Wednesday, December 4, 2013

The Irrawaddy Magazine

The Irrawaddy Magazine


Mangroves in the Irrawaddy Delta Could Be Gone in a ‘Few Decades’

Posted: 04 Dec 2013 04:46 AM PST

A map produced by researchers at the National University of Singapore shows the decreasing proportion of the Irrawaddy Delta covered by mangrove forests between 1978 and 2011. (Credit: Webb et al 2013 / Global Environmental Change)

RANGOON — The mangrove forests of Burma's Irrawaddy Delta have been devastated by deforestation, and could be completely wiped out in the next few decades if nothing is done to save them, according to a new study.

The report from researchers at the National University of Singapore, published in the journal Global Environmental Change and posted online Nov. 21, employed satellite imaging to record the steady decline of the Irrawaddy Delta's mangrove forests from 1978 to 2011, and gave a pessimistic forecast for the forests' future.

It is estimated that half the world's mangrove forestshave been wiped out in the past six decades. Those remaining—largely in Southeast Asia, South America and Central America—are under increasing threat from deforestation.

Mangrove forests are an important habitat, a bulwark against coastal erosion and also help to minimize the effects of extreme weather events, such as the 2008 Cyclone Nargis that killed more than 130,000 people after making landfall in the Irrawaddy Delta.

The Irrawaddy Delta, also known as the Ayeyarwady Delta, hosts the country's largest area of mangrove forests and providesfertile farmland and fisheries to the local population, estimated to be 7.7 million people.

"The Delta is also one of Myanmar's key biodiversity areas, hosting some of the most floristically diverse mangroves in the world and more than 30 species of 'endangered' fauna,including the Ayeyarwady dolphin, estuarine crocodile, which numbers only [approximately] 100 individuals in the lower Ayeyarwady Delta, mangrove terrapin, sarus crane and numerous migratory bird species, including the critically endangered spoonbilled sandpiper," the report said.

The researchers conducted field trips and analyzed satellite imagery, concluding that the size of the Delta's mangrove forests shrank by 64.2 percent over the 33-year period, with much of the area now used by small-scale farmers to grow rice.

The report, titled "Deforestation in the Ayeyarwady Delta and the conservation implications of an internationally engaged Myanmar," estimated that the area of the Irrawaddy Delta covered by mangrove forests totaled some 2,623 square kilometers in 1978, but that figure had declined to just 938  square km by 2011. An average of 51 square km, or more than 3 percent of the forest was lost every year over the period.

Only the small protected area of the Meinmahla Kyun Wildlife Sanctuary and a few islands have survived untouched, the study found.

Following Cyclone Nargis, the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization stated that if there were more mangroves in the Irrawaddy Delta intact, they would likely have reduced the impact of the 3.5-meter-high storm surge that tore through the Delta.

The new research paper claimed that just before the cyclone, the forest cover in the Delta was down to 933 square km, and that it had been reduced to 918 square km by the following year.

"Extensive flooding occurred during Cyclone Nargis, and on-the-ground observations and permanent plots noted extensive damage to some mangrove species, particularly in low-lying sites or areas that had already been severely degraded owing to fuelwood harvest and conversion to rice paddies," the report said. However, "some mangrove species were able to recover rapidly after the disturbance event," it added.

Deforestation in the area has slowed since a rapid period of forest loss in the 1990s, but the report's projections suggested that the remaining forest may not last long. Its most pessimistic forecast predicted the mangrove forest will be gone by 2019. At best, the report said, the forest will last until 2044.

"Business-as-usual deforestationscenarios suggest that most, if not all, of the unprotected Ayeyarwady mangroves will be lost in the next few decades at a ratefaster than other mangrove deforestation hotspots in the region, suchas the Mekong Delta from 1965–1995," it said.

The authors of the report warned that economic reforms in Burma since 2011, and the concurrent increase in interest from overseas investors, presented a new set of problems for the mangrove forests in the Delta. They pointed to agro-industrial companies taking an interest in the land for large-scale plantations—replacing forests with sugar for export, for instance.

"Thus, as seen in other developing countries, Myanmar's policy objectives to promote private enterprise and increase [foreign direct investment] may also facilitate the transfer of control and use of land, leading to a 'foreignisation of space' to investors from China,Thailand, and Malaysia," it said.

A report published last week by US-based research center Forest Trends warned that this process has already begun, with government-awarded economic concessions to local and foreign companies driving deforestation. Forest Trends' research found that concessions were on the rise, and that by mid-2013 the government had given firms a total of 2.1 million hectares (5.2 million acres) of land, much of it in heavily forested regions, for development into plantations.

Noting the success of the small Meinmahla Kyun Wildlife Sanctuary, the report from the National University of Singapore called for more protected areas in the Irrawaddy Delta and elsewhere. Only 6.3 percent of Burma's heavily forested land mass is currently protected, according to the World Bank, and current regulations to protect forests are poorly enforced.

