The Irrawaddy Magazine |
| Tillerson Shows a Deft Touch in First Visit to Myanmar Posted: 17 Nov 2017 07:40 PM PST US Secretary of State Rex Tillerson deserves credit for a job well done during his first visit to Myanmar. On Wednesday evening, Tillerson flew out of the country having earned praise from observers for recognizing the complexity of Myanmar's political situation and for his balanced and constructive handling of the Rakhine conflict. Right after Tillerson's briefing at a Nov. 15 joint press conference with Myanmar's de facto leader Daw Aung San Suu Kyi in Naypyitaw, the nation's capital, the State Counselor said, "Well, just let me briefly thank Secretary Tillerson for his understanding of the situation." "We have discussed the matter in some detail, and we agree that it is most important that we should bring peace and stability to this country, and that can only be done on the basis of the rule of law," she said. Tillerson underscored that point in his briefing, saying, "The United States has stood with the people of Myanmar for many years in their struggle against oppression and their pursuit of a freer, more peaceful, more prosperous, and more democratic society. I'm here today in Naypyitaw to reaffirm our commitment to a successful democratic transition in Myanmar, and that commitment remains strong. "We continue to support the elected government as it strives to make progress on urgently needed reforms, to solidify the democratic gains of recent years, and to bring peace and reconciliation, prosperity, and greater respect for human rights," Tillerson said, emphasizing those most important points before turning to address the Rakhine issue. Many people here – from the de facto leader to politicians to ordinary people – are quite worried that the Rakhine conflict will kill the country's democratic transition, which remains fragile due to the highly unusual political situation in the country, in which power is constitutionally shared by the incumbent government and the military. Lower House International Relations Committee member Daw Pyone Kaythi Naing described Tillerson's message as "constructive and acceptable." The NLD lawmaker added that Tillerson's statement reflected the real situation in the country. But the Secretary of State didn't miss the opportunity to condemn those who deserve condemnation, or to offer condolences where warranted. "We're deeply concerned by credible reports of widespread atrocities committed by Myanmar's security forces and by vigilantes who are unrestrained by the security forces during the recent violence in Rakhine State. We're also distressed by the fact that hundreds of thousands of men, women, and children have been forced to flee to Bangladesh," he said. "We do condemn the August 25 attacks by the Arakan Rohingya Salvation Army on Myanmar's security forces that initiated this violence and reiterate that there is zero tolerance for such attacks. We express our condolences at the loss of life among the Myanmar security forces resulting from this unprovoked attack." Prominent politician U Ko Ko Gyi, whose political career dates back to the 1988 pro-democracy uprising, observed that Tillerson's statement recognized the complexity of the country's politics. "His briefing shows that the US has carefully crafted its diplomacy so that it is on an appropriate track," he said. "I would say it's the positive outcome of a thorough analysis by the US and its diplomats on the ground. They talked extensively to important non-state actors to hear their perspectives. Effective diplomacy depends not only on relations between governments, but also with other non-state actors." U Ko Ko Gyi urged foreign countries like the US and the UK not to let their diplomatic efforts be overly affected by internal politics in their respective countries. He said foreign policies should take into account the political realities in the countries with which they have relations. "Otherwise, their diplomacy will be inappropriate for that country." With more than 600,000 Rohingya refugees having fled the country, Myanmar's military leadership is likely to be targeted by US and EU sanctions for its internationally alleged "disproportionate military operation" against the Rohingya. On that subject, Tillerson rejected the idea of broad economic sanctions against the entire country, expressing his preference for sanctions targeting individuals who were responsible for atrocities in Rakhine. However he said, "In terms of targeted individuals, I think, again, all of that has to be evidence based." U Thwin Lin Aung, the director of the civil society group Genuine People's Servants, sees the Rakhine conflict as a crisis in which human rights violations took place. Regarding sanctions, he said it would be inconsistent to impose them for isolated violations in northern Rakhine alone, because there have been human rights violations in the east, north and south of the country as well. If sanctions are to be imposed in one case, they should be imposed in all cases, he said. "However," he concluded, "any solutions imposed to solve that crisis should not be allowed to obstruct the country's unfinished democratic transition, which is most important for the entire nation." The military leadership may not be so appreciative of the stand Daw Aung San Suu Kyi took at the press conference, however. She didn't defend them at all. Moreover, she seemed okay with Tillerson's condemnation of the military and with his holding them accountable. To most foreign observers and media, this will likely mean very little. But in the context of the political reality in Myanmar, where the military's role in politics is a fact of life, such a gesture has grave implications for