin Bridge and the Atran Bridge—as a part of the East-West Economic Corridor. It expects to take one-and-a-half days to transport goods over 870 km from Thilawa to Bangkok. JICA expects loans for the project to amount to about 33.8 billion yen and that the project will be complete by 2023.

Japan pledged about 800 billion yen (US$7.03 billion) in 2016 in public and private support over five years, including for urban development in Yangon, and roughly 260 billion yen for the Mandalay-Yangon rail modernization project. JICA agreed to provide 6 billion yen in grants to develop a major port in Mandalay that will connect the two cities by river. The plan includes the construction of a new pier and cranes to handle freight.

According to Japan's Free and Open Indo-Pacific strategy, Tokyo also plans to construct the Hanthawaddy International Airport near Bago city around 80 kilometers north of Yangon. In May, Transport and Communications Minister U Thant Sin Maung said that although Japan wants to start the project as soon as possible, Myanmar is considering the investment amount. However, according to a Japanese newspaper report in June, both sides agreed to go ahead with the project, which has a total estimated cost of $1.5 billion and is slated to be completed in 2020.

On the Southern Economic Corridor, the Dawei Special Economic Zone (SEZ) is crucial for Japan's GMS connectivity, which will link central Vietnam, Cambodia and Thailand to southeastern Myanmar. The Dawei SEZ is an $8-billion project in Tanintharyi Region that includes a deep seaport, set to be Southeast Asia's largest industrial complex. In November, Myanmar and Thailand signed an agreement to upgrade a highway linking their border with the Dawei SEZ.

According to Dawei SEZ Management Committee Chairman U Tun Naing, JICA has been conducting a full phase master plan for the deep seaport project, including setting up an electrical grid, basic infrastructure and buildings. The primary stage of the project will jointly be implemented by Myanmar, Thailand and Japan, according to Ministry of Commerce.

Prof. Manabu Fujimura of the College of Economics at Tokyo's Aoyama Gakuin University, an expert on economic corridors in GMS, told The Irrawaddy that Myanmar's economic landscape is basically divided into two parts—Chinese economic influence in Myanmar will continue to extend from Muse (in Shan State on Myanmar's border with China's Yunnan province) to Mandalay and "upper Myanmar", while Japanese and Thai economic influence would extend from Myawaddy (in Kayin State, on the border with Thailand's Tak province) to Yangon and "lower Myanmar."

A map showing expected industrial connectivity in the Mekong Region. / JICA

Naypyitaw believes foreign direct investment (FDI) offers a shortcut by which Myanmar can catch up to its neighbors and the rest of the global economy, but experts suggest the country needs to make efforts to improve the business environment by engaging in continuous reform—while also making an effort to balance two giants while not pitting one power directly against the other.

Experts said the evidence showed that Japan wants to counter China's economic and political forays into Myanmar, and that Japan's role has become increasingly important as the West turns its back on Myanmar due to the crisis in Rakhine State and human-rights abuses in the country.

Longtime Myanmar observer Bertil Lintner told The Irrawaddy, "Myanmar would need some very skilled diplomats to deal with this issue, because the country is rapidly becoming a pawn in a geopolitical game that goes far beyond ports and economic zones. It's about power games in the region where countries such as Japan and India are trying their utmost to contain China's growing influence in Myanmar."

Accepting aid from Japan is less risky than taking Chinese assistance, which usually comes in the form of loans and credits, which can turn into what's known as a "debt trap". If the loans can't be repaid, China seizes the asset, as it has done in Hambantota in Sri Lanka. Japanese aid comes with fewer strings attached. But given the rivalry between Japan and China, Myanmar should expect a lot of Chinese pressure (political, economic, support for armed groups) if it accepts aid and assistance from Japan, Lintner added.

The post Analysis: Deft Diplomacy Required as China, Japan Court Myanmar appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

Doctor Says Facebook Comedian Died From Blows to Head

Posted: 19 Dec 2018 04:03 AM PST

YANGON — A forensic doctor testified in the Aung Yell Htwe murder trial on Tuesday that the popular Facebook comedian died from severe head trauma, according to local media.

Taking questions from the  prosecution, the doctor, from Yangon General Hospital, told the Yangon Eastern District Court that the trauma included fracturing and hemorrhaging of the meninges resulting from blows with a hard and round object.

He was the last of the prosecution’s 22 witnesses.

The court will decide whether to charge the three murder suspects at its next hearing.

Aung Yell Htwe, 24, was severely beaten by a group of men at a New Year’s Eve party on Dec. 31 and died in hospital hours later after being operated on.

The Eastern District Court had dropped the case after questioning only 14 witnesses and before hearing from either the doctor or police investigator or reviewing the CCTV records. Yangon’s attorney general at the time, U Han Htoo, who approved the dismissal, said there was no solid evidence against the suspects.

U Han Htoo has since been dismissed and is on trial with five other court officials for allegedly taking bribes from a relative of one of the three suspects to drop the case.

Following a public outcry and pressure from the President’s Office, the Eastern District Court resumed the trial in October.

The post Doctor Says Facebook Comedian Died From Blows to Head appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

Lawmakers Fret Over Chinese Loans

Posted: 19 Dec 2018 02:17 AM PST

NAYPYITAW — Union Parliament lawmakers on Tuesday complained that they could see no signs of progress on the projects paid for with the $700 million in foreign loans the government paid back over the past year.

"Of the annual $700 million repayment, we had to pay about $550 million in principal and interest to China alone — about 80 percent. But taking a look at the projects being implemented with the loans, there is nothing noticeable," Lower House lawmaker Daw Khin San Hlaing said during discussion of a new report on the 2017-18 fiscal year debt.

She said two steel mills being run by the Ministry of Industry in Mandalay and Bago regions, with loans from the China Development Bank and the Export-Import Bank of China, were only adding to Myanmar’s debt burden, as were loans from the same banks being passed on to local farmers to set up cooperatives.

The previous Parliament approved $300 million in loans from the Export-Import Bank of China at 4.5 percent interest to fund the cooperatives.

Daw Khin San Hlaing, who opposed the loans, has urged the government to negotiate with Beijing to convince it to either cancel the debt or to reduce the interest rate and extend the repayment period.

According to the latest debt report, Myanmar had racked up some $4 billion in loans by 1988 and another $2.7 billion after that up to 2011, 97 percent of it from China. It says the government amassed another $3.1 billion in loans between 2011 and 2016 and $91 million more since then.

Myanmar currently owes a total $10 billion to international lenders, $4 billion of it to China.

"According to the report, it is clear in which period the burden was heaviest," said Upper House lawmaker U Hla Hsan.

Lower House lawmaker Daw Thet Thet Khaing called on the government to adopt a clear borrowing policy.

"As most of the loans are long-term, the current government is enticed to take them because only its successors will have to pay the loans back," she said.

Lawmakers also noted with concern that the kyat’s ongoing depreciation against the US dollar will make it increasingly costly for Myanmar to finance its long-term loans.

"As a result, the government might have to either increase taxes or reduce its budget," Daw Thet Thet Khaing said.

Translated from Burmese by Thet Ko Ko.

The post Lawmakers Fret Over Chinese Loans appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

Facebook Shuts Hundreds More Pages Linked to Myanmar Military

Posted: 19 Dec 2018 01:02 AM PST

YANGON—As part of its ongoing effort to remove hate speech from its platform, Facebook on Tuesday said it had purged nearly 600 hundred additional accounts, pages and groups with links to the Myanmar military for engaging in "coordinated inauthentic behavior". Critics have accused Facebook of contributing to outbreaks of deadly violence in Myanmar by allowing the spread of inflammatory rhetoric targeting ethnic communities.

This is the third time Facebook has targeted activity related to the Myanmar military (or Tatmadaw). In August, following the release of a UN Fact-Finding Mission report that found evidence of genocide in Rakhine State, the company removed 18 Facebook accounts, one Instagram account and 52 Facebook pages, including those of armed forces commander-in-chief Senior General Min Aung Hlaing and the military's Myawaddy television network.