"In the Delta, there is equally scope for community-based reforestation and forest management programs, which could rehabilitate mangroves and help to fulfill demand for fuelwood in the Delta, and substantial investment is expected for direct conservation funding to conserve coastal species and habitats," the report said.

Edward Webb, associate professor at the National University of Singapore's department of biological science and the report's lead author, told the Irrawaddy this week that more work was needed to uncover the underlying causes of deforestation in the Delta.

"Our paper shows that ultimately, mangroves have been converted to agriculture, suggesting what is the end use of the converted land," Webb said in an email, noting that small-scale farming seemed to be the "major driver of deforestation," albeit subsidized by the government in efforts to increase Burma's rice crop. "However the route to getting to rice agriculture may not be direct, and the causality of conversion is not certain—this means that we are a long way off 'solving the root of the problem.'"

Webb said the report's findings were likely being played out in other forested areas of Burma. "There are various threats to forests across the country, including agriculture, mining, and logging, along with hunting of wildlife which has severe long-term implications for forest health," he said.

"There does seem to be a lot more attention being paid to Myanmar as it experiences more international engagement. However we are very early in getting a clear understanding of the threats to forests, and how they vary across the country. This should be a top priority as the country continues on its path towards international engagement."

The post Mangroves in the Irrawaddy Delta Could Be Gone in a 'Few Decades' appeared first on The Irrawaddy Magazine.

Wary of Official Census, Burma’s Ethnic Minorities Count Their Own

Posted: 04 Dec 2013 04:40 AM PST

census, Myanmar, Burma, United Nations Population Fund, Shan, Karen, Mon, ethnic minorities, population, refugees

The questionnaire used during the Population and Housing Pilot Census in 2013. (Photo: Pyay Kyaw Myint / UNFPA)

RANGOON — Before the Burma government conducts a major census next year, ethnic minority groups are collecting their own data, saying they are wary of trusting population statistics from government leaders who in the past allegedly inflated the percentage of ethnic majority Burman people in the country.

Ethnic Shan and ethnic Mon organizations, representing two of Burma's biggest ethnic minority groups, say they have already started to conduct their own individual census efforts, with plans to finish early next year before the government census begins in March 2014.

"The Shan population is 9 percent of the total population, according to official data. We want to know the true amount," Sai Kyaut Tint, chairman of the Shan Real Population Collection Committee, told The Irrawaddy. "We will compare the Shan population data from the [government] census with the data that we collect."

The last official census in Burma was conducted in 1983. Thirty years later, the country's population size remains unknown, although government estimates put it at about 61 million in 2011, compared to an estimation of 50 million people by the World Bank.

The government, which is dominated by the Burman majority, recognizes eight major ethnic minority groups in the country and 135 subgroups. An estimated 40 percent of the population is an ethnic minority, with Shan representing the biggest minority group. Karen represent the second largest, at 7 percent of the population, followed by Arakanese at 3.5 percent, Mon at 2 percent, Kachin at 1.5 percent and Kayah at 0.75 percent, according to government figures.

But ethnic minorities have accused the government of pressuring people in the past to identify as Burman, including on government-distributed national identity cards, to justify the dominance of Burman officials in government. Some ethnic minorities say that in order to secure an identity card, they were forced to officially change their names to sound more Burman.

The Shan Real Population Collection Committee plans to conduct its own census in all areas of the country where Shan people live, including in Rangoon, the country's commercial capital. "We can expect an ethnic minister for Rangoon Division if we have 0.1 percent of the total [divisional] population," Sai Kyaut Tint said.

Mon groups are also counting the number of Mon residents in Rangoon.

In the government census next year, census forms will be distributed to rebel-held areas in Mon State and Karen State, with cooperation from the New Mon State Party (NMSP) and the Karen National Union (KNU), which have signed ceasefires with the government after decades of civil war.

After a pilot test, some areas in Shan, Mon and Karen states have asked for local residents to serve as data collectors in the official census.

"We have translated the questionnaire in Poe Karen [language], in addition to another 12 languages including Myanmar [Burmese]," said Win Myint, a program specialist at the United Nations Population Fund (UNFPA), which is working with the government on the census. He was speaking at a meeting on Tuesday at the Karen Women's Action Group office in Rangoon. "You can self-identify on the ethnicity question, choosing from the official 135 ethnic codes or a special code for all other groups in Myanmar, regardless of eth ethnicity listed on the national identity card."

Activists say campaigning will be required to urge the Ministry of Immigration and Population to correct the ethnic information on national identity cards. This will likely take a long time, says Nan Khin Aye Oo, a program adviser for the Karen Women's Action Group.

