Wednesday, January 28, 2015

The Irrawaddy Magazine

The Irrawaddy Magazine


Student Leaders to Meet President, Lawmakers

Posted: 28 Jan 2015 05:58 AM PST

Student demonstrators march from Taung Tha to Popa, Mandalay Division, en route to Rangoon to demand more inclusive education reform, Jan. 28, 2015. (Photo: JPaing / The Irrawaddy)

Student demonstrators march from Taung Tha to Popa, Mandalay Division, en route to Rangoon to demand more inclusive education reform, Jan. 28, 2015. (Photo: JPaing / The Irrawaddy)

RANGOON — In a big win for student demonstrators, the Burmese government agreed on Wednesday to host quadripartite discussions on education reform.

Following months of escalating protest against a new National Education Law, high-level government representatives met with student leaders in Naypyidaw, where they committed to bring together President Thein Sein, students, advocates, and lawmakers as the legislation comes under review, according to a student leader present at the meeting.

"We agreed to discuss and find solutions for the 11-points we have demanded," student activist Nanda Sint Aung told The Irrawaddy shortly after the meeting, referring to a list of weaknesses in education reform agreed upon by the movement.

After hundreds of demonstrators set out on a march from Mandalay to Rangoon on Jan. 20, the president urged lawmakers to acknowledge their grievances and amend the law. Students responded that they would not end the protests until the government guaranteed an inclusive review process beginning with quadripartite talks.

Wednesday's five-hour discussion followed a tense stand-off between protesters and police in Taung Tha, Mandalay Division, where authorities attempted to prevent the crowd from entering the town. Police later stood down and the procession continued.

President's Office Minister Aung Min and representatives of Parliament and the Ministry of Education attended Wednesday's meeting, where Nanda Sint Aung said they signed a formal assurance that the requested quadripartite talks will be held on Feb. 1 in Rangoon.

A number of notable activists—including Min Ko Naing, Mya Aye and Phone Cho of the 88 Generation Peace and Open Society—also witnessed and served as signatories to the agreement.

Nanda Sint Aung said on behalf of the student movement that activists were "satisfied" with the agreement, but stressed that they were "worried about the talks because we have no history of getting positive results."

He said the demonstrations will be paused temporarily on the day of the Rangoon talks. Hundreds of students, teachers and supporters are currently marching from Taung Tha to Popa, Mandalay Division, while other "columns" are mobilizing in Irrawaddy Division and elsewhere with plans to converge in the commercial capital.

Massive student demonstrations gained traction soon after passage of the National Education Law in September 2014. Its critics claim the legislation centralizes authority, restricts the formation of independent student unions and curbs curricular freedoms.

Zarni Mann contributed reporting from Taung Tha, Mandalay Division.

The post Student Leaders to Meet President, Lawmakers appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

Mizzima to Shut Down Daily, As Tycoon Cuts Ties

Posted: 28 Jan 2015 05:49 AM PST

A reader reads a copy of the Daily Mizzima newspaper on Wednesday. Publication of the paper will end per March 1. (Photo: Nobel Zaw / The Irrawaddy)

A reader reads a copy of the Daily Mizzima newspaper on Wednesday. Publication of the paper will end per March 1. (Photo: Nobel Zaw / The Irrawaddy)

RANGOON — Mizzima Media Group (MMG) announced on Wednesday that it will end print publication of its daily Burmese-language newspaper per March 1 after local business tycoon Serge Pun decided to withdraw from the media organization.

Some 22 months after it first entered Burma's fledgling media market, the print edition of Daily Mizzima will cease and continue as a digital subscription-only publication, the organization said in a statement.

MMG said on Wednesday that it will continue publishing an English-language weekly magazine, a daily online news website in both languages, and produce paid-for TV and radio news content, along with offering other media services.

Soe Myint, MMG chief editor and managing director, told The Irrawaddy that the decision was taken because "there are many difficulties and it's very costly [to publish] a private newspaper," adding, "Now online readership is increasing so we change to an online digital newspaper."

"Generally speaking, I know that nearly all of the private newspapers run without profits and even losses," he said. Soe Myint said he could not specify how many employees would lose their job as a result of the decision.

About 40 local staff members of the organization's roughly 140 employees were reportedly sacked last month ahead of the announcement. Dozens more lay-offs are expected by the end of next month, among them reporters, photographers and designers.

Daily Mizzima is thought to have a circulation of around 12,000 papers and is in the top five most sold private dailies in Burma.

Soe Myint said Serge Pun (also known locally as Thein Wai) and chief executive officer Sonny Swe decided to leave MMG and divested their shares in the company last week. "They gave the ownership rights to me and Thin Thin Aung," said Soe Myint, referring to his wife, who will become the organization's new director.

"Sonny Swe no longer wants to work at Mizzima, that's why he resigned. [And] U Thein Wai just wanted to help Mizzima since the beginning," he said when asked about the reasons for the break-up of the partnership, before referring further question to the other men.

In November 2013, Mizzima Media Group announced a revamp of the organization in order to expand its news coverage. Serge Pun became a Board of Directors' member and shareholder. Soe Myint and Sonny Swe, cofounder of English-language weekly newspaper The Myanmar Times, also took shares and became chief executive officer and editor-in-chief, respectively.

Soe Myint said MMG had "borrowed money" from Serge Pun for its expansion, but he declined to elaborate on whether the organization was indebted to the prominent businessman. He added that his company now hopes to attract business partners in the private sector in order to sustain its media operations.

Sonny Swe did not directly address answer question as to why he was leaving Mizzima Media Group, saying only that there had been "no problems" between him and Soe Myint, before adding, "But we have a different management style."

He said he and Serge Pun voluntarily transferred ownership of their shares to Soe Myint, adding that he hoped to continue to be active in Burma's media industry. "If U Serge Pun has the desire to cooperate as a partner with me I have no reason to refuse," he said.

Soe Myint, a former exiled dissident who was acquitted for hijacking a Burmese airplane by an Indian court, founded Mizzima in New Delhi in 1998 in order to cover events in military-run Burma.

Serge Pun founded the multinational Serge Pun & Associates Myanmar Limited in 1991 and set up Yoma Bank the following year. SPA Myanmar has since become a sprawling conglomerate with interests in financial services, construction, real estate, the automotive industry and health care.

Daily Mizzima was among a slew of news organization that set up a private print newspaper after President Thein Sein's nominally-civilian government allowed the publication of dailies in April 2013, lifting decades-old, junta-era restrictions on Burma's media.

Burmese journalists eagerly set up independent newspapers, giving the country a vibrant, unruly media landscape. The Voice, 7 Day Daily, Daily Eleven and The Messenger were among the local-language papers to go daily, while The Myanma Freedom Daily was the first English-language daily to go into print.

Many publications have since run it into economic trouble and struggle to compete with state-run newspapers, which are sold at low prices, benefit from existing distribution networks and have a large circulation of more than 300,000 copies. At least five local newspapers have shut down since April 2013, including The Myanma Freedom, which suspended publication in March 2014.

Additional reporting by Paul Vrieze.

The post Mizzima to Shut Down Daily, As Tycoon Cuts Ties appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

Hurdles and Wins for Emerging Business

Posted: 28 Jan 2015 04:29 AM PST

A worker at the Yangon port. (Photo: Steve Tickner / The Irrawaddy)

A worker at the Yangon port. (Photo: Steve Tickner / The Irrawaddy)

Lack of finance and access to land; poor infrastructure support including access to electricity; corruption; and a poorly educated workforce are among the biggest hurdles in trying to establish a business in Myanmar.

These issues were highlighted in the latest Enterprise Survey data published by the World Bank and underline the concerns voiced by many observers over the country's economic and social development. Enterprise Surveys provide comprehensive company-level data on the business environment in developing economies around the world.

The World Bank interviewed representatives from 632 firms between February and April 2014, asking for feedback on 15 issues, ranging from finance to social disorder, taxation, political stability, legal matters and bureaucratic red tape.

"Among 15 areas of the business environment, firms in Myanmar are more likely to rate access to finance to be the biggest obstacle to their daily operations, followed by access to land, electricity, and then poorly educated workers," the survey concluded.

Lack of finance for new businesses is one of the biggest challenges to growth. Myanmar rates as one of the poorest in financial services across the entire Asia-Pacific region, the survey said.

"The proportion of firms with a checking or savings account is 30 percent, which is less than half the average for low income countries. Access to credit through banks is worse still. Only 7 percent of firms report having a bank loan which is one-fifth the level for [regional] or low income countries," the survey said. "Less than 2 percent of investments are financed from banks, slightly over a tenth of the [regional] average."

The survey found that corruption was much more prevalent in Myanmar than in other countries of the East Asia and Pacific regions surveyed.

"Almost one out of two Myanmar firms experience at least one bribe payment request across six transactions dealing with utilities access, permits, licenses, and taxes," the World Bank said. "The private sector experiences almost twice the incidence compared to other [regional] countries."

Fifty-six percent of firms reported being expected to give gifts or payment to get an electrical connection and 53 percent reported the same to get an import license.

The survey "more or less formalizes what is widely understood on the ground," Australian economist and Myanmar specialist Sean Turnell told The Irrawaddy.

"Myanmar remains a very difficult place in which to undertake and perhaps above all start a business. To some extent too, [the survey] highlights that much of the fundamentals—the soft and hard infrastructure that determines the business and economic ecosystem—remain insufficiently reformed," said Dr. Turnell, a professor at Macquarie University in Sydney.

"These fundamentals include access to finance, the ease or otherwise of securing 'permissions' for business activity, the reliability of electricity and energy, access to skilled labor, and so on.

"Of course, this is also the hard stuff that takes a long time to fix. Five decades of neglect in these areas is not easy to turn around. What's important is that these fundamentals are addressed, and not simply the window dressing."

Consult-Myanmar, a Yangon-based, Singapore-owned business advisory company, describes Myanmar along with Cambodia and Laos as frontier markets that "lack the regulatory and financial institutions found in other more economically developed destinations in the region such as Malaysia and Thailand."

It said the findings of another recently published World Bank study, Doing Business 2015, "make abundantly clear" that business problems abound in many parts of Southeast Asia.

"While Singapore continues to rank No. 1 in the world for ease of doing business, many of the region's so-called frontier economies continue to be characterised by pervasive corruption, and weak governance and rule of law."

Nevertheless, Consult-Myanmar, founded by Singapore businessman Andrew Tan, believes foreign investors are attracted to Myanmar by its "young demographic base, growing middle class, and strategic location."