More than 700,000 Rohingya have fled Myanmar for neighboring Bangladesh since last August as a result of the Tatmadaw's clearance operations, which followed attacks by the Arakan Rohingya Salvation Army (ARSA) on military and security outposts in northern Rakhine State.

Facebook is the most popular social media platform in Myanmar with 18 million local users. Since its arrival in the country, the volume of hate speech against minority groups—particularly the Rohingya in Rakhine State—has exploded.

Facebook said the move was the result of its ongoing investigation into this type of behavior in Myanmar. The company's latest action removed 425 Facebook Pages, 17 Facebook Groups, 135 Facebook accounts and 15 Instagram accounts it said were posing as independent news, entertainment, beauty and lifestyle pages.

"This kind of behavior is not allowed on Facebook under our misrepresentation policy because we don't want people or organizations creating networks of accounts to mislead others about who they are, or what they're doing," Facebook said.

It said the decision to remove pages was based on the behavior of the actors rather than on the type of content they were posting.

It had discovered that the pages, accounts and groups were linked to the military and to pages or persons previously removed from Facebook.

Facebook said one of the closed pages had 2.5 million followers, while one of the closed Facebook groups had 6,400 followers and one of the Instagram accounts had 1,300 followers.

Some of the most-followed of the banned Facebook Pages were "Down for Anything," "Let's Laugh Casually", "We Love Myanmar Knowledge" and "All About Myanmar," according to Facebook Newsroom.

"Our investigations in Myanmar are ongoing and we will continue to provide updates on abuse we find and remove," Facebook said.

In October, the company removed 13 Pages and 10 accounts associated with violence against Rohingya Muslims for engaging in "coordinated inauthentic behavior". Among the removed items was a page containing collections of soldiers' photos.

The post Facebook Shuts Hundreds More Pages Linked to Myanmar Military appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

Daw Aung San Suu Kyi’s Brother Refuses to Concede Legal Fight over Inheritance

Posted: 18 Dec 2018 11:52 PM PST

NAYPYITAW—U Aung San Oo, the elder brother of Daw Aung San Suu Kyi, said that the rejection of his appeal against a court decision involving the residence of Daw Aung San Suu Kyi at No. 54 University Avenue, is unfair.

"I will lodge an appeal to Chief Justice U Tun Tun Oo. I don't know whether he will accept it or not, but he might not. Three judges under him seemed to be afraid to handle the case. I think they are worried about the case as it involves the State Counselor," U Aung San Oo told the Irrawaddy.

The special appeal was filed by U Aung San Oo himself to the Union Supreme Court on Oct. 17 this year and rejected by the court on Dec. 12.

A spokesperson for the public relations branch of the Union Supreme Court said, "The appeal lodged by U Aung San Oo was rejected by the court on December 12."

Official documents of the court and other pieces of evidence will be sought in order to lodge an appeal to the chief justice as soon as possible.

U Aung San Oo said that he would make it clear in his appeal that the sharing of the inheritance with defendant U Khin Maung Aye, who he believes was not entitled to it, was never mentioned in the case.

"His name was never mentioned when Daw Aung San Suu Kyi lodged an appeal three times. According to the law, he is not eligible to be a defendant when the inheritance is shared under a commissioner. But Daw Aung San Suu Kyi said that he was eligible. It was her influence above the law. She used it and said that the inheritance must also be shared with U Khin Maung Aye so I lost that case at the court," he added.

The case involving the State Counselor's residence was opened in 2011 and a final verdict was given by Yangon West District Court in November 2016.

The court decided that a two-story house and half of the two-acre plot owned by Daw Khin Kyi, their mother, would be given to Daw Aung San Suu Kyi, while a one-story house plus the other half of the plot would be given to her brother, U Aung San Oo. However, he was not satisfied with the court's decision and demanded that the residence be auctioned off and the proceeds of the sale shared equally between them.

During her ill health in 1988, Daw Khin Kyi told her son and daughter, who were then living abroad, to come back to Myanmar. Daw Aung San Suu Kyi returned to Yangon to nurse her sick mother but U Aung San Oo failed to follow his mother's request. Before her death, Daw Khin Kyi decided to give her nephew U Khin Maung Aye a plot in the compound measuring 21.3 by 30.5 meters (70 by 100 feet) as inheritance.

U Khin Maung Aye died in August this year.

U Aung San Oo said, "They said my demands were too much and they could not be negotiated. If I am demanding too much, they can auction off the plot and they will know whether I am demanding too much or not. Why can't they auction it off?"

However, he did not elaborate on exactly how much money he was demanding.

U Myo Nyunt, spokesperson for the National League for Democracy, said, "It is not true. The court will decide independently. We will not intervene in the case. We will not even make a remark as a political party. Daw Aung San Suu Kyi will not make a remark as an individual. The court has the right to decide on the case independently."

The house and plot at No. 54 University Avenue was given to Daw Khin Kyi by former prime minister U Nu. U Nu invited Daw Khin Kyi to move to the residence on University Avenue from their residence at Tower Lane (now General Aung San Museum), in order to help the family to overcome their grief after one of the sons drowned there.

The post Daw Aung San Suu Kyi's Brother Refuses to Concede Legal Fight over Inheritance appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

Three Fined for Demanding Release of Jailed Kachin Antiwar Activists

Posted: 18 Dec 2018 11:30 PM PST

YANGON—A court in Myitkyina, Kachin State has fined three activists who led a rally calling for the release of three imprisoned anti-war protesters.

On Dec. 11, Sut Seng Htoi, Brang Mai and Seng Hkum Awng led a demonstration against the imprisonment of three activists who were convicted earlier this month of defaming the Army after leading an antiwar protest in April. Around 5,000 local residents took part in the Dec. 11 demonstration. Myitkyina Township police charged the three under Article 19 of the Peaceful Assembly and Procession Law.

"Sut Seng Htoi was fined 100,000 kyats, and the other two were fined 300,000 kyats each," Maran Seng Htwal, a member of the protest's organizing committee, told The Irrawaddy.

According to township police, demonstrators used the Kachin State flag without permission and held up placards reading "Failed democracy?" and "Failed law", as well as pictures of the three imprisoned anti-war demonstrators.

They were protesting the Dec. 7 sentencing by Myitkyina Township Court of Lum Zawng, Nang Pu and Zau Jat to six months in prison and fines of 500,000 kyats each for defaming the Myanmar Army during the anti-war protests in April. The plaintiff in that case, a military officer of the Myanmar Army's Northern Command, took the three to court over the protests, which called for the rescue of 2,000 locals displaced and trapped by fighting between the Myanmar Army and the Kachin Independence Army (KIA) near the village of Awng Lawt in Tanai Township.

Activists said they would continue their campaign, including lodging an appeal for the release of the anti-war demonstrators.

"We will also seek their unconditional release [through activities] outside the court," Maran Seng Htwal said.

"Demonstrations calling for the rescue of innocent civilians are not defamatory. They were simply calling on the parties involved to rescue innocent civilians," Maran Seng Htwal, who is also the manager of the Yangon branch of the Assistance Association for Political Prisoners told The Irrawaddy.

June 9 marked the seventh anniversary of renewed clashes between the Myanmar Army, or Tatmadaw, and the KIA after a 17-year truce between the Tatmadaw and the KIA collapsed in 2011. More than 100,000 locals have been forced from their homes into camps across Kachin State since then.

The post Three Fined for Demanding Release of Jailed Kachin Antiwar Activists appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

Violence Against Journalists Hits Unprecedented Levels: RSF

Posted: 18 Dec 2018 09:03 PM PST

PARIS — The murder of Saudi columnist Jamal Khashoggi in a year when more than half of all journalists killed were targeted deliberately reflects a hatred of the media in many areas of society, Reporters Without Borders (RSF) said on Tuesday.

