Thursday, April 9, 2015

The Irrawaddy Magazine

The Irrawaddy Magazine


Foreign Investment Soars to Record $8B in 2014-15

Posted: 09 Apr 2015 07:04 AM PDT

Oil wells on the banks of the Irrawaddy River in Chauk, Magway Division. (Photo: Reuters)

Oil wells on the banks of the Irrawaddy River in Chauk, Magway Division. (Photo: Reuters)

RANGOON — Foreign direct investment in Burma grew sharply during the 2014-2015 fiscal year and reached a record US$8 billion, a more than doubling of FDI compared to the year before, according to the Myanmar Investment Commission, which said the oil and gas sector was the main driver of growth.

"We expected $4 or 5 billion, but at the end of the fiscal year the figures have risen to a record of $8 billion. The FDI numbers are becoming higher than what we've expected in recent years," said Aung Naing Oo, director-general of the Directorate of Investment and Company Administration (DICA) and a member of the Myanmar Investment Commission (MIC). "The oil and gas sector is at the top of the table."

DICA figures released this week indicate the oil and gas sector attracted $3.2 billion in FDI, the transport and telecommunication sector saw investments rise to $1.6 billion, closely followed by manufacturing with $1.5 billion. Real estate and hotels and tourism were the fourth and fifth sectors receiving most FDI, with $780 million and $357 million, respectively.

In the 2013-2014 fiscal year, which ends on March 31, Burma attracted about $3.5 billion in FDI, half of which flowed into its labor-intensive manufacturing sector.

Singapore-listed companies comprised more than half of the investment volume in 2014-2015 with a combined total of $4.2 billion, reflecting an apparent trend of managing local projects remotely from the investment haven, particularly for oil and gas projects. Hong Kong-based firms were the second-largest investors with $850 million, followed by China-registered companies with $516 million, according to DICA.

Many US-listed firms looking to invest in Burma are reportedly resorting to opening offices in Singapore in order to avoid potential risks involved in doing business with US-blacklisted "crony" businessmen who had ties to the former military regime.

"Many of biggest foreign companies opened a company based in Singapore, that's why its investment became top of the list. They are not only from Singapore, but also from various countries all over the world," said Aung Naing Oo. He said the MIC is forecasting a total FDI inflow of around $6 billion next year, adding, "We expect that next year will also be good."

The Asian Development Bank said in a report last month that Burma's economic growth is expected to stay strong at around 8.3 percent in the next fiscal year "propelled by investments stimulated by the ongoing reforms, an improved business environment, and the country's integration into Southeast Asia."

"Risks to Myanmar's economic outlook come from thin external and fiscal buffers, ethnic and sectarian tensions, extreme weather events, and a possible slowing of reform momentum ahead of elections [in November 2015]," the bank said.

President Thein Sein's nominally civilian government took office in 2011 and began opening up the economy in an attempt to attract FDI after international trade sanctions were lifted in 2012.

Oil and gas exploration licenses and exploitation licenses for the country's underdeveloped telecoms sector have been among the most coveted foreign investment opportunities in the long-isolated country.

Telenor of Norway and Qatar-based Ooredoo were granted operating licenses and started rolling out their networks in January 2014. In March last year, 13 foreign and local firms were granted offshore oil and gas exploration licenses and the companies have since been negotiating their individual production-sharing contracts with the state Myanma Oil & Gas Enterprise.

Burma's manufacturing sector has attracted investment by foreign firms looking to produce cheap products made with low-skill labor, such as garments, for export sales.

Hnin Oo, senior vice president of Myanmar Fisheries Federation and a fish produce exporter, welcomed the strong FDI figures, saying these were an indicator that investment in Burma's rich natural resources sector would continue regardless of the outbreak of conflict or political uncertainty.

He said, however, that Burma needs investment that adds value and creates jobs, adding that it should attract investment in its manufacturing sector. "As long as manufacturing and production sector won't come bigger, the country's economy will not become developed … We can't be dependent on the resources sector for a long time," Hnin Oo said.

The post Foreign Investment Soars to Record $8B in 2014-15 appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

Govt ‘Exaggerating’ Significance of Accord With Ethnic Groups: NCCT Leader

Posted: 09 Apr 2015 06:56 AM PDT

Burma's President Thein Sein, front third left, and Nai Hong Sar, front third right, a leader of the Nationwide Ceasefire Coordinating Team, shake hands after signing a nationwide ceasefire draft agreement in Rangoon on March 31. (Photo: Reuters)

Burma's President Thein Sein, front third left, and Nai Hong Sar, front third right, a leader of the Nationwide Ceasefire Coordinating Team, shake hands after signing a nationwide ceasefire draft agreement in Rangoon on March 31. (Photo: Reuters)

RANGOON — A leader of the ethnic armed groups that comprise the Nationwide Ceasefire Coordination Team (NCCT) has accused the Burmese government of exaggerating the significance of an agreement made last week that was hailed in state media as a "historic" breakthrough in peace negotiations.

On March 31, the NCCT and government negotiators signed declarations of support for a draft nationwide ceasefire accord long-sought by members of both sides. The draft agreement has not been made public, but several contentious issues that have deadlocked negotiations for months were reportedly omitted from the document and will be taken up instead during a political dialogue to following the nationwide ceasefire's signing.

No date has been set for that event, with ethnic groups saying they will first convene a summit to discuss the proposed peace deal among themselves.

Asked by The Irrawaddy if he thought the government was manipulating the substance of last week's signing, Khun Okkar, an NCCT leader, said on Thursday that Naypyidaw was "trying to exaggerate" in conveying its importance.

His comments resembled a statement of caution released by the United Nationalities Federal Council (UNFC) on Saturday. The UNFC, an alliance of 12 ethnic armed groups that includes many NCCT members, said the nature of the agreement reached last week had been "misunderstood."

"Many news agencies, stakeholders, and the international community have misunderstood that the parties signed the NCA. This is not true. Five representatives each from the NCCT and UPWC [Union Peacemaking Working Committee, the government's negotiating body] signed a joint statement affirming the completion of the draft NCA text," said the statement.

The concern over potential misunderstanding may have been prompted in part by rallies since last week's signing in Dawei and Mon State, which saw civil servants take to the streets in support of the signing of a nationwide ceasefire agreement.

The UNFC said the signing of an accord would be "unlikely" in April, citing four challenges that would make May the earliest possible month for a signing.

Those challenges included a timeframe that was too short, particularly given the lengthy holiday afforded in Burma for Buddhist New Year celebrations; continued fighting between the Burma Army and Kokang rebels in the country's northeast; and disagreement over who would serve as signatories and witnesses at the signing ceremony.

According to the statement, UNFC chairman Gen. N'Ban La "welcomes the finalization of the draft NCA [nationwide ceasefire agreement], however, he cautions that the Ethnic Armed Organization [EAO] Leadership Summit will decide whether or not to sign the NCA."

The United Wa State Army (UWSA) has offered to host the summit at its headquarters in Panghsang, a town in Shan State located on the Burma-China border, but Khun Okkar said a location had yet to be determined.

"We are grateful to the Wa for welcoming the hosting of a meeting there, but we have not discussed with them yet whether we can have the ethnic summit there," he said.

The post Govt 'Exaggerating' Significance of Accord With Ethnic Groups: NCCT Leader appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

Police Nab Another Student Linked to Letpadan Protest

Posted: 09 Apr 2015 04:20 AM PDT

Po Po is seen during the student protest last month in Letpadan, Pegu Division. (Photo: JPaing / The Irrawaddy)

Po Po is seen during the student protest last month in Letpadan, Pegu Division. (Photo: JPaing / The Irrawaddy)

RANGOON — Another student activist, Po Po, who last month participated in an education reform protest that was violently dispersed in Letpadan, Pegu Division, was arrested at her home on Wednesday and will be charged with joining a subsequent demonstration in Rangoon.

Po Po, a third-year student majoring in history who also goes by the name Yadanar Su Po Paing, spent the night in a Kamayut Township jail cell before being remanded to Insein Prison on Thursday.

The Thanlyin Township native had been a participant in a peaceful protest involving about 200 students in Letpadan when police on March 10 cracked down violently on the movement, which was pushing for an overhaul of the controversial National Education Law. More than 120 students and their supporters were arrested, but 20-year-old Po Po and several others managed to escape the police dragnet, according to her sister Ei Pone, who was arrested at Letpadan but was later released by authorities.

"We are told they arrested her due to the Hledan protest," Ei Pone said, referring to the traffic junction where protestors later gathered on the same day of the Letpadan crackdown to protest the police's use of force.

The demonstrators in Rangoon were dispersed by authorities just minutes later.

"With her, Nanda Sitt Aung and others, altogether six people will be [charged] in the same case," Ei Pone added.

A judge in Kamayut Township issued a warrant for Po Po's arrest on March 11. Prior to her detention on Wednesday, police had arrested Nanda Sitta Aung and Win Kyaw Moe. A manhunt is still on for Kyaw Ko Ko, Lin Htet Naing and Shein Yarzar Htun, whom authorities accuse of leading the demonstration along with Po Po and the others.

Win Kyaw Moe and Po Po, both currently being held at Insein Prison, are due to be arraigned on Friday at the Kamayut Township Courthouse under articles 143, 145, 147 and 505(b) of the Penal Code. The charges include participation in an unlawful assembly, joining or continuing an unlawful assembly and rioting, with some of the alleged offenses carrying penalties of up to three years in prison.

Nanda Sitt Aung was arrested in Rangoon on March 27 and transferred to Tharrawaddy Prison.

Meanwhile, 81 students on trial for involvement in the Letpadan protest were brought to court again on Thursday. Tension arose when police initially did not allow parents to meet with their children as they were brought to the courthouse on Thursday morning.

"We were not allowed to meet with our children at first. Afterward, the parents and supporters shouted at the police to allow it, and we were able to meet with our children," said Khin Khin Yu, mother of Min Thwe Thit.

"My son and his friends said they are not receiving proper medical treatment," she said, adding that he was suffering from headaches after being struck on the head with a police baton during the crackdown.

"But the authorities said they've checked him and nothing is wrong with his health. We fear internal injuries because we heard our children were beaten severely when they were arrested."

Authorities finally allowed the student detainees to receive clothes from donors after prison officials first blocked the donation, objecting to the fact that the white tops resembled the traditional school uniforms of Burmese students.

Student supporters and activists from Mandalay plan to organize a protest on Saturday to urge the government to release the detained student protesters.