The company suggests that would-be investors in Myanmar should follow a set of basic rules: adopt a realistic timeline for development; leverage local talent; educate local partners about the consequences of violating anti-graft laws; understand and address the challenges of corruption's close cousin, cronyism; and don't be afraid of walking away from a deal if it doesn't look right.

Global business risk assessor Business Monitor International said in a recent assessment that a "lack of information and timely economic data on Myanmar remains a key factor preventing foreign investors from assessing the true potential of the economy."

"Uncertainties as to the government's direction on economic policies pose additional risks to business investment in Myanmar," the UK-based firm said.

The World Bank Enterprise Survey also found that domestic and foreign firms are reluctant to invest in training employees.

"Only 15 percent of firms do so, almost one-third of the average for East Asia and Pacific, and close to half the average for low income economies. However, among firms that do offer training, about the same proportion of workers are trained compared to other low income countries," the survey said.

But despite the difficulties impeding the establishment of successful businesses, the World Bank remains upbeat about Myanmar's progress—provided reforms continue.

"Private sector firms in Myanmar have reported spectacular sales growth since the onset of a series of government-initiated policy reforms in 2011," the survey said.

"A 24 percent real annual sales growth rate puts Myanmar in the fastest growing private sectors as measured by Enterprise Surveys. … Importantly, this remarkable sales growth took place despite great hurdles, which is suggestive of continued growth that could be unlocked by further reforms."

The post Hurdles and Wins for Emerging Business appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

Carlsberg to Begin Brewing Burma Beer in March

Posted: 28 Jan 2015 03:50 AM PST

Carlsberg's company logo is pictured on a coaster. (Photo: Reuters)

Carlsberg's company logo is pictured on a coaster. (Photo: Reuters)

RANGOON — The Denmark-based Carlsberg Group will begin brewing beer in Burma from March, in a joint venture with local firm Myanmar Golden Star, the latter's chairman Thein Tun told The Irrawaddy on Wednesday.

Carlsberg and Myanmar Golden Star (MGS) signed an agreement in early 2013 to build a brewing facility and distribute the well-known beer in country. Carlsberg owns 51 percent of the joint venture Myanmar Carlsberg Co. Ltd., according to a January 2013 announcement.

"We'll produce three varieties of Carlsberg beer in March. The investment will be about US$70 million," Thein Tun said.

The MGS chairman, known as "Pepsi" Thein Tun ever since he brought the American beverage giant to Burma in the 1990s, said the company will produce canned, bottled and draught beer at a facility in a Pegu Division industrial zone.

"We can't say right now that we have any expectations for the market," he said.

In a statement from the Carlsberg Group in January 2013, Roy Bagattini, senior vice president of Carlsberg in the Asia region, said political reforms at the time had prompted the company's move into Burma's largely untapped market.

"We have followed the developments in Myanmar closely and are encouraged by the recent political developments in the country," he said.

"We believe that the timing is right for us to invest in the country. We expect that the Myanmar beer market will grow strongly in coming years as the economy expands. MGS Breweries is one of the leading soft drinks producers in Myanmar and a partner we have known for many years. This partnership is a pivotal development in expanding our presence in the country."

The MGS conglomerate was incorporated in 1989 and today is comprised of six fully owned companies and six joint ventures. Sanctions forced Pepsi out of the country in 1997, but MGS brought the US firm back to set up operations in Burma again last year.

Like many other foreign companies' products, Carlsberg beer cans can be found on some store shelves, often having arrived overland via Thai border crossings. Though the Myanmar Investment Commission has approved joint ventures for a handful of foreign brewers including Heineken over the last two years, those operations have not yet begun.

A spokesperson from City Mart Holdings said Carlsberg would have a tough fight on its hands in a market dominated by the military-owned Myanmar Brewery and its signature Myanmar Beer brand.

"As far as I remember, Carlsberg was sold in Myanmar starting around 1996, but they left here before 2000. … At that time, Myanmar Beer also began distributing in the market," she said.

"But now Myanmar Beer has strong market share and there are also others like Dagon and Mandalay Beer in the market, so Carlsberg will have to compete with them," she said.

Carlsberg was founded in 1847. Export of Carlsberg beer began in 1868, and the company is today the world's fourth largest brewer.

The post Carlsberg to Begin Brewing Burma Beer in March appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

Govt to Push for Ambitious 4.5M Tourist Visitor Target

Posted: 28 Jan 2015 03:44 AM PST

Tourists arrive to a hotel located on Inle Lake, one of the main tourist attractions in Burma, on Sept. 25, 2013. (Photo: Reuters / Minzayar)

Tourists arrive to a hotel located on Inle Lake, one of the main tourist attractions in Burma, on Sept. 25, 2013. (Photo: Reuters / Minzayar)

NAYPYIDAW — The Minister of Hotels and Tourism has said the government will continue to push for sharply raising the overall number of tourist figures to reach 4 to 5 million visitors this year, despite recent criticism of its tourism development approach and doubts over the accuracy of its visitors figures.

Minister Htay Aung said 3.08 million tourist figures were recorded in 2014, a number that his ministry hopes to raise 4.5-5 million this year by increasing overland visitor numbers, improving e-visa service for tourists, negotiating visa waiver agreements with other Asean countries, and the possible opening up of a Burma-China border crossing to visitors from third countries.

"In Myanmar last year we had 3.08 million visitors, but there are many categories of people [included in the figure]. What we count are mostly tourists by air, cruise ship and overland routes," he said during an interview on the sidelines of the Asean Tourism Forum on Tuesday. "Overland routes have potential for tourist arrivals [growth] in the future."

Htay Aung said 1.2 million of the 3.08 million visitors recorded last year were arrivals by air and cruise ship. Visitors from Thailand, China and Japan topped the arrivals list.

Following Burma's opening up under President Thein Sein's nominally-civilian government, tourism arrivals have risen sharply, according to the government, which says numbers rose from 800,000 in 2011 to 3.08 million last year.

The government has touted the growth as a measure of the success of its political and economic reforms, but questions have been raised about the accuracy of the figures and its tourism development approach.

Tourism experts told The Myanmar Times recently that Naypyidaw's methods differ from international accepted definitions of tourist visits that are used by the United Nations World Tourism Organization (UNWTO). Under the latter's definition, only about 1.2 million of the government's arrival numbers would be defined as tourists who stayed at least 24 hours in the country. Some 1.9 million of Naypyidaw's registered visitors are in fact day-trippers from neighboring Thailand, India, China and Laos.

A Tourism Master plan 2013-2030, drafted by the Asian Development Bank, advised the government to aim for 2.2 million tourist visitors by 2015 and 5 million in 2020. The numbers were reportedly later revised upward on the government's insistence to 3 million and 7.5 million, respectively, in an indication of the government's eagerness to expand the sector.

Htay Aung did not directly answer questions about the accuracy of tourist arrival figures, but told a press conference in Naypyidaw that "in the very near future we will be working with the UNWTO on specific research methodologies" for tourism figures.

Aung Myat Kyaw, the chairman of Union of Myanmar Travel Association, said the government should ensure that its arrival figures are in line with international definitions so that the tourism industry can improve its growth strategies. "Nobody has the accurate numbers," he said.

Burma's tourism growth is being hampered by problems such as a lack of quality hotels and guesthouses, high room rates, poor transport and communications infrastructure, and an underdeveloped domestic air industry with a poor safety record.

The post Govt to Push for Ambitious 4.5M Tourist Visitor Target appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

Mon Rebels Prohibit Controversial Coal Plant

Posted: 28 Jan 2015 02:44 AM PST

Toyo-Thai Corporation plans to build a coal-fired power plant near this beach in Inn Din village, Ye Township. (Photo: Mon Kyae)

Toyo-Thai Corporation plans to build a coal-fired power plant near this beach in Inn Din village, Ye Township. (Photo: Mon Kyae)

RANGOON — Ethnic rebels in Mon State announced on Tuesday that they will not allow a proposed coal-fired power plant to be built in the southeastern state.

The proposed 1,280 megawatt power plant was first proposed during a preliminary consultation with local communities in Ye Township in April 2014.

The project, which locals found confusing and potentially dangerous, was expected to be built in Inn Din village at a cost of about US$2.7 billion.

Details about the development are scarce, but local communities and the state's ethnic leadership voiced skepticism about claims that it would benefit local communities, positing instead that most or all of the energy produced would be exported to neighboring Thailand.

In the latest bid to stop the development, the New Mon State Party (NMSP), and its armed counterpart, the Mon National Liberation Army (MNLA), issued a statement arguing that the state's political situation remains unstable and unsuitable for such a development.

Nai Hongsar Bong Khaing, a spokesperson for the NMSP based in the state capital Moulmein, told The Irrawaddy that allowing the development to proceed would contravene party rules on three counts: political instability is too risky for large-scale developments; local communities and religious leaders have not been adequately consulted; and environmental risks have not been analyzed to the party's satisfaction.

"We found that the current political situation is not yet conducive to political dialogue. According to our party's policy, we cannot let the company build this power plant until we have reached a political settlement," said Nai Hongsar, adding that because the majority of locals oppose the project, "we have to make this decision."

Any progress toward approval of the development would depend on the outcome of the peace process, he said, as talks geared toward a nationwide ceasefire agreement have stalled over disagreements between ethnic rebels and government actors.

The government has pushed for the project since early consultations began last year, but a series of meetings with the state's ethnic politicians and communities were met with reprove and sometimes protest.

Mon State Chief Minister Ohn Myint, a member of the leading Union Solidarity and Development Party, met with the NMSP in 2014 to discuss the projects potential benefits in the poor and under-served state, where many still live without 24-hour access to electricity and pay high fees for basic services.

"[Ohn Myint] told us that the plant will benefit local development, and that the government would not allow the company to damage the environment," said Nai Hongsar, in reference to their earlier conference. "But we are worried that our people will not get as many benefits as the minister said."

On the national level, an ethnic Mon Upper House lawmaker, argued that the benefits outweigh potential risks, given the level of development in his home state. Nai Banyar Aung Moe's constituency in Ye Township, he said, suffers a severe shortage of electricity resulting in high prices that hinder development.

"Normally [in areas served by the national grid], one unit of electricity costs 35 kyats ($0.35), but people in Ye have to pay 500," he said. Ye Township is not yet connected to the national power grid, but Nai Banyar Aung Moe said the project could offer the energy needed for development.