At least 63 professional journalists around the world were killed doing their jobs in 2018, RSF said, a 15 percent increase on last year. The number of fatalities rises to 80 when including all media workers and citizen journalists.

“The hatred of journalists that is voiced … by unscrupulous politicians, religious leaders and businessmen has tragic consequences on the ground, and has been reflected in this disturbing increase in violations against journalists,” RSF Secretary-General Christophe Deloire said in a statement.

Khashoggi, a royal insider who became a critic of Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman and began writing for the Washington Post after moving to the United States last year, was killed inside the Saudi consulate in Istanbul in October.

Khashoggi’s death sparked global outrage. Saudi officials have rejected accusations that the crown prince ordered his death.

The Paris-based body said that the three most dangerous countries for journalists to work in were Afghanistan, Syria and Mexico.

Meanwhile, the shooting of five employees of the Capital Gazette newspaper propelled the United States into the ranks of the most dangerous countries.

The media freedom organization said 348 journalists are being detained worldwide, compared with 326 at this time in 2017. China, Turkey, Iran, Saudi Arabia and Egypt hold more than half the world’s imprisoned journalists.

The post Violence Against Journalists Hits Unprecedented Levels: RSF appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

Sri Lanka Lawmakers Defect From President to Prime Minister After Dispute

Posted: 18 Dec 2018 08:48 PM PST

COLOMBO — Three lawmakers from Sri Lankan President Maithripala Sirisena’s party defected to the government of Prime Minister Ranil Wickremesinghe on Tuesday after a dispute between the two leaders.

The island nation was plunged into crisis in October after Sirisena replaced Wickremesinghe with ex-president Mahinda Rajapaksa without the backing of Parliament, leading to protests and downgrades of Sri Lanka’s debt.

Rajapaksa, best known for crushing a long-running insurgency in the north of the country and drawing Sri Lanka closer to China, failed to win a parliamentary majority and resigned on Saturday as a government shutdown loomed.

Wickremesinghe was then sworn in as prime minister for the fifth time in a remarkable comeback.

“We joined the government… as the party and the country have been dragged into a difficult position," Vijith Wijayamuni Soysa, one of the three lawmakers, told Parliament.

With the latest defections, Wickremesinghe has the backing of 120 legislators in the 225-member Parliament.

On Thursday Sri Lanka’s Supreme Court ruled that Sirisena’s decision to dissolve parliament before the end of its term was unconstitutional, a judgment that eventually led to the return of Wickremesinghe as prime minister.

Members of his ruling United National Party and at least six opposition lawmakers want to oust Sirisena through an impeachment, though that needs a two-thirds majority in Parliament.

The post Sri Lanka Lawmakers Defect From President to Prime Minister After Dispute appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

Bangladesh Ruling Party Promises Growth in Bid For Third Term

Posted: 18 Dec 2018 08:34 PM PST

DHAKA — Bangladesh's ruling Awami League unveiled its election manifesto on Tuesday, making sweeping promises to eradicate poverty and boost the economy as it seeks to retain power for a third straight term.

The 88-page manifesto released by Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina promised to increase the country's gross domestic product to 9 percent from the 7.8 percent the government reported for the 2017-18 fiscal year, partly driven by a more competitive presence in international markets.

The Awami League is up against the National Unity Front, a coalition of smaller parties that have formed what they say is a movement to restore democracy in Bangladesh.

Ahead of elections due on Dec. 30, violent clashes have broken out across Bangladesh since campaigning began last week, and candidates of the main opposition Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP), which is part of the coalition, have been attacked. The Awami League has denied involvement.

The coalition and human rights groups have criticized Hasina's government for being increasingly authoritarian and imposing curbs on free speech and the media.

Hasina's rule is credited for an improved economy, over 80 percent of which depends on a robust garments export sector. But her government has been criticized for cracking down on dissent, going after journalists by introducing tough new laws, and locking up opposition workers.

The Awami League manifesto touted the country’s improving international image under Hasina, who has been lauded for providing refuge for hundreds of thousands of Rohingya Muslims who have fled violence and persecution in Myanmar.

The opposition alliance’s manifesto released on Monday took aim at the rights abuses Hasina's government has been accused of, saying it would allow freedom of expression and would punish police officials involved in "politically motivated" arrests.

The BNP also released its manifesto on Tuesday, saying it would modernize education for madrassas, or Islamic religious schools, and offer "honorable allowances" to mosque leaders.

Hasina and BNP leader Khaleda Zia share a bitter rivalry and Hasina has criticized the BNP for its links to the Jamaat-e-Islami, a group that opposed Bangladesh's independence from Pakistan. Khaleda is in jail on corruption charges she says were aimed at keeping her away from politics.

Jamaat's registration as a political party has been revoked under Hasina's rule but at least 22 of its members are contesting the elections under the BNP banner.

The post Bangladesh Ruling Party Promises Growth in Bid For Third Term appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

Tuesday, December 18, 2018

The Irrawaddy Magazine

The Irrawaddy Magazine


Myanmar Couple, Children Murdered in Thailand

Posted: 18 Dec 2018 05:53 AM PST

YANGON — A Myanmar couple and their children, including a four-month-old baby, were murdered in the Thai border town of Mae Sot on Sunday, according to a community volunteer.

U Zayar, vice chairman of the People’s Volunteer Association, said he visited the family’s hut — where the attack occurred — with local police. He said the victims included the baby; husband, 47; wife, 45; and their other child, who was 4.

"All four were bludgeoned to death. The four-month-old was beaten in the face and died near its mother. The others were beaten on the head. The four-year-old was beaten and thrown into a lake in front of the hut," he said.

Two bloodstained iron rods and a bloody piece of wood found near their bodies were collected as evidence by the police, he added.

U Zayar said the couple made a living cutting sugar cane or tending cattle in the area, and that the wife’s three other children from a previous marriage were away from home when the attack occurred.

He said the woman’s 19-year-old daughter told police that her parents had a quarrel with a neighbor couple and their friend over a cow the night of the attack. He said the three were seen leaving the area that night and that police were searching for them as suspects.

"The three suspects, including a couple living in the same compound and a male friend of theirs, ran away the same night. They had a quarrel with the victims earlier. The police suspect that they killed the victims and are looking for them," U Zayar said.

A police official in Karen State’s Myawaddy Township, across the border from Mae Sot, said Myanmar police would cooperate with their Thai counterparts to investigate the case.

Translated from Burmese by Myint Win Thein.

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Army’s Willingness to Sit Down with FPNCC Members Shows China’s Growing Clout

Posted: 18 Dec 2018 05:14 AM PST

China has stepped up its role in the peace process in Myanmar, especially as it relates to conflicts along the China-Myanmar border in northern Shan State. Beijing understands that stability and peace on the border will benefit both countries.

In particular, China is playing an important role as peace broker between the Myanmar Army and members of the Federal Political Negotiation and Consultative Committee (FPNCC). Sun Guoxiang, special envoy for Asian affairs at China's Foreign Ministry, is Beijing's go-between tasked with convincing the Myanmar Army (or Tatmadaw) to sit down with the FPNCC in peace negotiations.

On several occasions Sun has traveled to Naypyitaw to meet with military leaders, then traveled to the border to relay their messages to FPNCC members. Previously, Sun had found it difficult to convince the Myanmar Army to enter peace negotiations with the FPNCC. Until recently, the Tatmadaw refused to accept the participation of the Arakan Army (AA), Ta'ang National Liberation Army (TNLA) and Myanmar National Democratic Alliance Army (MNDAA) in peace negotiations.

Given the difficulty of convincing Myanmar military commander-in-chief Senior General Min Aung Hlaing, Sun sometimes resorted to telling FPNCC members at meetings how nicely dressed the senior general's wife was dressed, and describing her traditional attire. The FPNCC leaders wanted to hear a message regarding peace negotiations, but instead had to listen to talk of Sen-Gen Min Aung Hlaing's wife.

