Monday, October 14, 2013

The Irrawaddy Magazine

The Irrawaddy Magazine


Bomb Blast Hits Traders Hotel in Rangoon

Posted: 14 Oct 2013 01:55 PM PDT

Bombing at Traders Hotel

Rangoon police in front of Traders Hotel following the blast on Monday night. (Photo: Steve Tickner / The Irrawaddy)

RANGOON — At approximately 11:15 on Monday night, a small bomb ripped through a 9th story room at Traders Hotel, one of the nicest hotels in downtown Rangoon.

Max Mezezy of Hong Kong could be heard screaming for help for his wife, saying repeatedly, "Where's the ambulance?"  Both he and his two young sons were unharmed in the blast.  He carried his injured wife, bleeding profusely from wounds in her arms and thighs, out to a waiting van, which brought her to Rangoon General Hospital.  The American family, only in Burma for a brief stay, was supposed to fly back tonight to Hong Kong where they currently live.

According to the police, the bomb was planted in the toilet of room 921.   Although the blast tore apart the bathroom, blew out the room's window, and left ceiling panels hanging, the family's two small sons, aged 5 and 7, don't remember hearing anything, only waking up to see their mom lying on the floor bleeding.

The glass from the window pane was blown out several feet in front of the hotel.

Rangoon police and an army bomb disposal unit arrived within the hour and were carrying out an investigation.  Traders' General Manager Phillip Couvaras delivered what he called a "holding statement" at 2:35 AM, saying that a guest had been taken to the hospital, but "because this is an active police investigation, we cannot comment further at this time."

The victim's condition is currently unknown.

Since Friday, a series of bombs has exploded across Burma.  This is the third explosion in Rangoon since Sunday.  A bomb exploded in Pegu Divison on Friday, killing two people and injuring one.

Burma is gearing up to host the 2013 Southeast Asia Games in early December and was recently appointed the chair of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (Asean) for 2014.

 

The post Bomb Blast Hits Traders Hotel in Rangoon appeared first on The Irrawaddy Magazine.

MRTV Begins Digital TV Broadcasts, Expects to Reach Nationwide Coverage by 2020

Posted: 14 Oct 2013 05:23 AM PDT

 MRTV, public television, digital broadcasting, Myanmar, Burma, Yangon

Tint Swe speaks to The Irrawaddy at MRTV's Rangoon bureau. (Photo: Simon Roughneen / The Irrawaddy)

RANGOON — Myanmar Radio and Television (MRTV), the national TV and radio broadcaster, is implementing a major upgrade of its broadcasting system and will start digital TV broadcasts in the country's three major cities this week, MRTV director general Tint Swe said.

MRTV plans to switch from an analogue to digital broadcasting system that provides nationwide coverage, Tint Swe said, adding that digital TV broadcasts will begin in Rangoon, Naypyidaw and Mandalay on Tuesday.

"We're expecting such a digital system to provide coverage in the whole nation by 2020," he said, adding that MRTV plans to build 77 digital TV broadcasting stations by 2015 and increase this number to 253 stations by 2017.

MRTV will use the Asean-standard Digital Video Broadcasting Terrestrial-2 (DVBT-2), according to Tint Swe, who headed the Press Scrutiny and Registration Department, Burma's censorship department, until August 2012.

Viewers much have a digital TV that has a DVB-T2 or MPEG-4 tuner in order to be able to receive the broadcast, or users can buy a digital receiver, a MPEG-4 set-top box. A digital TV currently cost about US $300 in Burma, while a digital receiver costs about $40.

"Though we're going to change the system from analogue to digital, the analogue users can continue to view as usual the next three years. Until 2016, it's optional for them," Tint Swe said.

The MRTV channels will sell commercial advertisement broadcast time in order to gain revenues, in addition to receiving government funding.

Tint Swe declined to comment on the costs of upgrading the broadcast system, and refused to disclose the name of the company awarded the government contract to build the new broadcasting infrastructure.

MRTV currently has five public television channels, such as the Myanmar International Channel, the Farmers Channel and the recently started National Races Channel, which aims to serve the country's various ethnic minorities.

The military-owned Myawaddy company broadcasts seven television channels, such a news, sports and entertainment channel. Myawaddy's broadcasts will also be made available through MRTV's digital broadcasting system, along with four pay-per-view TV channels of Forever Group.

Forever Group, run by Chief Executive Officer Win Maw, was the first private media company to set up a joint-venture with the Burmese state-run broadcaster in 2005, when MRTV was firmly under control of the military regime.

The Forever Group consortium reportedly had close ties with the junta’s Information Minister Kyaw Hsan, who stepped down from his post in August 2012.

MRTV was set up 1979 and for decades it has been used a propaganda unit by the repressive regime. President Thein Sein's reformist government has lifted numerous restrictions on the media in Burma since assuming office in 2011.

The Ministry of Information is currently drafting a law that would reform MRTV into a public broadcast service media that receives government support to produce informative, independent programs, as is common in many other countries.

The post MRTV Begins Digital TV Broadcasts, Expects to Reach Nationwide Coverage by 2020 appeared first on The Irrawaddy Magazine.

Letpadaung Mine Project Resumes but Fails to Meet Lawmakers’ Requirements

Posted: 14 Oct 2013 05:18 AM PDT

Letpadaung, copper mine, Myanmar, Burma, Aung San Suu Kyi, Sagaing, Wanbao, Union of Myanmar Economic Holdings

Opposition leader Aung San Suu Kyi is seen during her visit to the Letpadaung copper mine in March 2013. (Photo: The Irrawaddy)

MANDALAY — The Letpadaung copper mining project has resumed operations in northwest Burma without meeting requirements set by lawmakers, according to a member of a parliamentary commission that set the requirements.

Khin San Hlaing was part of a commission led by opposition leader Aung San Suu Kyi that investigated the suspended project earlier this year and filed a report with a list of conditions for its resumption. The project restarted earlier this month, but she says it has not met requirements for transparency, specifically in relation to its impact on public health and the environment.

"The mining company is obviously disobeying and going beyond what we suggested in the report by resuming their mining process without proving that they have complied with the report," said the lawmaker, who is part of Suu Kyi's National League for Democracy (NLD) party.

"We have still not heard about the new contract, or whether the process is moving forward with approval for the EIA [environmental impact assessment] and the HIA [health impact assessment]. We keep asking them to present the documents and facts to the public, but they are still silent, which means there is no full transparency. Problems with the farmers will continue unless they work transparently."

She added that requirements have also not been met to compensate farmers for lost land.

The mining project in Sagaing Division—a joint venture between China's Wanbao and a Burmese military-backed company—was suspended in November after a brutal police crackdown on protesters. Suu Kyi's commission investigated the project after the crackdown and recommended that the mining company resume operations only after taking steps to ease the adverse educational, social and environmental effects on local residents.

Under a new contract signed this year, the Burma government took a 51 percent stake in the mining project, while the military-backed Union of Myanmar Economic Holding Ltd (UMEHL) accepted a 30 percent stake and Wanbao a 19 percent stake.

Despite continuing protests, the mining project resumed earlier this month, with a fence being erected around disputed land that bars farmers and their flocks of animals from entering. The fence starts in Tone village and reaches the base of the Leik Kun Mountain, and farmers say it has destroyed over 100 acres of land they were using to grow sesame and other crops.

Earlier this month, hundreds of farmers near the mine site went to a liaison office opened by the parliamentary commission's implementation committee, located at New Hse Tae and Zee Taw village, to urge the mining company not to resume work. They met with the divisional minister for forestry and mining, Than Htike.

Last week, as operations continued despite the complaints, farmers marched out to the disputed land to stop the fencing.

"When we met recently with Minister Than Htike at the liaison office, he assured us that the mining company would not work yet on our land, for which we have not yet received compensation," Win Htay, a farmer from Hse Tae village, said with a cry. "But now the company has initiated a fencing process and our land has been taken. They are liars and they take us as illiterates."

Compensation has been offered to the farmers, but many have refused it.

"We have not taken the compensation because this money will soon be gone, and it will not secure our future," said Daw Nwae, another farmer from Hse Tae. "They said they would give us jobs at the project, but how can we depend on that low salary? We surely will not receive a high-ranking job, but rather very basic work that we are unfamiliar with. We know nothing apart from planting crops."

She added, "If compensation has changed someone's life, why don't they show that person as an example? It [compensation] is just a PR attempt by the mining company."

Khin San Hlaing of the parliamentary commission said authorities were concerned about the refusal of some farmers to accept compensation.

"There are a lot of questions about why these farmers are not taking compensation," she said. "The mining company and the authorities need to think about providing long-term assurances for the livelihoods of farmers who lost the land which they have worked on for generations.

"Since there's no transparency from the mining companies and the authorities, plans for the livelihoods of farmers are still unknown. As they have not been assured, the farmers refused to take the compensation. If the mining company really understood and really cared about the lives of the locals and the farmers, they would not move forward like this."

The post Letpadaung Mine Project Resumes but Fails to Meet Lawmakers' Requirements appeared first on The Irrawaddy Magazine.

Ready or Not, the Tourists Are Coming

Posted: 14 Oct 2013 03:45 AM PDT

tourism, Myanmar, Burma, Bagan, Yangon, Ministry of Hotels and Tourism, Inle Lake, Naypyitaw, Union of Myanmar Travel Association

Foreign tourists sightsee at Shwe Indein Pagoda near Shan State's Inle Lake. (Photo: JPaing / The Irrawaddy)

YANGON — "Right here," says U Aye Kyaw, pointing to the floor of his office in downtown Yangon, where two Scandinavian tourists had to sleep after they were unable to find proper accommodation.