But the promise of change is raising hopes.

"We need exact data for the census. It is not related with elections or politics," said Susanna Hla Hla Soe, a prominent Karen activist who is representing civil society groups as a member of an advisory committee for the government's census office.

In addition to their own population counts, ethnic minority groups are working with the UNFPA on a campaign to raise awareness about accurately listing their ethnic identities for the government census, which will be used for development planning.

"We have been holding community workshops to remind the Mon population in Rangoon to identify as the correct ethnic race in the coming 2014 census," said Nai Soe Aung, project director of the Rangoon-based Mon Population Data Project.

Unlike the government census three decades ago, the government census next year will be computerized, with questionnaires produced in the United Kingdom that can be scanned. A separate questionnaire will be used for people who live with institutions, such as soldiers in the army, officers in the police force, patients in hospitals and permanent hotel residents.

The census will begin on March 29 and is expected to cost an estimated US$60 million. The data collection will take 12 days, with face-to-face interviews to ensure proper data collection.

Internally displaced persons (IDPs) will be invited to participate. Migrant workers and refugees living outside the country will not be counted.

"All persons in the country will be counted, including IDPs," Petra Righetti, who is working on census efforts with the UNFPA. "If a refugee is in Thailand, they will not be counted in the Myanmar [Burma] census. However, there is a census question that asks how many family members are living outside the country."

She added that Burmese refugees in Thailand are counted in the Thai census.

Most refugees in Thailand and most internally displaced people in Burma are ethnic minorities. Many fled from the country or were displaced from their homes during decades-long conflicts between the government and ethnic rebel groups fighting for greater autonomy.

The post Wary of Official Census, Burma's Ethnic Minorities Count Their Own appeared first on The Irrawaddy Magazine.

Burma Authorities to Resettle Displaced Muslims in Meikhtila

Posted: 04 Dec 2013 04:33 AM PST

Meikhtila, Myanmar, Burma, Muslim, Buddhist, Rohingya, Meiktila

A Muslim girl in Meikhtila cries as she is taken to a temporary shelter during an outbreak of violence in March. (Photo: Tay Za Hlaing / The Irrawaddy)

RANGOON — Local authorities are preparing to resettle hundreds of Muslims displaced by inter-communal violence in March between local Buddhists and the Muslims in Meikhtila Township, Mandalay Division, according a state-run newspaper.

Muslim neighborhoods of Meikhtila were razed to the ground during the violence. Authorities say Muslims made up the majority of the 7,845 people who have since been living in temporary camps outside the town.

A report in the New Light of Myanmar on Tuesday said the government will provide plots of land or apartments to resettle about 400 Muslim victims of the violence.

The report was unclear on the details of the resettlement plan, but said a coordination meeting was held at the end of last month among the government authorities to decide what to do with the displaced people.

The report did say specifically that those at the meeting—including Mandalay Division's Planning and Economic Minister Aung Zan, as well as district and township officials—agreed that a first round of plots measuring 40 by 30 feet would be given to 93 people. Another 77 fire victims would later get plots and 193 "victims who have no guarantee" would be provided residential quarters.

Violence between local Buddhists and Muslims broke out in Meilktila on March 20 following bouts of violence in Arakan State between Arakanese Buddhists and the stateless Rohingya Muslim minority last year, which left 192 people dead and 140,000 people displaced.

In Meikhtila, 1,594 houses were burned down in Chanayethaya Ward, according to the New Light of Myanmar report, sending people into five relief camps. About 40 people were killed and 60 injured, and about 30 people, both Buddhist and Muslims, were sentenced by a court in Meikhtila in July for the violence.

Win Htein, a National League for Democracy (NLD) member of Parliament for Meikhtila, said the displaced people were being resettled in the same area they were displaced from. He said the resettlement was overdue, and would begin this month.

"I have been telling the government for a long time to let them return their homeland. I feel it's late already as they have had to stay in the camps for a long time," said Win Htein.

He insisted the atmosphere in the town was much improved since the violence and that Buddhists and Muslims would not clash again.

"The current situation is getting better, it's a lot better than before," Win Htein said. "There will be no problem with their return."

Maung Maung, a Muslim from Meikhtila, who was displaced by the violence in March and is now in Rangoon, told The Irrawaddy that all the victims wanted to go back as soon as possible.

"The majority of our people want to go back to their homeland," he said, adding that many were concerned they would be resettled in a new place without being consulted.

"They are still checking people who have title paper for their own land. So, as far as I know, we will return to our homeland," said Maung Maung. "People are saying that they are happy if they can go back to their homeland, even if they can only build small hut to stay in."

Ko Phyo, a Buddhist resident of Meikhtila, said that the Buddhist population of the town was concerned by the resettlement.