And while some FPNCC leaders may have found the discussion of Sen-Gen Min Aung Hlaing's wife meaningless, they themselves had nothing to say to Sun. At that time, the FPNCC leaders believed that the peace mission from China was a failure.

According to statements issued last week, however, the Myanmar Peace Commission has accepted the participation of the AA, TNLA and MNDAA in peace negotiations. The FPNCC members and China both feel that some progress has been made in peace negotiations, with this change of heart by the Myanmar Army.

If China is able to broker a peace agreement between the Myanmar Army and the ethnic armed organizations (EAOs), it could bring the armed conflicts in northern Shan State and Arakan State to an end.

The Chinese Embassy in Yangon even issued a statement last week welcoming both the MPC's statement and a joint statement from the AA, TNLA and MNDAA agreeing to work toward further peace negotiations.

China places an emphasis on peace negotiations and would continue to provide the necessary support for the process, the embassy statement said.

China put a lot of pressure on the Myanmar Army to accept the participation of the three groups, according to some FPNCC leaders. Myanmar and China have agreed to build a railway from Muse in northern Shan to Mandalay. According to the FNPCC members, China is using such projects as economic leverage over Myanmar's military leadership.

The railway project between the two countries forms part of a proposed economic corridor that is itself part of Beijing's huge regional infrastructure development strategy known as the Belt and Road Initiative, Chinese Ambassador Hong Liang said at the October signing of a memorandum of understanding to build the project.

During his speech, the ambassador made a point of saying that the project will support economic development, peace and stability in northern Shan State.

China the priority for Myanmar military

The Myanmar government and military's view of China has not always been so rosy. The previous government of former President U Thein Sein courted favor from Western countries to support the peace process and economic development. At that time, China was a lesser priority for Naypyitaw.

But as Western countries have put increasing pressure and sanctions on the Myanmar Army and government over the crisis in Rakhine State and rights abuses against the Rohingya, Naypyitaw has increasingly turned to China. Given the large portion of Myanmar's economy that is controlled by the Tatmadaw, and China's increasing role in development projects, Beijing will find many ways to pressure the Myanmar Army to build peace.

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Peace Process Will Remain in Deadlock if Single Army Issue Cannot Be Resolved

Posted: 18 Dec 2018 05:04 AM PST

YANGON—The issue of establishing a single army will remain an obstacle to the ongoing peace process as long as the stakeholders of the Tatmadaw (Myanmar Army) and the ethnic armed organizations (EAOs) both hold their positions on the current conditions of the agreement, according to peace observers and stakeholders.

"The ideology of the single army is blurred, thus the conditions were raised when we talked about the issues," said Col. Khun Okkar, patron of the Pa-O Nationalities Liberation Organization during his remarks at the book launch of "Non-secession, Single Army and Self-Determination" published by the Myanmar Institute for Peace and Security (MIPS).

He said on Monday that the EAOs would raise questions about conditions of the would-be single army, including on its structure, responsibilities and so on, before fully agreeing on the issue. The Tatmadaw has urged them to accept the basic principles without knowing the full extent of the conditions of the proposed single army.

The issue of forming a single army has fallen behind other discussions because issues surrounding the security sector have not been able to move beyond the initial stages. Along with it, a common understanding of non-secession and self-determination—labeled as part of the package deal—has not been reached and thus the discussions have been stalled for nearly two years.

Although the National League for Democracy (NLD) government does not strongly object to the package deal—which includes conditions of non-secession, forming a single army and self-determination—no common understanding of the single army issue has yet been reached between the Tatmadaw and EAOs.

Khun Okkar said the Tatmadaw's immovable position on these three issues has delayed the peace process, and that solutions should be widely discussed between the negotiators.

In the MIPS publication, solutions and suggestions for overcoming the deadlock on the package deal were documented. They felt the need to focus on those issues since no agreement was reached at the third session of the 21st Panglong Peace Conference [in July], according to Salai Ngun Gung Lian, a researcher at the MIPS.

The book included examples from a number of different democratic states and their constitutional clauses on the issues of secession, single armed forces and self-determination.

The publication also highlighted three important suggestions on the single army issue: for the stakeholders to agree to a single army which protects the Union's borders and to form an army and state armed police force which would take responsibility for law and order in the states and regions close to the borders. It suggested that the army and the state armed police force be under the command of the Tatmadaw's commander-in-chief, but for the state armed police force to be a separate institution to the current Myanmar police force.

The suggestion caused confusion for observers who see the border guard forces and militia already in operation at Myanmar's borders to be similar to his suggested groups.

The Tatmadaw's forcing of the EAOs to form border guard forces back in 2009 resulted in renewed fighting, particularly between the Tatmadaw and the Kachin Independence Army.

However, Salai Ngan Cung Lian told The Irrawaddy on Monday that the suggestions in the publication are not about border guard forces. He said more publications they expect to produce in the next six months will have further details on the analysis of the single army issue, as well as other suggestions.

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Parliament Approves $94M Loan From Korea For Govt Data Center

Posted: 18 Dec 2018 03:59 AM PST

YANGON — Myanmar's Union Parliament has approved a $93.8-million loan from the Export-Import Bank of Korea to help pay for the construction of a centralized e-government data center.

The Ministry of Transportation and Communication proposed the loan earlier this month. On Tuesday, lawmakers overwhelmingly approved it by a vote of 453 to nine.

The three-year project is slated to start in January under the direction of the Department of Information Technology and Cyber Security. At a total cost of $104.3 million, it calls for an e-Government Integrated Data Center in Naypyitaw and a backup center in Thanlyin Township near Yangon.

Myanmar will cover what the Korean loan does not from the national budget.

Once the project is completed, people will receive better and around-the-clock e-government services covering everything from online payments to visa applications, according to Transportation and Communication Minister U Thant Sin Maung.

Last week, four lawmakers debated the proposed project in Parliament and raised questions about cyber security.

On Tuesday, the minister discussed some of the security measures that would be taken at both centers. He added that a draft cyber law addressing social media, personal data, child protection and other issues would be ready for their consideration in 30 weeks.

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Armed Group, Locals Report Myanmar Air Force Attack in Rakhine

Posted: 18 Dec 2018 03:11 AM PST

SITTWE, Rakhine State — The Myanmar military’s air force attacked positions held by the Arakan Army in northern Rakhine State’s Kyauktaw Township on Tuesday, according to locals and the armed group.

U Maung Ni, a resident of the township’s Thalu Chaung village tract, said two military jet fighters started strafing a mountain range near his home with gunfire at about 8 a.m.

He said the attack has sent residents in at least six villages in the area fleeing their homes in fear.

Fighting between the military and the Arakan Army picked up in late November, with almost daily clashes in Rakhine State’s Kyauktaw, Ponnagyun, Rathedaung and Buthidaung townships.

On its Facebook page on Tuesday, the Arakan Army said the military started shelling its positions at about 10 a.m. and sent in two fighter gets for air support three hours later.

On Sunday, three soldiers were killed and more than 10 wounded in a rocket-propelled-grenade attack on a Myanmar military truck in Rathedaung. No one claimed responsibility for the attack, though the site was near territory contested by the Arakan Army.

After a meeting with the government’s Peace Commission on Wednesday, the Arakan Army, Myanmar National Democratic Alliance Army and Ta’ang National Liberation Army offered to stop fighting with the military in return for the right to join the country’s formal peace talks.

Translated from Burmese by Nyein Nyein.

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A Special Christmas at Sedona

Posted: 18 Dec 2018 02:46 AM PST

YANGON—Sedona Hotel Yangon is one of a number of locations offering special festive dining and events for the upcoming Christmas and New Year festive period. Its renowned restaurants D'Cuisine, Du Fu and Orzo are offering a Merry Menu for families, friends and colleagues to get together and enjoy their tantalizing dishes for the month of December.

