Monday, March 14, 2016

Shan Herald Agency for News

Shan Herald Agency for News


PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION: Workable coalition plan rather than confrontation is the way out

Posted: 14 Mar 2016 05:04 AM PDT

At long last the presidential candidate names have been made known, after months of speculation, frustration and political push and pull, whether Aung San Suu Kyi would be able to become president by circumvention of the 59(f) constitutional clause, that bars anyone to take the highest office whose immediate family member or members are foreigners.

Suu Kyi has two sons who are British and so was her late husband. 

She gave up hope when she was unable to woo the military to waive the said clause so that she could run for the presidency. As there has been no cooperation from the military,  the selection of presidential candidates to speed up the process from 17 to 10 March followed, where the selection of two National League for Democracy (NLD) candidacy, U Htin Kyaw and Henry Van Thio, were announced.

On 11 November, U Htin Kyaw and Henry Van Thio, both from NLD were elected by the lower and upper houses to contest for the first and second president respectively. 

U Htin Kyaw competed with the vice president Dr Sai Mauk Kham and won with 274 to 29 votes in the lower house, while Henry Van Thio won over U Khin Aung Myint, the ex-parliamentary speaker from USDP, with 148 to 13 votes in the upper house.

On the same day, the military selected it's presidential candidate by naming U Myint Swe, Chief Minister of Yangon Division(Region), who is also a former general and USDP member.

The day before, on 9 March, Office of Pyidaungsu Hluttaw said, in its announcement signed by its Speaker Mahn Win Khaing Than, that Presidential Electoral College to oversee the election was formed.

The members of the board are Pyithu Hluttaw Speaker U Win Myint, Amyotha Hluttaw Speaker Mahn Win Khaing Than, Pyithu Hluttaw Deputy Speaker U T Khun Myat, Amyotha Hluttaw Deputy Speaker U Aye Tha Aung, Pyithu Hluttaw representative Dr Myo Aung of East Dagon Myothit constituency, Amyotha Hluttaw representative U Ba Myo Thein of the Yangon Region constituency, and military representative Maj-Gen Than Soe.

On 14 March, scrutiny of the presidential candidates will be carried out, which the electoral scrutiny team said would sail through easily, and the actual voting of the combined lower and upper houses will follow the following day on 15 March. The final outcome is a forgone conclusion  that the NLD candidate U Htin Kyaw will be elected president, although the first and second vice-presidents election outcome could still be open.

The three presidential contenders

Aung San Suu Kyi's selection of the two presidential nominees for NLD, U Htin Kyaw and Henry Van Thio,  is seen as in line with her building of reconciliation government policy and is welcomed by most of the people, including the non-Bamar ethnic groups.

U Htin Kyaw, almost apolitical in the eyes of many, is a trusted childhood friend of Aung San Suu Kyi. Since 2012, he is the Executive Committee Member of Daw Khin Kyi Foundation, dedicated to Aung San Suu Kyi's mother.
 
He was born on 20 July 1946 and is the second son of the late, well known writer Min Thu Wun, who was elected as an NLD's MP for Rangoon, Kamaryut Township in 1990, and Daw Kyi Kyi.  He is also a writer himself under the pen name of Dala Ban, which is a Mon name. His father-in-law U Lwin was one of the NLD founders and his wife is also the NLD's MP for Thongwa township who is always by the side of the NLD leader. Both husband and wife remained close to Daw Aung San Suu Kyi during her years of house arrest.

NLD Information said that U Htin Kyaw received a bachelor's and then a master's degree in economics from  Rangoon University.

He also worked as a university teacher. In 1971 he became the first scholar to be sent abroad by the university's fledgling computer department. He studied at the now-defunct University of London Institute of Computer Science at the same time that Daw Aung San Suu Kyi lived in London. She later became a student at the University of London's School of Oriental and African Studies, while U Htin Kyaw returned to socialist-era Burma, ruled by General Ne Win, according to Myanmar Times report.

Henry Van Thio is a little known ethnic Chin, who is NLD's MP from Chin State.