"Unless we allow the building of coal power plants in our region, development will remain behind other countries. Our Mon people will be slave workers in Thailand, Singapore and Malaysia, because our country is poor," he said, recalling what he viewed as a missed opportunity when the NMSP refused to allow development of a deep sea port in Moulmein, a proposal later rejiggered for a new location in Dawei.

Lower House lawmaker Mi Myint Than, who is also ethnic Mon, argued that the project could create jobs and offer a new course for development in the state, which is currently reliant on the China-controlled rubber trade.

"China controls the rubber prices," she said, "but if there was electric power, Japanese companies would invest in our region."

The NMSP was established in 1958 and remains Mon State's dominant political party. Projects opposed by the party, such as the deep sea port, have been suspended in the past.

The NMSP's armed wing, MNLA, has been at intermittent odds with the Burma Army, but secured a new ceasefire with the government in April 2012.

The post Mon Rebels Prohibit Controversial Coal Plant appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

Newly Minted YCDC Members Finding Power Elusive

Posted: 28 Jan 2015 12:04 AM PST

A Buddhist monk crosses the street in front of Rangoon's City Hall. (Photo: Reuters)

A Buddhist monk crosses the street in front of Rangoon's City Hall. (Photo: Reuters)

RANGOON — The first elected representatives of the Rangoon municipal government in more than five decades say they have been granted little authority in their new posts since being sworn in earlier this month.

A total of 115 members were elected to three levels of the Yangon City Development Committee (YCDC) last month and assumed their positions on Jan. 6. Their approximately one-year terms will come to an end when a new Union-level government takes office in 2016.

A total of 293 candidates, including members of civil society organizations, community leaders and academics contested the election on Dec. 27, 2014, for the 115 seats on committees at the central, district and township levels of the YCDC, a municipal body that oversees Burma's largest city.

Elected YCDC members told The Irrawaddy that representatives at the township level are tasked with improving drainage, roads, garbage collection, water supply and fencing, whereas district-level members deal with constituents' concerns.

"According to the organizational structure, the township and district levels don't have authority," said Dr. Soe Tun, a member of the municipal committee for Rangoon's East District. "All things concerning construction of buildings and roads, and sanitation, are handled by departments of the central body. We mostly handle complaints."

The YCDC Central Committee is made up of nine members, of which four were elected in late December.

At the township-level, elected YCDC members are even subordinate to the jurisdiction's municipal executive officers, who are appointed by the government and carry out instructions handed down from the YCDC Central Committee.

Myint Zaw, chairman of the North Dagon Township municipal committee, argued for more authority at the lower levels of city governance.

"Departments [of the YCDC Central Committee] assume full authority," he said. "We have to go to Rangoon City Hall for most municipal issues. In reality, we can handle many municipal issues at the township level. If there were to be a decentralization, it would save the bother of going to City Hall."

"We don't have authority to handle administrative matters. License granting, tax collection and sanitation are handled by the upper level [Central Committee]. I asked for saplings to plant in my township, but was denied. At present, we can only work in cooperation [with the Central Committee]," lamented Htay Oo, chairman of the North Okkalapa Township YCDC.

Asked about the scope of the newly sworn-in YCDC members' authority, elected Central Committee member Htay Aung said he was not authorized to take questions from the media and referred The Irrawaddy to YCDC's Information Department.

Despite some elected officials' complaints, Soe Tun took an optimistic view, saying the involvement of elected members in the workings of YCDC has contributed to better communication with constituents.

A five-member majority of the YCDC Central Committee is appointed by the government. Rangoon Mayor Hla Myint, who is chairman of the YCDC Central Committee, is directly appointed by President Thein Sein. The YCDC Central Committee is not accountable to the president, but to Rangoon Division's chief minister, Myint Swe, who is also a Thein Sein appointee.

The post Newly Minted YCDC Members Finding Power Elusive appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

Hostage Crisis Trips Up Japan as It Seeks Global Security Role

Posted: 27 Jan 2015 10:22 PM PST

Japan's Prime Minister Shinzo Abe attends a session of parliament in Tokyo on Jan. 28, 2015. (Photo: Reuters)

Japan's Prime Minister Shinzo Abe attends a session of parliament in Tokyo on Jan. 28, 2015. (Photo: Reuters)

TOKYO — Tokyo knew for months that Islamic State militants were holding two Japanese men captive, but appeared ill-prepared when the group set a ransom deadline and purportedly killed one of them, according to officials involved in the crisis in the past week.

The biggest foreign policy test of Prime Minister's Shinzo Abe's two years in office may have blindsided an administration that has pushed for Japan to take a stronger line on global security, according to the accounts of officials speaking to Reuters on condition they not be named.

As Abe prepared for a five-day trip to the Middle East where he would announce US$200 million in humanitarian aid to counter Islamic State, he convened a meeting of his national security advisers, said a person with knowledge of the proceedings.

But the issue of the Japanese captives was not raised at the meeting of Abe's National Security Council, the person added.

Officials involved in preparations for Abe's agenda understood that by naming Islamic State as a threat during a visit to Egypt, Abe was taking a risk.

His speech before a Cairo business group was intended to drive home the message that Japan was a reliable partner for the region and allies like the United States.

In response, Islamic State released a video a few days later showing the two Japanese men, Kenji Goto and Haruna Yukawa, beside a masked militant who demanded a $200 million ransom, citing the amount Abe had pledged in aid.

It is unclear whether Islamic State would have acted differently without Abe's comments. But experts said the speech was likely to have brought the crisis forward.

"Abe's comments obviously provoked them," said Masato Iizuka, an Islamic Studies professor at the Tokyo University of Foreign Studies.

"Going out of your way to call a group of people terrorists and challenging them is bound to have consequences, and I think the risks, the impact it could potentially have on Japanese nationals overseas were underestimated."

The government's response to the crisis is bound to figure in a coming debate over military policy that could in future allow Japan to offer logistical support for campaigns like the US-led bombings in Syria.

Yoshihide Suga, the government's chief spokesman and a close Abe aide, said it was wrong to conclude Abe's trip had provoked Islamic State.

"We made a decision on the prime minister's trip after taking [into] account all factors, including ISIL [Islamic State] activities and local security," he told reporters on Tuesday.

"It is not at all appropriate to link this atrocious and contemptible act of terrorism with the prime minister's visit."

A small anti-terrorism task force in the foreign ministry had been quietly working on the Yukawa case since August.

After the video threat, the foreign ministry expanded that to a full-blown crisis center and brought in reinforcements on Thursday as embassies around the world sent out requests for help and leads.

Other officials worked from the Japanese Embassy in Jordan, which has become the regional hub for Japan's response.

By Friday morning, with just hours remaining before the ransom deadline, officials had not established contact with Islamic State captors and did not know where the Japanese were being held, a senior official said.

It was not clear whether that has changed since Saturday when a second video emerged claiming Yukawa had been killed.

Nils Bildt, president of security consultancy CTSS Japan, which has worked for the Japanese government, said Tokyo could have tried to establish contact with militants earlier.

"Japan has so far done very little to establish effective and clear channels of communication on the ground," he said. "While surely someone is attempting to access these back channels now, it would seem they could have been more effectively used over the past few months."

The government has declined to comment on the specifics of its actions on the hostages, saying only that it was using every diplomatic channel available to secure Goto's release.

Separately, Abe's office asked key ministries to clarify the legal framework for its response.

The briefing paper reviewed by Reuters said Japan would not have the legal authority to strike IS even after changes being sought by Abe to free Japan's military from some of the restrictions of its pacifist constitution.

With Goto in captivity, some Abe critics have held back.

Saori Ikeuchi, a Japanese Communist Party lawmaker, on Sunday said via Twitter that Abe's administration had "taken lives at home and abroad lightly."

Ikeuchi deleted the comment and apologized in a subsequent tweet on Monday. "The tweet I made was inappropriate in times like these," Ikeuchi said. "I offer my apology."

A survey by the Sankei newspaper on Tuesday found 59 percent of Japanese said Abe's response the crisis was adequate.

The post Hostage Crisis Trips Up Japan as It Seeks Global Security Role appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

China Police Suspended After Dining on Enormous Salamander

Posted: 27 Jan 2015 10:18 PM PST

Shenzhen police officers in 2013. (Photo: Bobby Yip / Reuters)

Shenzhen police officers in 2013. (Photo: Bobby Yip / Reuters)

BEIJING — The southern Chinese city of Shenzhen suspended 14 police officers and put a police chief under investigation on Tuesday on suspicion of feasting on an endangered giant salamander, state media reported.

The officers allegedly were consuming the endangered animal, the world’s largest amphibian, at a seafood restaurant, the state-backed Shenzhen Daily reported on Tuesday. The giant salamander can grow as long as 180 centimeters (6 feet).

China’s leadership has called for Communist Party cadres and officials to forgo elaborate banquets and pricey junkets as it works to clamp down on government excess. Corruption, as well as a yawning gap between the rich and the poor, is a central source of public discontent with the ruling party.

Some of the police officers slapped and attacked a trio of reporters who were trying to photograph the banquet, snatching away their mobile phones and cameras, according to Southern Metropolis Daily, a respected newspaper in southern China.

Security personnel refused reporters’ demands that they check surveillance video at the restaurant, the paper reported.

Numbers of the Chinese giant salamander, whose home is central and southern China, have "declined catastrophically" over the last three decades, mostly due to over-exploitation for human consumption, according to the International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN). Some in China believe consuming it can combat the effects of ageing.

Traditional Chinese beliefs hold that animal products, such as bear bile and tiger bone, have medicinal properties. Environmental groups have decried a flourishing market for products made from endangered animals in the world’s second- largest economy.

The Shenzhen Daily said the restaurant is unlicensed, and a representative of the eatery told the paper the salamander in question was raised in captivity.

The IUCN says there is some commercial farming of giant salamanders, but the vast majority being traded are believed to have been poached from wild populations.

The post China Police Suspended After Dining on Enormous Salamander appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

AirAsia Probe Vets Possible Computer Glitch, Crew Response

Posted: 27 Jan 2015 08:42 PM PST

An Airbus investigator walks near part of the tail of the AirAsia QZ8501 passenger plane in Kumai Port, near Pangkalan Bun, Central Kalimantan January 12, 2015. (Photo: Reuters)

An Airbus investigator walks near part of the tail of the AirAsia QZ8501 passenger plane in Kumai Port, near Pangkalan Bun, Central Kalimantan January 12, 2015. (Photo: Reuters)

SINGAPORE/PARIS — Investigators probing the crash of an AirAsia jetliner are examining maintenance records of a key part of its automated control systems, and how the pilots may have handled the plane if it failed, two people familiar with the matter said.