"Our residents are worried that it is going to cause more violence. They are the people who started problem first, but when the locals [Buddhists] reacted, events went out of control," he said, adding that the deaths of monks during the violence had caused escalation.

"This is big problem. The local people were outraged and lost control in their reaction," said Ko Phyo.

He also claimed the resettlement would be problematic because displaced Muslims had been opportunistic. "We heard that some families asked for three plot of land, even though they only had one family home in the past," he said

However, some Muslim families have already returned to their land in Meikhtila, and visitors report that the situation is stable.

Hajj Kyaw Khin, a Muslim has donated to the Muslim victims of the Meikhtila violence, said resettlement would help the area to be return to normal.

"It is good if the people could return to their homeland because I found there that they express the feeling that they wanted to return back," he said. "Many people have no job and don't have enough food because they have to stay in the camps."

The post Burma Authorities to Resettle Displaced Muslims in Meikhtila appeared first on The Irrawaddy Magazine.

Rangoon Planning Committee Wants Public Access to Riverfront

Posted: 04 Dec 2013 04:04 AM PST

Myanmar, Burma, Yangon, Rangoon, heritage, conservation, urban planning

A slide from a presentation on Rangoon's proposed zoning plan shows the city's central business district, which is designated mostly as "mixed use" (pink areas on the map) and "heritage" (brown areas). (Credit: YCDC)

RANGOON — In order to get a sight of their city's river, residents of Burma's commercial capital currently cram into a few jetties where they can take morning exercise or evening walks. But soon, they may have more space.

That is if the city's committee working on urban planning gets its way.

During a public forum Tuesday, Rangoon's Comprehensive Land Use, Zoning and Urban Design Review Working Committee proposed that a public space along Rangoon's riverfront be created to improve quality of life for residents.

Committee member Hlaing Maw Oo, director of the Ministry of Construction, said that most of the area along the city's Hlaing River, also known as the Rangoon River, should be designated as "green space" and called for at least 25 feet (8 meters) of space along the waterfront to be reserved for public recreation.

"We don't ask very much, just at least 25 feet for the public," she said.

According to a map distributed at the public forum, a strip of the riverfront at least three-miles long is proposed as a "Green and Blue Zone," punctuated with smaller areas demarcated for "waterfront special development." In most of the development zones along the river, buildings up to three stories high will be permitted, as long as the view of the Shwedagon Pagoda from the river is preserved.

"It's a big step forward," said Thant Myint-U, founder of the Yangon Heritage Trust (YHT), noting that the Burma government has never consulted the public on such decisions in the past.

"Our main idea is to let people have as much access as possible to the waterfront area," he said. At present access to the river is limited to the Pansodan and Botahtaung jetties, which have become popular hangouts for locals.

Initiated by Yangon City Development Committee (YCDC), Rangoon's municipal body, the working committee has been discussing its plan for land use and zoning for a year.

The working committee was approved by the city's mayor and is made up of ten experts from YCDC, the Ministry of Construction's department of human settlements and housing development, YHT, Mandalay Technological University, the Association of Myanmar Architects (AMA) and the Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA).

According to the proposed land-use and building height zoning plan, Rangoon will have 11 types of "zone," each with their own respective restrictions on the height to which new buildings can be constructed.

For example, in 19 "Mixed Use" zones in the downtown area (between Lanmadaw Road and Theinbyu Road)—which have both commercial and residential buildings—new developments will be restricted to six stories.

Some areas just north of the central business district will a 16 stories, while in areas along Prome Road buildings up to 20 stories will be allowed.

In other "heritage zones," in particular areas of downtown containing colonial-era architecture, construction will be even more restricted.

In the vicinity of the Shwedagon Pagoda, building heights will be restricted to between 62 and 78 feet, while in nearby areas toward downtown, buildings must be less than 190 feet.

"We will use this plan when we consider whether to allow high-rise buildings or not," said Toe Aung, deputy head of YCDC's city planning and land administration department. "But for the time being, we have to wait for public feedback on the plan."

He said the committee will wait about a month for suggestions from the public before it submits the plan to the Rangoon Division Government for approval.

The post Rangoon Planning Committee Wants Public Access to Riverfront appeared first on The Irrawaddy Magazine.

Questions Arise Over Workers’ Future in Dawei

Posted: 04 Dec 2013 02:31 AM PST

Dawei, special economic zone, investment, Myanmar, Burma, business, Thailand, Italian-Thai Development Plc

Burma's deputy minister for social welfare, relief and resettlement, Phone Swe, speaks on the sidelines of a press conference in Rangoon about efforts to help workers who lost their jobs at construction projects at the special economic zone. (Photo: Kyaw Hsu Mon / The Irrawaddy)

RANGOON — Thai and Burmese workers at the Dawei special economic zone (SEZ) are facing unemployment as massive construction projects were this month temporarily suspended.