the relationship between her government and the powerful military. Tillerson is aware of how important the civilian-military relationship is in Myanmar. In his briefing, he raised his meeting with military chief Snr-Gen Min Aung Hlaing, acknowledging that military support for Myanmar's ongoing transition to a federal, democratic state is crucial. "As part of that process, the military and government must work together to address the grievances of civilians throughout Myanmar and build strong, credible institutions. It cannot do so without acknowledging, addressing, and bringing to an end the tactics and practices that led to abuse and suffering," Tillerson said. At this stage, US diplomacy toward Myanmar is taking the right approach with respect to its handling of the two key, and distinct, stakeholders — the government and the military. At the same time, the US has demonstrated that it cannot afford to lose Myanmar as a potential ally in the Southeast Asia region, one that is poised to take off economically and democratically if the country can navigate this fragile political transition. The post Tillerson Shows a Deft Touch in First Visit to Myanmar appeared first on The Irrawaddy. |
| Analysis: Government Commits to Global Climate Effort but Pushes Coal at Home Posted: 17 Nov 2017 07:31 PM PST BONN, Germany – Even as its representatives participate in the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) conference in Bonn, Germany from Nov. 6 to 17, the government is pushing ahead with plans to expand the number of coal-fired power plants to address a serious power shortage in the country. The 23rd Conference of Parties (COP23) is a global conference involving nearly 200 nations and some 30,000 participants, including government officials, scientists, technocrats, environmentalists, civil society organizations and non-governmental organizations. Its ultimate goal is to keep global warming below 2 degrees Celsius. One of the aims of the Bonn conference is to secure $100 billion in funding for adaptation and mitigation projects starting from 2020. Although Myanmar is not listed among the top-10 CO2 emitters in German Watch's 2017 index, the government's energy policy can hardly be said to prioritize emissions reductions. Last week, the speaker of Karen State Parliament Saw Chit Khin reiterated the regional government's coal-fired power plant policy. The speaker said electricity would be provided to villagers by setting up clean-coal power plants in the state. Villagers would no longer have to enter the forests and cut down trees for firewood. The state government has given a green light to Toyo Thai Company to build a 1,800 MW coal-fired power plant in Hpa-An Township. "No more rice cooking with firewood and no more cutting down trees," said Saw Chit Khin. Myanmar's Energy Requirements In fact, the electrification master plan was originated by ex-president Thein Sein's administration, which commissioned 10 coal-fired plants across the country. These would join the Tigyit coal-fired plant, which is located in Shan State and already generates electricity. In April 2015, the government signed an MOU to commission a $2.8 billion coal-fired plant in eastern Myanmar's Mon State. Several thousand Mon residents have staged a series of protests against the coal-fired power plant project in recent years. However, Electricity and Energy Ministry Deputy Director General Hein Htet — one of the delegates attending COP23 in Bonn — has said that only one coal-fired plant, in Karen State, had been approved, with all other MOUs on hold. Under the National Electricity Master Plan (2015-16), the government intends to adopt a mixed-energy system to fuel the country's power grid. It calls for the nation's electricity supply to be fueled 63 percent by hydropower, 32 percent by natural gas, 3 percent by coal and 2 percent by diesel. To meet energy requirements beyond that, the government aims to increase the coal portion to 22 percent, with hydro falling to 54 percent and gas falling to 22 percent, with a mere 2 percent of power supplies fueled by renewables in fiscal years 2020-21. By 2030, the government targets 33 percent of the power supply being fueled by coal-fired plants (up by more than 10 percentage points from 2020-21), 38 percent by hydropower, 20 percent by gas and 9 percent by renewable energy sources. Hein Htet said the National Electrification Master Plan (NEMP) was drafted by the previous government and revised by the National League for Democracy-led government after it took office in 2016 to adjust the ratio between the various power sources. The director-general said in a statement that the government planned to increase the contributions of hydropower, gas and coal-fired plants even further in the future, but declined to provide details. The finalized master plan is expected to launch in early 2018.  