An outage of the twin Flight Augmentation Computers (FAC) could not have directly caused the Dec. 28 crash, experts say, but without them the pilots would have had to rely on manual flying skills that are often stretched during a sudden airborne emergency.

"There appears to be some issue with the FAC," a person familiar with the investigation said, adding that more information was being sought from the manufacturer and airline.

Indonesia has said the Airbus A320 jet climbed abruptly from its cruising height and then stalled, or lost lift, before plunging out of control into the Java Sea, killing all 162 people on board.

A second person familiar with the probe said investigators were looking at how the pilots dealt with the chain of events leading up to the crash. Neither person agreed to be identified, because details of the investigation remain confidential.

The pair of computers comprising the A320's FAC system is mainly responsible for controlling rudder movements and helping to keep the airplane stable, as well detecting windshear, or sudden changes in wind speed or direction.

Indonesian magazine Tempo reported a series of maintenance problems with the computerized rudder system of that particular aircraft in the days and months before the loss of Flight QZ8501.

Pictures of wreckage retrieved from the Java Sea provide little evidence that the crash was caused by problems with the rudder.

But, after partially analyzing data from the "black box" voice and flight data recorders, investigators have extended their interest to the FAC computers, the two people familiar with the probe said.

A problem with the system may help explain another key element of the crash—why the jet did not automatically correct itself before entering into a stall, even if accidentally encouraged to do so by crew.

Manual Control

Airbus jets are designed to provide "flight envelope protection," making it virtually impossible to push them outside safe design limits when operating in normal flying mode.

But when the computers are unable to perform their tasks, control is automatically handed to the pilots who must fall back on training and fly manually, in so-called "alternate" mode.

A failure of both FAC computers—one primary, the other back-up—is one of those rare circumstances that can cause the usual stall protection to trip.

That alone would not explain why such a jet might crash and it is unlikely to be the only scenario being considered by investigators.

It was not clear when any fault might have developed, but it would, if confirmed, be one possible explanation of how the plane got into the state where the Indonesian pilot and French first officer would need to take over and display skill under stress.

"Stall protection can trip in very exceptional circumstances and the pilots need to react to that," an A320 pilot said, asking not to be named since he is not allowed to talk to media.

Airbus said it would not comment on the investigation or the crashed jet, but stressed that this type of aircraft is designed to be flown manually even when the safety buffer is not available.

"The aircraft remains fully controllable if you lose the two FACs," an Airbus spokesman said by email.

"The consequence of losing the two FACs is that the pilot has to fly manually like a conventional aircraft, which by definition has no flight envelope protection."

Preliminary Report Due

Indonesia's National Transportation Safety Committee (NTSC) declined to comment. The agency will submit its preliminary report to the International Civil Aviation Organization later this week, but said on Tuesday it would not include an analysis of the data from the black boxes.

AirAsia, referring to the jet by its 5-letter registration, said it could not comment on the aircraft or the investigation.

"We are unable to comment on technical matters related to PK-AXC at this time as we would like to avoid adding to speculation while the investigation by the NTSC is still ongoing," an AirAsia spokeswoman said by email.

In October, airlines were given four years to upgrade FACs on A320 jets at the next repair after a design review. An emergency European safety directive in December instructed crew how to disable computerized flight protections themselves but only in extremely rare circumstances.

There is no indication Airbus or regulators have identified anything that would raise wider concerns about the safety of the 6,100 A320-family aircraft in operation.

Under aviation rules, Airbus must notify operators worldwide if it discovers anything that could affect the safety of the whole fleet and it has not so far done so.

But investigators will want to examine what caused the plane to slip out of its usual safely cocooned flying mode, how it entered a stall and what actions the crew took in response.

Some pilot unions, including those at Air France after an A330 jet crashed in the Atlantic in 2009, have argued in the past that Airbus systems are so complex that pilots can be overwhelmed when things go wrong. The jetmaker denies this.

The post AirAsia Probe Vets Possible Computer Glitch, Crew Response appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

Students in Irrawaddy Prepare to Join Education Protests

Posted: 27 Jan 2015 04:00 PM PST

Students protest the National Education Law in Rangoon on Nov. 17, 2014. (Photo: Sai Zaw / The Irrawaddy)

Students protest the National Education Law in Rangoon on Nov. 17, 2014. (Photo: Sai Zaw / The Irrawaddy)

Amid a tense standoff between authorities and a crowd of people demonstrating against Burma's new National Education Bill, a students' group in Irrawaddy Division has announced that it will show solidarity by setting off on a separate march to Rangoon.

Organizers told The Irrawaddy that three columns of university students will set out from Pathein, Maubin and Hinthada townships in Irrawaddy Division on Jan. 30, later converging on the road into Rangoon.

Aung Aung Kyaw, a coordinator and former member of the All Burma Federation of Students' Unions (ABFSU), said that preparatory meetings are underway and he is expecting a large turnout.

"We are preparing to leave Pathein on the 30th of this month, and then we'll march to Rangoon," he said, adding that students and teachers will be joined by about 105 other participants carrying the red fighting peacock flags that have become symbolic of the movement.

State media reported on Tuesday that some students currently marching from Mandalay to Rangoon may face charges for violating the State Flag Law after hoisting the pennant at Myingyan College on Monday afternoon.

The Mandalay marchers, who took to road one week ago, encountered push-back from police as they approached Taung Tha in central Burma. About 100 police greeted the demonstrators with riot gear and two fire engines, but they were eventually allowed to pass the barricade and enter the town.

Their Irrawaddy counterparts said that they had not faced pressure from local authorities over their planned activities, but they are prepared to stage a sit-in if they are intercepted and blocked.

"We're mobilizing students across Irrawaddy Division now and networking among the groups," said organizer Kyaw Nanda. "So far, authorities have not stopped our activities."

His collaborator Aung Aung Kyaw added that the group "would stage a sit-in along the way if the government stopped our march."

Police in Pathein told The Irrawaddy they are aware that the march is being planned but that organizers have not yet sought permission.

The march will be attended by university students from Pathein, Kangyidaung, Myaungmya, Labutta, Kyonepyaw and Yeykyi. Delegates from the Moulemein, Dawei and Arakan state chapters of the ABFSU will also attend.

The Irrawaddy student protests will be the latest in a string of demonstrations against the new National Education Law, demanding that it be amended to allow for decentralized control, the establishment of independent student unions, increased education spending and inclusive consultations about education reform.

The post Students in Irrawaddy Prepare to Join Education Protests appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

National News

National News


Military proposes 5.5pc budget increase for soldier pay rises

Posted: 27 Jan 2015 10:34 PM PST

The military has sought approval for a 5.5 percent budget increase in 2015-16, with the additional K137 billion to be used to raise soldiers' wages in line with a salary increase for civil servants.

No end yet to Setse beach land dispute

Posted: 27 Jan 2015 07:47 PM PST

Low-ranking local officials are defying a decision made by Mon State's chief minister to restore land confiscated more than 30 years ago, residents say.

Tatmadaw frees more child soldiers

Posted: 27 Jan 2015 07:46 PM PST

Myanmar's military freed more than 400 child soldiers last year, the United Nations has confirmed, a record number since the Tatmadaw signed a 2012 pact with the UN on the issue.

Govt, NGOs gear up for battle at Human Rights Council

Posted: 27 Jan 2015 07:46 PM PST

The battle lines are being drawn over Myanmar's human rights record ahead of a four-yearly United Nations review later in 2015.

Scholarship winner headed to Australia

Posted: 27 Jan 2015 07:45 PM PST

A local medical student is set to begin post-graduate studies in Perth, Australia, next month after being chosen as the inaugural recipient of a new scholarship for Myanmar students by mining giant Woodside.

The bell tolls for a new search team

Posted: 27 Jan 2015 07:43 PM PST

Four months after the latest search for the fabled Dhammazedi Bell resulted in claims of discovery, revelations of failure and accusations of fundraising fraud, a new team is having a go at the nation's favourite treasure-hunt.

Student march passes police block

Posted: 27 Jan 2015 07:41 PM PST

Myanmar police briefly blocked the path of a major student protest march in a remote central region on January 27 as the government said it wanted to prevent "instability".

Ancient silver pieces found in Mon State

Posted: 27 Jan 2015 07:40 PM PST

Renovations are usually a money pit, but for one homeowner in Mon State they've turned up a valuable find.

Nay Pyi Taw Council to build more staff housing

Posted: 27 Jan 2015 07:39 PM PST

Nay Pyi Taw Council is to spend K20 billion (US$19.5 million) on housing for its staff, says council member U Kan Chun. The funds were not included in the original budget estimates for financial 2015-2016, but will come from a capital expenditure grant from the Union Financial Commission.

NLD publication to relaunch as weekly paper amid circulation woes

Posted: 27 Jan 2015 07:32 PM PST

Apparently gearing up for the general election later this year, the National League for Democracy will relaunch its party publication, D.Wave, in a bid to address declining circulation.

Shan Herald Agency for News

Shan Herald Agency for News


NATIONWIDE CEASEFIRE AGREEMENT: Another hope for a breakthrough or replay of the 5th January meeting?

Posted: 27 Jan 2015 07:35 PM PST

Once again, a new ad hoc meeting between the President and the Ethnic Armed Groups (EAOs), supposed to be held on Union Day, the 12th of February, is making headlines, leaving many to speculate, if this will produce the much needed trust and understanding, leading to the signing of Nationwide Ceasefire Agreement (NCA).

According to the RFA report , on 26 January, Khun Okker, one of the leaders of a coalition of more than a dozen armed ethnic rebel groups, known as Nationwide Ceasefire Coordinating Team (NCCT), said on Monday that a "top-level" meeting with the government on the country's Union Day next month could pave the way for a nationwide cease-fire agreement in March, though a peace deal would not be signed at the talks.

Khun Okker  confirmed that he had received an invitation to attend a February 12 Union Day meeting from President Thein Sein and that "all ethnic leaders" were likely to attend.

Furthermore, RFA Myanmar Section reported that he is optimistic that the meeting of top level decision-makers from both sides could usher in a new working atmosphere, leading to the signing of the NCA in March, if a concrete promise to build a federal union is forthcoming.

"This is a top level meeting with decision-capable leaders and if there is something concrete at the top level, it's much easier to work at the lower levels, so the signing could come faster," the NCCT chairman said.

"The signing might come in March—that would be the earliest, but we hope to get a promise … to build a federal union."