That was last year, when a record one million foreign arrivals put unprecedented strain on Myanmar's underdeveloped tourism infrastructure.

The upsurge then of visitors keen to experience the country's largely unseen attractions came with an awkward spotlight on its lack of hotel rooms, dilapidated transport systems and even the quality of its food. This year officials are hoping for 1.8 million visitors, and tourism services and infrastructure are still struggling to handle the potential windfall.

For some sectors, such as hotels, times have never been so good. "They are getting a golden egg every day," says U Aye Kyaw of Rubyland Tourism Services in Yangon, referring to the high occupancy and steep room rates enjoyed by accommodation providers.

It's better days for tour guides, too, as long as they don't mind a grueling work schedule.

"I was on the job every single day from November to February last year," said Yangon-based U Zaw Lynn, a 15-year veteran in the high-end tourism business who expects to put in the same hectic hours this high season.

"I was like a zombie," says 24-year-old freelancer Ko Aung Soe Lin, describing his condition after working a similarly frantic schedule last year as a first-time guide.

Daily rates for top guides have increased from around US$25 a couple of years ago to between $40 and $50 now, says U Zaw Lynn. In mid-September, the Myanmar Tour Guide Association proposed that guides should be paid at least $35 a day.

To hold on to guides, some tour operators in Yangon are offering staff positions to star freelance performers, at around $1,500 a month. One of the country's largest operators, Tour Mandalay, is also offering permanent contracts, according to product manager Marek Lenarcik.

Top guides in Myanmar are often, above all, skilled diplomats and problem solvers.

"When a car breaks down, or when a flight is delayed, when people get sick, or when there are issues of misinterpretation between tourists and locals—you have to know how to fix all these issues fast," said U Zaw Lynn.

The guide shortage means companies are also considering hiring unaccredited persons who can offer special skills, such as languages.

"There are people without the license but who are as good as the [accredited] guides. If they do have this kind of quality, and they do have these skills, I am happy to work with them," says Ma Dar Le Khin, director of 7Days Travel & Tour, adding that the company had not yet made a final decision on such hires.

The Ministry of Hotels and Tourism, which is responsible for accrediting tour guides, said it has added 184 certified guides since 2011, bringing the total to 3,344 as of August.

Tour operators are also hiring other staff. At Unique Asia Ticketing and Tour, an original workforce of eight has increased to 30, according to executive director U Lynn Zaw Wai Mang. Tour Mandalay employs more than 150 people, of whom about a quarter were hired in the last two years.

The tourism industry may see its greatest moment—and its biggest challenge—in mid-December, when the Southeast Asian Games will be hosted by Myanmar at the same time that the tourism high season is peaking.

Thousands of athletes, training staff, government delegations and fans are expected to descend on Naypyitaw, Yangon, Mandalay and Ngwe Saung beach from Dec. 11-22 for the biannual competition.

The website Oway.com.mm has been working with the Ministry of Hotels and Tourism to offer online tour package booking for visitors to the Games.

Oway founder U Nay Aung was quick to spot the market potential of online bookings for everything from hotels and airlines to tour operators and car rental agencies.

"My goal is to take positions that have potential for very fast growth," said the entrepreneur who spent 16 years overseas before returning to his home country in 2011. "The travel industry, in its current form, is very poorly served."

The rise in online bookings from abroad may leave less room for traditional operators, who can find themselves dealing with "leftovers" such as providing local transport, where fuel and driver costs mean there's little room for profit.

"One operator told me he made between $100 and $200 total, providing local transport to a tour group," said U Zaw Lynn. "He joked that it was better to be a guide than an owner—you'd make more money."

The Missing Middle

Like the economy as a whole, the tourism industry is still largely catering to the high and low ends of the market, with limited space for those at the middle level.

High-end tourists can afford the top hotels, luxury private transport, the most experienced guides and the best food. Backpackers arrive with few expectations by way of conditions.

The middle market—travelers who hope to pay reasonable prices for reasonable services—are still challenged on everything from room rates to reliable transport to what to eat.

"Food is still a big issue here," said U Zaw Lynn, referring to quality, hygiene and price. "Small restaurant fare and street food is not comparable to, say, Thailand, where you can get a decent, healthy meal for as little as a dollar. Here, a basic meal will cost more than that. And your evening curry may have been cooked in the morning, or even the day before.

"It's a bit of a worry for us, food. We recommend good restaurants that are known to us. But if clients want to try other places, we give them the full information on the situation."

The biggest industry challenge this year is still room shortages. For U Aye Kyaw of Rubyland, this could be ameliorated relatively quickly if the government would allow homestays, which are technically illegal under current law—a situation that looks unlikely to change anytime soon.

High-end hotels in Yangon like Traders, the Park Royal and Chatrium have reconverted former hotel rooms that they had turned into office space when occupancy rates were low.

As other international hotel chains embark on new projects, just under a thousand new international-standard hotel rooms are expected to be ready in Yangon by the end of the year, according to property firm Jones Lang Lasalle.

Nationwide, the Ministry of Hotels and Tourism says there are 859 licensed hotels and guest houses, offering more than 31,000 rooms. That is up from 731 licenses in 2011, with about 28,000 rooms.

Enterprising newcomers are also entering what for the moment is an attractive hotels market.

Ko Ye Man Thu, a 25-year-old Yangon resident, will this month open the 28-room Grand Empire Blazing Hotel in Bagan, where last year some hapless tourists who couldn't find rooms slept in local monasteries and even in cemetery grounds.

"I think I can help the tourism industry," he said in September as hammers pounded and electric drills whirred at his unfolding hotel site.

Here Come the 'Happy Police'

One innovation set for this year is a 175-person strong tourist police force charged with servicing visitors at tourism hotspots including Yangon, Mandalay and Bagan.

Mark Wilson, an American colonel with 40 years of law enforcement experience, most recently in training police in Afghanistan, Iraq and Jordan, has been enlisted by the Ministry of Home Affairs to train the force.

Part of the challenge, he says, is "demilitarizing" the cadets. "So now it's a new day, a new Myanmar, and I've got the happy police. Instead of the gray shirts with the very military-looking uniforms, we're putting them in yellow polo shirts that say Tourist Police on the back, and telling them to smile and talk to people and wave."

He added, "I've been training them more as Disneyland security guards than as police."

By mid-September, the tourist police had their own Facebook page, but staff at the Pansodan Road head office in Yangon still appeared unready to handle walk-in queries from foreign visitors. When approached by this reporter on two separate occasions, the officers on duty were unable to answer a few simple questions in English.

"It's going to be an interesting season," said Mr. Wilson, who also teaches basic "police English" to the officers three times a week. "With the influx of people for the SEA Games, and visitors coming to watch the games, and the regular tourists, it's going to be a big season. A lot of challenges."

Though annual tourist arrivals have risen steadily since 2011, and the strain has shown, there is little danger of Myanmar being overrun with visitors just yet.

The numbers coming here are still tiny compared to the 22 million tourists that neighboring Thailand sees annually. Even Laos, with a population of 6.5 million, welcomed 3.4 million visitors last year.

But the government has big plans: 3 million annual foreign arrivals by 2015 and 7.5 million by 2020. The Ministry of Hotels and Tourism is planning to coordinate nearly $500 million in spending on the sector through 2020.

In turn, the ministry expects revenue from tourism-related services to rise from $534 million last year to more than $10 billion in 2020.

Slowly but steadily, linkages within and outside of Myanmar are being improved.

Domestic airline Air KBZ will deploy two more commercial planes starting this month, and hopes to put another on the tarmac before the end of the year, nearly doubling the carrier's current fleet of four.

Myanmar Airlines International is also expanding links with regional destinations, while Thai carriers such as Nok Air and Bangkok Airways are introducing direct international flights to tourist destinations such as Mawlamyine and Mandalay, as well as to Naypyitaw.

In the east, four entry points on the border with Thailand were opened in late August to overland travel by foreigners for the first time.

Most of the 465,614 visitors entering Myanmar through land gateways last year were Thai citizens who stayed for less than one day. Foreigners entering the gateways with a visa can now stay for up to 28 days and travel onwards.

U Aye Kyaw, who is a board member of the Union of Myanmar Travel Association, said the UMTA will send representatives out to the region this year to provide tourism-related training.

"We are responsible, as an association, to train those people in how to handle the tourists," he said.

Meanwhile, new and perhaps surprising players are readying to capture segments of the market.

In September, Saw Lah Lel, manager of the newly opened Moe Ko San Travel and Tour Company—owned by the Karen National Liberation Army's 7th brigade—sounded an optimistic note to Karen News.

"When the gates are opened, foreigners will be able to go in and out of the country freely. The rate of visitors to [Myanmar] will increase dramatically," the budding entrepreneur told the publication.

Improving the experience of travel to previously inaccessible areas will take time, however, as 7Days Tour's Ma Dar Le Khin can attest. During a mid-September attempt by a client to travel to Thailand via the Myawaddy crossing, impassable roads required that the traveler abandon the tour car and enlist a motorcycle to carry him the remaining 40 miles to the border.

Marcus Allender, a British national who came to Myanmar as a tourist in 2010 and returned last year as an entrepreneur to set up a tourism-related website, journeyed in August to formerly off-limits parts of Tanintharyi Region.

"The railway down to Dawei, it's scarcely believable, but it was built, according to Wikipedia, in 1998," he said. "In fact, it would be bad by 1898 standards."