Powering Growth U Hla Maung Thein, the director general of the Ministry of Forestry and Environmental Conservation and head of Myanmar's delegation to COP23, said Myanmar ranked at the top of the Global Climate Risk Index 2018 report. He added that the country's vulnerability to natural disasters was demonstrated by Cyclone Nargis in 2007, which took 140,000 lives and displaced nearly 2 million people after sweeping through the Irrawaddy Delta. As the military government transitioned toward democratic rule after Nargis, the country's economic growth began to improve, with the World Bank estimating in 2015 that Myanmar's GDP would reach 8.5 in 2015, but severe flooding the same year cost the country. According to World Bank statistics, Myanmar's GDP growth declined from 7.3 percent in 2015 to 5.9 percent in 2016. The country's economic performance should improve this year and next, however, with growth forecast at 7.7 percent in 2017 and 8.0 percent in 2018, according the Asian Development Bank. U Hla Maung Thein said, "Our country is poor and we have to develop economically. In terms of the energy sector, as you know, only 37 percent of the total population has access to electricity. Without addressing that problem, socioeconomic growth is impossible." He said the government has to consider an integrated approach to achieving energy sufficiency by producing electricity from fossil fuels, oil and gas, hydropower, solar power and wind turbines. Along with these sources, the government will apply the latest technology to build coal-fired plants during a transitional period of economic growth, he said. "We want everyone to have electricity by 2030," U Hla Maung Thein said. Indonesia's Deadly Example Regarding the latest-technology coal-fired power plants, environmentalist Nur Hidyati, executive director of WAHLI Friends of Earth International (Indonesia), pointed out that her country has at least 100 coal-fired power plants, which provide 35,000 MW of power across the nation. Construction of the plants was mostly funded by Chinese and Japanese investment. "There is no such thing as clean coal technology. You cannot burn coal without producing emissions. This process creates serious pollution. Coal is dirty and coal kills; a lot of children have already died in my country," Nur Hidyati said. She urged the Myanmar government to learn from Indonesia's experience, explaining that burning coal emits invisible coal dust particles into the air, which are inhaled by people living near power plants. This causes damage to the respiratory systems of local residents over time. Moreover, the particles can also cause acid rain, which is devastating to the livelihoods of farmers. Globally, the huge scale of emissions leads to climate change. "If the Myanmar government continues to build coal-fired power plants it will only repeat what is currently happening in Indonesia, where people are suffering, right now. A lot of farmers in Indonesia apply traditional farming methods and are at the mercy of the weather. The have already experienced changes in the weather patterns, while traditional fishermen are losing fishing grounds due to water pollution from coal use." What About Other Countries? Myanmar is not the only country turning to coal-fired power plants to address energy shortfalls; even the wealthiest countries in the world, including European Union members, currently operate coal-fired plants and are reluctant to subordinate their economic agendas entirely to the need to reduce carbon emissions. Under the Paris Climate Agreement signed last year, the wealthiest countries agreed to help finance mitigation and adaptation projects in least developed countries. Other countries are encouraged to provide support on a voluntary basis. However, no developed country has yet to match the amount pledged in the final agreement. In fact, the world's most powerful country, the US, has vowed to withdraw from the agreement under President Donald Trump. Ministry of Electricity and Energy official Hein Htet pointed out that China — the largest carbon emitter in the world – is also focused on its national interest, especially its One Belt One Road strategic plan and its energy sector development plan. Although China is trying to promote renewable sources of electricity, it does not plan to completely abolish its coal-fired plants. Rather, it intends to switch to newer coal-fired power plant technologies. "As we are Myanmar citizens, we have to emphasize the national interest. Other countries are promoting their interests and we should focus on our national interest too," he said. Climate Finance Myanmar is one of the 48 poorest nations that signed the UNFCCC and ratified the Paris Agreement. It has also submitted its Intended Nationally Determined Contribution under the latter. It is therefore in compliance with its commitments in terms of climate adaptation and mitigation activities. Myanmar's carbon emissions amount to less than 0.10 percent of the global total. Ministry of Forestry and Environmental Conservation DG Hla Maung Thein said, "As you know, Myanmar experiences heavy rain, cyclones, landslides and droughts every year. Making ourselves more resilient through adaptation programs is the most appropriate approach for us. But whatever we carry out — mitigation or adaptation projects — both need money." On Oct. 30, Global Environmental Facilities (GEF) approved $5 million for three projects in fishery adaptation, biodiversity (rich reef coral) and renewable energy for Myanmar. The government intends to implement the projects in the coastal and delta region's rural areas. They are part of a $30 million, eight-project plan involving GEF. Last week, US$300,000 was approved for Myanmar for capacity building as a Nationally Designated Authority (NDA) under the Green Climate Fund. It is drafting projects to be submitted for approval. According to Hla Maung Thein, neighboring countries including Cambodia, Vietnam, Bangladesh, and Bhutan have already received project preparation phase funds under the GCF. Myanmar will also draft a proposal with the technical assistance of Korea's Green Technology Center (GTC) for full project proposal phase funding shortly and expects to roll it out within six months. At COP23, the government and GTC have both signed MOUs securing technical support for Myanmar. "We will draft the GCF proposal when we return to Myanmar," he said. The post Analysis: Government Commits to Global Climate Effort but Pushes Coal at Home appeared first on The Irrawaddy. |
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