A similar meeting with some of the EAOs' member, excluding Kachin Independence Organization/Army (KIO/KIA), Karenni National Progressive Party (KNPP), Chin National Front (CNF) and Ta-ang National Liberation Front (TNLA), on the heel's of Independence Day celebration, on 5 January, was held, without any positive outcome. Many view it as a public relation stunt of the President, without substance or political accommodation to end the conflict earnestly. Some said that it was just an exchange of views, where EAOs' members were given a few minutes time to air their grievances.

A translated article, written by Si Thu Aung Myint, a well known political analyst, in Myanmar Times, on 26 January, pinpointed the fact that President Thein Sein is not keen to amend the constitution, even though he might seem like one, given his repeated promise to build a federal union, in many of his speeches, according to the desire of the non-Burman ethnic peoples.

In a meeting, on 12 January, where 48-person meeting was conducted, the president in his opening speech said, "I always say that the constitution must be amended if the circumstances dictate it. I believe we have to amend the constitution to build a federal union that ethnic minorities have continuously demanded and continue the implementation of the democratic transition."

"But [amending the constitution] should be done based on the outcome of political dialogue that will be held as part of the current peacemaking process, as well as in accord with legal procedures stated in the 2008 constitution," he said.

"Trying to change the constitution without legal procedures tends to overwhelm the rule of law so we have to amend the constitution in accord with provisions in the constitution."

The article concluded that the President has no desire to change the constitution before the 2015 elections and that he wants to conduct the elections under the unchanged 2008 constitution.

In clear text, Thein Sein demands of adherence to the 2008 Constitution, which in effect means to postpone for some times if not give up the constitutional amendment as envisioned by the ethnic and democratic camps, leading to genuine federalism way of governance. In other words, changing a little here and there according to the liking of USDP-Military regime, as a token, would be acceptable, but no drastic overhaul or rewriting, which will jeopardize the military hold on its power monopoly.

Thein Sein knows pretty well that changing the constitution according to the 2008 Constitutional procedure is almost impossible, given that the military has 25% votes, for without the military consent nothing can be amended.

No wonder, UN Special Rapporteur's report, distributed or transmitted to the UN members, by the Secretary General, at UNGA sixty-nineth secession, on 23 September writes:

The current Constitution of Myanmar was adopted following a referendum in 2008. Its adoption was widely criticized for being fundamentally flawed, in terms of both substance and process. Current attempts at constitutional reform present opportunities to address some of these criticisms. It is notable that one of the key priorities reportedly identified from various consultation exercises on this issue was a change to the currently onerous procedure for amending the Constitution.

Article 436 provides for the manner in which proposed amendments to the Constitution are to be approved. One study has pointed out that no other constitution in the world has an amendment procedure that requires the approval of more than 75 per cent of the members of both parliamentary chambers or allows for the military to have veto power over constitutional amendments.

True, Thein Sein has opened the door of reform process and have done quite a number of positive things for the country; partial freedom of press, if not absolute press freedom, release of political prisoners, launching the peace process and so on, among others. But the main obstacle of overcoming the "constitutional crisis" remains and he seems not to be fully or wholeheartedly committed to the cause, if what he has been doing could be seen as indicators.

"It takes many good deeds to build a good reputation, and only one bad one to lose it," said Benjamin Franklin, hundreds of years ago.

Thein Sein fits into this saying for all his reputation as a good-hearted reformer goes down the drain, when he demands for adherence of the very constitution, which people are demanding to change or rewrite it so that their aspirations will be met, despite empty promises to amend it according the people's desire.

As for Commander-in-Chief Min Aung Hlaing, he has time and again made it clear that he will defend the constitution with his life and the latest interview he has given made it clear that the army will retain its 25% unelected seats within the parliament, for Burma still needs the army to guide the young democracy.
In an exclusive interview with Channel NewsAsia, on 20 January, Commander-in-Chief Min Aung Hlaing said the military needs to be in Parliament because the country is still a young democracy.

The current Constitution mandates a 25 percent military representation in Parliament. Military officers occupy one quarter of the elected seats in Parliament. But under the Constitution, they are appointed and not elected by the people.

Citizens are calling for that clause, known as section 436, to be amended. The military chief however is reluctant to do so at this stage of Myanmar's transition.

Senior General Min Aung Hlaing said: "It's been only about four years. We are still a young democracy. When we are moving towards a multi-party democratic system it needs to be a strong system. The military representatives in Parliament only give advice in the legislative process. They can never make decisions."

For now, the ongoing running battles with the KIA in Kachin and Shan states, the Burma Army's refusal to tackle, or even talk about, the bombardment  of Laiza Cadet training school, where 23 of the resistance armies cadets met their death, including more than 20 wounded; and the recent rape and killing of the two female Kachin teachers in Shan State by the Burma Army, which are met with national uproar, are in no way conducive to help achieve the much wanted NCA.

Such being the case, one wonders what really could Thein Sein achieve, inviting EAOs to the party on Union Day,  given his reluctant attitude to amend the constitution and outright opposition of the Commander-in-Chief Min Aung Hlaing to alter it in anyway. If there is to be a breakthrough, the August 2014 draft Single Text Agreement would have to be revitalized; even better, if a concrete commitment of building a federal union is emphasized to make it clear that the people's desire will be heeded, without any reservation.

It is high time now that the President makes a bold move to end the decades old ethnic conflict and bring back peace and harmony to the country, once and for all.

The contributor is ex-General Secretary of the dormant Shan Democratic Union (SDU) — Editor

UNFC leader: Call for signing on federalism made

Posted: 27 Jan 2015 07:31 PM PST

Gen N.Ban La, Chairman of the 12 armed organization alliance, the United Nationalities Federal Council (UNFC), said on Sunday, 25 January, a proposal has been presented to President Thein Sein to host a ceremony for the signing of an agreement on federalism.



"If it is agreed then I'm ready to sign it as the chairman of the UNFC," he said.

He explained that his proposition was made in reference to the President's monthly radio address on 2 December when he reported: "A firm political agreement on forming a federal union, which is vital to the peace process, has been reached."

The proposal followed media reports saying the Nationwide Ceasefire Accord (NCA) that has been negotiated since 2013 between the government's Union Peacemaking Work Committee (UPWC) and the armed organizations' Nationwide Ceasefire Coordination Team (NCCT), would not be signed on 12 February, the 68th anniversary of the historic Panglong Agreement as expected earlier.

"The UNFC represents not only the 12 member organizations that are members in the NCCT but also the other 4 that are its confederates," he added. "The RCSS/SSA (Restoration Council of Shan State/Shan State Army) is the only non-confederate."

He warned that failure to achieve progress could place the peace process at risk. "I fear we may be forced to reconsider the role of the NCCT if our proposal fails to receive consideration from the government," he said.

Details of the proposal were not disclosed.

The UNFC leader made a visit to RCSS/SSA headquarters on 19 January when he made the proposal to hold a summit of all leaders in the near future. The RCSS/SSA leader Sao Yawdserk had heartily agreed to that, according to him.

Tuesday, January 27, 2015

The Irrawaddy Magazine

The Irrawaddy Magazine


After Tense Standoff, Student Protesters Allowed Passage Through Taung Tha

Posted: 27 Jan 2015 05:49 AM PST

Student demonstrators marching to Taung Tha on Tuesday. (Photo: JPaing / The Irrawaddy)

Student demonstrators marching to Taung Tha on Tuesday. (Photo: JPaing / The Irrawaddy)

TAUNG THA, Mandalay Division — A government minister will meet with student demonstrators marching from Mandalay to Rangoon to protest the National Education Law, according to a student leader.

Nanda Sint Aung told The Irrawaddy that Wednesday's meeting plans with Aung Min, a Minister of the President's Office and chair of the Myanmar Peace Center, resulted from negotiations between authorities in Taung Tha and the demonstrators, who had earlier encountered a police blockade at the entrance to the township.

"We have planned a meeting with U Aung Min in Naypyidaw tomorrow at 9am," Nanda Sint Aung said on Tuesday evening. "We will discuss our 11-point request with him. You could say it may in fact be a preliminary meeting for the four-party talks we have also demanded."

Tensions rose earlier in the day near Taung Tha Township when about 100 policemen took up positions to block some 500 students from continuing their march between Mandalay and Rangoon from Myingyan Township on Tuesday.

The demonstrators were allowed passage through Taung Tha Township on Tuesday evening after negotiations with local authorities. A local official told The Irrawaddy that the students were allowed to proceed after an official order from Ye Myint, the Chief Minister of Mandalay Division.

"We thanked authorities for letting us pass through Taung Tha. We are just peaceful demonstrators asking for our rights," said one of the protesters.

During the standoff, crowds of supporters had travelled from Myingyan and surrounding villages to bolster the ranks of the demonstrators. Once news spread that the last police barricade to the township's entrance had been lifted, the demonstrators' numbers were swelled by hundreds of local supporters. The tense atmosphere eased as people poured into the streets to greet protesters, and fellow students from the neighboring towns of Yenanchaung and Kyaukpadaung came to show solidarity with the marchers.

"We were really worried for them when we heard about a possible confrontation with the police this morning," said one Taung Tha resident who was waiting for the students. "Now I'm glad to hear that they have settled things."

The students will spend the evening at Taung Tha before resuming their journey on Wednesday morning.

The post After Tense Standoff, Student Protesters Allowed Passage Through Taung Tha appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

Journalists Lament Lack of Access Despite Military Pledge

Posted: 27 Jan 2015 05:39 AM PST

Snr-Gen Min Aung Hlaing holds a meeting with members of Burma's Interim Press Council in Naypyidaw in October. (Photo: Interim Press Council)

Snr-Gen Min Aung Hlaing holds a meeting with members of Burma's Interim Press Council in Naypyidaw in October. (Photo: Interim Press Council)

RANGOON — More than three months since the Burma Army vowed to make itself more available to members of the media, journalists are expressing frustration that the promise remains unfulfilled to date.

Following a mid-October meeting between Burma Army commander in chief Snr-Gen Min Aung Hlaing and members of the Interim Press Council, three generals were named to serve as press liaisons. Contact information for the three men was never provided, however, and at a second meeting in November, the Press Council was told that the Defense Ministry's Department of Public Relations and Psychological Warfare would instead be tasked with handling media relations.

An email address to which journalists could direct inquiries would be set up, the military said, though no address has yet been made public.

In the absence of a Burma Army spokesperson, the Press Council has been collecting contact information from private media outlets with the aim of creating a mailing list to which the Burma Army can send official statements.