According to his official biography, he was born in Chin State's Htantlang township, a remote mountainous area on the border with India. He has three children and a degree and a diploma in law. As a military officer he served in seven locations across the country. After entering the civil service, he ran a tabacco factory in Mandalay, worked in a liquor plant and was a deputy general manager in the Ministry of Industry.

U Myint Swe is the military's presidential nomination. 

According to Mizzima report, Lieutenant General Myint Swe is an ethnic Mon ex-military officer who graduated from the Defence Services Academy in 1971 as part of the 15th intake. He became a Brigadier General and commander of Light Infantry Division 11 in 1997 and was appointed as Commander of Southeastern Command and a member of the State Peace and Development Council in 2001. He was transferred as a Commander of Yangon Command and promoted to Major General. He also acted as Chairman of Yangon Division Peace and Development Council. He became the Chief of Military Security Affairs after Khin Nyunt was purged in 2004 and became Chief of Bureau of Special Operations - 5 (BSO-5) in January 2006. He was nominated as chief-minister of Yangon Region by President Thein Sein. 

Recent Eleven Media report said that he took part in the suppression of the so-called Saffron Revolution in 2007 and is said to have ordered the crackdown. In response Myint Swe said that he only did his duty and if anyone could prove he had done anything wrong, he could be hanged.

Moreover, Myint Swe had been criticised for ordering attacks on students and activists. He was condemned for using "Swan Arr Shin" (Powered Beings)--groups of hired thugs--to brutally crackdown protesters as students in Yangon staged a protest in front of Yangon City Hall on March 5, 2015.

Besides, he is listed on the U.S. Treasury Department list of sanctioned individuals due to his role in the former military government.

Ethnic leaders' opinion

While many ethnic and Bamar people alike are in agreement with the Aung San Suu Kyi's national reconciliation undertakings, some ethnic leaders opinion aired are mostly positive on what they actually think about the development.

"I am glad a Chin national is nominated as the vice-presidential candidate. I am an Arakan national. I am very pleased that the NLD paved the way for ethnic minorities to get high posts in the Parliament. It is especially important to stop the civil wars and achieve peace. Giving minority groups important parliamentary roles will help build internal peace,"  said  U Aye Thar Aung, Deputy Speaker of the Union Parliament, according to Eleven Media recent report.

And according to 7 Day Daily's recent report, Kachin State Democracy Party (KSDP), Chairman Dr. Manan Tuja and former Vice-Chairman of the Kachin Independence Organization (KIO) was said to be satisfied and happy that starting from 1962 onwards this is the first time non-Bamar ethnic nationalities with ability were selected for the highest office. 

"What Aung San Suu doing now is good. It also shows the pattern of union and national reconciliation is portrayed and visible. Besides, it shows the issue of ethnic nationalities is not left behind. (We could) say this is good and I welcome it. (We) should look at this in terms of the whole union," said Dr. Tuja.

Echoing the same sentiment, "It is good that the presidential candidate is a Mon. It means the NLD government today is prioritizing ethnic unity. I see this selection as empowerment of understanding   and consolidation between ethnic nationalities. This is a good omen," said leader of the New Mon State Party (NMSP), who is also the Vice-Chairman of the United Nationalities Federal Council (UNFC).

Slightly different from the Kachin and Mon leader, Khun Htun Oo, Chairman of the Shan Nationalities League for Democracy (SNLD) said: "The election of all ethnics (from 6 ethnic nationalities) could be seen as a largesse of the winning party or the strong, likely urge to forge national reconciliation. But there are organizations that are still left out that had struggled together with the NLD all along."

"If national reconciliation is to be comprehensively pursued earnestly, the same percentage of effort that has been tried to resolve the problem with the Tatmadaw must also be invested with the ethnic nationalities in trying to reach understanding, not even one percent less. A lot of people seems to understand that national reconciliation is possible only by negotiating with one or two big parties. This is absolutely wrong," stressed Khun Htun Oo.

Igor Blaževič, director of the Educational Initiatives, training program for the Burma activists based in Thailand,  is also in agreement when he said: "The present political scenario is totally a different one, with Arakan, Kachin, Karen participating in the parliament and selection of Mon and Chin as presidential candidates, it is like the first light of the dawn."