Projects by the Italian-Thai Development Plc (ITD) were halted at Dawei by the Burma and Thai governments until after a due diligence assessment can be carried out. The suspension came as both governments decided to take control of the SEZ from ITD, which had struggled to raise enough private capital. With the change, other foreign investors will be invited to help develop the strategic complex that is expected to operate as a deep-sea port, petrochemical and heavy industry hub in southeastern Burma.

With ITD potentially swept aside until April next year, when the due diligence assessment is expected to be completed, an estimated 1,200 Burmese workers will be affected, according to labor leaders. The government plans to meet with workers on Saturday to discuss plans moving forward. In the meantime, the deputy minister for social welfare, relief and resettlement, Phone Swe, spoke with The Irrawaddy about possible solutions on Monday, on the sidelines of a press conference about the Dawei SEZ in Rangoon.

Question: How will the Burmese government help local workers who recently lost their jobs on ITD projects at the Dawei SEZ?

Answer: I am asking township administration officers in Tanintharyi Region [Tenasserim Division, where Dawei is located] to determine how many workers were involved in this project—a detailed figure—because local workers are facing difficulties. Then I will allow these officers to submit suggestions about what we need to do to help them. Then we will get involved.

Q: If workers came to the Dawei site from other villages, is it true the government will arrange to transport them back home?

A: We must do it, if necessary, because they are Burmese. If they want to search for other employment or continue working there [in Dawei], they may stay. But if they want to go back home, we will discuss in greater detail how we can send them back. Because this problem arose so quickly, we still need to find a solution.

Q: Can you begin to help the Burmese workers before receiving detailed information?

A: We can't do anything without solid information.

Q: Does the Burma government plan to negotiate the salaries for workers at the Dawei SEZ in the future? Thai workers reportedly earned more than Burmese workers in the past.

A: We will respect their labor rights. They can have equal labor rights in the future.

Q: As you said during the press conference, the number of villages displaced by the SEZ has been decreased, from 16 villages originally to six villages, according to the most recent plans. Have displaced residents already received compensation?

A: We have not yet provided compensation to people in the six affected villages. At previous locations, compensation was provided earlier for 8,000 acres of a total 50,000 acres.

Q: Who will be responsible for providing the rest of the compensation?

A: We still have no idea. Either ITD or SPV-1 [Special Purpose Vehicle-1, a public company organized by the Thai and Burma government for the Dawei SEZ]. If SPV-1 is going to provide compensation, we, the government, will be responsible for some of the compensation. Small light industry projects will also be starting in Dawei, and I do not know whether the groups responsible for those projects will provide compensation phase by phase.

Q: What assurances can the government give to residents from the six villages who have not received compensation yet but will be affected by the SEZ?

A: Most of the land owners own rubber and cashew nut farms. They can continue working as usual before they receive compensation.

The post Questions Arise Over Workers' Future in Dawei appeared first on The Irrawaddy Magazine.

Burma to Host Historic International Women’s Forum

Posted: 03 Dec 2013 10:59 PM PST

women, Burma, Myanmar, women's empowerment, France, Rangoon, investment, Aung San Suu Kyi

Aung San Suu Kyi visits a traditional hand weaving course organized by women members of her National League for Democracy (NLD) party in this photo from October 2011 .The Burmese democracy icon is expected to attend a major international women's forum in Rangoon on Friday. (Photo: The Irrawaddy)

RANGOON — Burma is preparing to host a high-level international women's forum, with democracy icon Aung San Suu Kyi set to attend along with International Monetary Fund managing director Christine Lagarde and other prominent leaders.

The two-day Women's Forum for the Economy and Society, organized in part by the French Embassy with support from the Burma government, is set to begin on Friday in Rangoon. Participants will examine a number of social and economic issues from women's perspectives as Burma continues to transition from military dictatorship toward a more democratic system.

The event is expected to draw over 400 Burmese and international participants, including high-profile leaders from government, politics, business and civil society, according to organizers.

"In a society like Myanmar [Burma], where every kind of parameter from health and education to electricity and telecoms is poised for a blaze of change, women's creativity and resilience will be vital to carry through successful transformation," VĂ©ronique Morali, president of the Women's Forum for the Economy and Society, said in a statement. "No sustainable social change is possible without the inclusion of women's voices."

Based in Paris and founded in 2005, the Women's Forum is a subsidiary of Publicis Groupe, a French multinational advertising and public relations company. A global Women's Forum meeting is held annually in France, while smaller forums are organized in other countries, with an event planned for Brazil next year and hopes to establish a forum in the Middle East.