"We haven't got any contacts [from the military] yet," said Thiha Saw, a Press Council spokesman. "According to a decision made at the last meeting, they will give us information on their terms. It's one-sided; we can't question them back. When we asked for an email contact, they said they are not ready yet.

"We would like an official department that would release official statements—a place that we could reach out to when something happens so that they can respond," Thiha Saw added.

The last year has seen modest but nonetheless unprecedented military engagement with Burma's fledgling press corps, including a first-ever press conference held by Min Aung Hlaing and official responses to two tragedies in which the Burma Army was implicated.

The Burma Army used the Press Council to disseminate three statements related to two incidents: the October death of the journalist Par Gyi while in military custody, and the deadly shelling of a Kachin Independence Army (KIA) post on Nov. 19.

But critics have pointed out that the Par Gyi communique came 19 days after he was killed. In the Kachin incident, the Burma Army provided a response one day later.

The military has thus far been silent in the wake of the killing of two Kachin schoolteachers last week, amid allegations of Burma Army involvement.

"It's not that we cannot contact them at all," Thiha Saw said. "There are some who will talk informally. … It's irritating for us but there's nothing we can do."

Burmese writer and editor Ma Thida (San Chaung) said the military's approach to media relations lacked transparency and reflected a propagandistic mindset.

"Without making contact directly, but instead through a particular group … that access to information is not equal. … We are in a situation where we can only report the news they provide," said Ma Thida, cofounder of PEN Myanmar, the local chapter of an international writers advocacy group.

In the case of the slain journalist Par Gyi, the private interests of the Press Council's general secretary Kyaw Min Swe benefited from the military's preferred means of communicating to the media: The editor-in-chief of The Voice, a popular daily, broke the news of Par Gyi's death in his Burmese-language publication the day after members of the Press Council received the information from an unnamed Burma Army source.

Ma Thida said the military should make multiple levels of its personnel available for press inquiries, rather than directing all inquiries to only a few designated liaisons.

"For example, what is happening now in Kachin [State]: The voices from officers on the ground are not reachable," she said.

"What they are doing right now doesn't seem like they are trying to get in touch with media, but instead are propagandizing through the Press Council."

Shwe Hmone, a senior reporter from the Union Journal, said most of her outlet's military-related reporting was suffering from the dearth of official access.

"Until we can get direct contact with the military, our reporting will never be OK," she said. "In our opinion, there should be a military department that can answer our questions, a phone that will be on 24-hour standby. Only then can we report both sides of a story in a timely way."

The post Journalists Lament Lack of Access Despite Military Pledge appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

Mandalay Division Authorities Lift Blockade on Student March

Posted: 27 Jan 2015 03:12 AM PST

Student leaders negotiate with local authorities near Nan Myint village to gain passage through Mandalay's Taung Tha Township on Tuesday afternoon. (Photo: JPaing / The Irrawadddy)

Student leaders negotiate with local authorities near Nan Myint village to gain passage through Mandalay's Taung Tha Township on Tuesday afternoon. (Photo: JPaing / The Irrawadddy)

Some 500 of students marching from Mandalay to Rangoon were allowed to pass through southwestern Mandalay Division's Taung Tha Township on Tuesday evening after they held negotiations with local authorities. A local official told The Irrawaddy that the students were allowed to march on upon the order from Mandalay's Chief Minister Ye Myint.

Tensions rose earlier in the day when about 100 policemen took up positions to block students, who are protesting against the National Education Law, from resuming their march between Mandalay and Rangoon from Myingyan Township this morning.

Taung Tha is infamous as the stronghold of Aung Thaung, a senior leader from the ruling Union Solidarity and Development Party, and many of the villages in the area are strong supporters of the party.

The post Mandalay Division Authorities Lift Blockade on Student March appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

Army Reportedly Offers Money to Families of Murdered Teachers

Posted: 27 Jan 2015 03:04 AM PST

Kachin Baptist Convention members and residents of Myitkyina, Kachin State, carry the coffins of the two murder schoolteachers on Jan. 22. (Photo: KBC/Facebook)

Kachin Baptist Convention members and residents of Myitkyina, Kachin State, carry the coffins of the two murder schoolteachers on Jan. 22. (Photo: KBC/Facebook)

RANGOON — Burma Army officers in northern Shan State offered money to the families of two ethnic Kachin schoolteachers who were found murdered near the border town of Muse last week, a member of a Christian Kachin organization has said.

Tu Jha, a leader of the Kachin Baptist Convention (KBC) in Kutkai Township, said two army officers from Light Infantry Battalion 503 met with family members of the victims during a prayer ceremony held on Monday at Kaung Kha village, where the young women were killed.

"They were sitting with us at the ceremony for the whole time yesterday. One was tactical commander Tun Naing Oo and another is his junior officer. They told us they were sad about the deaths of the victims and showed support to the families," he said. "They told the families that they wanted to help and offered money, but the families refused to take it."

Tu Jha said the families would leave the decision on whether to accept the money up to KBC, for which the two teachers had been volunteering.

Some 2,000 people attended the ceremony on Monday for Maram Lu Ra and Tangbau Hkawn Nan Tsin, both 20 years old, who were killed on Jan. 19. Their bodies were found in their shared dormitory in Kaung Kha village, on Jan. 20. They were buried on Thursday in Myitkyina, the Kachin State capital, after an autopsy was carried out at Muse Hospital.

Sources inside the hospital told The Irrawaddy last week that doctors had determined both victims were raped. The autopsy report has yet to be made public.

A Kachin community leader from Kutkai Township, who declined to be named, said he had seen the officers offer the families "a pack of money" worth several thousand dollars. Family members confirmed with BBC Burmese earlier on Tuesday that the military had offered them money.

He said he heard that local army commanders had initially pressured the local community into keeping silent about the case, but this changed after the army's Northern Command ordered local officers to investigate the possible involvement of soldiers.

KBC sources have said that authorities were investigating the case under Section 302 and Section 376 of Burma's penal code, covering murder and rape, respectively.

Locals and Kachin activists have alleged that the murders coincided with an increased Burma Army troop presence in the area, fueling speculation that a soldier or soldiers were behind the crime.

The grisly murders have caused a public outcry and raised tensions between Kachin ethnic communities and the army, which has long been accused of carrying out abuses and sexual violence against minority communities.

Shan State police have said they are investigating the case and found hair samples at the crime scene that they were DNA testing for a match with 20 soldiers stationed in the area at the time of the murder.

Aung Nang, a Kaung Kha village leader, said a special investigation team arrived in the area on Tuesday and had questioned ten villagers, including elders and youths, while also questioning 20 soldiers from Light Infantry Battalion 503.

The Burma Amy has no known spokespersons and could not be reached for comment.

The post Army Reportedly Offers Money to Families of Murdered Teachers appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

Explosion Injures Two in Hpakant

Posted: 27 Jan 2015 02:56 AM PST

Hpakant bomb

A view of the jade mining district in Hpakant Township, Kachin State. (Photo: Saw Yan Naing / The Irrawaddy)

Tensions remain high in Kachin State's Hpakant Township after a bomb exploded in the town on Monday, injuring two people, according to local sources.

The explosion occurred outside the Jade City Hotel, a well-known hotel in the downtown area of Hpakant, located near a military base of the Burma Army's Light Infantry Division (LID) 66.

Shwe Thein, head of the Hpakant branch office of the National League for Democracy (NLD), told The Irrawaddy on Tuesday that local residents are living in fear following the blast on Monday evening.

"The bomb went off around 6 pm," he said. "It injured two people but no one died. Burma Army [soldiers] and police were deployed in the town. They formed an emergency checkpoint at the entrance to Hpakant town and searched everyone who entered."

Recent fighting between government troops and the Kachin Independence Army (KIA) that broke out in the township on Jan. 15 forced up to 2,000 people to flee their homes, with many taking shelter in local churches.

Local residents are fearful that renewed fighting could erupt at any time. "We have to be on alert since the fighting broke out in Hpakant [on Jan. 15]. We live in worry," Shwe Thein said.

The NLD official added that mining companies involved in the region's lucrative jade industry were continuing to operate despite the instability, with Burma Army troops and police providing security.

Reverend Lama Yaw of the Kachin Baptist Convention (KBC) told The Irrawaddy that the two men injured in Monday's explosion were father and son.

"The bomb hit an old man and his son. We don't know who is behind the explosion. But we also don't think it will be disclosed," Lama Yaw said.

On Jan. 15, a drive-by bombing involving an unknown motorcyclist at a police station in Lone Kin village, Hpakant Township, injured four family members of a police officer.

Local relief groups continue to voice concern for hundreds of villagers displaced in Hpakant with limited access to food, water and medical supplies. Some local sources have accused the military of using trapped villagers as human shields and forcibly conscripting some men into the Burma Army.

"We heard some 80 villagers, all men, were forced to go with Burma Army troops when they attacked the KIA recently," Zua Naw of Tat Kaung Church in Myitkyina told The Irrawaddy on Tuesday.

Fresh fighting between Burma Army troops and allied forces of the KIA and the Ta'ang National Liberation Army (TNLA) also occurred in northern Shan State's Namkham and Kutkai townships over the past few days, according to rebel sources.

TNLA spokesperson Mai Aie Kyaw confirmed to The Irrawaddy that fighting had broken out on Sunday and continued sporadically until noon on Tuesday.

Mai Aie Kyaw said government troops attacked TNLA forces when the latter group attempted to destroy a poppy plantation in an area of Namkham Township controlled by the Pansay militia, an influential local militia led by Kyaw Myint, a state-level parliamentarian from the ruling Union Solidarity and Development Party (USDP).

According to the TNLA's information department, fighting in Namkham Township on Tuesday began around 8 am between TNLA Battalion 478 and Burma Army units from LID 88. No causalities have yet been reported.

The KIA and the TNLA are the only two major ethnic armed groups that have not signed ceasefire agreements with the Burmese government.

The post Explosion Injures Two in Hpakant appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

“Oh dear, I wish this quiz was multiple choice!”

Posted: 27 Jan 2015 12:14 AM PST

Police Gearing Up for Confrontation with Student Marchers in Taung Tha

Posted: 26 Jan 2015 10:48 PM PST

Security forces block the entrance to Taung Tha on Tuesday morning. (Photo: JPaing / The Irrawaddy)

Security forces block the entrance to Taung Tha on Tuesday morning. (Photo: JPaing / The Irrawaddy)

MYINGYAN, Mandalay Division — Police have taken up positions to block students protesting the National Education Law from resuming their march between Mandalay and Rangoon from Myingyan this morning.