The post Police Nab Another Student Linked to Letpadan Protest appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

Rangoon Municipality to Build Third Waste Incinerator

Posted: 09 Apr 2015 01:23 AM PDT

Municipal garbage collectors of YCDC work at a dump site in Pabedan Township, Rangoon. (Photo: Hein Htet / The Irrawaddy)

Municipal garbage collectors of YCDC work at a dump site in Pabedan Township, Rangoon. (Photo: Hein Htet / The Irrawaddy)

RANGOON — Rangoon Municipal Hall and the government of Japan are planning to jointly set up a garbage incinerator in Hlawga in Shwepyitha Township, Rangoon Division parliament was told this week.

"Currently, we are using the system of dumping waste on the ground, which pollutes the environment while wasting many areas of land. So, we want to build an incinerator so we can use those lands for other purposes," Rangoon Mayor Hla Myint told parliament on Monday.

The 60-ton capacity incinerator will cost US$16 million, half of which will be paid for by Japan's Ministry of Environment, while the other half will be paid for by the Yangon City Development Committee (YCDC), the city's municipal authority.

The construction of the incinerator is scheduled to start sometime between June and August, parliament was told. The installation will generate 700 kilowatt of daily energy from waste incineration, about 400 Kw of which will be used to power it.

It will be the third waste incinerator serving the city of more than 5 million. Thirty-three townships within YCDC's municipal boundary in Rangoon Division dump 1,690 tons of garbage daily.

YCDC has already signed an agreement with a local company called Zeya Associate Co. to run a 600-ton-capacity incinerator at Dawei Chaung dumping ground in North Dagon Township and generate electricity, YCDC's environment and sanitation division has said.

In addition, in partnership with a Korean company called Gsasson International Korea Ltd, YCDC has built an 800-ton-capacity incinerator at Hteinbin dumping ground to generate electricity, said Aung Myint Maw, assistant head of the environment and sanitation division of YCDC.

The incinerators will use a landfill gas emission system to generate electricity.

"Hteinbin and Dawei Chaung projects are ready to produce electricity. But we are waiting to sign a power purchase agreement with the Ministry of Electrical Power to sell the electricity," Aung Myint Maw said.

The post Rangoon Municipality to Build Third Waste Incinerator appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

Foreign Banks Opening Branches in Burma for First Time in Decades

Posted: 09 Apr 2015 01:16 AM PDT

Traffic travels past signs of OCBC and DBS banks at Sakura Tower in Rangoon on Oct. 3, 2014. (Photo: Reuters / Soe Zeya Tun)

Traffic travels past signs of OCBC and DBS banks at Sakura Tower in Rangoon on Oct. 3, 2014. (Photo: Reuters / Soe Zeya Tun)

RANGOON — Two Japanese and one Singaporean bank will become the first foreign banks to operate in Burma for decades when they open branches on April 23, as the country emerges from a long phase of economic isolation, state media reported Thursday.

"The Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd [BTMU], Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corporation [SMBC] and Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation Ltd became the first to clear the final hurdle among nine foreign lenders awarded preliminary approval," the state-backed Global New Light of Myanmar newspaper reported.

Crippled by mismanagement during 49 years of military regimes and cut off from much of the world due to Western sanctions, the domestic banking sector remains ill-equipped to provide services to local citizens, let alone global companies.

A semi-civilian government took power in 2011 and has initiated sweeping economic reforms. In October, the government granted nine foreign banks coveted licenses to operate on a limited basis, its biggest move to date to bring in much needed foreign capital to a fast-growing economy.

The licenses are limited to one branch that can provide loans to foreign companies and only in foreign currency, and the licensees are also expected to lend to domestic banks.

Sumitomo has partnered up with the local bank KBZ, the newspaper reported.

Mitsubishi UFJ is a unit of Mitsubishi Fnancial Group Inc, and Sumitomo Mitsui is a unit of Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group Inc.

Burma's Central Bank said on April 2 that it expected the remaining six foreign banks to submit applications for their final licenses in the coming months.

The remaining six banks are: the Australia and New Zealand Banking Group Ltd, Bangkok Bank, the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC), Malayan Banking Berhad, Japan's Mizuho Bank, and Singapore's United Overseas Bank.

Mizuho Bank is a unit of Mizuho Financial Group Inc.

The post Foreign Banks Opening Branches in Burma for First Time in Decades appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

Lukewarm Response to Latest 48-Party Confab

Posted: 09 Apr 2015 01:07 AM PDT

The 48-party summit convenes in Naypyidaw on Wednesday. (Photo: Ministry of Information)

The 48-party summit convenes in Naypyidaw on Wednesday. (Photo: Ministry of Information)

RANGOON — Political and ethnic leaders have offered a lukewarm response to the latest round of 48-party dialogue with President Thein Sein, held in Naypyidaw on Wednesday.

Slated as a preliminary discussion ahead of long-awaited six-party talks on Friday, the talks included the president, parliamentary speakers, opposition leader Aung San Suu Kyi, Union Election Commission chair Tin Aye, military representatives and a large contingent of ethnic lawmakers.

The discussion mirrored earlier 48-party talks held on Jan. 12, with the president once again emphasizing the importance of the upcoming general election and steps towards a nationwide ceasefire agreement, as ethnic representatives made the case for constitutional reforms in the hope of establishing a federal system of government.

Once again, participants called on the government to back dialogue with concessions to opposition and ethnic party demands.

“It all depends on their will to implement proposals," said Khin Maung Swe, the chairman of the National Democratic Front. "If there is only discussion, without any changes, there will be no benefit."

The government is expected to discuss constitutional changes at this week's six party talks, and participants in Wednesday's meeting told The Irrawaddy they believe the government would announce amendment proposals after Thingyan.

According to Khin Maung Swe, members of the government told the meeting that all political parties shared responsibility for keeping peace ahead of the general election, referring to recent student protests against the National Education Law and the ongoing conflict in Laukkai.

"In my view point, this government is trying to do something to bolster their image before they have to fight the election," he told The Irrawaddy.

The Shan Nationalities League for Democracy (SNLD), Shan State's most popular political party, did not attend Wednesday's talks after Tin Aye refused to allow a substitute for party leader Khun Htun Oo, who was reportedly travelling and did not in any case view the talks as worthwhile. Sai Leik, an SNLD spokesman, said that his party was broadly indifferent to the talks, which he said were "meaningless" in terms of political outcomes.

"All ethnic groups in Burma want a democratic, federal system," he said. "To make this happen, we need constitutional amendments. The government has still not said which parts of the Constitution they will seek to amend."

According to the state-run Global Light of Myanmar newspaper, the president began Wednesday's proceedings by expressing his believe that all registered political parties would contest this year's election, after Suu Kyi once again raised the prospect of a National League for Democracy boycott in a weekend interview.

Snr-Gen Min Aung Hlaing was attending Navy fleet exercises off the Arakan coast and was absent for the talks, sending deputy Lt-Gen Soe Win in his stead. The commander-in-chief is expected to return to Naypyidaw for Friday's six-party talks.

The post Lukewarm Response to Latest 48-Party Confab appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

Army Chief Skips 48-Party Talks for Fleet Review

Posted: 08 Apr 2015 10:32 PM PDT

Click to view slideshow.

RANGOON — As President Thein Sein received a coterie of political leaders and ethnic representatives in Naypyidaw on Wednesday, Commander-in-Chief Snr-Gen Min Aung Hlaing was conspicuously absent, instead presiding over Navy exercises off the coast of Arakan State.

Wednesday's combined fleet exercise, codenamed Sea Shield, practiced maneuvers near Manaung Island. According to the state-run newspaper Myanma Alin Daily, 22 ships and 1186 soldiers participated in the drill.

Deputy Commander-in-Chief Lt-Gen Soe Win attended Naypyidaw's 48-party meeting in Snr-Gen Min Aung Hlaing's stead. Both military leaders attended the last meeting of 48 government leaders and ethnic parliamentarians held in mid-January.

The commander-in-chief is expected to return to Naypyidaw in time for six-party talks with the president, parliamentary speakers and opposition leader Aung San Suu Kyi on Friday.

The post Army Chief Skips 48-Party Talks for Fleet Review appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

Asia’s LGBT People Migrate to Escape Violence at Home

Posted: 08 Apr 2015 09:39 PM PDT

Joe Wong, 31, poses for photograph at his apartment in Bangkok on April 3, 2015. (Photo: Reuters)

Joe Wong, 31, poses for photograph at his apartment in Bangkok on April 3, 2015. (Photo: Reuters)

BANGKOK — Long before Joe Wong surgically removed his breasts and uterus, he was Joleen, who once used an entire roll of brown duct tape to flatten her chest in an effort to look less feminine at her new secondary school in Singapore.

A close relative, angered by her clumsy and obvious attempt to bind her breasts, struck her on the head, pulled up her shirt and tore off the tape, ripping off bits of skin in the process.

Joleen endured a childhood of daily beatings from this relative, a knife pressed to her face, a death threat, and forced therapy with an expensive counsellor who told her she was "disgusting" for kissing and holding hands with girls.

"When you get beaten every day, you no longer feel the pain, you just feel numb," said Wong, now a 31-year-old transgender man working with the Asia Pacific Transgender Network rights group in Bangkok.

Across Asia, which is largely patriarchal and conservative, the violence lesbian, gay, bisexual and transgender (LGBT) people face is often from their own families, who beat them to make them conform and maintain the social balance, experts say.

Homosexual acts are illegal in 78 countries around the world, punishable by jail time in places including Pakistan, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka, Burma, Malaysia and Singapore, according to the International Lesbian Gay Bisexual Trans and Intersex Association (ILGA).

Such laws drive stigma and discrimination, and essentially condone family violence, though the problem remains hidden, glimpsed through many anecdotes but little data, activists say.

To escape the beatings and find a sense of belonging, LGBT people in Asia flock to cities in their own country, and increasingly—with the Internet and social media easing migration for jobs and gay marriage—many like Wong are leaving their home country altogether.

"I've never been more at home than now, even though I'm not at home," he said, his deep voice, broad shoulders and moustache betraying no sign of his childhood as a girl.

"I removed everything that was bringing me down. I removed the toxic people in my life. Now it's just me and my problems that I have to confront," said Wong, who did not identify the abusive relative to avoid further straining family ties.

"I feel really liberated," he said as he sipped a fruit shake in a quiet cafe next door to the offices of APTN.

Living in Stealth

A key reason for family violence against LGBT people in Asia—and the way this region differs from other parts of the world—is the "family shame factor," says Ging Cristobal, the Asia-Pacific project coordinator for the International Gay and Lesbian Human Rights Commission (IGLHRC).

"You do not shame your family, because it's not part of the norm in that society. It's a taboo," Cristobal said in a Skype call from Manila.