But while the trip—which involved long hours atop a truck on poor roads—was at times dangerous, uncomfortable and energy-sapping, it was also "utterly fascinating"—for the landscape, the "sheer unfamiliarity" of everything and the welcoming Mon people.

Said Mr. Allender: "It was more than worth the effort."

This story first appeared in the October 2013 print issue of The Irrawaddy magazine.

The post Ready or Not, the Tourists Are Coming appeared first on The Irrawaddy Magazine.

Burma Saddles Up for the Asean Chairmanship

Posted: 14 Oct 2013 03:30 AM PDT

Burma Saddles Up for the Asean Chairmanship

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Vigilance Urged After Spate of Bombs Planted in Burma

Posted: 14 Oct 2013 02:49 AM PDT

A Burma Army soldier holds a grenade found in a restaurant in Mandalay on Monday, one of a series of explosive devices planted around Burma in the past few days. (Photo: Tay Za Hlaing / The Irrawaddy)

RANGOON — Rangoon police have warned the public to be on the lookout for suspicious packages in public places as a bombing in Pegu Division reportedly killed two and a series of bombs have been placed in Burma's commercial capital in the space of a few days.

Three small bombs have exploded since Friday, a mine was discovered Monday at a Chinese restaurant in Rangoon and a bomb was found at an eatery in Mandalay, also on Monday.

On Friday, a bomb blast at a guesthouse in Taungoo Township, Pegu Division, killed two people and injured one at about 9 pm, according to local media reports. According to the Democratic Voice of Burma, a man and a woman were killed and another woman was hospitalized when the bomb went off in Taungoo, a town about 220 km (137 miles) from Rangoon.

Then in the early hours of Sunday morning, a bomb exploded at a bus stop in northern Rangoon's Insein Township. The blast damaged a bus stop and a billboard but no one was injured, according to the government-run New Light of Myanmar newspaper.

"According to reports, police also discovered a home-made bomb with a C-4 detonator, a clock wires at a garbage near the scene [sic]," the newspaper reported, adding that the case was being investigated.

Also Sunday, another homemade bomb attached to the underside of a truck exploded at about 5 pm in Rangoon's Thaketa Township when two youths tried to remove a clock attached to the device, according to a statement posted on the Burma police force's Facebook page. The two youths were only slightly injured in the blast, the statement said, naming them as Htet Naing Aung, 14, Win Min Htwe, 14.

On Monday, police in Ahlone Township said a small mine was found fixed under a table at Western Park 2, an expensive Chinese restaurant in western Rangoon.

In a press conference Monday afternoon, Win Naing, a police officer in Ahlone Township, said the mine, which was discovered by staff cleaning the restaurant on Monday morning, had been removed safely without being triggered.

"We do not think they wanted to harm the people. They could have harm the people or me if they wanted while we were defusing it," he said.

 Myanmar, Burma, bombs, bomb, explosive, Bomb rangoon

A police photo shows the alleged explosive device found on Monday morning inside Western Park 2 Chinese restaurant in western Rangoon. (Photo: Steve Tickner / The Irrawaddy)

"They wanted to show they could do harm to the people if they wanted to."

Another bomb was found at central Mandalay's Bal Lay Burmese restaurant at about 1:30 pm on Monday. Police removed the bomb and detonated it in a controlled explosion outside of the restaurant.

The police statement, posted on Facebook on Sunday, told the public to be vigilant after the series of incidents involving explosive devices.

"We inform the public that if they find a strange package at bus or train station, or a seaport, please do not open it and please inform a nearby police station or township authority or official headquarters as soon as possible," it said.

San Min, a township official in Thaketa told The Irrawaddy on Monday that an investigation was underway to find out who was behind the bombings.

"We will tell the public when we are ready," he said, adding that authorities were also trying to establish whether the separate incidents were connected.

"They have intentionally done this, according the evidence we found. They wanted to threaten to the people by showing they can do this at," he said. "For us, we will compare the evidence we got here with the evidence from Insein."

Small bomb blasts occurred frequently under Burma's military regime, and were normally blamed on armed ethnic groups, although many believed the authorities were behind the explosions.

Such incidents have become rarer in recent years, and security at borders has been heightened this year in anticipation of December's Southeast Asian Games.

Win Khaung, the national police chief, said in August that official intelligence had identified a terrorist movement the country and that heightened security was needed to protect increasing numbers of foreign visitors to Burma.

Additional reporting by Zarni Mann in Mandalay

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‘They Want to Move Forward to a Genuine Ceasefire’

Posted: 14 Oct 2013 02:35 AM PDT

UN, Kachin, Burma, Myanmar, conflict, ethnic

Vijay Nambiar, the UN Secretary-General's Special Adviser on Burma, observes the KIO-government ceasefire talks in Myitkyina last week. (Photo: Saw Yan Naing / The Irrawaddy)

MYITKYINA — Vijay Nambiar, the UN Secretary-General's Special Adviser on Burma, has participated twice as an observer to the ceasefire talks between the Burma government and the ethnic Kachin rebels, the Kachin Independence Organization (KIO).

Last week, Nambiar observed the three-day talks in Myitkyina, the Kachin State capital in northern Burma, on Oct. 8-10. It was the second time that the two sides met since May and the meeting produced an agreement, but not a ceasefire deal. Shortly after the talks ended, the UN envoy spoke with Irrawaddy reporter Saw Yan Naing about the peace prospects for Kachin State.

Question: What did you learn during this latest round of ceasefire talks?

Answer: Genuine progress has been made in terms of moving the process forward. I think that in the last few days, the negotiations took place in a genuine spirit of the cooperation and harmony between the two sides, even though they got differences in term of the perception of things. The agreement they signed meets many of the concerns that the two sides have had in relation to the start of the process of political dialogue, the de-escalation and also looks at the specific mechanisms, including the joint monitoring. …

But, what I have been most impressed is the spirit and the courage by both leaders and delegations in moving forward. There are, of course, many things that still need to be done. Even though they have an earlier agreement, there have been some skirmishes. But, they want to move forward to a genuine ceasefire.

And the agreement they have reached includes the KIO convening very soon a joint meeting of all ethnic groups [in Myitkyina] in order to be able to proceed forward with a nationwide ceasefire. That also, I think, represents such substantial progress. And I think that is the first stage of a political dialogue that would look at the larger picture of the inspiration of [Burma's] ethnic groups toward federal power sharing and resource sharing.

Q: Even though there have been several rounds of ceasefire talks, more than 100,000 displaced civilians still can’t return home. What are your concerns about these people who have been displaced for more than two years?

A: That is another area where I think there has been a genuine effort to meet the concerns of both sides. They are looking at specific areas, such as the Bhamo-Myitkyina road [which remains closed], they have been discussing about reopening roads. And the technical groups, joint monitoring groups, will also have to cover resettlement [of displaced civilians]. And the fact that both sides expressed that they will take accounts of the personal views and desire of local [displaced] themselves about what they want to do for their own resettlement. That is very important.

Q: Based on your observations this week, what are the challenges ahead in the peace process?

A: I think challenges still remain. These processes are just beginning. Once the political dialogue starts there will be new challenges to face because I think the process of working out the framework for political dialogue will remain a substantial challenge. But, I see there is genuine willingness to move forward together. I think that is a good sign.

Q: Your home country, India, is a multi-ethnic country like Burma. It also faced problems with ethnic conflict. What experiences can you share?

A: There are some similar experiences from other countries that we can talk about. But, essentially, this [ethnic conflict] has to be resolved by people, by the ethnic groups themselves. Experiences of other countries are just kinds of reference points of what they have done. This is has to be done by the people themselves.

Q: What is the role of the United Nations in the national peace and reconciliation process in Burma?

A: We will continue to play a role in supporting both the government and the ethnic groups as they move forward in this process. The UN will get involved as a neutral party observer. We are willing to play what role they would like us to do.

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Rohingya Refugees Ponder Future Minus Australia Option

Posted: 14 Oct 2013 01:28 AM PDT

Malaysia, Rohingya, asylum seekers, boat people, Australia, Burma, Myanmar, Indonesia, Thailand, Canberra, Nauru, Papua New Guinea

More than 90 refugees are being held at the Makassar Immigration Detention Center on Indonesia's Sulawesi island after being pushed back from East Timor shores. (Photographer's name withheld)

KUALA LUMPUR — Australia's clampdown on refugees and migrants trying to reach the country's shores by boat has prompted uncertainty among Rohingya who, facing state oppression and attacks by Arakanese Buddhists, have fled Burma in the tens of thousands in recent years.

Since Australia's now-ousted Labor government decided in July to prevent refugees traveling by sea from landing in Australia—saying that would-be arrivals would be taken to processing centers in neighboring Nauru and Papua New Guinea (PNG)—some Rohingya who had hopes of making it to Australia are now in a bind.

"We are disappointed, we feel like we are stuck," said Zafar Ahmad Abdul Ghani, president of the Myanmar Ethnic Rohingya Human Rights Organization Malaysia (MERHOM). "Many of us do not have papers here [in Malaysia] and we have no status in Burma. It is a difficult situation for anyone who hoped to travel to Australia," Ahmad told The Irrawaddy.

Thousands of Rohingya refugees undertake a treacherous maritime journey from western Burma to Thailand or Malaysia. From there some in turn hope to reach Australia, usually attempting another dangerous maritime crossing through the Indian Ocean.

Between 25,000-30,000 Rohingya are estimated to have fled Burma since June 2012, when clashes between Arakanese Buddhists and Muslims in Arakan State turned deadly, with the Rohingya making up the majority of those displaced by violence in the region. Burma is home to an estimated five million Muslims in all, comprising groups such as the Kaman, who unlike the Rohingya, are recognized by the Burma government.