Topics on the agenda in Rangoon will include responsible investment, as Burma attempts to attract foreign investors after decades of international isolation, as well as the role of women in peacebuilding, while the government seeks to consolidate ceasefires and end long-running insurgencies in border states. Discussions will also focus on challenges in reforming the country's health care sector and education system, and efforts to promote freedom of expression as the government loosens its grip over the media.

Burmese Minister of Social Welfare Myat Myat Ohn Khin will be in attendance, along with French Minister of Culture and Communication Aurélie Filippetti.
Other prominent Burmese participants will include Aung Tun Thet, a member of President Thein Sein's National Economic and Social Advisory Council and the Myanmar Investment Commission; Khin San Yee, deputy minister of national planning and economic development; and Thein Thein Htay, deputy minister of health. Lawmakers, government officials and activists from Cambodia, Nepal, the Philippines and Bangladesh will also attend, as well business leaders including Christophe de Margerie, chief executive of French oil and gas giant Total.

Earlier this year, Burmese activists called for greater legal protections during another women's forum in Rangoon. The Myanmar Women's Forum in September was a lower profile event internationally but historic for Burma, as it was the first women's forum in the country to be organized in cooperation from ethnic minority women both inside and outside the country.

In October the Burma government launched a national strategic plan to empower women, suggesting practical ways to address challenges over the next decade in a dozen priority areas, including initiatives to improve access to education and health care as well as the development of better laws to eliminate gender-based violence.

Despite the international reputation of Suu Kyi, who rose to prominence as a leader of Burma's struggle against military rule, few women have won seats in the country's Parliament. About 95 percent of lawmakers are male, and women in the country continue to face major barriers to employment, education and health care.

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Thai Violence Eases Ahead of King’s Birthday

Posted: 03 Dec 2013 10:46 PM PST

A woman defies police near the government offices in central Bangkok. (Photo: Steve Tickner / The Irrawaddy)

BANGKOK — Protesters intent on toppling Thailand's democratically elected prime minister plan to press their struggle again Wednesday with a peaceful march on Bangkok's national police headquarters, one day after a sudden truce in honor of the king's birthday this week ended a spate of increasingly fierce street fighting.

The pause in violence came suddenly Tuesday, when Prime Minister Yingluck Shinawatra ordered police to end their resistance against masked mobs who had begun attacking their positions beside her office compound with homemade rocket launchers and petrol bombs.

The move was timed to coincide with celebrations of the king's birthday this week, a holiday that holds deep significance in the Southeast Asian nation. It was widely seen as offering demonstrators a face-saving way out of a crisis that has killed four people and wounded more than 256 since the weekend.

But protest leader Suthep Thaugsuban vowed to keep up what has become an audacious struggle to overthrow Yingluck and keep her brother, deposed former Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra, from returning to power.

"You can rest assured that this is a victory that is only partial … because the tyrannical Thaksin government endures," Suthep said.

He said that after a Thursday truce, "our battle" will begin again early Friday.

Yingluck's rivals accuse her of being a puppet of Thaksin, who was ousted in a 2006 military coup and lives in Dubai to avoid a corruption conviction he says was politically motivated. His overthrow touched off a societal schism that has plagued Thailand ever since.

In broad terms, the conflict pits a poor rural majority which largely backs the Shinawatra family against an urban-based elite. The latter camp draws support from the army and staunch royalists who see the Shinawatras, who have won over rural voters with populist policies designed to benefit them, as a corrupt threat to their business interests and the monarchy.

Protesters argue that Yingluck came to power through her billionaire brother's money and vote-buying, charges the ruling party denies. Suthep insists Yingluck must cede power to an unelected council, but Yingluck has rejected that demand, which many political observers and Thai academics say is absurd and a threat to the country's nascent democracy.

Yingluck's Pheu Thai party was elected with an overwhelming majority in 2011 and is currently unbeatable at the polls.

Last month, tensions boiled after the ruling party tried to ram an amnesty bill through Parliament that critics said was mainly designed to bring Thaksin back.

Protesters seized several government ministries and offices last week, and by Sunday they were trying to smash through concrete barriers surrounding Government House, where Yingluck's office is located. They fired homemade rocket launchers and petrol bombs at police, who riposted with tear gas, water cannons and rubber bullets.

But suddenly, early Tuesday, police lowered their shields and walked away from their heavily fortified positions. Bewildered protesters who had been fighting just moments before began climbing over rows of overturned concrete blast walls.

Shortly afterward, thousands of jubilant demonstrators waving the red, white and blue Thai flag swarmed across the grassy lawn of Government House, snapping photos of themselves with cellphones and screaming "Victory belongs to the people!" Yingluck was not there at the time.

About 20 soldiers and police guarded a door into Yingluck's offices, and protesters did not try to enter. After an hour of speeches and cheering, they all filed back out systematically—a highly organized exit which fueled speculation that a deal—at least for now—had been struck behind closed doors between the two sides.