But he said that we still need to look at how the government, including states and regional governmental allotment will be divided and formed. He stressed: "I hope someone from SNLD will take responsibility of an important post. If more governmental positions will be given to non-NLD ethnic nationalities, it will develop for the better. In short the move is in the right direction, but we are still not there. We need more concrete signal from the NLD that it is willing to do this."

USDP-Military regime's hard-line stance

Somewhat peculiar and parallel to all these ongoing hectic political development, commander-in-chief Min Aung Hlaing on 9 March  told his audience at the country's Defence University that status quo will be maintained for at least another five years and any undertaking that would alter the present situation will not be accepted.

 "Tatmadaw steadfastly has held on to multi-party system for five years and progress has also been made. During next second five year phase, deviating from the present situation will not be accepted," announced Min Aung Hlaing in his official Facebook.

He also reiterated the traditional military position that the 1962 military coup was to protect the country from disintegration, due to the inadequate 1948 Union of Burma Constitution. Apart from that he also termed the 1988 popular uprising as a disturbance, due to failure of the then military regime to address the people's need.

U Zin Lin from BNI interpreted that as Min Aung Hlaing's statement, which was made on the eve of the presidential election, meant to say that 2008 military-drafted constitution cannot be touched and threatened that if the NLD refused to work with them there will be no peace. And this could be emphasized that if needed, power will not be transferred.

Other crucial issues that might have formed the military hard line position includes the massive deployment of its troops in Shan State, debacle or bickering over presidential power transition ceremony to removing of office equipment by the out-going government employees, increased harassment and arresting of activists and sensitive and aggressive responses over question of the military regime's fire-sale of the country's assets, including the lack of transparency in granting business concessions to its people and cronies.

The way ahead

No one know for sure on how the future political prospect will look like. But one thing is sure without the cooperation of the military the NLD administration will not function and the military will not be able come out of its pit of self-employed saviour of the country role, even if the majority of the population sees it as an anti-democracy and self-serving entity, primarily concerned for its group survival. In short, both camps need each other whether they like it or not, as they are forced to be coalition partners and must function as a government.

A well known constitutional lawyer, U Aung Htoo a few weeks ago made an analogy that NLD is like a government with only two feet, while the military is the two hands. The military's one hand is the army, while the other is the police force, for the military is entitled according to the constitution to handle and appoint the three Ministries of Home, Defence and Border Affairs.

Given such a situation, a compromise that would enable the country and the administration to function is the first priority, even if we have to muddle through for a while in search for a better political settlement for the future. Moreover, Suu Kyi should place herself above mere power politics to build democratic institutions that would shape Burma's destiny, while the military should come out of its self-employed country's saviour role and listen to the voice of the people.



49 Houses Burnt Down In Mong Khark Township’s Eastern Shan State

Posted: 14 Mar 2016 01:26 AM PDT

Approximately 49 houses in Eastern Shan State's Mong Khark Township burnt down in a raging fire Saturday afternoon; according to a local political party representative, no causalities were reported.



Nang Khong Phoo, a member from the Shan Nationalities Democratic Party (SNDP) in Mong Khark, said that the fire happened in En Long village, Naung Long tract in Mong Khark's Keng Tung Township.


"The cause of the fire is unknown, but the fire started at about 1p.m. in En Long village, where En people are populated," Nang Khong Phoo said.

"Most houses were made of wood which made the fire worse," she added.

All residents in the area had been asked to evacuate the village and relocate to the monasteries where a temporary joint operations centre had been set up.

There isn't an estimate of how much property had been lost and or damaged. The cause of the fire is currently under investigation.

BY SAI AW / Shan Herald Agency for News (SHAN)



NLD MP Tipped to Become Shan State Chief Minister

Posted: 14 Mar 2016 12:18 AM PDT

The National League for Democracy's (NLD's) Dr Linn Htut, who represents Lashio in the Shan State Hluttaw (parliament), is favourite to become the Shan State Chief Minister, according to the NLD and Shan political commentators.


A senior NLD official said: "It will almost certainly be Dr Linn Htut [who becomes chief minister]. He was part of the meeting where Aunty Suu [Daw Aung San Suu Kyi] met with the MPs designated for the positions of state and regional chief ministerial positions."