However, Canberra's tightening-up on sea arrivals has dampened interest in sailing to Australia among Rohingya in Malaysia, who are estimated to number between 30,000 to 40,000 in all, counting just over 30,000 registered with the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) and others unlisted. "The new Australia policy of resettlement to PNG and Nauru has definitely cooled down the Rohingya about taking the risk," said Chris Lewa, head of the Arakan Project, which documents living conditions for Rohingya in Burma and beyond.

Rohingya arrivals to Australia are difficult to quantify, as those who do make it are listed as "stateless" by Australia, while some others who arrived in Australia over recent years claimed to be Rohingya but were assessed by Australia to be either Bangladeshi nationals or Burmese Muslims, according to Chris Lewa.

Australian government statistics—covering the years from 1998 to 2012—list 2,204 stateless maritime arrivals to Australia, a cohort that includes Kurds, Palestinians and Rohingya. Migrant arrivals by boat to Australia have shot up in recent years, from 6,535 passengers landing onboard 134 vessels in 2010 to 17,202 arrivals on 278 boats last year, according to Australia's Department of Immigration and Border Protection.

In Australia's recent national elections, parties competed to offer the most stringent regulations on maritime arrivals. One reason given by Australia is that the boats reaching Australian shores are too often run by people smugglers who extort a high price from their passengers, most of whom travel from Afghanistan, Iraq, Iran and Sri Lanka and some of whom are assessed by Australia to be economic migrants rather than refugees.

"Don't risk your life or waste your time or money by paying people smugglers. If you pay a people smuggler you are buying a ticket to another country," reads a notice on the website of the Department of Immigration and Border Protection.

A voter backlash against the arrival of over 40,000 asylum seekers since 2007, when policy was relaxed for a time, prompted both of Australia's main parties to suggest tighter controls. But critics say Australia's "offshore processing"—referring to the assessing of asylum claims in PNG and Nauru—of maritime arrivals is contrary to the country's moral obligations. Additional measures aimed at dissuading maritime refugee arrivals, which have been proposed by new Prime Minister Tony Abbott, could contravene Australia's obligations under international law, according to human rights groups.

Indonesia is a common transit point for refugees trying to reach Australia, Rohingya included. At least 28 Middle Eastern migrants drowned when a boat, which was aiming to reach Christmas Island, an Australian territory in the Indian Ocean, sank off Indonesia in late September.

That tragedy came just before Abbott visited Indonesia, which like Malaysia and Thailand—two other common destinations or transit points for Rohingya—is not a signatory to the UN Convention relating to the Status of Refugees.

In June this year a group of 99 "boat people," including some 73 Rohingya, sought to sail to Australia but were forced ashore at East Timor by engine trouble, after which they were taken to Indonesia, where they remain at a detention center in Makassar on the island of Sulawesi.

Some from the group have tried to escape, citing cramped conditions, with 15 people staying in rooms measuring 18 feet by 40 feet, according to an account by Rafi Zaw Win, a Rohingya in the center.

"Please help us to safety to Australia and or to any resettlement country where we would be able to continue our lives for safety," implored Rafi Zaw Win.

The post Rohingya Refugees Ponder Future Minus Australia Option appeared first on The Irrawaddy Magazine.

Thailand Finds 13 Dead Suspected Burma Migrants

Posted: 13 Oct 2013 10:34 PM PDT

Thailand, migration, human rights

Burmese migrant workers cross the Three Pagodas Pass on the Thai-Burmese border. (Photo: Lawi Weng / The Irrawaddy)

BANGKOK — Thai police said Sunday that the bodies of 13 people believed to be migrants from Burma seeking work have been found off southern Thailand’s Andaman Sea coast.

Lt. Col. Nirat Chuayjit said that marine police in Ranong province, 580 kilometers (360 miles) south of Bangkok, had recovered the bodies of 12 men and one woman, whom they believe were on a boat that broke up in bad weather Wednesday as they sought to travel illegally to Thailand.

Thailand hosts hundreds of thousands of migrants from neighboring Burma who are willing to take menial jobs at low pay. They can register to work legally under strict conditions, but many also labor illegally.

Nirat said it was unknown how many people from the boat might be missing or survived, but that such boats normally carry about 30 people. Survivors would be unlikely to contact Thai authorities for fear of the legal consequences of trying to enter the country illegally, he said.

It is common for migrant workers to try to sneak into Thailand during the rainy season, because the marine police cannot conduct regular patrols in stormy weather, Nirat said.

The post Thailand Finds 13 Dead Suspected Burma Migrants appeared first on The Irrawaddy Magazine.

Mass Evacuation Saves Indian Lives as Cyclone Leaves Trail of Destruction

Posted: 13 Oct 2013 10:28 PM PDT

Cyclone Phailin, India,

A man stands next to overturned trucks on a highway after Cyclone Phailin hit Girisola town in Ganjam district in the eastern Indian state of Orissa October 13, 2013. (Photo: Reuters)

GANJAM/BHUBANESWAR, India — A mass evacuation saved thousands of people from India's fiercest cyclone in 14 years, but aid workers warned a million would need help after their homes and livelihoods were destroyed.

Cyclone Phailin was expected to dissipate within 36 hours, losing momentum on Sunday as it headed inland after making landfall from the Bay of Bengal, bringing winds of more than 200 kph (125 mph) that ripped apart tens of thousands of thatched huts, mangled power lines and tore down trees.

Authorities in the eastern state of Odisha said the death toll stood at 15 people, all killed as the storm slammed in from the ocean. Most died under falling trees and one was crushed when the walls of her mud hut fell in.

The low number of casualties stands in contrast to the 10,000 killed by Odisha's last big cyclone in 1999.

The building of hundreds of shelters since, warnings which started five days before the storm and mass evacuations—often by force—minimized loss of life, aid officials said.

Almost a million people in Odisha (formerly Orissa) state and adjacent Andhra Pradesh spent the night in shelters, some after wading though surging rivers to higher ground. Others sought safety in schools or temples.

"The loss of life has been contained this time with early information and speedy action of government," said Sandeep Chachra, executive director of ActionAid India.

Indian media commentators were effusive in praise for the evacuation operation and for accurate forecasting by India's Met office. Before the storm, some foreign forecasters had warned that India was underestimating its strength.

Authorities canceled the holidays of civil servants during the popular Hindu Dussehra festival, deployed disaster response teams with heavy equipment as well as helicopters and boats for rescue and relief operations.

Over the years, organizations like the Red Cross have mobilized thousands of volunteers across the cyclone-prone region, who are not only trained in basic first aid but also help with evacuations and relief distribution.

Drills are organized so people know what to do when an alert is issued, locking up their homes, leaving cattle in safe places and taking only a few clothes and important documents with them.

"The 1999 cyclone was a real wake-up call for India. It was at a time when economic growth was high and India was seen as developing rapidly. It was embarrassing to be seen to be not taking care of their people, even with all this development," said Unni Krishnan, head of disaster response for children's charity Plan International.

The death of at least 89 worshippers at a temple celebrating Dussehra in central India on Sunday was a reminder that disasters with many casualties remain common. In July floods and landslides killed nearly 6,000 people in India's Himalayan foothills.

Destruction

Phailin left a trail of destruction along the coast, overturning cars and large trucks. Storm surges from the sea submerged farmland near the coast, while heavy rain flooded towns inland.

Along the highway through Ganjam district in Odisha, the countryside was ravaged. An electricity tower lay in a mangled heap, poles were dislodged, lines tangled and power was out in much of the state. In villages, cranes lifted trees off crushed houses.

A barber shop was tilted to one side. The students' common room at Berhampur University was a gaping hole, its facade knocked out by the cyclone.

"The wind was so strong I couldn't get out of here," Gandhi Behera, a cook in a nearby snack shop said.

The Indian Red Cross said its initial assessments showed that over 235,000 mud-and-thatch homes owned by poor fishing and farming communities had been destroyed in Ganjam district alone. It expects thousands of people to need help in coming days.

Plan International said it was concerned about the health and sanitation needs of close to a million people and the impact of the storm on people's livelihoods.

"They cannot stay in the shelters for long as they are overcrowded and sanitation issues will crop up with the spread of diseases such as diarrhea and dysentery, especially amongst young children," Mangla Mohanty, head of the Indian Red Cross in Odisha, said by phone from Ganjam district.

In some parts of the state, people were making their way through destroyed farmland toward their broken homes. Dozens crammed onto mini-trucks and others trudged with sacks of belongings. Mothers carried babies in their arms.

"There are no farms left. Everything has disappeared into the water," said S. Dillirao, a paddy farmer, as he stood on his inundated land.

Seawater had swept into his fields. "There's no way a single crop will grow here now," he said.

The post Mass Evacuation Saves Indian Lives as Cyclone Leaves Trail of Destruction appeared first on The Irrawaddy Magazine.

Malaysian Court Rules Use of ‘Allah’ Exclusive to Muslims

Posted: 13 Oct 2013 10:17 PM PDT

Allah, Islam, Malaysia, Christian, Prime Minister Najib Razak

Muslim demonstrators chant slogans outside Malaysia's Court of Appeal in Putrajaya, outside Kuala Lumpur on Oct. 14, 2013. (Photo: Reuters / Samsul Said)

PUTRAJAYA, Malaysia — A Malaysian court ruled on Monday that a Christian newspaper may not use the word "Allah" to refer to God, a landmark decision on an issue that has fanned religious tensions and raised questions over minority rights in the mainly Muslim country.