Many Asian families push LGBT relatives into what the Chinese call "marriages of convenience," partly to help parents save face.

One Pakistani lesbian in her mid-20s fled to Bangkok two years ago because she was forced into marriage in Pakistan and was facing death threats from her own family, said Anoop Sukumaran, executive director of the Bangkok-based Asia Pacific Refugee Rights Network, which is helping her as she applies for UNHCR refugee status.

While young LGBT people are theoretically covered under laws protecting children from violence, most suffer in silence for fear they will otherwise have no one to look after them.

Cristobal said she often advises young LGBT people who rely on their family for their tuition to find supportive friends, and then seek a college education or find work away from home.

"Then you try to be stealthy. You try not to give clues that you are an LGBT person," Cristobal said.

Wong says he could turn to no one for help when he faced violence at home. "Sometimes neighbors intervened … but even police wouldn't do anything about family violence," he said.

Activists say including sexual orientation and gender identity in laws, policies and programs to prevent violence against women and children would reduce family violence against LGBT people.

For instance, Cristobal said a young man in Manila contacted her via Facebook last year because his brother had threatened to kill him because he was gay. She told him to call the police.

"The brother was not there anymore. Police came and gave their personal mobile number. The neighbors saw the police … were supportive of the gay guy, so I think that regulated them from directly telling him negative things," she said.

Vietnamese mother-son activists Lily Dinh and Teddy Nguyen say family attitudes in Vietnam have changed since the government decriminalized same-sex marriage.

In 2013, Vietnamese government officials organized discussions on same-sex marriage, and invited Dinh—who heads a small chapter of PFLAG, a group for parents and friends of LGBT people—to speak, along with others from the group.

"I think that was the first time the government officers from the ministry of justice and from congress met LGBT people in real life, and the first time they met with LGBT parents, too," Dinh said in a Skype call from Ho Chi Minh City.

"We told our stories because we wanted the government to understand the difficulties our children face in their daily lives … I think that the officials understood and felt empathy for the PFLAG members and for the LGBT community."

The UN Development Program recently gave PFLAG Vietnam a US$24,000 grant to travel to five provinces over the next six months to raise awareness of LGBT issues and rights.

"Things are getting better … but it will take time for the government and society to understand clearly LGBT people, especially in the rural areas," said Dinh.

The post Asia's LGBT People Migrate to Escape Violence at Home appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

In Indonesia, a Power Plant Impasse and a Faltering President

Posted: 08 Apr 2015 09:32 PM PDT

Indonesia's President Joko Widodo at an economic summit last month. (Photo: Feng Li / Reuters)

Indonesia’s President Joko Widodo at an economic summit last month. (Photo: Feng Li / Reuters)

PONOWARENG, Indonesia — Indonesia announced with great fanfare in 2011 that it would build Southeast Asia’s biggest coal-fired power plant on the island of Java, but the $4 billion project is yet to be launched and President Joko Widodo is on the horns of a dilemma.

After repeated delays and at least two revisions to land acquisition laws holding up the Japanese-backed project, Widodo told investors in Tokyo last month that construction of the desperately needed plant would finally start within weeks.

But to do that he may have to evict dozens of landowners who are refusing to give up their rice paddy fields to make way for the plant—and deal another blow to his declining popularity.

There is no sign yet of what Widodo will do about the coal plant in the Batang region of Java. But his predicament is emblematic of the headwinds he has run into since taking office last October.

Back then, the hopes of voters and investors alike were high that he would break the mould of old-style politics, root out corruption and start fixing the country’s woeful infrastructure. Six months in office, he is increasingly being seen as a throwback to the past.

"There are political pressures dragging down the economic reforms," said a senior official at the presidential office, who asked not to be named. "Because of that we’re losing momentum."

Once a little-known furniture salesman, Widodo was propelled to the presidency by popular admiration for his no-nonsense administration and the pro-poor health and education policies he championed as governor of Jakarta, the country’s capital.

The slide in global oil prices handed him an early opportunity to brandish his reformist credentials with a cut in the fuel subsidies that have long weighed on state finances.

But the honeymoon did not last long.

His decision to nominate a chief of police who was later implicated in a corruption probe provoked a political storm that raised doubts about his ability to rise above entrenched vested interests. Meanwhile, an opinion poll taken at the end of January found that his approval rating had plunged to 42 percent from 72 percent just six months earlier.

Investors are hoping he will rise above popularity worries.

"Perhaps it is a little bit of a political courage issue," said Raj Kannan, managing director at the Jakarta-based Tusk Advisory, which focuses on the infrastructure sector.

"Somebody to take the bull by the horns to make it work. The best solution is for the president to get involved himself."

Widodo has taken a keen personal interest in getting the 2,000-megawatt Batang project underway, despatching his vice president to the site within weeks of being sworn in and demanding regular updates on its progress. He has also introduced regulatory changes that make it easier to seize land and obtain funding for Batang and other major projects.

But 74 landowners, representing the last 12 percent of the 226 hectares needed for the plant, are still refusing to sell, the group’s spokesman said. The state-owned electric company PLN, however, disputes this, saying only one or two hectares are yet to be acquired.

"We’ve had thousands of visits, sometimes twice a day," said 72-year-old rice farmer Komaidi, who has rebuffed a procession of officials sent to convince him to sell his small plot. Komaidi, who like many in Indonesia goes by one name, says the fields are all he has to raise his family of 11 children.

Batang, like many other large development projects in Indonesia, has been bogged down for years by legal wrangling.

PT Bhimasena Power Indonesia, a joint venture company set up by Indonesian coal miner PT Adaro Energy Tbk and Japan’s Itochu Corporation and Electric Power Development Co. Ltd. (J-Power) to operate and build the plant, sent a force majeure notice to contractors last year due to the land standoff.

The project also faces stiff opposition from local fishermen and environmental groups like Greenpeace, who say pollution from the plant could threaten nearby waters.

The plant, which will supply power to millions of Indonesians in Java and Bali islands, is a central part of the president’s five-year plan to add an additional 35,000 megawatts of power capacity to the current 50,000 megawatts.

Construction must start within weeks if the government hopes to meet its 2018 target for the start of operations.

But with the administration unable to seal the deal, Widodo announced this week he would get directly involved and travel to Central Java later this month to meet the farmers.

If negotiations remain deadlocked after the president’s visit, a palace official said the government could take the land under new regulations that allow for the procurement of private property when it is in the public interest.

But the farmers insist they won’t budge.

"They have been threatening us like this from the start," said Haruji, a 40-year-old rice farmer in Ponowareng village, whose streets are decorated with banners and graffiti opposing the power plant. "We will be united against that. We will hold on for as long as we can."

The post In Indonesia, a Power Plant Impasse and a Faltering President appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

Russia Eyes Military Sales to Thailand, Rubber Deals

Posted: 08 Apr 2015 09:27 PM PDT

Russia's Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev, left, speaks with Thailand's Prime Minister Prayuth Chan-ocha during a news conference at the Government House in Bangkok on April 8, 2015. (Photo: Reuters)

Russia's Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev, left, speaks with Thailand's Prime Minister Prayuth Chan-ocha during a news conference at the Government House in Bangkok on April 8, 2015. (Photo: Reuters)

BANGKOK — Russia sees an opportunity to sell Thailand military planes and other defense equipment, Russia's trade minister said on Wednesday, as the two countries facing Western opprobrium seek to boost trade ties.

Thailand has stepped up engagement with both Russia and China in response to cooler relations with old ally the United States and other Western countries since the Thai military seized power from an elected government last May.

The United States scaled back military cooperation with Thailand after the coup.

"We are feeling out the interest on the Thai side to purchase military equipment," Russian Trade Minister Denis Manturov told Reuters in Bangkok on Wednesday.

"Our friends from the Western part of the world are ignoring Thailand."

Manturov is part of a delegation accompanying Russian Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev on an official visit. Medvedev is the first Russian prime minister to visit Thailand for 25 years.

Talks on defense-related sales were focused on military aircraft and related training and services, Manturov said. He declined to give details of specific deals under discussion.

As Thailand hosted those talks, it also sent a high-level delegation to China to boost military ties. Thai Defense Minister General Prawit Wongsuwan told reporters he and Thai army chief Gen. Udomdej Sitabutr would travel to China on Wednesday.

Russia also hopes to strike more deals with Thailand in the civil aviation sector.

The Royal Thai Air Force should take delivery in late 2016 or early 2017 of the first of three Sukhoi Superjet passenger aircraft, Manturov said.

Russia was focusing on boosting trade in markets in Southeast Asia, Latin America and Africa to compensate for the impact of Western sanctions over the conflict in Ukraine, he said.

Russia's total international trade was down about 20 percent in the first quarter of the year due to a combination of sanctions, falling energy prices and a weak rouble, he said.

Russia would buy at least 80,000 tons of rubber from Thailand in 2016, Manturov said, adding that would be about four times more than planned purchases in 2015. Russian state-owned defense conglomerate Rostec would purchase the rubber to make tires, he said.

Rostec has stakes in some of Russia's largest industries and partnerships with foreign companies, with interests in weapons, cars and metals.

Thailand is the world's top rubber exporter, and the purchases will bolster a sector struggling with oversupply and weak global demand.

Thailand and Russia aim to double annual bilateral trade in 2016 to US$10 billion, Thai Prime Minister Prayuth Chan-ocha said on Wednesday.

The post Russia Eyes Military Sales to Thailand, Rubber Deals appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

The Hard Life of Burma’s Former Child Soldiers

Posted: 08 Apr 2015 05:00 PM PDT

Click to view slideshow.

RANGOON — The sun is sinking into the Rangoon River, one of lower Burma’s main waterways. It is dotted with small boats on their way to dusky moorings. Arkar Min, 21, rides a water taxi with seven men, all of them silent. They’ve spent the day hauling fish into trucks. Now they rest against one another, backs between knees, arms around shoulders, heads on laps, lulled by the rhythmic thump of the engine.

Arkar Min has worked on Rangoon’s docks since his release from the Tatmadaw, Burma’s armed forces, six years ago. He left school at the age of eight to help his struggling family. One day when he was a teenager, on the way home from his factory job, a man approached him, asking whether he’d like to earn better money as a driver. "I was so happy that I was going to learn to drive," he says quietly, his eyes trained on the ember of his cigarette. His father, Tin Win, wanted him to be a farmer, but "the only thing that excited me then was driving fast."

Arkar Min and the man left immediately. They stopped for snacks, two identical jam pastries. Arkar Min didn’t notice that his had been opened previously. It was likely drugged and made him drowsy, and he woke up the next afternoon. The man, a civilian broker working for the army, had collected US$80 for delivering a new recruit and was long gone.