Dr Lin Htut is an ethnic Burmese, but his wife is an ethnic Shan.

Some political observers believed that the NLD would offer a member of the Shan Nationalities League for Democracy (SNLD) the job of Chief minister due to the NLD's policy of national reconciliation and because the SNLD is an allied partner of the NLD.

The SNLD was also the party that won the second highest number of seats in the Shan State Hluttaw after the Union Solidarity and Development Party (USDP).

But a Shan political observer, who wished to remain anonymous, said that the SNLD only had a few members of parliament (MPs) who met the qualification criteria for the job of Shan State Chief Minister because the party's top leaders had not run in the election.

The NLD has officially announced that it will appoint NLD members to all the state and regional chief minister positions.

In the November 2015 elections the USDP won 33 seats in the Shan State Hluttaw, more than any other party. The SNLD came second winning 25 seats and the NLD came third winning 23 seats out of the103 seats that were contested.

The military were automatically also given 34 seats that were not contested. The most senior military appointee in the Shan State Hluttaw is Lieutenant-General (retired) Aung Than Htut.


BY Shan Herald Agency for News (SHAN)


To Hopeland and Back: The 17th trip

Posted: 13 Mar 2016 09:38 PM PDT

U Aung Min with Gen Yawdserk at one of the 
press conferences in 2012. (Photo: Myanmar Life Blog)
Day Five. Sunday, 6 March 2016
Get to know your opposite numbers at all levels socially.
Friends take longer to fall out.
The Global Negotiator
Today, Sao Yawdserk meets U Aung Min and the MPC officials for one and a half hours, 13:00-14:30.
I won't bother you with the details. The long and short of this meeting is that the RCSS is not happy with his planned business projects, none of which has so far materialized. The situation, in brief, had been "the government giveth and the military taketh away." Before this, the government side had contended that there wasn't sufficient trust because the RCSS has not signed the NCA yet. But after the October signing, what more excuses does Naypyitaw has for him, who's getting only the name but not the game?
Despite implied tension, the meeting goes quite well. Because it is one between two people who have known and exchanged friendly banters with each other for more than 4 years, thanks to the peace process. Whether the verbal agreement reached there remains hot air or takes solid shape is of course another matter. But I hope, for peace sake, every party gets what it wants.
Here are some of the things I have overheard while talking to the people there:
  • A certain big country has offered to patronize the whole peace process. It has only one condition: Naypyitaw must slam out other offers
  • The first job of the new government is to familiarize itself with the ins and outs of the government apparatus. Depending on how long this honeymoon period takes, the next Union Peace Conference will have to wait. Even the next session of the Union Peace Dialogue Joint Committee (UPDJC) that oversees the overall political negotiations is not expected to be called before May. Ms Suu Kyi has already declared that the present TOR of the UPDJC must be amended, and this process alone may take some time
  • In addition, what should be remembered by all stakeholders, says one, is that the peace process has come this far due to the fact that the incumbent President gets along well with the military. There is hope that the new President will do the same
I have a few visitors at the hotel the rest of the day and then spend the evening visiting my relatives.
The next day, I drop in at the SNLD office to exchange notes with them. Unfortunately, I don't have anything worthwhile to report about here.
At 11:00, I stand before the airways counter at Mingladon. As usual, they take time with my traveling document, about 15 minutes, before deciding my ticket is, worth a boarding pass.
I hope it takes less time next time.
As for Sao Yawserk, they should be checking in at the domestic side at the same time. As he has already informed to the authorities, he's planning to fly to Taunggyi and then go by car to Kholam some 70 miles in the east, to meet the commander of the Burma Army's Central Eastern Command, in whose operational area lies the location of Loi Taileng, as well as make a survey of the sites for the RCSS/SSA planned economic projects. I hope he's successful this time and becomes not just a name but one with the game too.
By SAI KHUENSAI / Director of Pyidaungsu Institute and Founder of Shan Herald Agency for News (S.H.A.N)
All views expressed are the author's own

No comments:

Post a Comment

Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.