The unanimous decision by three Muslim judges in Malaysia's appeals court overturned a 2009 ruling by a lower court that allowed the Malay language version of the newspaper, The Herald, to use the word Allah—as many Christians in Malaysia say has been the case for centuries.

"The usage of the word Allah is not an integral part of the faith in Christianity," chief judge Mohamed Apandi Ali said in the ruling. "The usage of the word will cause confusion in the community."

The decision coincides with heightened ethnic and religious tensions in Malaysia after a polarizing May election, in which the long-ruling coalition was deserted by urban voters that included a large section of minority ethnic Chinese.

In recent months, Prime Minister Najib Razak has sought to consolidate his support among majority ethnic Malays, who are Muslim by law, and secure the backing of traditionalists ahead of a crucial ruling party assembly this month.

His new government—dominated by his Malay-based United Malays National Organization—has toughened security laws and introduced steps to boost a decades-old affirmative action policy for ethnic Malays, reversing liberal reforms aimed at appealing to a broader section of multi-ethnic Malaysia.

In its case, the government argued that the word Allah is specific to Muslims and that the then-home minister's decision in 2008 to deny the newspaper permission to print it was justified on the basis of public order.

Lawyers for the Catholic paper had argued that the word Allah predates Islam and had been used extensively by Malay-speaking Christians in Malaysia's part of Borneo island for centuries. They say they will appeal against Monday's decision to Malaysia's highest court.

Christians in Indonesia and much of the Arab world continue to use the word without opposition from Islamic authorities. Churches in the Borneo states of Sabah and Sarawak have said they will continue to use the word regardless of the ruling.

The paper won a judicial review of the home minister's decision in 2009, triggering an appeal from the federal government.

Ethnic Malays make up 60 percent of Malaysia's 28 million people, with Chinese accounting for more than a quarter and ethnic Indians also forming a substantial minority. Christians account for around 9 percent.

The post Malaysian Court Rules Use of 'Allah' Exclusive to Muslims appeared first on The Irrawaddy Magazine.

Death Toll in India Temple Stampede Rises to 109

Posted: 13 Oct 2013 10:09 PM PDT

India, Hindu, stampede, disaster

A woman cries next to the body of a victim killed in a stampede near Ratangarh temple, Datia district, in India's Madhya Pradesh State on Sunday. (Photo: Reuters)

NEW DELHI — The death toll from a stampede near a temple in central India rose to 109 after many of the injured succumbed, an official said Monday.

Thousands of Hindu pilgrims were crossing a bridge leading to a temple in Madhya Pradesh state on Sunday when they panicked at rumors the bridge would collapse, triggering a stampede.

The district medical officer R.S. Gupta said that autopsies had been carried out on 109 bodies by late Sunday.

Relatives of the dead crowded the state-run hospital in Datia district to take the bodies after the autopsies. Others searched frantically for their relatives among the injured in the hospital.

Hundreds of thousands of devotees had thronged the remote Ratangarh village temple in Datia to honor the Hindu mother goddess Durga on the last day of the popular 10-day Navaratra festival.

It was not immediately clear how many people were on the two-lane bridge over the Sindh River in the Chambal region of Madhya Pradesh when the stampede started. Local media said some 500,000 people visited the temple and some were headed home when the rumors began.

Police wielding sticks had charged the crowd to contain the rush and people retaliated by throwing stones at the officers, D.K. Arya, deputy inspector general of police, said. One officer was badly injured.

The state has ordered a judicial inquiry.

Prime Minister Manmohan Singh expressed "deep sorrow and shock over the loss of lives" and asked local officials to help the injured and the families of the dead.

"On this day of festivities, our hearts and prayers are with the victims and their families," the prime minister’s office said in a statement.

The post Death Toll in India Temple Stampede Rises to 109 appeared first on The Irrawaddy Magazine.

Democratic Voice of Burma

Democratic Voice of Burma


Police detain 78 for Sandoway riots as death toll hits seven

Posted: 14 Oct 2013 03:59 AM PDT

The Burmese security forces have detained 78 people in connection with the recent spate of Muslim-Buddhist clashes in Arakan's Sandoway township, state media announced on Monday.

It follows news that the death toll from the violence, which erupted after an argument between a Buddhist trishaw driver and a Muslim shop owner on 29 September, has risen to seven.

The bodies of two Buddhist men were reportedly discovered at a local cemetery near Sandoway on Friday.

According to a report by the BBC, the two men were among a group of five Buddhists and a Christian pastor travelling by taxi through Thabyuchaing village when they unwittingly ran into an angry mob wielding knives and sticks. Four escaped, while the two others went missing.

The lives of four Muslim men and a 94-year-old woman had already been claimed in the unrest.

Authorities have detained several suspects, many with links to local nationalist groups and political parties, for their alleged role in the unrest. The chairman of the local Rakhine Nationalities Development Party was taken into custody immediately after the violence, while at least a dozen members of the Organisation for the Protection of Race and Religion have since been held for questioning.

The government confirmed on Monday that a total of 112 houses, three mosques and one petrol warehouse were burned to the ground in the riots, making nearly 500 people homeless. The report again sought to pin blame on instigators within "some organisations" intent on causing unrest.

The report echoes closely the words of President Thein Sein who recently blamed "outsiders" for orchestrating the violence to coincide with his first visit to Arakan state, which has been wracked by communal violence since last year.

The Burmese government has come under fire for a perceived failure to prevent the spread of religious violence, which has increasingly targeted the country's Muslim minority.

But Monday's report, published in the state-run New Light of Myanmar, insisted that anyone found guilty of "manipulating, committing and abetting" the violence would be prosecuted to the fullest extent of the law.

At least 140,000 people, mostly Muslims, have been uprooted and over 200 people have died since the first bout of ethno-religious clashes broke out last year.

The violence, which originally pitted the stateless Rohingya minority against Buddhists in northern Arakan state, has since spread across the country.

Many observers have blamed an extremist Buddhist movement known as "969", which calls on Buddhists to boycott Muslim businesses and avoid interfaith marriages. Until recently Thein Sein has been reluctant to criticise the group, even defending its chief proponent monk Wirathu as a "son of Buddha".

Thein Sein has been credited for introducing sweeping democratic reforms in Burma since the nominal end of military rule in 2011. But rights groups say he must do more to protect religious and ethnic minorities, especially the Rohingya who are denied citizenship and heavily persecuted.

Shan MP calls for truce around Kunhing and aid deliveries to IDPs

Posted: 14 Oct 2013 03:36 AM PDT

Nang Wah Nu, a lower house MP representing the Shan Nationalities Democratic Party (SNDP), has called on the government's Union Peace-making Work Committee, the Myanmar Peace Centre and the Shan State Army- South (SSA-S) to work together to stop the fighting around Kunhing in south-central Shan state and to provide humanitarian relief to IDPs in the area.

The Shan MP sent letters urging a truce following a series of clashes between the SSA-S and government forces over the weekend when residents of Peinnay, Weinphe and other nearby villages were forced to flee their homes.

"A clash broke out west of Peinnay at around 10am on 12 October and was still continuing the following morning," she said. "Many locals were forced to flee their homes. Some of them went into hiding in the jungle while others took shelter in the nearby towns of Kunhing and Kali."

Nang Wah Nu said a unit of about 100 soldiers from the Burmese army launched an attack on an SSA-S outpost in Lonwine on 30 September, then another attack on a drug rehabilitation centre on 10 October, followed by an attack north of Peinnay on 11 October.

Many IDPs are currently being sheltered at Buddhist monasteries in Kunhing and Kali. Nang Wah Nu said their numbers were still being counted.

Despite signing state and union-level ceasefire agreements with the government last year, the SSA-S say that they have clashed with the Burmese army at least 130 times since then.

Bomb blast at Rangoon market injures two youngsters

Posted: 14 Oct 2013 12:58 AM PDT

Two teenagers were slightly injured when a bomb exploded in front of a market in Rangoon's Tharkayta township on Sunday at 5:45pm.

Army Col. Tin Win, the minister of Rangoon division border affairs, told reporters that the two youngsters were injured when a homemade bomb, apparently made with TNT compound, went off when they picked it up and threw it on the ground.

"It was a homemade bomb consisting of a detonator, TNT, a battery and a clock. When the kids found it, they picked it up and threw it back onto the ground, causing the TNT and the clock components to fall off, but the battery somehow managed to charge the detonator which then exploded," he said.

"The youngsters were shocked but sustained only superficial wounds," he added.

The Tharkayta incident was the second bomb blast to jolt Rangoon on Sunday; at just after midnight a first bomb exploded at Sawbwagyigon bus terminal in Insein township. No one was injured, however police also reported finding an unexploded device at the scene.

Tin Win said the police were investigating whether the two cases were linked.

"We are working with experts to find out if the two cases are linked – we need to find out whether the types of explosives and clocks used in the devices were the same," he said, adding that it was difficult to say whether the incidents in Rangoon were also connected with a bombing that took place on Friday in Taungoo, central Burma, killing two; and an unexploded bomb found on a passenger bus in nearby Pyu a few days earlier.

"It's hard to say at the moment who is behind the attacks and whether or not the incidents are connected," he said.

Tin Win said he will beef up security in Rangoon and urged the public to cooperate with the security forces.

"We are going to increase security with checkpoints and inspections. We need the public to cooperate with us and to understand that we are working for their security," he said. "We have told our officers to politely ask questions to members of the public. And in return, we would request that people show tolerance and answer the questions accurately."

What will a nationwide ceasefire really achieve?