About 100 police officers were deployed on Tuesday morning at the entrance of Taung Tha Township, Mandalay Division, setting the stage for a confrontation with at least 500 marchers who at 9am began the 24-kilometer (15-mile) journey from Myingyan. Some of the officers are in riot gear and two fire engines have been deployed behind barricades.

"We are ordered to come here," a police officer behind the barricade told The Irrawaddy, refusing to elaborate further on the situation.

Typically, only trucks and highway buses are allowed to pass through the entrance into Taung Tha after thorough inspections by police, while private cars and motorcycles are prohibited from travelling through the township.

Since the march began a week ago, students have not encountered any serious obstacles to their 638-kilometer (400-mile) march to Rangoon, apart from verbal warnings that the demonstration was illegal and participants may be subject to prosecutions under Article 19 of the Peaceful Assembly Law.

On Tuesday, state media reported that some students would be charged for violating the State Flag Law, after some of the marchers hoisted the flying peacock flag used by student groups at Myingyan College on Monday afternoon.

Concerns have been circulated amongst the protesters about the potential consequences of routing the march through Taung Tha.

131 kilometers (80 miles) southwest of Mandalay, Taung Tha is infamous as the stronghold of Aung Thaung, a senior leader from the ruling Union Solidarity and Development Party (USDP), who was added to the United States Treasury's economic sanctions list last year for "undermining political and economic reforms." Many of the villages in the area are strong supporters of the USDP.

Aung Thaung has been accused of involvement with Swan Arshin, an organized group of hired thugs widely believed to have been deployed during times of unrest, including the 2003 Depayin massacre, during which National League of Democracy leader Aung San Suu Kyi's convoy was assaulted and dozens of her supporters were killed, and the aftermath of the 2007 Saffron Revolution, which saw a crackdown on thousands of monks. Most recently, Swan Arshin has been accused of involvement in anti-Muslim riots that have rattled the country since mid-2012.

The students are expected to reach the outskirts of Taung Tha early on Tuesday afternoon.

The post Police Gearing Up for Confrontation with Student Marchers in Taung Tha appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

Herder Kills Himself in Inner Mongolia over Land Grab

Posted: 26 Jan 2015 10:24 PM PST

An ethnic Mongol herds a flock of sheep on the grasslands of Right Ujumchin Banner in the northern Chinese region of Inner Mongolia, September 6, 2012. (Photo: Reuters)

An ethnic Mongol herds a flock of sheep on the grasslands of Right Ujumchin Banner in the northern Chinese region of Inner Mongolia, September 6, 2012. (Photo: Reuters)

BEIJING — A herder from northern China's Inner Mongolia who had been protesting the government's occupation of traditional grazing land has hanged himself outside a government building, a relative and an overseas rights group said.

The suicide adds to evidence that tensions are deepening in Inner Mongolia, where minority ethnic Mongolians are demanding better protection of their lands, rights and traditions.

Tumur, 45, from Abag Banner, hanged himself last week outside the Sum Government building gate in protest of the authorities' illegal occupation of his grazing land, the Southern Mongolian Human Rights Information Center (SMHRIC) said in a statement on Monday night.

One of Tumur's relatives, reached by telephone, confirmed his death to Reuters but declined to provide further details.

"A lot of people in the villages, including his relatives, have been warned not to reveal information about this (Tumur's death)," Enghebatu Togochog of SMHRIC told Reuters.

Tumur had been petitioning the local government for years for the return of his grazing land, illegally occupied during an initiative to "help the poor," the SMHRIC said.

The director of the Secretariat of the Xilingol government denied Tumur's suicide. Xilingol administers Abag Banner.

Ethnic Mongolians, who make up less than 20 percent of Inner Mongolia's 24 million population, say their grazing lands have been ruined by mining and desertification and that the government has tried to resettle them in permanent houses.

Inner Mongolia is supposed to enjoy a high degree of self-rule, but Mongolians say the Han Chinese majority has been the main beneficiary of economic development.

Inner Mongolia, which covers more than a 10th of China's land mass and has the country's largest coal reserves, was rocked by protests in 2011 after an ethnic Mongol herder was killed by a truck after taking part in protests against pollution caused by a coal mine.

On Monday, some 300 Mongolian herders protested outside a government building in the capital, Hohhot, calling for authorities to return their land, SMHRIC said.

The post Herder Kills Himself in Inner Mongolia over Land Grab appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

China’s Shadow Looms Large Over Obama Visit to India

Posted: 26 Jan 2015 09:02 PM PST

India's Prime Minister Narendra Modi, left, and US President Barack Obama watch India's Republic Day parade from behind rain streaked bullet proof glass in New Delhi on Jan. 26, 2015. (Photo: Reuters)

India's Prime Minister Narendra Modi, left, and US President Barack Obama watch India's Republic Day parade from behind rain streaked bullet proof glass in New Delhi on Jan. 26, 2015. (Photo: Reuters)

NEW DELHI — As US President Barack Obama and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi met in New Delhi this week, the shadow of a third player hung over the talks: neighboring China, which has complicated relationships with both the United States and India.

To Obama, forging deeper ties with India fits in neatly with his efforts to deepen US influence in countries on China's doorstep. And as the world's largest democracy, India is a particularly attractive partner to the United States as it seeks to cultivate a robust regional counterbalance to communist China.

India and China are ostensibly allies, and Modi warmly welcomed Chinese President Xi Jinping to New Delhi last year. But India is also worried about China's maneuvering in the region—particularly in the Indian Ocean and at the Himalayan border between the two countries—and sees fostering improved relations with the United States as key to bolstering its own defense posture.

"There is a triangular game in play from Delhi's point of view," said Ashley Tellis, a South Asia expert at the Washington-based Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. Modi wants "all of the benefits that come from being seen as working in close collaboration with the United States," including access to American technology, expertise and military cooperation, said Tellis.

The United States and India have each cast Obama's three-day visit to New Delhi as a symbol of their efforts to strengthen a relationship that has been plagued by tension and suspicion. Obama is the first US leader to visit India twice as president, and the first to be honored as the chief guest at India's annual Republic Day parade.

Obama and Modi sat side-by-side Monday in a glass-enclosed viewing box as Indian tanks and rocket launchers rolled by and fighter jets sped across the sky overhead. The president later convened a meeting of US and Indian business executives, a gathering aimed at bolstering economic cooperation between the two countries.

Obama's trip didn't go unnoticed in China, where foreign ministry spokeswoman Hua Chunying said US-India relations "could promote mutual trust and cooperation in the region." But the state-run news agency Xinhua dismissed Obama's visit as "more symbolic than pragmatic, given the long-standing division between the two giants, which may be as huge as the distance between them."

Commentary in China's government-controlled media is frequently used as a means of criticizing or casting doubt on the diplomatic moves of other countries.

When asked about the Chinese take, Obama's deputy national security adviser Ben Rhodes said, "It's notable that they should feel like they have to go out of their way to comment on this visit."

The subtle jab underscored the complexity of the dynamic between the United States and China, the world's two largest economies.

Obama's visit to Beijing in November generated a surprising amount of consensus on a range of issues, including an ambitious agreement on cutting greenhouse gas emissions that the White House hopes will push nations like India toward similar pacts. But Washington has deep concerns about Beijing's actions on such matters as regional territorial disputes, computer hacking and currency manipulation.

India is particularly concerned about China's quiet quest for greater influence in the Indian Ocean, which has long been New Delhi's domain. The tankers that move through the Indian Ocean are critical for India's oil supply, and any significant slowdown in tanker traffic could cripple its economy. India is also concerned about the Chinese troops that regularly move across its unmarked Himalayan border with China.

Rahul Bedi, an analyst for Jane's Information Group, said India's goal within the next two decades is to develop military capabilities that would enable them to take on China.

"India can't do that on its own, so we need somebody like America to hold our hand," Bedi said.

Obama and Modi agreed to extend a 10-year defense pact that the White House said would allow for deeper military-to-military engagement and increase maritime cooperation. Pentagon chief Chuck Hagel said a defense partnership between the United States and India "will help forge security and stability in Asia and across the globe."

Still, regional experts caution that there are limits to how far India, a nation that championed a policy of nonalignment during the Cold War, will go in joining together with the United States to counter China.

"India does not want to seem like it's banding together with the United States or with other countries to go against China," said Michael Kugelman, a South Asia expert at the Wilson Center. Kugelman said that while Modi is moving away from his country's nonalignment policy, "its influence is very strong."

The post China's Shadow Looms Large Over Obama Visit to India appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

Ex-Thai PM’s Party Promises Calm Following Indictment

Posted: 26 Jan 2015 08:54 PM PST

Reporters listen to a member of former ruling Pheu Thai party's legal team on Jan. 23. (Photo: Damir Sagolj / Reuters)

Reporters listen to a member of former ruling Pheu Thai party’s legal team on Jan. 23. (Photo: Damir Sagolj / Reuters)

BANGKOK — Former Thai Prime Minister Yingluck Shinawatra’s Puea Thai Party vowed on Monday it would not retaliate against a five-year political ban imposed on the ousted leader, and a leading party figure said the movement could survive without the powerful family.

In a nearly identical repeat of her billionaire brother’s fall from power, Yingluck last week was banned from politics for five years and indicted on criminal charges over her involvement in a state rice buying scheme that cost Thailand billions of dollars.

Yingluck’s supporters say the charges against her are an attempt to limit the political influence of her brother, ousted former Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra, and weaken his Puea Thai Party.

Anusorn Iamsa-ard, spokesman for the Puea Thai Party, said the decision to ban Yingluck from politics would not be a trigger for unrest.

"We will not use the decision to impeach [former] Prime Minister Yingluck as a trigger to organise political movements, that is not our intention," Anusorn told Reuters.

Thailand remains under martial law following a May coup that the army said was necessary to restore order after months of political unrest in which nearly 30 people died. The law, imposed nationwide, bans all political gatherings.

The ban and the legal case against Yingluck are the latest twist in a decade of turbulent politics that have pitted Yingluck and her brother against the royalist-military establishment that sees the Shinawatras as a threat and reviles their populist policies.

Both led populist governments toppled in coups and were subjected to legal action and street protests by pro-establishment activists.

Thaksin fled Thailand to avoid a 2008 jail term for corruption. He has lived abroad since, but retains a strong influence over Thai politics.

In her first public sighting since she was banned from political office, Yingluck met with Assistant US Secretary of State for East Asia and the Pacific Daniel Russel on Monday.