Living under armed guard, Arkar Min received one meal a day—a bowl of rice with some oil and salt. He had no bed and slept on the concrete, using his lungi as a pillow. There were six other conscripts, most of them 15; the eldest was 17. None of them had joined voluntarily—they’d been offered work, hoodwinked, kidnapped, and sold into service.

Arkar Min’s father, Tin Win, had retired from the army—he’d been a sergeant for most of his life—and quickly realized what had happened. He knew where new recruits were sent: to a base near Shwedagon Pagoda, Rangoon's landmark Buddhist temple. He went to the police, but they did nothing. Arkar Min says that "the police wouldn’t help until my father mentioned the International Labor Organization (ILO)."

The ILO works alongside Unicef to free underage soldiers in Burma and eliminate the practice of child recruitment, which has stained the army's reputation for decades. Small local NGOs are helping to contribute to end the practice too. Thein Myint works for the Child Protection Organization, which connects families affected by child recruitment to international organizations such as the ILO.

Thein Myint also looks for kidnapped boys in the 12 army training camps across Burma. If their location is unknown, she searches for them on foot or takes considerable risks in finding them; sometimes she bribes her way into an army base with meat or fish for the malnourished guards, in hopes of finding the children.

She is small, hunched, and "old enough to retire," she tells me. With short black hair, cheeks painted white with the traditional thanaka paste, and calm eyes, she has a temperament that is at once stern and caring. Twelve years ago, she moved to Dine Su, a village on the outskirts of Rangoon, after the government razed her 12-acre farm to make way for a luxury golf course. "It is in my nature to help needy people and people who are in trouble," she says. "This work demands a lot of love and sacrifice."

"Times have changed," Thein Myint says when asked whether the problem of child recruitment has improved. There has been steady pressure on the Burma Army and non-state militias in recent years to fall in line with ILO and UN conventions that ban child recruitment.

In the UN secretary general's most recent Annual Report on Children and Armed Conflict, the Burma Army is mentioned as one of seven national armies listed for recruitment and use of children in the Annexes of the report. The report also includes 50 armed groups which are known to use and recruit children across the world.

In 2012, at the encouragement of Unicef, the ILO, and Save the Children, the Burmese government and the UN signed a joint plan of action outlining terms for the gradual release of child soldiers from the Tatmadaw, including fighters over 18 who were recruited as minors. The document also outlines accountability measures for offending officers and brokers.

The army and Burma's ethnic armed groups are making small acts of compromise in appeasement since, and during the final few months of 2014 they increased their releases of child recruits. "There is international pressure now regarding forced labor, child labor," Thein Myint says firmly. "They can’t keep doing it."

In November, the Burma Army released 80 child soldiers from active service, bringing the total number of freed minors to 845 since 2007. Slowly, soldiers who were forcibly recruited as children are returning to their villages, to families who have long thought them dead.

Village Child Recruitment

Dine Su contains an army base, a shipping port, and factories. Its bamboo, mud, swaying pampas grass, and dusty football pitches match the landscape of many poor settlements throughout the country. Tracks between huts are paved with broken bricks, stepping stones for crossing puddles, or bags of cement. Many of its residents have come here from faraway, victims of government-backed land grabs.

An illegal settlement in the eyes of the law, residents of Dine Su are especially susceptible to exploitation by authorities. "In the past, I’ve rescued three boys from this village from the military," Thein Myint says. "Most are struggling financially."

Police typically arrest village boys for being out too late or committing petty crime. Sometimes, civilian brokers offering better work lure the boys in, like in Arkar Min’s case. Intimidation is the norm, and the boys are physically and psychologically pressured into signing up. Fake national registration cards are then issued that state they are 18, the legal minimum age to join. If recruits are less than 100 pounds, they’re force-fed bananas and water until they meet the weight requirement.

After four months of training, they are shipped to a post, often on the remote front lines of the country's lingering ethnic conflict in forested, mountainous regions that are alien to the boys, who are mostly from central Burma.

The ILO’s Forced Labor Convention of 1930, to which Burma is a signatory, defines underage recruitment as a form of forced labor. This enables the ILO to assist those who were recruited underage, "whether years previously, or those still considered child soldiers," says Steve Marshall, an ILO liaison officer. In 1991, Burma also ratified the Convention on the Rights of the Child, agreeing to protect minors from participating in war. And in 2007, the ILO and the Burmese government agreed upon the Forced Labor Complaint Mechanism, a system designed to offer victims of forced labor a platform for release without fear of retaliation.

Since 2007, the ILO has received 1,260 reports of underage recruitment by the Tatmadaw. "The numbers of complaints increased exponentially over time, as public awareness and confidence grew," says Marshall. Four hundred eighty-five of these underage recruits have been discharged. Seven died before their releases could be secured. Under the 2012 joint plan of action, there have been 472 discharges, which include 112 of the aforementioned ILO cases. These developments notwithstanding, recruitment of underage males is still commonplace.

An Unpopular Army

The Tatmadaw were formally created by independence hero Gen. Aung San just after Burma gained independence from Britain in January 1948. After more than a decade of fragile democracy afflicted by a destabilizing civil war between the central government and the country's ethnic minorities, the army took over.

In 1962, General Ne Win staged a coup and stepped up his fight against the ethnic rebels, waging a brutal internal war; the country has not seen peace since.

Ne Win’s regime faced routine challenges from its citizens and he lost power to a new generation of generals after the 1988 democratic uprising, which was brutally crushed by the army. Soon after, the new junta decided to rebrand Burma as the Union of Myanmar; among its priorities was a great expansion of the army in terms of both arms and personnel in order to win the ethnic conflict.

A recruitment drive was ordered and the army's ranks swelled to some 400,000 men under arms by the late 1990s, a number that has since dropped to around 300,000. The figure still places the Tatmadaw among Southeast Asia's largest armies, and one that has over the years been filled with a great number of forcibly recruited soldiers, including many who are under age.

Prior to 1988, most recruits were volunteers over the age of 18. But after the uprising, the military was less popular than ever and the Tatmadaw relied heavily on coerced manpower to achieve its ends.

Since President Thein Sein's nominally civilian government replaced the junta in 2011, reforms have been taking place. The army has sought to modernize its operations and improve its tarnished reputation. Conflict has lessened after more than a dozen tentative ceasefires were signed between Naypyidaw and the ethnic armed groups. Since then, ending child recruitment has ostensibly also become an army priority.

In 2013 and 2014, the ILO received complaints of 69 cases of underage recruitment. Yet to this day, soldiers will often be denied leave unless they can come back with one or two new recruits. Other soldiers and civilian brokers are incentivized by cash and in-kind rewards. The current rate is $80 per conscript—the equivalent of four months of sergeant-rank wages. Sometimes recruits are exchanged for bags of rice or oil.

When a child enters the army his education stops. When he is released, he begins again at square one. With limited education, often lacking vocational skills, ex-child soldiers struggle to reintegrate into society and working life. "The soldiers come back unemployed," Thein Myint says. "They take whatever job they can find, usually manual labor. Those whose family can afford it may start up a business."

When soldiers are asked by aid workers what type of job they like to do, the deprivation they’ve experienced means they typically don’t have an answer. So it’s decided for them—they are bought some pigs because their father was a pig farmer, or a trishaw because they earned money that way when they were young.

One international NGO reportedly offered around $100 to support returning child soldiers (though the charity officially denies this). But as funding dries up, this is happening less. Government programs for reintegration exist too, offering routes for returning soldiers to reenter the education system, but for Burma’s stunted young veterans, the basic requirements for participation are often too high.

Returning Home

Just outside of Dine Su village, another of Thein Myint’s success stories, Kyaw Thura, has returned to his mother. Kyaw Thura pours tea sweetened with condensed milk as he describes the guerrilla fighting he saw on the front lines and his defection to the enemy, the Karen National Union (KNU)—how they faked his death on a wooden crucifix, with animal blood and entrails, and how he lived in hiding from the Burma Army.

He speaks in an even tone, but his pauses are vacant. He recalls being sent to Mon State in southeastern Burma for four months of training. "There were rocks in the soup and sand in the rice," he says. "I missed home terribly." Deployed to the jungle, he and his squad camped in tents at night and hunted monkeys and pigs to add to their inadequate rations.

Fearing for his life, he deserted with two friends. Without weapons or money, they went over to the KNU, whose leaders gave them a choice: join the rebels for pay and rations, or leave and try to make it to the Thai border. They opted to break for the border.

In Thailand, Kyaw Thura says, he "couldn’t move. There were people searching everywhere for me," he says. Time passed, and he eventually found work in the border town of Mae Sot as a welder, met a girl, married, and fathered Thant Zin, now four years old.

He came back to Rangoon to find his mother. Although the ILO gave him a letter of protection, he was arrested by the army anyway, sentenced to two years and six months for deserting, and jailed in Hpa’an Prison in Karen State. "Conditions [in prison] were better than when I was in the army," he says wryly. "The food was better. We were able to exercise. We farmed and made bricks."

Living in his mother’s house with his son, he is now seeking compensation from the military for wrongful arrest. Little Thant Zin climbs into his lap and plays with a plastic motorcycle. Kyaw Thura was gone for so long that his son now calls him "uncle."

Tun Tun Win is 30. At 14, he was sold to the Tatmadaw by a broker. He didn’t give them his full name. "I wanted to keep some of my identity for myself," he says, "so I told them I was called just Tun Tun." In a camp in the jungle near Mandalay, he tattooed the last part of his name into his forearm using a blunt needle, soot, and juice from a betel nut—"Win" inside a heart with two crossed swords behind it.

He spent most of his time repairing tanks or on security detail, moving from base to base. "I learned how to drive, shoot, do security, not much else." His pay was $4.50 a month.

Thirteen years later, he rents a small house from his brother in the village where he grew up. He lives with his two-year-old daughter, who suffers from malnutrition, and his five-year-old son. A year ago, his wife left him with the children. "She has a gambling problem," he says. "She was not good for the kids." His eldest sister pitches in.

With $100 from an international NGO, he set up a small library in front of his house, loaning out books and magazines to villagers for 100 kyats (about 10 cents) a day. "I want to be my own boss now," he says. His father loaned him money to buy a small motorcycle, which he hopes to use as a taxi. "I don’t have any ill feelings toward army recruiters. Karma will be their judgment. I have freedom now. In the army I was renting out my body."

This story was made possible with funding from the Pulitzer Center on Crisis Reporting.

The post The Hard Life of Burma's Former Child Soldiers appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

National News

National News


April 10 meeting to focus on constitutional change

Posted: 09 Apr 2015 03:03 AM PDT

A meeting of 48 political leaders convened by President U Thein Sein yesterday has cleared the way for six-way talks to take place at the president's residence on April 10.