D'Cuisine will be serving its wide-ranging selection of well-known international dishes with a suitable festive theme. Highlights of the menu include grilled prawn, grilled mutton, crab soup and, of course, whole roasted turkey.

The buffet counters at D’Cuisine are decorated to bring Christmas cheer to all diners. / Aung Kyaw Htet / The Irrawaddy

Their popular buffet, priced at $33 per person on weekdays and $36 at weekends, features special Christmas dishes. A whole buffet counter is dedicated to Christmas-style dishes and diners have already been queueing for the roast turkey—including me.

The roasted turkey, served by the slice by a dedicated chef, should be paired with traditional accompaniments like roast potatoes and Brussels sprouts. The turkey meat is very tender and the taste is perfect, even without seasoning or sauces. With Christmas around the corner, it provides the perfect Christmas feeling.

D’Cuisine is decorated with plenty of festive cheer for the holiday. / Aung Kyaw Htet / The Irrawaddy

The other international dishes available at the buffet are as delicious as ever and have earned a well-deserved reputation year-round as one of Yangon's famous hotel buffets. All the ingredients are fresh and the food tastes great but there are more meat choices than vegetables, so vegetarians watch out!

The grilled mutton and beef servings are also favorites of mine. They are cooked to the customer's requested specification by the masterful grilling chefs, giving them a hot and freshly-cooked flavor.

The grill counter and chef. / Aung Kyaw Htet / The Irrawaddy

This buffet allows you to truly indulge as it comes with a free-flow of wine, beer, and soft drinks included in the price. The high quality of foods they serve means the price is totally worth it for spending the special Christmas moment with a loved one or family.

As they do every year, Sedona Hotel will celebrate the ringing in of the new year with a lavish New Year's Eve party which this year, titled Be Dazzled, is expected to be the biggest in town.

Diners enjoy selecting their lunch buffet at D’Cuisine. / Aung Kyaw Htet / The Irrawaddy

The party will showcase international entertainment with tango, jazz, Broadway and Hollywood performances as well as some of the most famous local performers headlined by Ni Ni Khin Zaw and the music band Oxygen, who will welcome in 2019 with the guests.

"Sedona Hotel Yangon will provide guests with great entertainment featuring international and local artists, and DJs to be held at the spacious and luxurious poolside area of the hotel," said Mr. Mok Kok Meng, general manager of Sedona Hotel Yangon.

A diner choosing from different international options and the special Christmas menu at D’Cuisine. / Aung Kyaw Htet / The Irrawaddy

The special dinner buffet set for the Be-Dazzled party will include French oysters, lobsters, Alaska crab legs, abalone, suckling pig and roasted whole lamb leg.

As well as the special food options, the party will have a lucky draw and other exciting surprises. The hotel's website has more information on tickets and other details.

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China Hopes For ‘Orderly’ Brexit, Calls For More Open EU Economy

Posted: 17 Dec 2018 08:34 PM PST

BEIJING — China hopes Britain’s exit from the European Union can happen in an orderly way and that the bloc will reduce hurdles to Chinese investment and keep its markets open, China’s Foreign Ministry said on Tuesday.

China, the world’s second-largest economy, has watched Brexit nervously, worried not only about potential market turmoil from a disorderly departure but about losing Britain’s supportive voice for free trade within the EU.

“China hopes to see Brexit proceed in an orderly fashion and stands ready to advance China-EU and China-UK relations in parallel,” the ministry said in a lengthy policy document on EU ties.

The EU and China are often at loggerheads over trade and other issues, with the EU sharing many of the same concerns as the United States about market access, trade imbalances and intellectual property rights protection.

The bloc is China’s largest trading partner while China is its biggest trading partner after the United States.

The EU has been pressing for better access to the Chinese market for its companies, while China has complained about what it sees as unfair restrictions on Chinese investments in the EU.

Despite events such as Brexit, China said the EU has remained committed to integration, pressed on with reforms and played a major role in regional and international affairs.

Beijing has promised to look at the possibility of reaching a “top notch” free trade deal with Britain post-Brexit.
The Brexit process is currently deadlocked with just over 100 days until Britain is due to leave the EU.
On trade, China’s white paper said the EU should ease high-tech export controls on China and facilitate mutual investment.

The government will significantly ease market access and endeavor to foster a “stable, fair, transparent, law-based and predictable business environment that protects the legitimate rights and interests of foreign investment and treats Chinese and foreign firms registered in China as equals,” it said.

“China hopes that the EU will keep its investment market open, reduce and eliminate investment hurdles and discriminatory barriers, and provide Chinese companies investing in Europe a fair, transparent and predictable policy environment and protect their legitimate rights and interests.”

The EU last month provisionally agreed on rules for a far-reaching system to coordinate scrutiny of foreign investments into Europe, notably from China in the wake of a surge in Chinese investments, to end what a negotiator called “European naivety.”

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Ten Things to do in Yangon This Week

Posted: 17 Dec 2018 08:19 PM PST

Album Noize Game 2

Noize Gamer performs at a promotional event for their second album.

Dec. 18, 5 p.m. Junction City Level 2, Event Area. Free entry.

Ayatori

A game that involves making figures out of string.

Dec. 19, 2 p.m to 3 p.m. Japan Culture House, Room 322B, 2nd Floor, Bldg. C, Pearl Condo, Kaba Aye Pagoda Road. Free entry. Register at 09-459 148 405.

Open Mic Night

The last open mic night of 2018.

Dec. 20, 8 p.m. till late. YangonYangon Rooftop Bar. 01-255 131

Dumpu Dinki: Strangers are friends you haven't met yet

A play about the whole cosmos of human relationships, in which trust and confidence eventually prevail.

Dec. 21, 6.30 p.m. Goethe Institut Myanmar, corner of Kabar Aye Pagoda Road and Nat Mauk Street, Bahan Tsp. 01-937 6160.

Mom and Kalay Fair

Kid's fashion show, magic show, joker show and contests for children.

Dec. 21-23, 9 a.m. to 9 p.m., Junction City (Level 2, Promotion Area). Register at 09-760 89 89 22

Myanmar Music Wave

The biggest music festival in Myanmar

Dec. 21-22, 4.30 p.m. till late. Tickets 5,000 kyats to 72,000 kyats at 09-451 010 789

Anyar Pwe Zay

Visitors can choose from several traditional Myanmar meals.

Dec. 22, 6 p.m. Tickets at UKK, No. (314/A), U Wisara Road, Kamayut Tsp.

Serpentine

Artist Soe Yu Nwe showcases her works.

Dec. 15-29. Myanm/art, No. 98, Third Floor, Bogalay Zay Street.

Avijja

"Ignorance" is the subject of artist Ye Min's third solo exhibition.

Dec. 15-21. Nawaday Tharlar Gallery, No.304, 20/B, Yawmingyi Road, Dagon Tsp.

Ultramarine Blue

The second solo exhibition by Zarni.

Dec. 22-24. Gallery 65, No.65, Yaw Min Gyi Road, Dagon Tsp.

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Japan to Buy More Stealth Jets, Radar to Counter China, Russia

Posted: 17 Dec 2018 08:14 PM PST

TOKYO—Japan will accelerate spending on advanced stealth fighters, long-range missiles and other equipment over the next five years to support US forces facing China’s military in the Western Pacific, two new government defense papers said.

The plans are the clearest indication yet of Japan’s ambition to become a regional power as a military build-up by China and a resurgent Russia puts pressure on its US ally.

“The United States remains the world’s most powerful nation, but national rivalries are surfacing and we recognize the importance of the strategic competition with both China and Russia as they challenge the regional order,” said a 10-year defense program outline approved by Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s government on Tuesday.

The United States, followed by China, North Korea and Russia, are the countries that most influenced Japan’s latest military thinking, the paper said.

China, the world’s second biggest economy, is deploying more ships and aircraft to patrol waters near Japan, while North Korea has yet to fulfil a pledge to dismantle its nuclear and missile programs.