Yingluck and said police had been ordered to avoid clashes so people could peacefully celebrate the birthday of ailing King Bhumibol Adulyadej, who turns 86 Thursday.

Bhumibol is a constitutional monarch with no formal political role, but he is considered the country's moral authority and a unifying figure. Violence on the day of his birth would be a major sign of disrespect.

Associated Press writers Jocelyn Gecker, Grant Peck, Papitchaya Boonngok and Raul Gallego Abellan contributed to this report.

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US Veteran Detained in North Korea Oversaw Guerrilla Group

Posted: 03 Dec 2013 09:43 PM PST

North Korea, South Korea, Merrill Newman, guerilla

US citizen Merrill Newman puts his thumbprint on a piece of paper, after being taken into custody by North Korea, at an undisclosed location in this undated photo released by North Korea’s Korean Central News Agency (KCNA) in Pyongyang on Nov. 30, 2013. (Photo: Reuters)

SEOUL — An 85-year-old US veteran being held in North Korea spent his war years there in one of the Army's first special forces units, helping a clandestine group of Korean partisans who were fighting and spying well behind enemy lines.

Now South Koreans who served with Merrill Newman, who is beginning his sixth week in detention, say their unit was perhaps the most hated and feared by the North and his association with them may be the reason he's being held.

"Why did he go to North Korea?" asked Park Boo Seo, a former member of unit known in Korea as Kuwol, which is still loathed in Pyongyang and glorified in Seoul for the damage it inflicted on the North during the war. "The North Koreans still gnash their teeth at the Kuwol unit."

Some of those guerrillas, interviewed this week by The Associated Press, remember Newman as a handsome, thin American lieutenant who got them rice, clothes and weapons during the later stages of the 1950-53 war but largely left the fighting to them.

Newman was scheduled to visit South Korea to meet former Kuwol fighters following his North Korea trip. Park said about 30 elderly former guerrillas, some carrying bouquets of flowers, waited in vain for several hours for him at Incheon International Airport, west of Seoul, on Oct. 27 before news of his detention was released.

Newman appeared over the weekend on North Korean state TV apologizing for alleged wartime crimes in what was widely seen as a coerced statement.

Park and several other former guerrillas said they recognized Newman from his past visits to Seoul in 2003 and 2010—when they ate raw fish and drank soju, Korean liquor—and from the TV footage, which was also broadcast in South Korea.

Newman's family has not been in touch with him, but he was visited at a Pyongyang hotel by the Swedish ambassador, his family said in a statement, and he appeared to be in good health, receiving his heart medicine and being checked by medical personnel.

His family hasn't responded to requests for comment on his wartime activities. Jeffrey Newman has previously said that his father, an avid traveler and retired finance executive from California, had always wanted to return to the country where he fought during the Korean War.

Newman served in the US Army's 8240th unit, also known as the White Tigers, whose missions remained classified until the 1990s.

His military records obtained through a Freedom of Information Act request show he served on active duty from September 1950 until October 1953, much of it in Korea, then he was a reservist for nearly four years.

The records show Newman reached the rank of first lieutenant when discharged and had received several medals including a Korean Service Medal with two bronze service stars.

After attending officer candidate school, documents show he quickly rose from platoon leader to executive officer, then company commander. He is also listed as completing an infiltration course. In 1953, he was sent to study at military intelligence school before returning as an infantry unit commander. He was qualified in various weapons including 75 mm rifles and carbines.

Retired Col. Ben Malcom said he served in Newman's unit during a different period and didn't know him. But he later wrote a book about their work detailing how the US supplied weapons, ammunition, food and American advisers to an anti-communist guerrilla force in North Korea. He said some were outfitted with North Korean military uniforms complete with weapons and identification cards to work as spies. Others were trained as paratroopers.

Malcom said his openness about the unit's work during the war, including a book, a History Channel documentary and many interviews, would preclude him from even considering visiting North Korea.

"I would never go back to North Korea," he said. "They know me."

But another veteran from the unit, Mickey Parrish, 83, in Jacksonville, Florida, who also didn't remember Newman, said he didn't think that their service in what was the Army's first special forces unit 60 years ago would be cause for additional concern if visiting North Korea.

"There's no animosity as far as I am concerned, and I would hope there would be none on their end," Parrish said.

In his televised statement, Newman said he trained guerrillas whose attacks continued even after the war ended, and ordered operations that led to the death of dozens of North Korean soldiers and civilians. He also said in the statement he attempted to meet surviving Kuwol members.

The former guerrillas in Seoul also said Newman served as an adviser, but that most of the North's charges were fabricated or exaggerated. They have a book that includes a photo of Newman and his signature by the words "proud to have served with you."