Govt team to question migrants stranded in Indonesia

Posted: 08 Apr 2015 08:22 PM PDT

After 60 Myanmar fishermen enslaved on a remote Indonesian island reportedly declined a rescue mission last weekend, Myanmar's Ministry of Foreign Affairs has announced it will send a delegation to assess the situation.

Mawlamyine Prison to close, future unclear

Posted: 08 Apr 2015 08:14 PM PDT

Mawlamyine's colonial-era prison is to be relocated from the township centre to a nearby village, local members of parliament heard on April 7.

Indonesia to probe slavery allegations

Posted: 08 Apr 2015 08:12 PM PDT

The Indonesian government has announced it will form a special team to investigate allegations of slavery in the fishing industry, as officials prepare to return hundreds of foreign crewmen to their homelands, including Myanmar.

MPs and government face off over housing plan

Posted: 08 Apr 2015 08:11 PM PDT

Ban on political activities at current accommodation has prompted MPs to push for dedicated housing.

Intense fighting flares again in Kokang region

Posted: 08 Apr 2015 08:01 PM PDT

Government media changes tune on conflict and stops reporting clashes, casualty figures.


Thirty-five parties debate proportional voting plan

Posted: 08 Apr 2015 07:57 PM PDT

Consultations on a proposed switch to proportional representation wrapped up yesterday, with representatives of 35 registered parties having put forward their views over the past three days.

Trawler survivors blame captain for sinking, deaths

Posted: 08 Apr 2015 07:53 PM PDT

Captain was still trying to reel in more fish despite unbalanced vessel leaning dangerously to one side.


White-card handback program hits 100,000

Posted: 08 Apr 2015 07:52 PM PDT

Defunct white cards, temporary citizenship documents, are being handed in at an increasing rate, immigration officials say.

Cabinet orders split of key health ministry department

Posted: 08 Apr 2015 07:51 PM PDT

Department of Health has been split into public health and medical care departments as of April 1.

Shan Herald Agency for News

Shan Herald Agency for News


Two Burma Army troops killed, two injured in fighting with Ta’ang Army

Posted: 08 Apr 2015 06:41 PM PDT

Two Burma Army troops were killed and two seriously injured during fighting with the Ta'ang National Liberation Army (TNLA) in Kyawkme township, northern Shan State on April 7.



The clash broke out between Pangsang village and Hu Kok village on Tuesday when Light Infantry Division 77 entered a TNLA-controlled area, a local source reported.

 "The military column from Burma Army Division 77, with about 100 troops, launched an offensive against Ta'ang Battalion 987. The fighting occurred at around 6:40 in the morning, and lasted about 30 minutes, with two Burma Army soldiers dead and two injured. But there were no casualties on our side, as it was in our area," said TNLA information officer Mai Aik Kyaw.

Last month, ten villagers in Kyawkme township were forced to be porters for Burma Army troops in the conflict zone, a Kyawkme resident said.

"If the Burma Army continues to send troops into our territory, it will be difficult to reach a nationwide ceasefire agreement. If the government is really sincere about political dialogue, they should withdraw their troops," said Mai Aik Kyaw.

Since January 2015, there have been more than 80 clashes between the Burma Army and TNLA.

The TNLA is a member of the Nationwide Ceasefire Coordination Team (NCCT) that signed a joint statement affirming completion of a draft Nationwide Ceasefire Agreement with the Union Peacemaking Work Committee on 31 March.



Wednesday, April 8, 2015

The Irrawaddy Magazine

The Irrawaddy Magazine


Burma’s Rice Exports Up 40% in 2014-15

Posted: 08 Apr 2015 08:24 AM PDT

Women set rice seedlings into paddy fields on the outskirts of Rangoon in 2009. (Photo: Reuters)

Women set rice seedlings into paddy fields on the outskirts of Rangoon in 2009. (Photo: Reuters)

RANGOON — Burma's rice exports rose more than 40 percent in the 2014-15 fiscal year, with shipments to regional heavyweight China dominating the trade despite Beijing's official ban on imports of the product from Burma, according to data provided by Soe Tun, the chairman of the Myanmar Farmers Association and joint secretary of the Myanmar Rice Federation.

Figures from the Ministry of Commerce put total rice exports at more than 1.7 million tons in the fiscal year ending March 31, bringing in nearly US$645 million. Exports were shipped to 64 countries including China and Japan, as well as other nations of Asean, Europe and Africa.

"Among them, China purchased more than 1.1 million rice tons this year via border trade. Even though they [Beijing] banned rice exports to China, the volume still increased," Soe Tun told The Irrawaddy on Wednesday.

In 2014, China officially banned rice imports from Burma, demanding that a trade agreement be signed guaranteeing that most rice is milled and meets certain quality standards. China had long been, and continues to be, one of Burma's biggest customers for rice, much of which is harvested in the Irrawaddy Delta and shipped over land borders in Shan and Kachin states.

Burma's government does not enforce the ban, effectively making it a trade that is legal on one side of the countries' shared border and illegal on the other.

Early this year, members of the Myanmar Rice Federation and officials from the Ministry of Commerce met with Chinese officials to discuss legalizing Burma's rice exports once again.

Soe Tun said that while Burma had proposed to export 1 million tons of rice to China this year, the agreement drawn up between the two countries only allows for 100,000 tons.

That arrangement, legalizing a small proportion of the actual trade on both sides of the border, has not yet been implemented, Soe Tun said.

"I expect that legal rice exports to China will begin in May," he said.

"As an initial step, the public company Mapco [Myanmar Agribusiness Public Corporation] will export 3,000 tons of rice to China in May."

A Burmese rice milling company and the Chinese firm CAMC Engineering Co. Ltd. in February signed a joint venture Memorandum of Understanding to improve the quality and capacity of rice milling operations in Burma. The partnership aims to boost Burmese rice exports, in part by improving the quality of its rice as well as milling processes before exporting to China.

The 2014-15 fiscal year's rice export volume exceed the expectations of the Myanmar Rice Federation, which had predicted the figure at 1.5 million tons.

Thaung Win, a rice exporter who also acts as secretary of the Myanmar Rice Millers Association, said that outside the China trade, rice shipments to some EU countries, Japan and other Asean nations were also on the rise.

According to the Myanmar Rice Exporters Association, Burma's rice exports in 2013-14 stood at about 1.2 million tons, down from 1.47 million tons the year before. President Thein Sein has set a target to export 4 million tons of rice by 2020.

Reliable data on rice exports prior to the installation of Thein Sein's quasi-civilian government are hard to come by, but Burma was once known as the "rice bowl of Asia" and was a major industry player until decades of economic mismanagement by success military regimes sent exports tumbling.

A World Bank report in June found that Burma could greatly increase its agricultural exports if it improved the quality of rice by expanding and upgrading domestic rice mills. The report said that since economic and political reforms began in 2011, rice exports have significantly risen, but in the past two years export volumes had leveled off at about 1.3 million tons annually.

The post Burma's Rice Exports Up 40% in 2014-15 appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

Burma’s Lower House Approves Amendments to Controversial Education Law

Posted: 08 Apr 2015 05:31 AM PDT

 Students protest against the National Education Law in Rangoon on Nov. 15, 2014. (Photo: Steve Tickner / The Irrawaddy)

Students protest against the National Education Law in Rangoon on Nov. 15, 2014. (Photo: Steve Tickner / The Irrawaddy)

RANGOON — Burma's Lower House of Parliament on Tuesday approved amendments to the National Education Law, which will be resubmitted to the Upper House with changes that activists view as regressive.

The National Education Law, passed late last year, has come under intense criticism and sparked a powerful student movement calling for decentralization, more spending and more curricular freedoms.

Student activists submitted 11 core demands to the government, all of which were accepted during quadripartite negotiations between the government, lawmakers, students and advocates.

But the bill to amend the law has been altered beyond recognition, critics said, after being volleyed back and forth in Parliament.

Key figures in the student movement said that several of their demands had been compromised during the parliamentary process, including a major raise in education spending and the freedom to form truly independent teacher and student unions.

Aung Nay Paing, a member of the Action Committee for Democratic Education (ACDE)—a student body formed in the wake of the education protests—said that while the new version of the bill technically preserves the right to form unions, it contains strict limitations on their freedom.

"Everyone is asking about this, [the government will] allow teacher and student unions. But we need to ask how freely they can be formed, whether they can be formed without being controlled by the universities," he said.

As for the budget, student negotiators initially demanded that federal education spending increase to a full 20 percent of the national budget over the next five years, a huge surge that was shot down by the Lower House on Tuesday.

Lt-Col Myo Tin, a member of the Bill Committee, told The Irrawaddy that such a rapid increase would not be feasible.

The ACDE also took issue with amendments that retain centralized power over educational policy, particularly the bill's failure to reform the National Education Commission, of which the student movement has been unwaveringly critical.

Some of the amendments were welcomed, however, Aung Nay Paing said. The current bill allows students who have left school to return and enshrines the right to incorporate mother tongues into language earning curricula for primary school students.

The amendment bill will return to the Upper House, where if accepted it will be sent to President Thein Sein to be signed into law. If the Upper House does not approve the amendments, the bill will be sent to a joint session of Parliament.

The post Burma's Lower House Approves Amendments to Controversial Education Law appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

Produce Pioneers Bring Safer Foods to Rangoon

Posted: 08 Apr 2015 04:33 AM PDT

Click to view slideshow.

RANGOON — Only a few shops are open in Bahan Township's unusual bazaar at 6:45 am on a Saturday, when those who exercise nearby come to buy their produce. The once-weekly market began offering a rare selection of natural fruits and vegetables in March for customers concerned with food hygiene and safety.

The "Safe Food from Safe Farms" market was an initiative of the Myanmar Fruits, Flowers and Vegetable Producers and Exporters Association (MFVA) to ensure access to clean, natural and delicious produce. The market's dozen or so vendors don banners showing where their farms are located: Naypyidaw; Hlegu, Pegu Division; Nyaung Htone, Irrawaddy Division; Aung Pan, Pindaya and Ywar Ngan in Shan State.

Zaw Min Tun, the manager of an organic farm in Naypyidaw owned by the Dagon International company, said while the new market isn't yet bringing in much profit, he's glad to be among the pioneering merchants bringing organically produced food into the fold.

"Our products may not be as beautiful as those that use chemical fertilizers," he admitted, but ultimately, "they are absolutely safe for our health."