Posted: 13 Oct 2013 11:02 PM PDT

The term "Nationwide Ceasefire Agreement" attracted widespread public attention after government chief peace negotiator Aung Min announced in June President Thein Sein's intention for such an agreement to be signed in Naypyidaw by the Burmese government and all ethnic armed groups.

It is no surprise then that it became the buzzword for the Burmese government's Union Peace-making Work Committee led by Aung Min when it met with the KIO delegation led by Sumlut Gam and Gen Gun Maw at their latest round of meetings in Kachin state capital Myitkyina beginning 8 October. A seven-point agreement was signed after three days of open- and closed-door meetings.

Despite the fact that delegations from both sides said an inclusive political dialogue is necessary for the country and will be held soon, it is apparent that there still remains a different priority and level of importance between the KIO and the Burmese government for a nationwide ceasefire agreement and political dialogue.

The KIO has once again insisted on an inclusive political dialogue to settle decades-old political issues with genuine political will from both government and ethnic nationalities. Another consistent demand from the KIO side has been a specific timeframe for political dialogue to protect itself from the familiar strategy of stagnation in Burma politics.

On the other hand, the EU-funded Myanmar Peace Center (MPC), backed by the Burmese government, issued a short opening statement that emphasises a nationwide ceasefire agreement immediately after the agreement signed between the KIO and Burmese government delegations.

The preamble of the KIO-Burmese government agreement can be directly translated as: "In order to ensure the emergence of the political agreements that guarantee lasting and sustainable peace, the two sides agreed on the following points."

Only one point in the agreement mentions the term "nationwide ceasefire agreement". The agreed text on that point says, "In order to begin political dialogue, the KIO is invited to participate in a nationwide ceasefire agreement."

Vijay Nambiar, Special Adviser to the UN Secretary-General, said in a statement: "This latest round of dialogue achieved significant progress on important issues such as the establishment of a joint monitoring committee, assistance and resettlement of IDPs, the opening of additional roads and highways, and consultations with the local communities as key components of the peace process. Most importantly, the parties committed themselves to further de-escalation of violence and to moving the peace process forward speedily towards a Nationwide Ceasefire Accord."

While many Kachin observers view the latest agreements as taking necessary steps towards beginning a national dialogue, they, like many other ethnic leaders and observers, ask why such a Nationwide Ceasefire Agreement signing ceremony is necessary when nothing has really changed on the ground.

Some observers are wary of the government's offer of a nationwide ceasefire agreement and see it as a ceasefire just for the sake of a ceasefire, and as another of the government's containment strategies. They see the government's proposed step for signing a nationwide ceasefire accord as a self-imposed barrier to reach the next stage in the political dialogue and to take political advantage out of the signing ceremony.

An outcome of the meetings is a mutually agreed upon ethnic armed groups' conference mainly focusing on the nationwide ceasefire accord to be held at the end of October in Laiza. Asked to comment on the KIO-Burmese government agreement, Bertil Lintner, a veteran writer and journalist who has written extensively about Kachin and other ethnic nationalities, said, "It is hard to see this as progress… just more of the same. And I do not believe that the government [Aung Min and the MPC] have any mandate to negotiate anything but a ceasefire deal – and to offer business concessions to the ethnic groups."

Local residents are hopeful that current meetings and agreements between the government and KIO will bring about lasting peace. One Kachin IDP in a KIO-controlled area said he expects a lasting solution this time. "We are going through the biggest civil war in Kachin history. The number of displaced persons is the highest since our struggle began 1961. They are still living in poor conditions in crowded camps. This is the darkest time for us. After long dark nights, we want to see daylight come," said the IDP.

Lahpai Seng Raw, who was recently awarded the 2013 Magsaysay Award for humanitarian work in Burma, said, "The situation is still very fluid – many important issues remain. This time these issues have to be faced up to and addressed."

She added: "In 1947, being independent from the British was the overriding consideration for ethnic nationalities with the hope that they could settle the different matters among themselves after independence. Now, whether or not to participate in a nationwide ceasefire agreement is not that important. The crucial steps are to set specific commitments for an inclusive political dialogue and a specific timeframe. Legitimisation of any agreement coming out of the political dialogue is crucial. Because of our troubled past, it is difficult to have naïve optimism now. The process has just begun, and it is a long way to go, but this time political grievances have to be faced up to and addressed. It is important for all citizens to be involved in this process. The role and participation of civil societies are necessary."

A more effective means to enforce the agreements is essentially to de-escalate tensions and cease hostilities. As the KIO demanded earlier, international involvement in monitoring mechanisms is vital to further de-escalate fighting and move towards an inclusive political dialogue without any preconditions. Strengthening enforcement is crucial to the success of the current agreements so that both sides uphold all the terms and conditions of the seven-point accord in order to move towards the next stage, whether it be signing a nationwide ceasefire or beginning a free and fair political dialogue.

 

Brang Hkangda is an editor of Kachinland News’s English Website.

Shan Herald Agency for News

Shan Herald Agency for News


Weekly Wrap-up, No.647 (5-11 October 2013)

Posted: 14 Oct 2013 02:13 AM PDT

  • EIA NECESSARY FOR THE FIRST TIME!
  • ASEAN CHAIR GOES TO MYANMAR!
  • BIG NEWS: KIO WILL HOST ETHNIC SUMMIT!
  • MORE POLITICAL PRISONERS RELEASED, BUT THAT'S NOT THE WHOLE STORY!
  • CAPACITY BUILDING FOR DANU SHOULD BE EXTENDED TO OTHERS SOON!
Cartoon
Tips to peace brokers: How 'frank and cordial' were you?


Think Piece
On Burma's Asean chair
  • The chairmanship is an honor the government hasn't earned. (Matthew Smith, Fortify Rights)
  • Burma's leaders cannot yet solve their own domestic problems. It is questionable how they can take the regional leadership role. (Yan Myo, political analyst)
  • Now that the Asean leadership has fallen into their laps, they may think they don't have to do more. (Panitan Wattanayagorn, specialist at Chulalongkorn University)
AP, 9 October 2013

The KIO leaders did not refuse to sign a nationwide ceasefire agreement. They said they would find a way to sign it.

Hla Maung Shwe, special adviser to Myanmar Peace Center (MPC), 9 October 2013, Irrawaddy

Worse place for women than Burma
More than half of Pakistan girls are not educated. It also has the world's second lowest rate of female employment in the world, according to the World Economic Forum Gender Parity Report, lower even than Saudi Arabia.

New York Times/ Bangkok Post, 10 October 2013

The World
10 October 2013

Malala Yousafzai, 16, wins EU's annual human rights award, beating fugitive US intelligence analyst Edward Snowden. (Reuters)

International Relations
8 October 2013
President Thein Sein leaves for Brunei to take over the 2014 alternate chair. (Xinhua)

8 October 2010
Burma is yet to be one of 167 nations that have signed the International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights (ICCPR) that recognizes the right of peaceful assembly. (KIC)

10 October 2013

President Thein Sein accepts the gavel of Asean. (New York Times)

Thai-Burma Relations
7 October 2013
Border trade between Mae Sot-Myawaddy soared to 44 billion baht ($ 1.46 billion), up 25% from 35 billion) last year, according Customs office in Tak. (NNT)

8 October 2013

Thai energy minister Pongsak Raktapongpaisal says Thailand will be buying about 10,000 MW more of electricity from Myanmar: 7,000 MW from Mai Tong (Mongton) Hydropower Plant and 2,000-3,000 MW from Dawei Coalpower plant. Myanmar needs about 12 years to construct the Mai Tong venture. (Bernama)

Politics/ Inside Burma
7 October 2013
President Thein Sein announces a body to promote education standards will be formed immediately to draft action plans for educational reforms. He calls for experts to discuss their views openly. (Eleven)

10 October 2013
Over 95% of 400 people interviewed across 3 townships in Hpa-an district on 6 October want the constitution to be amended in order to reduce the military's role in politics, says NLD's Karen state chairperson Nan Khin Htwe Myint. Shan State chairperson Khin Moe Moe says she will also be conducting a survey in 13 districts. (DVB)

Ethnic Affairs
1 October 2013
2 soldiers from Karen National Union (KNU) Brigade 2, based in Toungoo district, arrested by the Burma Army's IB 440. They were collecting tax from passing traders. (KIC)

8 October 2013
Negotiations in Myitkyina between KIO and UPWC. Topics: Development since May and formation of peace monitoring group. National Democratic Force (NDF) representative sees there is a good trend in the making. (DVB)

8 October 2013
U Aung Min, following today's talks, says he expects KIO leaders to join the national ceasefire in November. KIO says it will hold a meeting with top leaders of other groups in Laiza likely at the end of this month. U Aung Min has agreed with the plan, says Shan spokesman. (Irrawaddy)

10 October 2013
New Mon State Army's base in Thanbyuzayat forcibly removed by Burma Army for its advanced military training school last week. NMSP has lodged complaints with state government. (IMNA)

10 October 2013

KIO and UPWC conclude 3 day talks, agreeing to lay foundation for political dialogue, reopen roads, establish joint monitoring committee and develop plan for return of IDPs. The KIO has not ruled out signing the nationwide ceasefire, but they have to work out "their exact policy", according to peace broker Lamai Gum Ja. (DVB)

11 October 2013
The alternative constitutional draft could come out at the end of next month (November), says Hkun Okker, leader of the UNFC constitution drafting team. (Irrawaddy)

Shans/ Shan State
29 September 2013
Institute for International Development (IID) has been awarded a German government development agency (GIZ) funded project to strengthen capacity of the Leading Body, local administration and civil society in the Danu Self-Administered Zone in Shan State and assist with formulation of a Regional Development Plan. (Press Release)