Newman oversaw guerrilla actions and gave the fighters advice, but he wasn't involved in day-to-day operations, according to the former rank-and-file members and analysts. He also gave them rice, clothes and weapons from the US military when they obtained key intelligence and captured North Korean and Chinese troops. All Kuwol guerrillas came to South Korea shortly after the war's end and haven't infiltrated the North since then, they say, so there are no surviving members in North Korea.

"The charges don't make sense," said Park, 80.

In the final months of the war, Newman largely stayed on a front-line island, living in a small wooden house, said Park Young, an 81-year-old former guerrilla.

"He ate alone and slept alone and lived alone," said Park, one of 200 guerrillas stationed on the Island.

Their accounts are backed up by a US Army research study declassified in 1990 that found when the US 8th Army retreated from the Yalu River separating North Korea and China in late 1950, some 6,000 to 10,000 Koreans initially declared their willingness to fight for the United States.

Former Kuwol fighters claim to have killed 1,500 North Korean soldiers and captured 600 alive. About 1,270 Kuwol members perished during the war, according to surviving unit members.

The guerrillas aren't alone in questioning Newman's trip to North Korea.

"The South Korean partisans were possibly the most hated group of people in the North, except for out-and-out spies and traitors from their own side," said University of Chicago history professor Bruce Cumings in an email.

But analyst Cho Sung-hun with the state-run Institute for Military History Compilation in Seoul said it's "not weird" for war veterans to try to visit former battle grounds before they die.

Cho, who interviewed Newman in 2003 for a book on guerrilla warfare during the Korean War, described him as a "gentle American citizen" and said North Korea should not trigger a new source of tension with his detention.

North Korea has detained at least seven Americans since 2009 and five of them have been either released or deported. Korean-American missionary and tour operator Kenneth Bae has been held for more than year.

The post US Veteran Detained in North Korea Oversaw Guerrilla Group appeared first on The Irrawaddy Magazine.

As Cameron Visits, China Paper Criticizes Britain

Posted: 03 Dec 2013 09:33 PM PST

China, UK, Britain, Cameron, Beijing, Global Times

Britain's Prime Minister David Cameron stands before a painting before a signing ceremony at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing Dec. 2, 2013. (Photo: Reuters)

BEIJING — With British Prime Minister David Cameron in the country on an official visit, a Chinese state-run newspaper on Tuesday labeled Britain a fallen great power worthy now only as a destination for tourists and students.

The Global Times editorial appeared as Cameron emphasized the potential for increased trade and investment during a visit to the financial hub of Shanghai.

Cameron is leading Britain's largest trade mission to China, with more than 100 leaders from business, education, and cultural fields, along with six government ministers.

During his time in Beijing, Cameron oversaw the signing of agreements in areas including space exploration and football training, and voiced support for a deal to free up trade between China and the European Union, China's largest trading partner. Such a deal could be worth up to 1.8 billion British pounds (US$2.95 billion) a year to the British economy, the UK government says.

The Global Times also took Cameron to task for comments backing expanded democracy in former British colony Hong Kong, and said Britain is colluding with France and Germany to provoke China over the Dalai Lama. Cameron's visit was originally scheduled for last year, but was postponed by China after he met with the exiled Tibetan spiritual leader, who is reviled by Beijing.

"We've discovered that Britain is easily replaceable in China's European foreign policy," said the editorial in the newspaper's Chinese edition. "Moreover, Britain is no longer any kind of 'big country,' but merely a country of old Europe suitable for tourism and overseas study, with a few decent football teams."

China would respond in kind to all perceived diplomatic slights, the editorial said, adding that "in conclusion, we wish Prime Minister Cameron and his delegation a pleasant visit to China."

The editorial's sneering tone was typical of the strain of belligerent nationalism identified with the newspaper, published by the ruling Communist Party's official People's Daily. A similar editorial in the newspaper's English edition called Britain "just an old European country apt for travel and study."

Following talks with Chinese Premier Li Keqiang and President Xi Jinping, Cameron flew to Shanghai on Monday night for further meetings and to speak at a university. His trip is to conclude Wednesday in the southwestern city of Chengdu.

The trade deals signed had been in the works for months or years, and British business and Cameron's government had been anxious to finalize them. That was partly because of concerns that Britain was being less active in courting business with the world's second largest economy than rivals France and Germany.

Cameron's schedule underwent a number of last-minute changes and an expected news conference in Beijing was scrapped.

There were few signs of lingering political tensions, although Cameron's staff protested the exclusion from an event Monday at the Great Hall of the People of a British reporter for the US financial news agency Bloomberg, which has fallen afoul of Beijing over some of its reporting.

Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman Hong Lei said the reporter, Rob Hutton, had been excluded in order to give priority to journalists from China and Britain.

The post As Cameron Visits, China Paper Criticizes Britain appeared first on The Irrawaddy Magazine.

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