Dagon International, which has been using organic farming methods and cultivating chemical-free crops on some 100 acres of land since 2011, also supplies hotel restaurants in Naypyidaw, but those who shop at the Rangoon market get a much better bargain. Zaw Min Tun said his clients in the capital pay about double the price for the fresh, local products.

All of the farms in the Safe Foods network are regularly inspected to ensure that they are chemical-free and produce natural foods through sustainable practices. The MFVA can "guarantee the safety" all of the market's foodstuffs, according to the association's secretary, San Lin.

"It's not that the vegetables sold here are one hundred percent organic," he said, "but what we recommend here is safe food."

Unfortunately, he added, the 33 farms in the network are not yet ready to mass produce organic foods, but they will be in time. Organic agriculture requires pure soil, seeds and water sources, which poses problems for many farmers in Burma whose lands are near industrial sites. "Even if the farmers don't use chemicals, they can be affected," San Lin explained.

The MFVA has been providing technical support since 2010 for farmers who want to go natural, but they still have a long way to go. He said both the association and the farm owners hope to eventually produce certifiable organic produce and sell it in Rangoon, where demand is growing faster than in other parts of the country.

In just the past month, the Safe Foods market has been gaining popularity, especially among some of the city's older residents, who have been some of the most loyal and enthusiastic customers.

"As an elder person, I am careful about eating healthy food," said Daw Thwin, a 67-year-old woman who takes a daily walk in Bahan and shops at the market every Saturday. "We are reluctant to buy fruits at the regular markets out of fear of chemicals, but with this market we don't have to worry about that."

Food safety has always been an issue in Burma, but consumers often have little choice when it comes to safe food at reasonable prices. Media attention to excessive chemical use has also helped to make the public aware of health risks associated with certain foods.

As Daw Thwin hung around waiting for more shops to open, she said she had only one suggestion for making the market more successful.

"It could be improved by opening earlier for the morning walkers, as many people get up and do exercise at Kandawgyi Park," she recommended. In their defense, vendors said the city traffic slows things down, but they hope to be able to meet consumers' needs.

The Safe Foods from Safe Farms market is open every Saturday at Myay Padethar Kyun, near the Garden Mart and Education Center in Rangoon's Bahan Township, but the market will be closed during the Thingyan holiday.

The post Produce Pioneers Bring Safer Foods to Rangoon appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

Rangoon Parliament Dismiss Objections Over Project at Kyaikkasan Grounds

Posted: 08 Apr 2015 02:45 AM PDT

The old stands at Kyaikkasan grounds, an area that is slated for commercial real estate development. (Photo: Yangon Architecture / Facebook)

The old stands at Kyaikkasan grounds, an area that is slated for commercial real estate development. (Photo: Yangon Architecture / Facebook)

RANGOON — An opposition lawmaker in Rangoon Division parliament has failed to get the legislature to intervene and stop a plan for commercial real estate development at Kyaikkasan sports track, Rangoon's historic former horseracing track.

During a parliamentary session on Friday, Nyo Nyo Thin, an independent lawmaker from Bahan Township constituency, proposed to parliament that it vote down a plan to develop the Kyaikkasan grounds and its old stands, as she argued that the project had been approved without following transparent government tender procedures.

"The tender for the project was not invited properly or in line with tender policies adopted by the government. It is crystal clear that a group of individuals submitted a separate proposal to do a business project on the pretext of upgrading the Sports Science building," she said, referring to the proposed project that includes an upgrade of a government building at the site.

Rangoon Division lawmakers showed no support for the objections that she raised in a letter to parliament, which was supported by urban planning expert Kyaw Latt, Lower House member Than Maung and the 88 Generation Peace and Open Society.

Rangoon Division Minister for Economics and Planning Than Myint told the assembly that that he could not intervene in the project as the Kyaikkasan grounds fall under the authority of the central government's Ministry of Sports.

Nyo Nyo Thin said she opposed the planned project after she had learned from a state media report on Jan. 3 that the Ministry of Environmental Conservation and Forestry had approved the environmental impact assessment for a real estate development project by a company named Kyaik Ka San Land Ltd.

The firm had been granted the right to develop the approximately 100-acre grounds and the old stands into a commercial business complex in a large-scale development project that includes an upgrade of the existing Sports Science building. Details of how it had obtained government permission for the project remain murky.

A representative of Kyaik Ka San Land company told local publication Weekly Eleven on Feb. 2 that the firm had discussed the project with Rangoon Division Chief Minister Myint Swe, the division parliament speaker and the division's Minister of Economics and Planning Than Myint.

The approximately 100-acre ground, located in green surroundings in Tamwe Township, was originally built as a horseracing track during the British colonial period. During the rule of Gen. Ne Win, from 1962 to 1988, it served as a public assembly ground where state ceremonies were held.

In 1974, students rising up against Ne Win snatched the coffin with the repatriated body of U Thant, the Burmese UN secretary general, and took him to Kyaikkasan grounds. There they held a wake to honor him because the general had refused to grant U Thant a state funeral.

These days the track, which has fallen into disrepair in past decades of military rule, is a popular sports and recreation area for local residents.

The post Rangoon Parliament Dismiss Objections Over Project at Kyaikkasan Grounds appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

Power Chief Pledges End to Rangoon Outages

Posted: 08 Apr 2015 02:38 AM PDT

Power lines in Rangoon Division's Thilawa Special Economic Zone. (Photo: Steve Tickner / The Irrawaddy)

Power lines in Rangoon Division's Thilawa Special Economic Zone. (Photo: Steve Tickner / The Irrawaddy)

RANGOON — The Yangon Electricity Supply Corporation (YESC) has pledged to supply round the clock electricity to Rangoon over the summer months, according to chairman Aung Khine.

The former Yangon Electricity Supply Board, renamed this month ahead of a planed privatization, has officially become financially independent from the Ministry of Electric Power as part of a restructure launched on Apr. 1.

"We've received enough electricity from the Ministry of Electric Power, so we can provide 24-hour supply to Rangoon, even during the water festival," Aung Khine said.

Home to more than five million people and home to most of the country's manufacturing industries, Rangoon has suffered from chronic energy shortages at a time of booming demand. During the hot season, increased power consumption and lower throughput at hydroelectric power stations generally exacerbate the length and frequency of outages.

Maung Maung Latt, the YESC's vice-chairman, said that new energy projects brought online and connected to the local grid would soon make outages a thing of the past.

"There were some hydro projects finished this year, as well as gas coming from the Zawtika project too—that's why we can provide 24 hours electricity this summer," he said.

According to the YESC, power consumption in Rangoon has increased 15 percent annually, and currently stands at about 1000 megawatts per day—about half of Burma's total nationwide electricity production.

The post Power Chief Pledges End to Rangoon Outages appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

Fighting on 3 Fronts in Wake of Ceasefire Deal: Ethnic Armies

Posted: 08 Apr 2015 02:31 AM PDT

Rebel soldiers of the Myanmar National Democratic Alliance Army (MNDAA) gather at a base in the Kokang Special Region on March 11, 2015. (Photo: Reuters)

Rebel soldiers of the Myanmar National Democratic Alliance Army (MNDAA) gather at a base in the Kokang Special Region on March 11, 2015. (Photo: Reuters)

Renewed fighting was reported this week between Burma Army troops and three ethnic armed groups in Kachin and Shan states, less than a week after ethnic negotiators reached a tentative agreement with their government counterparts on the draft text for a nationwide ceasefire accord.

Fresh clashes erupted between government forces and Kachin, Kokang and Palaung rebels at three separate locations in northern and northeast Burma beginning Sunday, according to spokespeople from the respective armed groups.

"We clashed [with government troops] yesterday and the day before yesterday," Daung Khar, a spokesperson for the Kachin Independence Organization (KIO) technical team, told The Irrawaddy on Tuesday. "We still do not have information on the exact number of casualties on the ground. Today there is no activity."

The KIO is the political wing of the Kachin Independence Army (KIA).

Daung Khar said forces from Battalion No. 11 under KIA Brigade No. 2 and government troops clashed near Tapadaung village in Mogaung Township.

Conflict resolution teams from the two sides met in the aftermath of the fighting on Monday. The KIA's Col. Zaung Taung and Col. Than Aung from the Burma Army attended the sit-down.

"At the meeting yesterday, Col. Than Aung said they are paving a road as part of [regional] development efforts," said Daung Khar. "The clashes broke out because they asked a KIA post near a bridge on their road construction site to leave temporarily. But now, KIA troops have left there."

The fighting comes about three weeks after a KIA delegation met President Thein Sein and commander in chief Snr-Gen Min Aung Hlaing to discuss the proposed nationwide ceasefire and how to reduce hostilities between the two sides. But subsequently, on March 21, the Burma Army called in airstrikes against a KIA base in Mansi Township, an attack believed to be linked to timber smuggling in the region.

Meanwhile, battalions under Division Nos. 33, 11 and 66 of the Burma Army are said to have launched offensives on Sunday against Kokang rebels under the banner of the Myanmar National Democratic Alliance Army (MNDAA) in Laukkai, the administrative capital of northern Shan State's Kokang Special Region.

"They first fired with artillery," MNDAA General Secretary Htun Myat Lin told The Irrawaddy. "They fired at least 20 shells. After that, they launched an offensive with army soldiers. When they were repelled, they fired artillery again and launched another offensive. On April 5 alone, they launched at least six different offensives in that way."

The Kokang rebel spokesman claimed that the Burma Army had suffered 35 casualties, while four MNDAA soldiers were seriously injured over two days of fighting.

The government has yet to confirm the fighting, but previous reports of the Kokang conflict by state media have offered widely differing casualty totals compared with MNDAA accounts, with both sides claiming greater losses inflicted and fewer sustained. While state mouthpiece The Global New Light of Myanmar has provided unusually detailed coverage of the fighting in Kokang since it began on Feb. 9, including at times daily updates of Burma Army offensives and casualty counts, the newspaper has provided no reporting on the conflict since the draft nationwide ceasefire accord was signed late last month.

The MNDAA was not a signatory to that draft agreement.

Htun Myat Lin said that although the MNDAA had sent an open letter to Thein Sein expressing the group's desire to hold a political dialogue with the government, no response had yet been received. He added that fighting—which has featured some of the deadliest clashes in years—was likely to recur as the government army continues to bring troop reinforcements and supplies to the area.

Elsewhere in northern Shan State, Col. Mai Phone Kyaw, a spokesperson for the Ta'ang National Liberation Army (TNLA), said Burma Army troops clashed in Kyaukme Township with rebel forces of the ethnic Palaung, also known as Ta'ang.

Clashes between the TNLA and government troops had declined since the government and ethnic leaders signed the draft ceasefire pact late last month, he said, but added that troop deployments remained a major unresolved issue fueling ongoing hostilities.