Russia, which continues to probe Japanese air defenses, said on Monday it had built new barracks for troops on a northern island it captured from Japan at the end of World War Two.

More stealth fighters

Japan plans to buy 45 Lockheed Martin Corp F-35 stealth fighters, worth about $4 billion, in addition to the 42 jets already on order, according to a separate five-year procurement plan approved on Tuesday.

The new planes will include 18 short take off and vertical landing (STOVL) B variants of the F-35 that planners want to deploy on Japanese islands along the edge of the East China Sea.

The islands are part of a chain stretching past Taiwan and down to the Philippines that has marked the limit of Chinese military dominance east of the disputed South China Sea.

The navy’s two large helicopter carriers, the Izumo and Kaga, will be modified to accommodate F-35B operations, the paper said.

The 248-meter (814-feet) long Izumo-class ships are as big as any of Japan’s aircraft carriers in World War Two.

The ships will need reinforced decks to withstand the heat blast from F-35 engines and could be fitted with ramps to aid short take-offs, two defense ministry officials told Reuters.

Trade war threat

The new F-35 order may also help Japan avert a trade war with the United States.

US President Donald Trump, who has threatened to impose tariffs on Japanese car imports, thanked Abe for buying the F-35s when the two met at a summit in Argentina this month.

Other US-made equipment on Japan’s shopping list includes two land-based Aegis Ashore air defense radars to defend against North Korean missiles, four Boeing Co KC-46 Pegasus refueling planes to extend the range of Japanese aircraft, and nine Northrop Grumman E-2 Hawkeye early-warning planes.

Japan plans to spend 25.5 trillion yen ($224.7 billion) on military equipment over the next five years, 6.4 percent higher than the previous five-year plan. Cost-cutting will free up another 2 trillion yen for purchases, the procurement paper said.

Japan only spends about 1 percent of its gross domestic product (GDP) on defense, but the size of its economy means it already has one of the world’s largest militaries.

“The budget is increasing and there has been an acceleration to deploy capability as soon as possible,” Robert Morrissey, head of Raytheon Co.’s unit in Japan, said this month.

Wary of North Korean promises to abandon ballistic missile development, Japan’s military is buying longer-range Raytheon SM-3 interceptor missiles to strike enemy warheads in space.

The defense papers assessed non-traditional military threats as well. A new joint-forces cyber unit will bolster Japan’s defenses against cyber attacks. More electronic warfare capabilities are planned.

Japan’s air force will also get its first space unit to help keep tabs on potential adversaries high above the Earth’s atmosphere.

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U.N. Security Council Mulls Myanmar Action; Russia, China Boycott Talks

Posted: 17 Dec 2018 08:05 PM PST

UNITED NATIONS — The U.N. Security Council is considering action to push Myanmar to work with the United Nations to address the Rohingya refugee crisis, although China and Russia have so far boycotted talks on a British-drafted resolution, diplomats said on Monday.

The draft resolution aims to put a timeline on Myanmar allowing the return of more than 700,000 Rohingya Muslim refugees from neighboring Bangladesh and addressing accountability, said diplomats, speaking on condition of anonymity.

The Rohingya have fled Myanmar’s Rakhine State since August last year, when attacks on security posts by Rohingya insurgents triggered a military crackdown that the United Nations, the United States, Britain and others described as ethnic cleansing.

Myanmar denies the accusations of ethnic cleansing.

The draft resolution would warn that the 15-member Security Council could consider further steps, including sanctions, if there was not enough progress made by Myanmar, diplomats said. It would also ask U.N. officials to report back regularly to the council.

It was unclear if or when the draft resolution could be put to a vote. A resolution needs nine votes in favor and no vetoes by Russia, China, the United States, Britain or France to pass.

“I think it’s inappropriate, untimely and useless,” Russian U.N. Ambassador Vassily Nebenzia told Reuters on Monday.

China’s U.N. ambassador, Ma Zhaoxu, declined to comment. Myanmar’s U.N. ambassador, Hau Do Suan, did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

The draft was circulated to council members late last month and diplomats said that there had been several rounds of discussions. Russia and China attended an initial meeting but have not taken part in any further talks, diplomats said.

The text would push Myanmar to implement a memorandum of understanding with the U.N. development and refugee agencies that Nobel laureate Daw Aung San Suu Kyi’s government signed in June, as well recommendations made by the Rakhine Advisory Commission that was led by former U.N. chief Kofi Annan.

The draft resolution does not include a referral of the situation in Myanmar to the International Criminal Court, diplomats said.

U.N. Security Council envoys traveled to Bangladesh and Myanmar in late April.

In October, China, backed by Russia, failed to stop a Security Council briefing by the chair of a U.N. inquiry that accused Myanmar’s military of genocide against Rohingya Muslims. Myanmar has rejected the findings of the U.N. report.

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Monday, December 17, 2018

The Irrawaddy Magazine

The Irrawaddy Magazine


Armed Group Soldier Involved in Shan State Shooting Dies From Knife Wounds

Posted: 17 Dec 2018 05:42 AM PST

Mon State — The Restoration Council of Shan State (RCSS) says one of its soldiers involved in a shooting on Tuesday in southern Shan State that left at least four ethnic Pa-O people dead has died from his wounds.

Colonel Sai Oo, a spokesman for the RCSS, said the soldier had been stabbed in the head and died on Thursday.

"He had two wounds on his head. He was very seriously wounded with a knife. He died because we could not treat him anymore," he told The Irrawaddy on Monday.

He said a second wounded soldier was still being treated.

The RCSS says the two soldiers were attacked by a group of Pa-O they had stopped in Loilem Township because they were members of another armed group in the area and suspected that one of them was a spy for the Myanmar military. It says the soldiers fired in self-defense, killing four people.

The Pa-O National Liberation Organization (PNLO) claims that the Pa-O were civilians searching for a new water source for their village when the RCSS soldiers detained them. It says other Pa-O from the village — Seng Ngum, also known as Namp Hu — came to demand their release and that the RCSS soldiers fatally shot five of them and wounded three others.

In a statement on Wednesday, the PNLO condemned the RCSS and accused it of “arbitrarily arresting, killing and injuring people.” Another group, the Union Pa-O National Organization, condemned the RCSS in a statement of its own on Friday and warned that the shootings could stoke communal tensions.

They appear to have done so already. Locals said tensions between the area’s Pa-O and Shan communities have been high since the shootings. Angry comments have been flying back and forth on Facebook.

Thousands of locals attended the funerals of the fatally shot Pa-O in Loilem on Thursday.

Col. Sai Oo said the RCSS was open to a request from Pa-O leaders to jointly investigate Tuesday’s violence but added that they had yet to make arrangements to do so.

The RCSS wants autonomy for Shan State. But unless they make peace with the state’s other ethnic groups, they will fail, said Khun Kyaw Win, a Pa-O community leader.

"Whenever there is a problem in the area or the situation is unstable, local people always have to suffer for it," he said.

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Can Myanmar Profit From the Trade and Currency Wars?

Posted: 17 Dec 2018 02:04 AM PST

Fiscal and monetary management in Myanmar are suffering amid global trade and investment uncertainty. The global trade and macroeconomic scene does not favor the transformation of Myanmar's economic institutions. The state counselor's team has been trying to treat the country’s monetary and fiscal problems with the assistance of development partners such as the World Bank, IMF and ADB due to the dearth of home-grown technocrats and economists.

Myanmar's real GDP growth dropped slightly from 7 percent in 2015-16 to 5.9 percent in 2016-17 and then increased to 6.8 percent in 2017-18. The trade and currency wars between the U.S. and China have meanwhile created both winners and losers. The IMF, Bangladesh and Vietnam are winners. The WTO, powerless to settle the dispute, is a big loser.