Russel, the highest-level US official to visit Thailand since the coup, called for a "broader and more inclusive" political process.

"The United States does not take sides in Thai politics. We believe it is for the Thai people to determine the legitimacy of the political and legal processes," Russel told students at Bangkok’s Chulalongkorn University.

"We’re also particularly concerned that the political process doesn’t seem to represent all elements in Thai society."

US State Department spokeswoman Jen Psaki said Russel met with the Thai foreign minister, General Tanasak Patimapragorn, and "underlined that our relationship with Thailand cannot return to normal until democracy is re-established."

"Assistant Secretary Russel highlighted the importance of US-Thai relations, but also made clear that the lifting of martial law, the re-establishment of fundamental freedoms, including the freedoms of assembly and speech, and a transparent and inclusive constitution-drafting process are crucial to re-establishing a stable democracy in Thailand," she said.

Thailand’s military-appointed legislature last week found Yingluck guilty of negligence over her role in a state rice buying scheme that paid farmers far above market prices.

The same day, the attorney general’s office said it would proceed with criminal charges against her for alleged corruption in the rice scheme. If found guilty by the Supreme Court, she could be jailed for up to 10 years.

She is expected to be arraigned in about a month.

Yingluck, who has defended the rice scheme, has vowed to fight the charges.

Chavalit Vichayasut, a former Puea Thai Party lawmaker, said the survival of the party was not dependant on the Shinawatras.

"The work of our party does not depend on a surname or a single family. Anyone can work with us. Any surname will do as long as that person intends to work for the country," he told Reuters. "It doesn’t have to be someone from the Shinawatra family."

The military government has said a general election will be held in 2016.

Thailand has been broadly split along north-south political lines since Thaksin’s ouster by the military in 2006.

On one side is the Bangkok-based royalist-military establishment, which sees Thaksin, a telecommunications billionaire turned prime minister, as a threat. They accuse Thaksin, the first prime minister in Thailand’s history to lead an elected government through a full term in office, of corruption and nepotism.

On the other side are his supporters in the agricultural north and northeast of Thailand, where millions of farmers voted for Yingluck in a 2011 general election.

The post Ex-Thai PM’s Party Promises Calm Following Indictment appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

Burma ‘Not Ready’ for Asean Single Market by End of 2015

Posted: 26 Jan 2015 04:00 PM PST

Leaders of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations shake hands ahead of a plenary session of the 25th Asean Summit in Naypyidaw on Nov. 12, 2014. (Photo: Reuters)

Leaders of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations shake hands ahead of a plenary session of the 25th Asean Summit in Naypyidaw on Nov. 12, 2014. (Photo: Reuters)

The Asean goal of creating a single business market among the regional grouping's 10 member countries is unlikely to happen for some years and certainly not by the target start date of the end of this year, analysts warn.

Burma is one of several countries in the bloc that lacks sufficient infrastructure to benefit from the planned beginning of the Asean Economic Community (AEC), they say.

And the dream of a single, joined-up market with unrestricted movement of labor—similar to the European Union—will be dogged by national self-interest for years to come, it is predicted.

"The short-term benefits of reduced trade and investment barriers for less developed states have perhaps been overplayed," Asia analyst Hugo Brennan at business risk assessors Verisk Maplecroft told The Irrawaddy.

"Even without these barriers, weak infrastructure, endemic corruption and a low-skilled labor force will continue to undermine the business and investment climate in countries such as Myanmar [Burma]."

Burma, Cambodia, Laos and Vietnam will be slower to achieve their targets for trade liberalization than the other more affluent members, said the Wharton business school at the University of Pennsylvania in an assessment on the AEC this month.

The other six Asean members are Brunei, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore and Thailand.

"Moreover, the risk of political instability looms, especially in Thailand and Myanmar," Wharton said.

Meanwhile, the AEC countries are already facing their first and unexpected economic hurdle, Wharton said: sharply falling crude oil prices.

"Lower oil prices will help some Asean oil and gas importers like Thailand, which is the biggest beneficiary in Asia because it is the most dependent on road transport. Lower oil prices hurt Malaysia, a net oil exporter, and Myanmar, which is a net gas exporter."

Most Asean countries will be unable to comply with AEC objectives for more relaxed rules on foreign ownership and freer movement of workers by the end of this year due to domestic political constraints, international law firm Allen & Overy said in its latest quarterly report on business.

"However, international and regional investors are thinking more in terms of this as one region, as evidenced by the increasing numbers of companies establishing regional offices in Asean locations, primarily in Singapore.

"One other noticeable growing trend is the increasing amount of intra-Asean investment from the more developed Asean member states. We are also seeing a trickle of outbound Vietnamese investment, although Vietnam remains primarily an inbound destination, as do Myanmar [Burma] and countries in Indochina."

Allen & Overy said Japanese trading and industrial companies were becoming the most "significant" investors in Asean.

One of Burma's leading businessmen, Serge Pun, spoke on the AEC at the annual World Economic Forum in Davos last week. Protectionist impulses were strong in government and business, but there now seemed to be a determined effort to make the AEC work, he said.

The disparity in development between the 10 member states could be an advantage to an emerging economy such as Burma, which "would welcome the unskilled jobs that more developed Asean members are shedding," Serge Pun said.

Thailand's deputy prime minister, Pridiyathorn Devakula, defied the general opinion at Davos: "Some in the audience may not believe it, but believe me, we will have a single market by the end of the year," he said.

Murray Hiebert, the deputy director of the Sumitro chair for Southeast Asia studies at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) in Washington, told the Wharton study that the liberalization of financial services and freer movement of capital and labor would be slow to develop.

"Some Asean countries are anxious about opening up financial services and capital markets out of fear of financial contagion and exchange rate volatility, even though integration would provide opportunities for risk-sharing," Hiebert said.

A more unified market will eventually lead to a more organized industrial division of labor, some analysts believe. Not all member countries could afford to develop or sustain a car-building industry, for example.

At present Thailand is "Asean's Detroit." But Indonesia is fast catching up in production volume, which leaves little room for emerging players such as Burma to attract major investment in vehicle construction.

Commercial nationalism looks likely to impede full open markets for some time.

"National interest is expected to take precedence over the common goal for the foreseeable future," Brennan told The Irrawaddy. "Indeed, President Jokowi [Joko Widodo] of Indonesia said this explicitly at a recent Asean summit when he told member states that he would not allow economic integration to harm his country's national interest.

"In Indonesia's case, the government is reluctant to liberalize its investment market in some key sectors, for fear that its domestic companies will not be able to compete with those from Asean's more developed economies, particularly Singapore and Malaysia.

"The current gulf that exists between member states, in terms of wealth and economic development, will certainly act as a drag on progress toward creating a single market. It is likely to be years, if not decades, before we see a truly integrated market across Asean," Brennan said.

Burma poses two potential problems for the AEC, said Wharton: Uncertainty following parliamentary elections later this year, and the prospect of more violence between majority Buddhists and the country's minority Muslim Rohingya population.

Hiebert disagreed: "Myanmar [Burma] is still only a minor player in Asean's economy so it is not likely that the election in 2015 will have a major impact on Asean. But Thailand's political instability could have a bigger impact."

In the longer term, the AEC is likely to bring greater cohesion between the member states, but this is "likely to be a long and arduous process," Brennan said.

"What Asean needs more than anything is a powerful supranational body, something akin to the Commission in the European Union, which could compel its disparate and self-interested members to comply with their promises.

"However, the organization's commitment to the principles of non-interference and consensus-building makes this an unlikely prospect," Brennan said.

The post Burma 'Not Ready' for Asean Single Market by End of 2015 appeared first on The Irrawaddy.

National News

National News


Bill proposes change to sections 59(f), 436

Posted: 26 Jan 2015 11:26 PM PST

A constitution amendment bill expected to go before parliament within days will propose amending section 59(f) and section 436 as opposition parties have suggested, according to a member of the committee that drafted the bill.

Youth centre in line for Union Day launch

Posted: 26 Jan 2015 08:45 PM PST

A national youth centre could open as early as Union Day, February 12, the government has announced. Addressing civil society organisations at Myanmar Peace Center last week, Minister for the President's Office U Aung Min said he looked forward to opening the Union Youth Centre as soon as possible.

Cruise tourism hits record highs

Posted: 26 Jan 2015 08:20 PM PST

A surge in the number of ocean cruise liners visiting Myanmar last year has spurred calls for a dedicated terminal where passenger ships could dock.

Myanmar and Ethiopia to establish diplomatic ties

Posted: 26 Jan 2015 07:46 PM PST

The Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia will become the 13th nation to proclaim ties with Myanmar under the U Thein Sein government – and the 116th overall. U Tin Oo Lwin, deputy minister for foreign affairs, made the announcement to the Pyidaungsu Hluttaw on January 22.

Shan Herald Agency for News

Shan Herald Agency for News


Panglong Agreement: Burma’s Magna Carta

Posted: 27 Jan 2015 01:25 AM PST

This year's Union Day is significant, not only because leaders of all non-Burman states including armed movements that have been fighting against successive governments for so long, would be invited to join the ceremony in Naypyitaw, but also it coincides with the 800th anniversary of the Magna Carta ("Great Charter") which falls on 15 June.



Whereas the Magna Carta, which was signed by King John (1167-1216), has been hailed as Democracy's first victory and as the first declaration of human rights in reference to clauses such as:
War tax would be levied only with the general consent of the realm
That no freeman shall be seized or imprisoned

the Panglong Agreement contains firm pledges such as :
Appointment of the representative from Frontier Areas (now known as Border Areas) as minister responsible for the affairs of these areas
"rights and privileges which are regarded as fundamental in democratic countries"
"financial autonomy" (which means self-supporting)

Another similarity is also striking: its sacnosanctity. Statutes and laws conflicting with it are considered ("ruled" in British case) invalid. As in Burma, when the king reneged on the charter, there was rebellion. Only when it was reaffirmed after his death, the rebellion ended, because the rebels no longer possessed a cause to fight for.

This lesson from the British history may be a harsh one but vital especially for those trumpeting the three "sacred" causes: Non-disintegration of the Union, Non-disintegration of National Solidarity and Perpetuation of National Sovereignty. Because nothing can be clearer than the precedent in British history.

Any Burmese leader, present or future, who has vowed to bring peace to this war-torn country must therefore realize that he/she cannot achieve it just by paying lip service to the Panglong Agreement but only by fulfilling the solemn pledges contained in it. Any other way invites only conflict and war.