"Perhaps there will be no more clashes after the NCA [nationwide ceasefire agreement] is signed. I am not sure. But we can't just sign the NCA right now—not before having a serious discussion on troop deployments," Mai Phone Kyaw told The Irrawaddy. "If we don't have a definite agreement on troop deployments, fighting will not end, even if an NCA is signed."

On March 31 in Rangoon, government negotiators and the 16 ethnic armed groups that comprise the Nationwide Ceasefire Coordination Team (NCCT) signed on to a draft ceasefire text. It laid out in-principle the terms of a peace agreement, but left several contentious issues to be negotiated at a political dialogue to be convened following the signing of the accord. Ethnic leaders have said an official signing of a nationwide ceasefire agreement won't come until after the ethnic armed groups have met to discuss the deal among themselves.

Unlike most of Burma's ethnic armed groups, none of the three armies reporting renewed clashes this week has signed a bilateral ceasefire with the government.

The post Fighting on 3 Fronts in Wake of Ceasefire Deal: Ethnic Armies appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

Remembering Pamela Gutman, a Scholar Versed in Arakan Art

Posted: 08 Apr 2015 02:25 AM PDT

pamela gutmanAt a time when there is increasing interest in Australia’s developing ties with Burma (also called Myanmar), the death on March 31 of Pamela Gutman brings to an end the life of the first Australian scholar to complete a doctorate in Asian art and to do so in relation to Burma.

The fruits of this research were eventually contained in her highly praised book, "Burma’s Lost Kingdoms: Splendours of Arakan," published in 2001. To record these blunt facts tells little of the effort involved in her carrying out research in Burma in the 1970s, when the government was resistant to foreign scholarship, and travel in Arakan State could only take place with the assistance of a military escort.

Yet Pamela overcame the difficulties research in Burma posed, which involved translating Sanskrit inscriptions and becoming highly knowledgeable about obscure numismatics. She also played an early part in government-to-government relations.

She was invited to dine with the then Burmese president, Ne Win, to advance the cause of an Australia-Burma cultural agreement, an event, as she was able to recount, that involved being admitted to Ne Win’s residence only after she had been examined through a periscope at the residence’s guard post.

At a time when opportunities for full-time employment in universities were limited, Pamela worked in the Department of Immigration and the Department of Prime Minister and Cabinet, which included working in association with Professor Ross Garnaut on "Australia and the Northeast Asian Ascendancy."

Her involvement in Australia's growing links with Asia ranged from being Deputy Director of the Research Institute for Asia and the Pacific at the University of Sydney, to being the founding Director (International) of Asialink. She also worked with the Commission for the Future in establishing cultural exchange programs. From 1997 to 2004 she was a member of the Refugee Review Tribunal, where she worked in relation to Asian issues.

Throughout her life in public and university service she never neglected her passionate interest in Burma's history, and after leaving the Refugee Review Tribunal she became an Honorary Associate in the Department of Art History and Theory at the University of Sydney. The regard in which she was held as an authority on Burmese art and Southeast Asian art more generally led to her being consulted by major galleries in Australia and overseas, including recently by The Hermitage in St Petersburg and the Asia Society in New York.

Pamela Gutman, a scholar and expert on Arakanese and Burmese arts, 1944-2015. (Photo: Lowy Interpreter)

Pamela Gutman, a scholar and expert on Arakanese and Burmese arts, 1944-2015. (Photo: Lowy Interpreter)

Sadly, she had not completed her planned second edition of Burma’s Lost Kingdoms, though there is hope that this may be completed by one of her PhD students, Martin Polkinghorne. She also left the incomplete text of a biography of the great English scholar of Burma, Gordon Luce. She had studied with Luce in Jersey and she was fascinated both by his renown as a scholar and by his membership of the Bloomsbury Group, which included his close association with Maynard Keynes.

Only a few months ago her major study of an inscription from Sriksetra in western Burma, written in conjunction with Bob Hudson, was published in the Bulletin of the Ecole française d’Extrême-Orient. This article is set to revise judgments on just when Buddhist influences became important in early Burmese history.

Above all she was a warm and extraordinarily generous person, qualities that extended to her being instrumental in ensuring that cosmetics, particularly Red Earth lipstick, could be taken into Burma for Aung San Suu Kyi while she was under house arrest. Her door was always open to those who wanted to know more about Burma or who wanted to share their knowledge with her. So a visitor to her home might find that he or she was meeting an Arakanese Buddhist monk or an exiled princely Sawbwa from Shan State. This generosity of spirit will be as much a memory of her as her admirable academic achievements.

She is survived by her daughter, three grandchildren, and her two sisters.

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Fire in Karenni Refugee Camp Guts 150 Houses

Posted: 07 Apr 2015 11:55 PM PDT

About 1,000 people lost their homes to a fire in Ban Mai Nai Soi refugee camp in northern Thailand. (Photo: Chiang Mai Rescue / Facebook)

About 1,000 people lost their homes to a fire in Ban Mai Nai Soi refugee camp in northern Thailand. (Photo: Chiang Mai Rescue / Facebook)

RANGOON — A fire in a refugee camp in northern Thailand left about 1,000 people homeless as of Tuesday evening, according to a camp official.

The blaze in Ban Mai Nai Soi tore through about 150 houses made of wood and bamboo from about 11 am to 2pm on Tuesday. No casualties or injuries have been reported.

Camp official Poe Yel said the victims will be provided emergency shelter.

"We will temporarily accommodate the fire victims and the camp committee will cook meals for them," he told The Irrawaddy.

The committee is now compiling a list of the damages and rebuilding is expected to take about one month, he said.

Caused by stray embers and exacerbated by strong winds and a dry climate, the fire consumed two wards of the camp, which is home to more than 11,000 people.

The residents of Ban Mai Nai Soi are predominantly ethnic Karenni, a minority from a small state in eastern Burma.

A previous fire in Ban Mai Nai Soi in 2013 claimed the life of an elderly woman and destroyed more than 20 houses.

The camp is one of nine officially recognized temporary settlements for refugees from Burma in northern Thailand.

About 130,000 people live in the nine camps, which have existed for decades as minorities and dissidents fled across the border to escape persecution and civil war.

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Failure to Amend Burma’s Constitution ‘Raises Questions’ on Reform: US

Posted: 07 Apr 2015 10:21 PM PDT

US President Barack Obama, left, meets Burma's President Thein Sein at the Presidential Palace in Naypyidaw on Nov. 13, 2014. (Photo: Reuters)

US President Barack Obama, left, meets Burma's President Thein Sein at the Presidential Palace in Naypyidaw on Nov. 13, 2014. (Photo: Reuters)

RANGOON — The United States said on Tuesday that Burma's failure to amend a military-drafted Constitution raised questions about the credibility of reforms, but did not go so far as to say it would undermine the legitimacy of upcoming elections.

Burma emerged from 49 years of military rule in 2011 and its semi-civilian government has carried out wide-ranging democratic reforms, including freeing political prisoners and allowing the formation of political parties.

But concern is growing that the reform program is stalling or even sliding back.

Opposition leader Aung San Suu Kyi, barred by the 2008 Constitution from becoming president, told Reuters last week that boycotting the parliamentary elections, expected in November, was an "option" if the charter was not changed.

The Constitution reserves one-quarter of Parliament and key cabinet posts for the military, giving it an effective veto over politics, and bars presidential candidates with a foreign spouse or child. Suu Kyi's late husband was British as are her two sons.

The US Embassy said the Constitution should be amended to allow civilian control of the military and provide "the right of citizens to elect freely the leaders of their choice."

"Failure to amend the Constitution will raise questions about the credibility of democratic reform going forward," an embassy spokesman told Reuters.

But the embassy did not link constitutional change to the legitimacy of the elections.

"Ultimately, however, the viability and legitimacy of the 2015 election as a democratic exercise will be determined by the people of Burma."

In an interview with Reuters last week, Suu Kyi accused the United States and others of being too soft on President Thein Sein's "hardline regime."

She said too much praise had made the government "complacent" and it was backsliding on promised reforms.

The US Embassy spokesman said the reform process had been a mixed bag.

"We recognize the reforms undertaken over the past three years to open up the country's politics, economy and society," he said. "But reform has been inconsistent in practice, and has clearly not kept pace with popular expectations."

Amending the Constitution to remove the military's role in politics or allow Suu Kyi to be president would not be easy.

Changes require a 76 percent majority vote in a Parliament dominated by military members and their allies.

Even if that were to succeed, those amendments would need to be put to a national referendum run by the Union Election Commission (UEC), which is overwhelmed with preparations for the elections.

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Hundreds of North Korean Missiles Threaten Asia: US Researchers

Posted: 07 Apr 2015 10:17 PM PDT

A military vehicle carries a missile past late leader Kim-il Sung's portrait during a parade to commemorate the 65th anniversary of founding of the Workers' Party of Korea in Pyongyang on Oct. 10, 2010. (Photo: Reuters)

A military vehicle carries a missile past late leader Kim-il Sung's portrait during a parade to commemorate the 65th anniversary of founding of the Workers' Party of Korea in Pyongyang on Oct. 10, 2010. (Photo: Reuters)

WASHINGTON — Nuclear-armed North Korea already has hundreds of ballistic missiles that can target its neighbors in Northeast Asia but will need foreign technology to upgrade its arsenal and pose a more direct threat to the United States, US researchers said Tuesday.

Those are the latest findings of a research program investigating what secretive North Korea's nuclear weapons capability will be by 2020.

Unlike Iran, the current focus of international nuclear diplomacy, North Korea has conducted atomic test explosions. Its blood-curdling rhetoric and periodic missile tests have set the region on edge and there's no sign of negotiations restarting to coax it into disarming.

For now, the emphasis is on sanctions and military preparedness. Defense Secretary Ash Carter visits Japan and South Korea this week amid speculation the United States wants to place a missile defense system in South Korea against North Korean ballistic missiles, which Seoul is reluctant about as it would alienate China. The United States has already deployed anti-missile radar in Japan.

US military officials have expressed growing concern about North Korea's capabilities. Navy Adm. William Gortney, commander of US Northern Command and the North American Aerospace Defense Command, told reporters Tuesday that it is the US assessment that North Korea has the ability to miniaturize a warhead to put on an intercontinental ballistic missile.

US officials are most concerned about a long-range missile called the KN-08 that has been displayed in military parades. It is said to be capable of being launched from a road-mobile vehicle and would therefore be difficult to monitor via satellite.

But the research published Tuesday by the North Korean Futures Project stresses that for now the principal threat from North Korean missiles is to its neighbors in Asia. The project is conducted by the US-Korea Institute at Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies and National Defense University's Center for the Study of Weapons of Mass Destruction.