A modern economy runs on taxes, yet Myanmar has one of the lowest tax collection rates in not only ASEAN but the world. The government budget fell from 10.1 percent of GDP in 2016-17 to 9.4 percent in 2018-19 (though the allocation for health and education rose slightly to 6 percent of GDP in 2017-18). Yet tax collection ranged from only 3 to 7 percent of GDP between 2012 and 2018. The country’s many armed groups and religious organizations have meanwhile been collecting their own taxes, levies and donations. Myanmar’s economy is based more on donations than taxes, savings and investment because there is no clear tax policy for a lack of talented tax economists.

Countless schools, streets, clinics, hospitals and streetlights in Myanmar are built with public donations and run on the power plants of armed groups, rather than by or with the state. An obvious reason for the state’s falling revenue is that few people trust the government’s tax policies. In Myanmar, trust is the scarcest commodity. The government needs to re-establish trust by improving its performance and tax system, in particular the horizontal or vertical tax systems, by hiring international experts over the next few years.

A bright spot of Myanmar’s public financial management is the fiscal discipline the government imposed in 2016-18. As a result, Myanmar's fiscal deficit fell even though revenue declined slightly to 1.1 percent of GDP in 2017-18. According to World Bank data, the current account deficit has improved as the trade deficit declined from 5.5 percent of GDP ($ 3.5 billion) in 2016-17 to 2.6 percent of GDP ($ 1.7 billion) in 2017-18 due to rising garment exports. But the government will also need to address an inefficient bureaucracy, unprofitable state economic enterprises and electricity prices in the coming years.

Regarding monetary matters, the policies and actions of the Central Bank of Myanmar (CBM) improved in 2017-18, after U Soe Thein and U Bo Bo Nge were appointed deputy governors. It came out with the “Burmese Way to the Basel Principles” in July 2017. The CBM also stopped the practice of printing money to cover budget deficits in 2016-17 for the first time in the country’s modern history.

Now, amid the currency war between the U.S. and China, the Myanmar kyat has suffered, depreciating heavily against the U.S. dollar. The kyat fluctuated sharply from August to September — between 1,300 and 1,800 per dollar — before stabilizing in October at 1,550. The CBM has since gotten heavily involved in managing monetary policy, in particular in the foreign exchange market. The inflation rate rose from 5.9 percent to 8.2 percent in 2017-18 due to mounting fuel and commodity prices and a cooling real estate market.

The government was wrong to impose policies restricting trade for fear that re-exports to China would depreciate the kyat further. In the midst of a trade dispute between great powers, Myanmar, as a tiny economy, must adopt a smart trade strategy that includes bilateral currency swaps with regional countries. Myanmar requires an “economic foreign policy” to deal with the G20 economies and balance its trade with the main players of the international economic order.

Currently, foreign direct investment from the U.S. and EU is shrinking. The EU is threatening to reimpose economic sanction and to revoke trade benefits under its Generalized System of Preferences (GSP), while Myanmar has adopted a "Look East” policy and committed to the China-Myanmar Economic Corridor under Beijing’s Belt and Road Initiative. While allowing China access to the Bay of Bangle and Indian Ocean, Myanmar’s leaders would be wise to also pay attention to the country’s own energy security needs and its relationships in the Middle East and North Africa, home to more than 60 percent of the world’s petroleum reserves.

The European and U.S. markets, meanwhile, are meccas of consumerism and have great demand for international currencies and technology. Myanmar’s business community has to raise its ethical and regulatory standards, professionalism and trustworthiness to gain better access to their markets.

With respect to Myanmar's labor market, a lack of investment in human capital over the past several decades has left the country’s workforce at a disadvantage compared with its neighbors. In the lead-up to the 2020 general elections, the government should focus on coming up with a better labor policy and creating jobs and business opportunities. There are now about 14 million young people in the country’s labor force; many of them will migrate to other countries for work if the government cannot come up with a better labor policy than the one it has.

In sum, to attract foreign capital, investment and technology, Myanmar must address the risks associated with the country’s politics, economy and reputation, including rampant corruption. Now is the right time for Myanmar’s leaders not to isolate themselves in Naypyitaw but to engage and build trust with the G20.

Naing Ko Ko is a PhD candidate at the School of Regulation and Global Governance at Australian National University.

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Fighting Between Armed Groups Picked Up in November: Report

Posted: 17 Dec 2018 01:32 AM PST

YANGON — Clashes between ethnic armed organizations (EAOs) last month outnumbered those between them and the Myanmar military, or Tatmadaw, according to a new report.

The Myanmar Institute for Peace and Security (MIPS) says there were 44 clashes in November — 21 between EAOs and the military, and 23 between EAOs themselves. Among the latter, 10 involved the use of improvised explosive devices.

"We found that conflict escalated between EAOs and not with the Tatmadaw," MIPS Executive Director U Min Zaw Oo told The Irrawaddy.

The clashes occurred in 20 townships in states predominantly populated by ethnic minorities. Shan State's Namtu Township saw seven clashes. Kyaukme, Hsipaw and Kutkhaing townships, also in Shan, and Paletwa Township in Chin State saw four clashes each, while the rest saw one each.

The MIPS attributed much of the escalation to fighting between the Restoration Council of Shan State/Shan State Army-South (RCSS/SSA-S), the Ta'ang National Liberation Army (TNLA) and the Shan State Progress Party/Shan State Army-North (SSPP/SSA-N). It said their fighting had also expanded the area of conflict.

"Sometimes clashes happen as a result of encounters. Sometimes one side launches an attack on the other side. Sometime the two sides fight because of problems related to natural resources. We can't know the cause of every fight," U Min Zaw Oo said.

While the RCSS/SSA-S is a signatory to Nationwide Ceasefire Agreement (NCA) with the government and military, the others are not.

"Clashes happened because the [SSA-N] thinks the [SSA-S] is expanding into its territory in the north [of Shan State]. No one can control that. To solve this, there is a need to make sure everyone participates in the NCA and that everyone stops military operations. And there is a need to review the NCA to solve the existing problems. And there is also a need to establish clear territories," political analyst U Than Soe Naing told The Irrawaddy.

The MIPS attributed the clashes between the military and Arakan Army (AA) in southern Chin and northern Rakhine states to the AA’s attempts to expand its territory.

"The ultimate ambition of the AA is to establish a stronghold in Rakhine State. The AA attempted to gain a stronghold, and when the Tatmadaw attacked it, it fled, sometimes into Bangladesh. Then the fighting stopped for a while, until the AA came out again," said U Min Zaw Oo.

"But overall, clashes between the Myanmar Army and the EAOs across the country have declined," he added.

The AA, TNLA and Myanmar National Democratic Alliance Army (MNDAA) met with the government's Peace Commission last week and offered to halt military operations in order to enter formal peace negotiations.

During the first 11 months of 2018, March saw the most armed clashes, according to the MIPS  — 89 between the military and EAOs and three between EAOs themselves.

Translated from Burmese by Thet Ko Ko.

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Three Soldiers Killed in RPG Attack in Northern Rakhine State

Posted: 17 Dec 2018 12:41 AM PST

YANGON—Three army soldiers were killed and more than 10 wounded in a rocket-propelled grenade (RPG) attack by an unknown armed group in strife-torn northern Rakhine's Rathedaung Township on Sunday morning.

A police officer from Buthidaung Township confirmed  to The Irrawaddy that a military logistics truck was struck by an unknown armed group near Htee Swea and Kyauk Tan villages. According to the officer, the injured soldiers were receiving medical treatment at a 100-bed hospital in the town.

Police denied a rumor circulating on Facebook on Monday morning that some women and children were also riding in the Army truck as passengers on the way to a market. The police officer clarified that this information was wrong and that the only people on the truck were soldiers carrying supplies to the front when they were ambushed.

The officer said the incident took place about 5 miles from downtown Rathedaung. Kyauk Tan village is situated in the foothills of the Awrama mountain range. The area is actively contested between the Myanmar military (or Tatmadaw) and the Arakan Army (AA).