4-5 October 2013

Wa spokesman Aung Myint says they have made agreement to take census in 2014. The government will form six teams and provide necessary trainings and required facilities to them. It also discusses recruiting labor force from mainland Burma. (Mizzima)

4-5 October 2013
Naypyitaw delegation meets Xiao Minliang, Vice Chairman of Wa "State", in Panghsang. Discussion topics include:
  • Nationwide ceasefire signing
  • Citizenship scrutiny cards
  • 2014 census
  • Appointment of municipal staff
  • Job creation strategies for Wa
Wa maybe attend the ceasefire ceremony but not to sign it, says Aung Kyaw Zaw. (Eleven)

Economy/ Business
8 October 2013
The World Bank has revised its 2013 economic forecast for Myanmar up from 6.5% to 6.8% following a record setting $ 4 billion in the 2012-13 fiscal year from gas exports, surpassing $ 3.5 billion last year. (Myanmar Times)

Human Rights
4 October 2013
Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA) chairman Dr Akihiko Tanaka says JICA will contribute $ 910 million to aid the growth of internal infrastructure, including rural and social development. (Development)

8 October 2013

Burma announces plan to free 56 more political prisoners. About 135 remain and another 232 facing trials, says Bo Kyi of AAPP. (VOA)

9 October 2013

UN human rights expert Tomas Ojea Quintana says release of political prisoners must be unconditional. The Code of Criminal Procedure enables attachment of conditions to the discharge of prisoners, such as the imposition of the remaining sentence if the President judges that a condition of release has been broken. (UN News Center)

10 October 2013
Burma removes 1,010 doctors from its blacklist, according to Myo Win Aung, ministry director at the President's Office. (Irrawaddy)

10 October 2013
nay-win
NLD spokesman Nyan Win, 70, says he has been fined 1,000 kyat ($1) for claiming that a thin layer of wax had been put over check boxes for candidates of his party during the 2012 by-elections. Marks made on the wax could later be rubbed off to cancel the vote. (AFP)

Environment
11 October 2013
Recent winners of 16 onshore energy blocks are required to perform environmental impact assessments (EIA) before final approval, according to an energy ministry official. They include:
  • Italy's Eni
  • Malaysia's Petronus
  • Pakistan's PVT
  • India's ONGC Videsh
  • Canada's Pacific Hunt
(Reuters)

Burma’s Ethnic Challenge: From Aspirations to Solutions

Posted: 14 Oct 2013 02:10 AM PDT

Authors say there are 5 key elements if lasting solutions are to be achieved: Nationwide peace, extra-parliamentary as well as parliamentary processes, a political agreement or guarantees, transparent and inclusive Panglong-style meeting, and international observation at key stages.

For more, Please read 15-page paper by Transnational Institute – Burma Centrum Nederland (TNI-BCN)'s http://www.tni.org/sites/www.tni.org/files/download/bpb_12_def.pdf.

“Taiwan” killed Shan leader in 1978

Posted: 14 Oct 2013 02:02 AM PDT


History/General

Taunggyi — One of the biggest mysteries in the history of the Shan resistance was who had assassinated the Shan State Progress Party/Shan State Army (SSPP/SSA)'s most colorful military leader Col Sam Möng (Zarm Mong) in 1978 and why.

In early 1978, he, Lt-Col Pan Aung and a staff officer, Mao Khio, had secretly visited the Shanland United Army (SUA) headquarters in Ban Hintaek, Chiangrai province. They were never see again since, dead or alive.

Lt-Col Pan Aung and Col Sam Möng

Later, other SSA leaders working in Thailand were also gunned down by assassins. They included:

  • Sao Hso Zeung
  • Sao Hseng Harn
  • Sao Boon Tai
  • Sao Zam Lake
  • Sao Zamka
To the SSA and many others, there was no question who was the main culprit. All fingers pointed to the SUA and its leader Khun Sa. But why did he do it? "Because it was the pre-condition for his release from prison," was the answer. But no one was able to present evidence to back up their accusation.

Khun Sa, chief of Loimaw Homeguard, was imprisoned in Mandalay, 1969-74. He was released a year after his chief of staff, Zhang Suquan aka Falang "Thunder", staged a daring operation of kidnapping 2 Russian doctors working in Taunggyi.

Zhang Suquan aka Falang
Khun Sa, who later became commander-in-chief of the Mong Tai Army (MTA), the merger between the SUA and the Shan United Revolutionary Army (SURA), at first tried to shift responsibility by saying, "Yes, Sam Möng came to Hintaek (now renamed Therd Tai). But why isn't anyone asking who brought them there?"

He later withdrew this stand and told the Shan monks who visited him at his residence in Homong, "I promise I'll disclose everything that had happened when freedom comes."

In the end, it wasn't him but Falang who made the disclosure, according to a former MTA leader who had surrendered together with him in 1996. "Falang told us in 1995 that he and Lieng Zeun (Liang Zhongying) had re-enlisted in the Kuomintang after Khun Sa was thrown in jail by the Burmese," he recounted. "It was during the Cold War and without the KMT's support, they feared the SUA wouldn't have survived. As a result, they were obliged to carry out instructions from Taiwan."

One of them was the assassination of SSA leaders, which came about after several members of Taiwan's intelligence network in China were taken into custody and executed by Chinese authorities. "They were said to have received information written in Chinese from the SSA that had seized a number of documents from a truck at a location between Tangyan and Lashio," Falang was quoted as saying.

A former senior SSA officer concurred. "It was Sao Sai Awng, an officer from the 1st Brigade of Sao Hso Noom that had made the seizure," he said. "Nobody read Chinese, so we turned them over to the CPB (Communist Party of China) that in turn turned them over to the Chinese."

(The names of the sources have been withheld to avert possible inconvenience to them.)

Khun Sa died in Rangoon in 2007 at the age of 73. His former sidekick Falang followed him 4 years later after a brief visit to his homeland Manchuria. He was 84.

HURFOM releases “Disputed Territory” to highlight unjust land acquisition in Mon areas

Posted: 14 Oct 2013 02:08 AM PDT

 
Human Rights Foundation of Monland – Burma

The Human Rights Foundation of Monland (HURFOM) has released a report titled "Disputed Territory: Mon farmers' fight against unjust land acquisition and barriers to their progress," to illustrate contemporary struggles against past and on-going land disputes. Drawing from almost 100 interviews conducted in Ye, Yebyu, and Kyaikmayaw townships, the report presents cases of land confiscation and abuse in Mon areas and elevates the voices of farmers who are actively pursuing justice.

"Based on the findings from our field research, we can say that several problems and obstacles exist for local farmers who want to reclaim their lands," said Nai Aue Mon, HURFOM's documentation coordinator. "It is quite disappointing to see that the current civilian government seems unable to resolve both past land abuses by the former military government and new land conflicts perpetrated by companies in the Kyaikmayaw area of Mon State. New legislation passed in 2012 cannot guarantee farmers' rights to land when they face unjust land acquisition or prevent future injustice regarding land issues."

The report primarily utilizes two case studies – farmers' appeals against past military land confiscations in Ye Township and on-going misconduct by various investors in Kyaikmayaw Township – to analyze the legal and communal challenges inherent in Mon land disputes. According to the report, few victims of unjust land acquisition have had land returned, private investment continues to exploit farming families, and secure land rights remain largely absent from Burmese law.

"I want to provide a livelihood for my family," said one of the report's interviewees. "So when my plantation was confiscated I was like a person with broken legs."

HURFOM contends in the report that farmers' increasing willingness to demand justice and express concerns about land abuse presents an important opportunity for President Thein Sein's administration. Substantive government action that ensures independent and impartial dispute resolution, implements mechanisms to provide fair compensation or land return, and amends the country's laws to protect farmers' customary land rights would signal a clear break from previous policies and genuinely initiate democratic reform.

Data collection undertaken to verify and report on cases in Ye Township also revealed the difficulties encountered when investigating former confiscations. Reporters described that, in some villages, accurately tracking decades of land ownership was problematic due to sale, rental or re-confiscation of land that may have occurred since the original acquisition took place. Similarly, land acreage and the number of agricultural assets (trees or plants) involved at the time of confiscation proved difficult to confirm due to falsified military records, insufficient land documentation, inflated claims by victims, and human error when remembering exact circumstances. However, HURFOM calls on all relevant persons in positions of authority to undertake these endeavors to change the course of Burma's history of land abuse and stand behind farmers that have crafted the country's social and economic landscape for generations.

The Human Rights Foundation of Monland (HURFOM) was founded in 1995 by a group of young Mon people aiming to seek truth and justice for a peaceful democratic transition in Mon State in Burma. Since 2004, the Human Rights Foundation of Monland – Burma (HURFOM) has been one of the key member organizations of the Network for Human Rights Documentation – Burma (ND-Burma). ND-Burma was formed in 2004 and is a multi-ethnic network providing a mechanism for Burma's human rights organizations to collaborate on the human rights documentation process.

For more information, please contact: Nai Aue Mon, Coordinator of the Human Rights Documentation and Dissemination Program, Human Rights Foundation of Monland – Burma (HURFOM).

Phone: +66 (0)86 167 9741

Email:  auemon@gmail.com, monhumanrights@gmail.com         

Full PDF copies of the report can be downloaded at:
http://rehmonnya.org/reports/DisputedTerritory.pdf.