Aerospace engineer John Schilling and a research associate at the institute, Henry Kan, say Pyongyang's current inventory of about 1,000 missiles, based on old Soviet technology, can already reach most targets in South Korea and Japan.

"North Korea has already achieved a level of delivery system development that will allow it to establish itself as a small nuclear power in the coming years," they write in a paper published on the institute's website, 38 North.

Despite the North's 2012 success in launching a rocket into space—the clearest sign yet it has the potential to reach the American mainland—Pyongyang faces greater technical challenges in launching an effective missile across the Pacific at the United States.

It may already be able to field a limited number of long-range Taepodong missiles in an emergency but they would be unreliable, vulnerable to pre-emptive strike and inaccurate, the analysis says. The KN-08 may achieve "emergency operational status" by 2020, before or with very limited flight testing, it adds.

The analysis says foreign assistance could be critical for overcoming the technological and engineering hurdles North Korea now faces in developing better missiles, including progress on high-performance engines, heat shields, guidance electronics and rocket motors that use solid fuel instead of liquid fuel, it says.

And that's become tougher as North Korea's international isolation has intensified since its first nuclear test explosion in 2006.

That hasn't stopped its nuclear program. According to a recent estimate by the Washington-based Institute for Science and International Security, the North likely has enough fissile material for at least 10 weapons, and that could increase to between 20 and 100 weapons by 2020.

But whereas the basic designs and production infrastructure are now largely in place for the nuclear program, technological progress on the missile front has been slower, the analysis says. North Korea has failed to make the kind of advances that Iran and Pakistan have made, although both countries relied on North Korean assistance for missiles in the 1990s.

Last October, the commander of US forces in South Korea, Army Gen. Curtis Scaparrotti, said North Korea may be capable of fielding a nuclear-armed KN-08 missile that could reach US soil, but because it has not tested such a weapon the odds of it being effective were "pretty darn low."

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US Defense Chief in Japan to Show Alliance Strong Amid China Worries

Posted: 07 Apr 2015 10:13 PM PDT

Japan's Defense Minister Gen Nakatani, left, and US Secretary of Defense Ash Carter, third left, inspect the honor guard at the defense ministry in Tokyo on April 8, 2015. (Photo: Reuters)

Japan's Defense Minister Gen Nakatani, left, and US Secretary of Defense Ash Carter, third left, inspect the honor guard at the defense ministry in Tokyo on April 8, 2015. (Photo: Reuters)

TOKYO — US Secretary of Defense Ash Carter kicked off talks with his Japanese counterpart on Wednesday aimed at demonstrating that the two countries' security alliance is tighter than ever amid China's growing assertiveness in the region.

Carter's visit coincides with the first update in US-Japan defense cooperation guidelines since 1997, a revision that will expand the scope for interaction between the two allies in line with Prime Minister Shinzo Abe's push to ease the constraints of Japan's pacifist constitution on the nation's military.

Carter told Japanese Defense Minister Gen Nakatani he welcomed the timely work on the guidelines.

"It's going to give first of all Japan, but also our alliance, much greater scope to provide security in the region, and for that matter elsewhere outside of the region," Carter said as the talks began.

Abe's move to allow Tokyo to come to the aid of an ally under attack would pave the way for closer cooperation between US and Japanese forces across Asia, Adm. Robert Thomas, commander of the US Seventh Fleet, said last month.

In January, Thomas said the United States would also welcome a Japanese extension of air patrols into the South China Sea, where China, Vietnam, the Philippines and other nations have rival claims.

Neither Tokyo nor Washington have territorial claims in the South China Sea, but the US Seventh Fleet operates in the area and any Japanese presence would irritate Beijing, which has a separate territorial row with Tokyo in the East China Sea.

Washington has welcomed a broader regional military role for Japan, as the United States pushes its allies in Asia, including Australia, to do more as China takes an increasingly assertive stance in territorial disputes.

In a written interview with Japan's Yomiuri newspaper published on Wednesday, Carter expressed concern about China's land reclamation in disputed areas of the South China Sea.

"We are concerned by the scope and pace of China's land reclamation activities, which are inconsistent with China's own past commitments to Asean countries," the newspaper quoted Carter as saying.

"We are especially concerned at the prospect of militarization of these outposts. These activities seriously increase tensions and reduce prospects for diplomatic solutions," he said. "We urge China to limit its activities and exercise restraint to improve regional trust."

Reuters reported in February that China was rapidly creating artificial islands from six reefs in the Spratly archipelago in the South China Sea. Beijing says the work falls "within the scope of China's sovereignty."

US and Philippine troops will take part in annual military exercises this month near the Spratlys in the largest such drills since the allies resumed joint activities in 2000.

Abe's government plans to submit bills to parliament in the coming months to ratify his cabinet's decision last year to allow Japan to exercise its right of collective self-defense, the biggest shift in Japanese security policy in decades.

Carter, Nakatani and the two countries' foreign ministers are expected to unveil the new defense guidelines in late April, before Abe meets US President Barack Obama on April 28 for a summit in Washington.

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4 Men Killed in Raid in South Thailand Were Not Insurgents

Posted: 07 Apr 2015 10:08 PM PDT

A soldier stands guard as students leave their school in southern Thailand's Pattani Province on Dec. 19, 2012. (Photo: Reuters)

A soldier stands guard as students leave their school in southern Thailand's Pattani Province on Dec. 19, 2012. (Photo: Reuters)

HAT YAI, Thailand — Four young men who were killed during a recent raid by government security forces in Thailand's violence-plagued south were not insurgents, an investigating panel said Tuesday, finding that the authorities involved should be prosecuted.

According to police, the four were killed and 22 other suspects detained on March 25 in the raid carried out by paramilitary troops, police and local officials in Thung Yangdaeng district of Pattani province.

More than 5,000 people have been killed since an Islamic insurgency erupted in 2004 in Thailand's three southernmost provinces of Yala, Pattani and Narathiwat, which are the only Muslim-majority areas in the predominantly Buddhist country. Insurgents have targeted Buddhist and Muslim civilians as well as soldiers and civil servants in brutal attacks including drive-by shootings and car bombings. Government forces have been accused of unjustified and illegal detention as well as torture.

Muslim residents have for decades complained of being treated as second-class citizens. The insurgents, who come from several loosely associated groups, have not made clear their goal, though they have spoken of separation from Thailand.

Pattani Gov. Weerapong Kaewsuwan said at a news conference that a fact-finding committee led by a provincial Islamic leader found that the four dead men, mostly in their 20s, were neither insurgents nor their sympathizers, and that their confrontation with the authorities took place some 300 meters (328 yards) away from where the raid was launched.

The committee suggested that the officials involved face prosecution and that the families of the dead men receive compensation, he said.

The fact-finding panel concluded that the basis for the raid was justified, but could not judge if guns and other weapons at the scene belonged to the four men who were shot, or if those responsible for the deaths had acted lawfully.

"At this stage, the committee is unable to examine the issue of whether there was armed resistance to the authorities, so we will leave it to the process of finding evidence and witnessed within the justice system," Weerapong said.

The government initiated counter-insurgency actions in Thung Yandaeng district last October after six schools were burned down by suspected militants.

The post 4 Men Killed in Raid in South Thailand Were Not Insurgents appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

Living Histories

Posted: 07 Apr 2015 05:30 PM PDT

Click to view slideshow.

"There is a Burmese saying that you will have your golden umbrella once in your lifetime," says Daw Thida, who has lived all her life in a once all-teak wooden house called the Pinlon Lodge on Kabar Aye Pagoda Road.

Daw Thida's formerly prosperous trading family bought the property in 1950 from a relative of the flamboyant Chinese tycoon Lim Chin Tsong.

When she was a girl, the house hummed with the noise and bustle of relatives, visitors, servants and nannies. But after the family's import-export business was nationalized, gradually, "we seemed to become poor," says the granddaughter of nationalist Daw Kyin Ein who was a founder of the Burmese Women's Association in 1919.

Today, ceramic tiles dated from 1886 occasionally fall from the roof and the home’s intricate parquet flooring "sounds like a xylophone." The mansion’s golden years are long gone, but for Daw Thida and her husband Professor Saw Tin, it is still a warm home; patched up and altered, but rich beyond any developer's price with its dignified, modest routines and its trove of memories.

That sense of dignity and warmth pervades the new book "Yangon Echoes," which collects, in their own words, the stories of residents living in many of the former capital's gorgeous but frequently neglected old buildings.

Behind the facades of buildings of high architectural worth live families whose relatives were connected to the Mandalay Palace and Myanmar's independence, and people barely scratching a living in structures that are little more than husks.

There's the now empty and ghostly but still grand home of the 'Stable' faction of the Anti-Fascist People's Freedom League leader U Kyaw Nyein on University Avenue, whose visitors before Gen. Ne Win's 1962 coup included U Nu, Chou En Lai and many other notables.

U Kyaw Nyein's sons U Tun Kyaw Nyein and U Bo Kyaw Nyein were jailed for their part in protests over the funeral arrangements for U Thant in 1974 and eventually made successful lives in the United States. They now come back regularly and are photographed reminiscing in their childhood home which has been unlived in since 1992.

Former civil servant U Aung Pe, 70, lives with his family under open-sided corrugated iron on the roof of the historic Balthazar building on Bank Street. The perch might be leaky in the rainy season and the whole structure is falling apart, but they like living downtown. And, rooftop shacks have great views and a breeze.

Also downtown in a handsome but decrepit building slated for demolition are the family of a former longtime chef at the Strand Hotel who, when home, "would never explain a dish." The family is beautifully captured here preparing to leave the mold and falling plaster of their much-loved home behind, after they eventually agreed to move out while a new apartment block is constructed.

Many of Yangon's old buildings look set to disappear and with them will go the stories and memories captured with charm and empathy in this beautifully presented and timely book. Some century-old structures featured here have already gone, just a blink in time following the 18 months that the author and photographer spent finding them. One hopes that many more, and the resilient people in them, will find a way to survive.

"Yangon Echoes," by Virginia Henderson and Tim Webster, is published by River Books this month.

This article originally appeared in the April 2015 issue of The Irrawaddy magazine.

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“It’s OK Guys, I’ve Got a Good Feeling About This One!”

Posted: 07 Apr 2015 05:00 PM PDT

"It's OK Guys, I've Got a Good Feeling About This One!"

“It’s OK Guys, I’ve Got a Good Feeling About This One!”

The post “It’s OK Guys, I’ve Got a Good Feeling About This One!” appeared first on The Irrawaddy.