The Irrawaddy phoned spokesmen from both the Tatmadaw and the AA on Monday in an effort to obtain more details about Sunday's RPG attack, including a confirmed death toll, but both sides declined to comment. The Office of the Commander in Chief had not released any statement regarding the reported death of the three soldiers or details of the casualties as of Monday morning.

The AA posted an update regarding armed clashes via their information page on Facebook on Sunday. It said fighting broke out in Rathedaung Township's Thaung Da Rar and Htee Swea villages, as well as Ponnagyun Township's Kha Maung and Maung Hna Ma and Kyun Thar Yar villages, respectively.

It did not elaborate on the causalities or which battalion of the Tatmadaw was involved. The AA said it was bracing for further clashes once the Tatmadaw reinforced its frontline positions with more troops.

U Aung Thaung Shwe, an Arakanese lawmaker in the Union Parliament from Buthidaung constituency, said poorly informed villagers were frightened of surprise inspections and questioning by the military. Last week, a military column surrounded a village and checked every single home, one by one.

"I have requested authorized organizations not to cause overwhelming fear among villagers when they enter villages for questioning," U Aung Than Shwe said.

He said some villagers from his constituency told him that artillery shells had exploded near their homes last week, causing them to flee to a nearby village. Although his township has no proper displaced persons camp, some residents had already left their villages for safer locations along the Sai Din River.

According to the lawmaker, as skirmishes had erupted in Ponnagyun, Buthidaung, Rathedaung and Chin State's Paletwa Township, the IDP population could be higher than the reported number, as many members of Arakanese sub-ethnic groups live in remote areas. Some 300 IDPs have been sheltering in Ponnagyun Township, while some local relief workers were providing humanitarian assistance to them.

"The fighting will surely intensify as the AA has gained a strong foothold in these areas," U Aung Thaung Shwe said.

According to an AA press release, the ethnic armed group has clashed with the military on more than 20 occasions in recent weeks. Last week, the military officially announced that some high-ranking soldiers were killed by the AA, and that it had the bodies of four deceased AA members.

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Myanmar Film Industry Misrepresents Women, LGBT Community

Posted: 16 Dec 2018 11:59 PM PST

YANGON–Stereotyping, gender roles and gender discrimination in films have been increasing in the Myanmar film industry, which plays an influential role in people's thoughts and behavior, according to those behind research into gender awareness in Myanmar's film industry.

"We have seen derogatory representations of the role of women, minority ethnic [groups] and LGBT in Myanmar films. The characters in the films are making fun of these groups. Even though it may be unintentional, it is happening at every second. It is offensive and it is a shame," said Daw Myat Thet Thitsar, director of the Enlightened Myanmar Research Foundation (EMReF).

Recognized as one of the most powerful communication tools, with the ability to convey messages and images of social reality to audiences, Myanmar films are also being used as a propaganda tool to portray political history, transition and ideological conflicts.

Since the year 2000, one-third of the films created have been comedies and most of them contain sex jokes and insinuation of sexual harassment, said the researchers.

It will soon be one hundred years since the inception of Myanmar's film production industry, but sadly the presentation and the characters have become "distorted" since the year 2000, said Daw Grace Swe Zin Htike, a member of the Myanmar film censorship board, who encourages research in the development of Myanmar films.

She added that advancements in the industry are sometimes off-track as the creative art of film-making becomes more like a factory-produced entity to serve commercial purposes. She hopes that the development of film schools and collaborations between the mainstream and independent filmmakers will help the industry to regain quality in films.

"The perceptions [of the creators] have been wrong but it should not be turned to poison," Daw Grace Swe Zin Htike added, raising concerns that the characters in the films are very influential on the audience who tend to take cues from films for how they live with reality in their own lives.

She added that how the current Myanmar films represent male, female and LGBT characters, often involves discriminatory messages and portrays a biased identity. For example, LGBT characters are often portrayed as idiotic, rude and lustful.

"The quality of the films has decreased since the creative industry has being commercialized, but there are people who disagree with me who point out that the number of the films [produced] is increasing," said Daw Grace Swe Zin Htike.

The researchers based their analysis on 83 Myanmar films of different genres produced in 2016 and 2017, looking out for cases of gender discrimination, stereotyping, gender-based violence and gender awareness. The research also involved discussions with mainstream and documentary film directors, scriptwriters, actors, actresses and members of the censorship board.

Of the total number, 36 films included cases of gender discrimination which devalue the abilities of female and LGBT characters, said Daw Aye Lae Tun, a leading researcher from EMReF.

The findings also reveal more challenges facing the film industry, which has an actor-oriented market. In order to stick to the low budgets, plots with have many holes and there is a declining number of cinemas where the films may be screened.

One male director quoted in the research said, "The creation of well-organized stories has been in decline. The script is sometimes written on the scene, as it has not been well prepared beforehand. If the actor requests for the script to be revised, the writer has to rewrite it. If needed, LGBT characters have to be used to support the role of the actor or to [add fun to] the plot."

"Human rights were not heard of for a long time," said Daw Aye Lae Tun as explanation for creators such as directors and scriptwriters treating ethical issues with ignorance. "A human rights-based approach should be applied as a mainstream approach to every issue—this is not only related to the military's oppression," she said.

Scriptwriters may unintentionally compose the dialogue in a biased way, but these research findings which are available for everyone to read, should draw attention to the issues, said Daw Swe Zin Htike. "We just need to correct them as soon as we realize the wrongdoings."

The report findings may face opposition in the patriarchal society with some expressing their desire for Myanmar films to portray female characters as traditional women who are modest and take only the role of the house wife—the "perfect women"—in order to maintain a Myanmar-specific cultural perspective. The researchers, however, urged for only positive traditional views of women to be portrayed. The reality that modern Myanmar women often are opinionated, educated and have successful careers or businesses and healthy social lives should not be avoided.

"The research is comprehensive and the researchers did a detailed study on the films that are using proverbs to construct gender perspectives," said Dr. Khin Mar Mar Kyi, an award-winning social anthropologist and the first Senior Burmese female academic at the University of Oxford, who joined the research-study launch.

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Hunt for Crashed Lion Air Jet’s Black Box Delayed by Bad Weather

Posted: 16 Dec 2018 08:08 PM PST

JAKARTA — A renewed search for the cockpit voice recorder of a Lion Air jet that crashed into the Java Sea on Oct. 29 has been delayed for two days due to bad weather hampering the arrival of a specialized ship, the airline said.

The crash, the world’s first of a Boeing Co 737 MAX jet, killed all 189 people on board and the main wreckage and second “black box” were not recovered in an initial search.

Lion Air said in a statement that it was funding a 38 billion rupiah ($2.6 million) search effort using the offshore supply ship MPV Everest, which had been expected to arrive in the search area on Monday.

Bad weather and heavy rain at the port of Johor Bahru in Malaysia interfered with the equipment and crew mobilization process, delaying the ship’s arrival at the crash site until Wednesday, the airline said late on Sunday.

Lion Air’s decision to foot the bill for the search is a rare test of global norms regarding search independence, as such costs are typically paid by governments.

By law, the search for the cockpit voice recorder is the “duty and responsibility” of Indonesia’s transport safety committee (KNKT), Lion Air said. The Transport Ministry, which is responsible for KNKT’s budget, was not immediately able to comment on the matter.

Indonesian investigators said last week that bureaucratic wrangling and funding problems had hampered the search for the recorder and they had turned to Lion Air for help.

Safety experts say it is unusual for one of the parties to help fund an investigation, required by U.N. rules to be independent to ensure trust in any safety recommendations.

There are also broader concerns about resources available for such investigations worldwide, coupled with the risk of agencies being ensnared in legal disputes.

The clock is ticking in the hunt for acoustic pings coming from the L3 Technologies Inc cockpit voice recorder fitted to the jet. It has a 90-day beacon, the manufacturer’s online brochure shows.

The flight data recorder was retrieved three days after the crash, providing insight into aircraft systems and crew inputs, although the cause has yet to be determined.

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