Report-in-Brief (Burmese)
http://rehmonnya.org/reports/Brief-in-Burmese.pdf

Hard copies of the report can be obtained by emailing monhumanrights@gmail.com.
www.rehmonnya.org

To Hopeland and Back (Part IV)

Posted: 14 Oct 2013 02:03 AM PDT

 
Day 3 (23 September 2013)

As reported by Democratic Voice of Burma, the Shan-Kayah-Mon Trustbuilding for Peace forum was attended by a total of 331 individuals and representatives from 21 political parties, 17 armed groups (3 of which were Burma Army-run People's Militia Forces) and 3 civic groups. They had called for:

  • Nationwide Ceasefire
  • Abolition of laws that do not meet democratic standards, including the Unlawful Associations Act
  • Genuine federal Union
  • Holding of convention representing all national races based on the Panglong spirit
  • Amendment/rewrite of the constitution

Which were essentially no different from earlier forums that the Shan Nationalities League for Democracy (SNLD) had organized.

Organizers (Photo: SNLD)

Any objective observer would be able to conclude that the 5 resolutions could be taken as genuine wishes of the people. Indeed, both the government and the opposition have succeeded in sounding off what the people want (that is not to forget better health care, education, food and lodging conditions).

All the same, it is obvious that if future forums are to be held in the same style — reading out presentation and drawing conclusions from them — the results will be essentially the same.

In fact, same participants, including one SNLD insider, were already complaining that the forums were just "talkshops" and "not action-oriented."

I asked Col Saw Lwin, one of the organizers, what the organizing committee's future plan was. "This time we will, together with like-minded Burman political parties and civil society organizations, hold workshop to work out how we are going to respond to these common demands."

I therefore hope we will be witnessing interesting developments in the quest for a federal democracy.

Talking to both participants and non-participants on the sidelines, I also received several fascinating comments:

  • Senior Gen Than Shwe is still directing the affairs through the National Defense and Security Council (NDSC), regarded as the most powerful state apparatus. As long as he's around, there isn't a hope in heaven either for Aung San Suu Kyi or Shwe Mann to become president
  • Dr Min Zaw Oo says it's liberalization not transition. I agree with him. What I wish to add is that the democracy we're getting is one on a leash. It can be tightened or loosened anytime the powers that be want.
  • What do these people know about the constitution to rewrite it? Don't they realize that without the 2008 charter, they wouldn't be speaking how bad it is today?

Of course, I myself couldn't avoid being asked whether I preferred amendment or a new constitution. My answer was that: People who are thirsty with only polluted water to drink should dig a well. But while they are digging, they should also do something about the polluted water at hand so they could stay alive while waiting for clean water from the well." (I later found out Marcus Brand had called it "a bird in hand.")

"Before you throw away a system that's worked for so long, be sure it's not because you see only problems. Be sure you know what's to replace it," reads Water Margin, a famous Chinese revolutionary classic.

The Water Margin Book
Also I thought that people in Burma have only one identity: Burman or Shan (or Karen, Chin, and so on) but never a dual one: French-Canadian, Catalonian-Spanish, Mizo-Indian, etc as in other federations:

  • If you are a Shan, it's never easy to think of yourself as being someone else also
  • If you are a Burman, you think being a Burman and a "Union-man" are one and the same

A lot of education, the right kind, will be needed to change these mindsets. Count me in, if such education comes to the country, I told my friends. "And I'll show you the adage 'It's hard to teach old dogs new tricks' is just a joke."

Then, once more, I returned to Thailand, a land that is fine but not home.

Armed resistance mulls summit meeting

Posted: 14 Oct 2013 02:11 AM PDT

Earlier the ball was in the government's court after receiving from the armed resistance a 4 in 1 Comprehensive Union Peace and Ceasefire Agreement proposal. Now that the government has responded with a Nationwide Ceasefire Agreement counter-proposal, it is back in the latter's court.

The United Nationalities Federal Council (UNFC), the alliance of 11 armed groups, has been considering a proposed summit among some 18 armed groups to deal with it. (According to the government's count, only 16 of them count.)

KIO and UPWC holding peace talks today, 8 October 2013. (Photo: Nyo Ohn Myint)

"It's now or never," said a non-Burman leader.

The UNFC's 3-day meeting, 7-9 October, in Chiangmai, overlaps the 3-day peace talks between the Kachin Independence Organization/Kachin Independence Army (KIO/KIA) and the government's Union Peacemaking Work Committee (UPWC), 8-10 October, in Myitkyina.

The KIO/KIA is the leading member of the UNFC. "It means how the UNFC sees the situation will influence the UNFC, and vice versa," a border security official who monitors the meeting in Chiangmai told S.H.A.N.

The armed resistance's formal proposal in August is comprised of 4 parts: common principles, nationwide ceasefire accord, framework for political dialogue and transitional arrangements. The government's counter proposal has however bisected it, leaving the framework and transitional arrangements for post nationwide ceasefire agreement signing period.

At the same time, the draft has promised that negotiations for the framework will begin right after the ceasefire agreement is signed.

Speaking on the draft, Sao Yawdserk, leader of the Restoration Council of Shan State/Shan State Army (RCSS/SSA) said, "We should not try to bind each other hand and foot in order to have an agreement that suits each's tastes. That will only unnecessarily prolong the process. My suggestion is that if the government agrees to the following conditions, it should be enough:

  • Adherence to the agreements signed so far
  • To see to it that our operational areas don't extend over each other
  • Waiver of Unlawful Associations Act
  • A time line for political dialogue, and
  • Prohibition of the use of force, under any circumstances (except in defense), but to resolve peacefully any problems that arise."

According to U Aung Min, Minister for President's Office and Vice Chiangmai #2 of the UPWC, the nationwide ceasefire agreement signing ceremony will "hopefully" be held by the end of October, to be witnessed by prominent world leaders including UN chief Ban Ki-Moon. The Commander-in-Chief of the Burmese armed forces is also expected to be one of the signatories.

To Hopeland and back (IV)

Posted: 14 Oct 2013 02:05 AM PDT


Day 2 (23 September 2013)

Today (7 October 2013) there are more serious matters concerning the peace process. But at the time of my arrival in Taunggyi, the hot story on the grapevine was the KNU and the RCSS, the two that had gone to present the all-in-one framework, were going to sign the Nationwide Ceasefire Agreement with Naypyitaw, whether or not the rest of the resistance groups were ready to follow suit.

Since 17 armed groups were attending the forum, the matter was a crucial one. I therefore decided to stop being a Temi (the prince in one of the Buddhist Jatakas who refused to speak) and take the floor, on rather the stage, today.

opining-ceremony
Opening ceremony Shan-Kayah-Mon Trustbuilding for Peace in Taunggyi, on 23 September 2013 (Photo: SNLD)

One of the presentations that drew my attention came from the PaO National Organization (PNO), the group that had accepted a Burma Army run militia status and, as a result, is now an elected party as well. "The PaO (one of the major non-Shan ethnic groups in Shan State) have been granted a Self-Administered Zone (SAZ) by the 2008 constitution," its representative said. "But we have yet to enjoy full self-rule."

According to the constitution, each SAZ or SAD (Self Administered Division) is entitled to the following list of legislation: (P.191) Urban and rural projects, construction and maintenance of roads and bridges, public health, development affairs, prevention of fire hazard, maintenance of pasture, conservation and preservation of forest, preservation of national environment "in accord with law promulgated by the Union," water and electricity matters in towns and villages and market matters.

I remember one of the fellow villagers on the Thai border, a former activist, commenting that even a Thai village tract seems to enjoy more powers. "Why, the Or Baw Taw (Tambon Administrative Organization) here can even decide on the teaching of Shan and approve on the budget including the teacher's salary." (Tambon is the equivalent of Burma's village tract)

Any amendment to the list therefore would be welcomed not only by the PaO but also Palaung, Wa, Kokang, Danu and Naga, who also have been accorded the same status.

Then came Dr Min Zaw Oo from MPC, whose talk I have already reported. It was an excellent food for thought, I thought and I had liked it. Unfortunately, it didn't go well with many of the participants' ambitious mood.

Then came my turn. I related to them the events leading to the Nationwide Ceasefire Agreement, the first draft of which was delivered to the KNU and RCSS on 12 September. According to my understanding, the two groups, whom I knew sufficiently well, are not going to sign it without some amendments and without consulting other groups. "It's not only the KNU-RCSS problem, it is also one for the government's negotiating team," I told them. "While on the side of the resistance movement as a whole, the key is the KIO (Kachin Independence Organization) consent, on the government's side, it will be the Tastmadaw (Military) consent."

"Under these circumstances," I asked them 3 rhetoric questions:

  • Are the KNU and RCSS going to sign alone by themselves?
  • Are the world leaders going to come to Naypyitaw as witnesses?
  • Is Naypyitaw going to hold a signing ceremony with just the two of them?

I don't think you need to consult any fortuneteller to find out the answers."
If I had any satisfaction out of it, it was the appreciation expressed by several delegates of the armed movements who met me during the break.
Today, things have moved further:

  • The draft has been revised in accordance with suggestions from KNU and RCSS
  • If reports were correct, the KIO has also seen it
  • It is going to be the one of the topics to be discussed at the United Nationalities Federal Council (UNFC) meeting, 7-9 October, and at the meeting between KIO and the government, 8-10 October
  • The signs, according to insiders, so far are encouraging

"We might still be fighting after the signing," commented Lt-Gen Yawdserk leader of the RCSS. "But the major difference is that the world will by then know who's right and who's wrong."

So if things turn out as planned:

  • The terms are acceptable to both sides
  • The military chief is going to be among the signatories
  • The major world leaders are going to be present at the signing ceremony

we may be seeing the first major hurdle cleared in the coming month. Let us all hope I'm not wrong.